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Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC)

Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
19.93 USD -0.53 (-2.571%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 19.93 +0.05 (0.271%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4:10 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:48 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is clouded by deteriorating technicals and a lack of income support. Price action over the last two weeks shows a distinct downward bias, closing below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which suggests the asset is currently in a correction phase rather than a recovery. This technical weakness is compounded by a severe liquidity issue, as trading volume has collapsed to less than half of its average, making it difficult to enter or exit positions without slippage. While the long-term price trajectory over the last four years remains robust with a massive cumulative gain and no recent annual declines, the current price action disconnects from that history, indicating a temporary market reassessment or distribution event. Furthermore, the trust offers no dividend yield whatsoever, eliminating any passive income floor that might cushion a downturn. The recent news regarding auditor changes and legal disputes adds a layer of operational uncertainty that weighs heavily on near-term sentiment, preventing a bullish entry despite the strong historical performance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_74 ✓0.086720
MSTL_74_970.093255
AutoARIMA0.102031
AutoETS0.102031
MSTL0.102031
MSTL_970.105599
AutoTheta0.112119

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 7.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.039
Excess Kurtosis -1.51

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 60.58
All Time Low 2.77
Ask 20.09
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 26,150
Average Daily Volume3 Month 11,085
Average Volume 11,085
Average Volume10Days 26,150
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 19.86
Bid Size 1
Category Digital Assets
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 19.9339
Day Low 19.82
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.38902
Fifty Day Average Change -2.45512
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.109657325
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -40.046715
Fifty Two Week High 37.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.7661
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4712493
Fifty Two Week Low 18.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2839012
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06884189
Fifty Two Week Range 18.65 - 37.7
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,613,140,200,000
Five Year Average Return 0.059978098
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Osprey Fund LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,613,001,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-12-19
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Name Osprey Bitcoin Trust
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_601366666
Nav Price 20.302
Net Assets 55,366,012.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.49
Open 19.82
Phone 914-214-4174
Post Market Change 0.053901672
Post Market Change Percent 0.27113518
Post Market Price 19.9339
Post Market Time 1,783,973,404
Previous Close 20.46
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.52609825
Regular Market Change Percent -2.5713503
Regular Market Day High 19.9339
Regular Market Day Low 19.82
Regular Market Day Range 19.82 - 19.9339
Regular Market Open 19.82
Regular Market Previous Close 20.46
Regular Market Price 19.9339
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,294
Short Name Osprey Bitcoin Trust
Source Interval 15
Symbol OBTC
Three Year Average Return 0.4163213
Total Assets 55,366,012
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -13.7134
Trailing Three Month Returns -13.7134
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 26.15557
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.2216682
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23787165
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,294
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -33.04958