Once Upon A Farm, PBC (OFRM)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Berkeley, United States | NYSE
17.16 USD
+0.18
(1.060%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 17.00 -0.16 (-0.160%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:50 a.m. EDT
The investment case for this consumer defensive stock is currently broken by deteriorating fundamentals and overwhelming speculative fear. Despite reporting 42% revenue growth, the company is generating negative free cash flow and posting negative operating margins, while the balance sheet shows negative returns on equity and assets. This disconnect suggests the market is pricing in a severe execution failure or a value trap where top-line growth is masking operational collapse. The short-term outlook is bearish due to the stark divergence between price action and sentiment. While the stock trades near its 200-day average, the options chain tells a different story: traders are buying insurance against a crash, not betting on a breakout. The heavy concentration of put open interest at strikes far below the current price implies a expectation of a double-digit percentage decline. With no dividend to cushion the blow and a forward P/E that remains inflated despite losses, there is no margin of safety here. The statistical forecast model offers no directional clarity, reinforcing the view that the immediate path is defined by uncertainty and likely downside pressure. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.184922 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.184927 |
| MSTL | 0.195697 |
| AutoTheta | 0.268313 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 0.33 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.252 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.21 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.107 |
| Revenue per Share | 13.861 |
| Market Cap | 720,559,552 |
| Forward P/E | 39.04 |
| Profit Margins | -3.30% |
| Website | https://onceuponafarmorganics.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 7.5 and 10.0) compared to negligible call volume. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for puts (1.38x–1.73x ATM levels), indicating a market consensus expecting a sharp drop rather than a rally.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.18479812 |
| Address1 | 950 Gilman Street |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 27.0 |
| All Time Low | 14.0 |
| Ask | 18.25 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.8 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 350,300 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 521,014 |
| Average Volume | 521,014 |
| Average Volume10Days | 350,300 |
| Bid | 16.0 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Book Value | 3.699 |
| City | Berkeley |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 17.16 |
| Current Ratio | 4.008 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 17.5166 |
| Day Low | 16.99 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.107 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,050,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,050,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | -16,530,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.05736 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -37.942 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.176 |
| Enterprise Value | 627,184,576 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.38009 |
| Eps Forward | 0.4396 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.23 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 17.8724 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.71240044 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.039860368 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -18.479813 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 27.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -9.84 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.36444446 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 14.0 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.1599998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22571428 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 14.0 - 27.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,770,388,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 15,664,193 |
| Forward Eps | 0.4396 |
| Forward P E | 39.03549 |
| Free Cashflow | -28,295,750 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 153 |
| Fullday Change | 0.18 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.06007 |
| Fullday Price | 17.0 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.41179 |
| Gross Profits | 118,668,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.20811 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.85535 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 41,990,653 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Once Upon A Farm, PBC produces and sells organic baby food pouches, meals, and snacks for children. The company provides pouches, including fruit an veggie blends, functional blends, and smoothies; frozen organic meals; and soft-baked bars for kids. It sells its products through retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and delivery platforms, as well as directly to consumers through platform. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Berkeley, California. |
| Long Name | Once Upon A Farm, PBC |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 720,559,552 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_418737578 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -9,506,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 713,001,287 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 17.03 |
| Operating Cashflow | -30,593,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.06604 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 888 983 1606 |
| Post Market Change | -0.15999985 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.93240005 |
| Post Market Price | 17.0 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,600 |
| Previous Close | 16.98 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -45.1472 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.639092 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.500441 |
| Profit Margins | -0.03299 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.796 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.77778 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.18 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.06007 |
| Regular Market Day High | 17.5166 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 16.99 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 16.99 - 17.5166 |
| Regular Market Open | 17.03 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 16.98 |
| Regular Market Price | 17.16 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 226,755 |
| Return On Assets | -0.07839 |
| Return On Equity | -0.16012 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.423 |
| Revenue Per Share | 13.861 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Shares Outstanding | 41,990,653 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.123500004 |
| Shares Short | 5,184,302 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,377,413 |
| Short Name | Once Upon a Farm, PBC |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2547 |
| Short Ratio | 10.98 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | OFRM |
| Target High Price | 38.0 |
| Target Low Price | 19.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 25.25 |
| Target Median Price | 22.0 |
| Total Cash | 93,541,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.228 |
| Total Debt | 166,000 |
| Total Revenue | 288,172,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.23 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.790852 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.63085175 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.035459332 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 226,755 |
| Website | https://onceuponafarmorganics.com |
| Zip | 94,710 |