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Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (OCUL)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Bedford, United States | NasdaqGM
9.88 USD -0.32 (-3.137%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a distinct divergence between the company's precarious financial reality and aggressive speculative positioning. Fundamentally, Ocular Therapeutix remains a cash-burning biotech with negative operating margins, negative free cash flow, and no dividend history, leaving it entirely dependent on capital markets or future drug approvals. However, the options chain tells a different story for the near term: traders are ignoring the balance sheet risks to pile into deep out-of-the-money calls ($20 strike) and heavy ATM volume, while virtually no one is buying protection. This suggests the market is pricing in a binary event—likely the upcoming retina meeting data or FDA feedback on AXPAXLI—that could instantly validate the high valuation multiples currently trading at 43x sales. While the long-term fundamentals remain fragile due to the lack of profitability and reliance on external funding, the current options flow indicates a high-conviction, albeit risky, bet on a catalyst-driven price surge in the coming weeks.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.058470
AutoTheta0.058585
AutoARIMA0.058744
AutoETS0.058744

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 0.95
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.212
Excess Kurtosis -1.08
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 13.663
Revenue per Share 0.259
Market Cap 2,163,328,256
Forward P/E -6.43
Beta 0.88
Website https://www.ocutx.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest and volume at $20 strikes for December and January expirations, alongside heavy call flow at the $10 ATM level. Conversely, put activity is negligible, with almost zero volume in the nearest expiration and very low open interest across the board, indicating a lack of hedging demand and a one-sided bullish sentiment.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.109107316
Address1 14 Crosby Drive
Address2 3rd Floor
All Time High 44.19
All Time Low 1.995
Ask 12.55
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,275,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,902,621
Average Volume 2,902,621
Average Volume10Days 2,275,070
Beta 0.88
Bid 7.31
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.657
City Bedford
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.88
Current Ratio 14.806
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 10.185
Day Low 9.76
Debt To Equity 13.663
Display Name Ocular Therapeutix
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,982,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,982,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Ebitda -294,815,008
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -5.346
Enterprise To Revenue 30.287
Enterprise Value 1,576,091,392
Eps Current Year -1.5525
Eps Forward -1.5375
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.44
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.2279
Fifty Day Average Change 0.65210056
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.070666194
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.910731
Fifty Two Week High 16.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.5600004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39902678
Fifty Two Week Low 6.23
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5858748
Fifty Two Week Range 6.23 - 16.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,406,295,000,000
Float Shares 184,373,380
Forward Eps -1.5375
Forward P E -6.4260163
Free Cashflow -148,761,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 325
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -175,055,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00936
Held Percent Institutions 0.95733
Implied Shares Outstanding 218,960,358
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ocular Therapeutix, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for retinal diseases and other eye conditions using its bioresorbable hydrogel-based formulation technology in the United States. The company markets DEXTENZA, a dexamethasone ophthalmic insert to treat post-surgical ocular inflammation and pain following ophthalmic surgery, as well as allergic conjunctivitis. It is also developing AXPAXLI, an axitinib intravitreal hydrogel that is in phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration and non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy; OTX-TIC, a travoprost intracameral hydrogel, which has completed phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension. The company has a license agreement and collaboration with AffaMed Therapeutics Limited for the development and commercialization of DEXTENZA and OTX-TIC. Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts.
Long Name Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,163,328,256
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_41955650
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -290,497,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,166,612,742
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 10.15
Operating Cashflow -226,204,992
Operating Margins -8.65461
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 781 357 4000
Pre Market Change 0.069999695
Pre Market Change Percent 0.70849895
Pre Market Price 9.95
Pre Market Time 1,784,034,818
Previous Close 10.2
Price Eps Current Year -6.3639293
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.7184794
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 41.572086
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 14.493
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.32
Regular Market Change Percent -3.13725
Regular Market Day High 10.185
Regular Market Day Low 9.76
Regular Market Day Range 9.76 - 10.185
Regular Market Open 10.15
Regular Market Previous Close 10.2
Regular Market Price 9.88
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 1,400,356
Return On Assets -0.32878
Return On Equity -0.68554
Revenue Growth 0.008
Revenue Per Share 0.259
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 218,960,358
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.12189999
Shares Short 26,695,136
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 25,086,045
Short Name Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.144
Short Ratio 8.46
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol OCUL
Target High Price 34.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 27.09091
Target Median Price 28.0
Total Cash 666,699,008
Total Cash Per Share 3.045
Total Debt 79,462,000
Total Revenue 52,038,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.44
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.311325
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.43132496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.041830216
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,400,356
Website https://www.ocutx.com
Zip 1,730