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Ocugen, Inc. (OCGN)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Malvern, United States | NasdaqCM
0.89 USD -0.06 (-6.524%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9 a.m. EDT

Ocugen presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where aggressive analyst upgrades and a 'strong buy' recommendation clash violently with deteriorating reality. The company is burning cash at an alarming rate, with operating cash flow draining at nearly $61 million annually and free cash flow in the millions of losses. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt exceeding cash reserves and a current ratio below 1.0, leaving little room for error in a biotech sector that demands perfection. Despite a recent price uptick, the underlying business is structurally broken, evidenced by nine consecutive years of cumulative price destruction and a lack of sustainable profitability. The options market confirms this skepticism, with traders aggressively buying insurance against further drops rather than betting on a recovery. While the catalysts mentioned in headlines regarding clinical milestones are critical, the financial runway is precarious, making this a high-risk speculative play rather than a sound investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.090144
AutoETS0.090145
AutoTheta0.090191
MSTL0.098822

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 7.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.022
Excess Kurtosis -0.27
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 0.014
Market Cap 300,248,352
Forward P/E -3.50
Beta 2.27
Website https://www.ocugen.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls. The put/call ratio is skewed significantly toward bearish bets, particularly for the January 2027 expiration where deep out-of-the-money puts dominate volume. While there is some call activity at strikes above the current price, the overwhelming capital allocation suggests a fear of further decline rather than a bet on a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.4329341
Address1 11 Great Valley Parkway
All Time High 778.2
All Time Low 0.17
Ask 1.02
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,800,720
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,045,004
Average Volume 6,045,004
Average Volume10Days 6,800,720
Beta 2.268
Bid 0.7684
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 8
Book Value -0.049
City Malvern
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.8854
Current Ratio 0.802
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 0.9454
Day Low 0.87
Display Name Ocugen
Dividend Date 1,569,801,600
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -67,173,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -4.29
Enterprise To Revenue 62.908
Enterprise Value 288,183,360
Eps Current Year -0.23667
Eps Forward -0.25333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.26
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.18934
Fifty Day Average Change -0.30394
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.2555535
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -43.29341
Fifty Two Week High 2.725
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8395998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.67508256
Fifty Two Week Low 0.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.0153999925
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.017701142
Fifty Two Week Range 0.87 - 2.725
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,417,617,000,000
Float Shares 333,776,194
Forward Eps -0.25333
Forward P E -3.4950461
Free Cashflow -1,974,375
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 116
Fullday Change -0.046599984
Fullday Change Percent -4.9197617
Fullday Price 0.8854
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -39,182,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.015420001
Held Percent Institutions 0.43575
Implied Shares Outstanding 339,110,401
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,569,801,600
Last Split Factor 1:60
Long Business Summary Ocugen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies, biologic, and vaccines that improve patients' health. The company's pipeline product includes OCU400, a novel gene therapy product candidate restoring retinal integrity and function across a range of genetically diverse inherited retinal diseases, currently under Phase 3 trials for the treatment of retinitis pigmentosa and Phase 1/2 trials for the treatment of leber congenital amaurosis; OCU410, a gene therapy under phase 1/2 for the treatment of dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD); and OCU410ST, a gene therapy under phase 1/2 for the treatment of Stargardt disease. It is involved in the development of OCU200, a novel recombinant fusion protein for the treatment of diabetic macular edema, diabetic retinopathy, and wet age-related macular degeneration; and NeoCart, an autologous chondrocyte-derived neocartilage for the repair of knee cartilage injuries in adult. In addition, the company is developing OCU500, a COVID-19 vaccine; OCU510, a seasonal quadrivalent flu vaccine; and OCU520, a combination quadrivalent seasonal flu and COVID-19 vaccine. It has collaboration agreements with National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases for early clinical studies for the OCU500 program; and a strategic partnership with CanSino Biologics Inc. for manufacturing its modifier gene therapy pipeline product candidates. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Ocugen, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 300,248,352
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_303874231
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -81,811,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 423,152,320
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 0.9454
Operating Cashflow -60,869,000
Operating Margins -11.051081
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 484 328 4701
Previous Close 0.9472
Price Eps Current Year -3.741074
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -18.069387
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 65.5421
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.752
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.16667
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0618
Regular Market Change Percent -6.52449
Regular Market Day High 0.9454
Regular Market Day Low 0.87
Regular Market Day Range 0.87 - 0.9454
Regular Market Open 0.9454
Regular Market Previous Close 0.9472
Regular Market Price 0.8854
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,600
Regular Market Volume 6,859,539
Return On Assets -0.48441002
Revenue Growth 0.084
Revenue Per Share 0.014
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 339,110,401
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.3009
Shares Short 102,053,118
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 98,309,421
Short Name Ocugen, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3009
Short Ratio 11.75
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol OCGN
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 12.16667
Target Median Price 10.5
Total Cash 100,051,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.295
Total Debt 87,986,000
Total Revenue 4,581,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.48116
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.59576005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.40222532
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,859,539
Website https://www.ocugen.com
Zip 19,355