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Ocugen, Inc. (OCGN)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Malvern, United States | NasdaqCM
1.32 USD -0.05 (-3.650%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.35 +0.03 (2.273%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:43 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Ocugen is currently defined by a stark disconnect between optimistic analyst targets and deteriorating financial reality. While analysts project a mean price of $12.17, the company's fundamentals tell a different story: negative earnings, negative free cash flow, and a book value that is effectively zero or negative. The stock has suffered a catastrophic 99.4% decline over the last nine years, with the most recent annual performance showing another drop. This multi-year structural decline suggests the market has already priced out the worst-case scenarios regarding the business's ability to generate sustainable value. Short-term momentum remains fragile. The stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, and the statistical forecasting model offers no directional edge, reflecting the high noise-to-signal ratio typical of distressed biotech stocks. Options activity confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further drops rather than betting on a rally. There is no dividend income to offset these risks. The company is burning cash, and the recent capital raises, while providing temporary liquidity, highlight the lack of organic funding. Until there is concrete evidence of sustained profitability or a definitive path to commercialization that translates into revenue growth, the long-term outlook remains severely compromised. The current price reflects a high-risk environment where the potential for total capital loss is significant.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.071152
AutoETS0.071152
MSTL0.073443
AutoTheta0.192476

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 0.49
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.193
Excess Kurtosis -0.61
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 0.014
Market Cap 447,625,760
Forward P/E -4.95
Beta 2.20
Website https://www.ocugen.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:43 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with put open interest significantly outweighing call open interest across all expirations. Deep out-of-the-money puts show massive volume spikes relative to their open interest, indicating aggressive hedging or bearish bets on further declines. Conversely, call positioning is concentrated in the money and at-the-money strikes, suggesting limited speculative upside conviction despite the high implied volatility.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2815534
Address1 11 Great Valley Parkway
All Time High 778.2
All Time Low 0.17
Ask 1.53
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,376,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,163,600
Average Volume 6,163,600
Average Volume10Days 3,376,270
Beta 2.203
Bid 1.33
Bid Size 4
Book Value -0.049
City Malvern
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.32
Current Ratio 0.802
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.37
Day Low 1.32
Display Name Ocugen
Dividend Date 1,569,801,600
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -67,173,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -6.484
Enterprise To Revenue 95.08
Enterprise Value 435,560,736
Eps Current Year -0.27
Eps Forward -0.26667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.25
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.3669
Fifty Day Average Change -0.046899915
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.034311153
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.155338
Fifty Two Week High 2.725
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.4049999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5155963
Fifty Two Week Low 1.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.32000005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.32000005
Fifty Two Week Range 1.0 - 2.725
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,417,617,000,000
Float Shares 333,389,609
Forward Eps -0.26667
Forward P E -4.9499383
Free Cashflow -1,974,375
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 116
Fullday Change -0.05
Fullday Change Percent -3.64963
Fullday Price 1.35
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -39,182,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01681
Held Percent Institutions 0.43295
Implied Shares Outstanding 339,110,401
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,569,801,600
Last Split Factor 1:60
Long Business Summary Ocugen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies, biologic, and vaccines that improve patients' health. The company's pipeline product includes OCU400, a novel gene therapy product candidate restoring retinal integrity and function across a range of genetically diverse inherited retinal diseases, currently under Phase 3 trials for the treatment of retinitis pigmentosa and Phase 1/2 trials for the treatment of leber congenital amaurosis; OCU410, a gene therapy under phase 1/2 for the treatment of dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD); and OCU410ST, a gene therapy under phase 1/2 for the treatment of Stargardt disease. It is involved in the development of OCU200, a novel recombinant fusion protein for the treatment of diabetic macular edema, diabetic retinopathy, and wet age-related macular degeneration; and NeoCart, an autologous chondrocyte-derived neocartilage for the repair of knee cartilage injuries in adult. In addition, the company is developing OCU500, a COVID-19 vaccine; OCU510, a seasonal quadrivalent flu vaccine; and OCU520, a combination quadrivalent seasonal flu and COVID-19 vaccine. It has collaboration agreements with National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases for early clinical studies for the OCU500 program; and a strategic partnership with CanSino Biologics Inc. for manufacturing its modifier gene therapy pipeline product candidates. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Ocugen, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 447,625,760
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_303874231
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -81,811,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 464,581,249
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 1.36
Operating Cashflow -60,869,000
Operating Margins -11.051081
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 484 328 4701
Post Market Change 0.029999971
Post Market Change Percent 2.272725
Post Market Price 1.35
Post Market Time 1,787,961,599
Previous Close 1.37
Price Eps Current Year -4.888889
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -26.938778
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 97.71355
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.752
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.05
Regular Market Change Percent -3.64963
Regular Market Day High 1.37
Regular Market Day Low 1.32
Regular Market Day Range 1.32 - 1.37
Regular Market Open 1.36
Regular Market Previous Close 1.37
Regular Market Price 1.32
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 3,045,378
Return On Assets -0.48441002
Revenue Growth 0.084
Revenue Per Share 0.014
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 339,110,401
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.3001
Shares Short 101,770,376
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 100,590,405
Short Name Ocugen, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3017
Short Ratio 22.65
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol OCGN
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 12.16667
Target Median Price 10.5
Total Cash 100,051,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.295
Total Debt 87,986,000
Total Revenue 4,581,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.25
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.5082
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.1882
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12478451
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,045,378
Website https://www.ocugen.com
Zip 19,355