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NexGen Energy Ltd. (NXE)

Energy | Uranium | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
9.01 USD -0.66 (-6.825%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:05 a.m. EDT

The investment case for this uranium developer is currently overwhelmed by severe execution risks and deteriorating financial health. Despite the sector-wide hype surrounding small modular reactors (SMRs) and recent regulatory green lights for its flagship mine, the company's balance sheet is fragile, carrying negative free cash flow and negative operating cash flow while burning through capital. The stock trades at a premium to book value despite generating no earnings, a valuation gap that the market appears unwilling to close given the operational hurdles. The price action confirms this skepticism; after a massive run-up in 2021 and 2024, the stock has entered a multi-year correction, dropping nearly 40% in the trailing twelve months and failing to recover its highs. While the long-term trajectory shows a net gain over nine years, the recent trend is distinctly bearish, with the most recent annual return being negative. Options data provides the clearest signal of current sentiment: traders are buying insurance, not bets on upside. The overwhelming open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts indicates a fear of a deeper decline, while the lack of call speculation at higher strikes suggests the path to recovery is viewed as steep and uncertain. Until the company demonstrates a clear path to profitability or secures definitive funding to bridge its cash burn, the risk-reward profile remains skewed heavily toward the downside.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.137883
MSTL0.155149
AutoETS0.155638
AutoTheta0.157231

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 6.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.338
Excess Kurtosis -1.02
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.466
Market Cap 5,963,804,160
Forward P/E -52.01
Beta 1.65
Website https://www.nexgenenergy.ca

As of July 11, 2026, 7:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in September and January, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, with very little speculative volume at higher strikes. This heavy put skew suggests a market consensus expecting further weakness or a significant correction rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.43047333
Address1 1,021 West Hastings Street
Address2 Suite 3150
All Time High 13.96
All Time Low 0.222
Ask 9.1
Ask Size 1,700
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,343,880
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,923,162
Average Volume 5,923,162
Average Volume10Days 4,343,880
Beta 1.653
Bid 8.88
Bid Size 4,900
Board Risk 8
Book Value 1.8066033
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.01
Current Ratio 1.366
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.65
Day Low 8.94
Debt To Equity 42.466
Display Name NexGen Energy
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,155,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,155,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda -96,052,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -58.992
Enterprise Value 5,666,266,624
Eps Current Year -0.35
Eps Forward -0.17324859
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.48
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 604 259 0321
Fifty Day Average 10.8246
Fifty Day Average Change -1.8146
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.16763668
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 43.047333
Fifty Two Week High 13.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.95
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.35458452
Fifty Two Week Low 6.26
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4392971
Fifty Two Week Range 6.26 - 13.96
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,376,487,000,000
Float Shares 619,007,548
Forward Eps -0.17324859
Forward P E -52.006195
Free Cashflow -280,498,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 142
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.06468
Held Percent Institutions 0.5541
Implied Shares Outstanding 661,909,421
Industry Uranium
Industry Disp Uranium
Industry Key uranium
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NexGen Energy Ltd., an exploration and development stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of uranium properties in Canada. The company holds a 100% interest in the Rook I project that consists of 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling an area of approximately 35,065 hectares located in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan. NexGen Energy Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name NexGen Energy Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,963,804,160
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_213675164
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -414,772,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,387,376,957
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 9.54
Operating Cashflow -56,874,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 604 428 4112
Pre Market Change 0.010000229
Pre Market Change Percent 0.11099033
Pre Market Price 9.02
Pre Market Time 1,784,018,738
Previous Close 9.67
Price Eps Current Year -25.742859
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.98726
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 1.346
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.66
Regular Market Change Percent -6.82523
Regular Market Day High 9.65
Regular Market Day Low 8.94
Regular Market Day Range 8.94 - 9.65
Regular Market Open 9.54
Regular Market Previous Close 9.67
Regular Market Price 9.01
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 3,891,095
Return On Assets -0.03042
Return On Equity -0.29612
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 661,909,421
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.059299998
Shares Short 43,763,100
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 43,257,146
Short Name Nexgen Energy Ltd.
Short Ratio 6.05
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol NXE
Target High Price 18.998936
Target Low Price 18.998936
Target Mean Price 18.998936
Target Median Price 18.998936
Total Cash 1,018,352,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.539
Total Debt 721,040,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.48
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.5894
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5794001
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.14914915
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,891,095
Website https://www.nexgenenergy.ca
Zip V6E 0C3