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NOVONIX Limited (NVX)

Industrials | Electrical Equipment & Parts | Brisbane, Australia | NasdaqGM
0.45 USD -0.02 (-4.110%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:12 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Novonix is currently broken by a catastrophic multi-year decline. The stock has lost over 82% of its value since 2022, with three consecutive years of negative annual returns, signaling a structural deterioration in market confidence regarding the business's execution or the sector's outlook. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative operating margins, negative free cash flow, and a return on equity of nearly -62%. While the balance sheet shows a book value above the current price, the negative earnings and cash burn suggest the market is pricing in a potential value trap or a company struggling to scale its graphite operations. The recent news of commercial-grade delivery offers a glimmer of operational progress, but it is insufficient to reverse the severe capital destruction seen over the last three years. With no dividend to provide income and a statistical forecast leaning slightly negative, the risk-reward profile remains unfavorable until there is sustained proof of profitability and revenue growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.152544
AutoARIMA0.200009
AutoETS0.202435
MSTL0.208319

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 16.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.089
Excess Kurtosis -1.35
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 62.062
Revenue per Share 0.032
Market Cap 112,199,168
Forward P/E -1.97
Beta 0.93
Website https://www.novonixgroup.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:12 a.m. EDT: Options activity is dominated by deep out-of-the-money strikes, with significant open interest concentrated at $2.50 and $5.00 levels. This positioning suggests speculative bets on a massive recovery or a specific catalyst event rather than a belief in immediate near-term price appreciation. The absence of any in-the-money open interest indicates no current holders are hedging their existing positions, while the heavy put volume at lower strikes reflects a floor-based insurance strategy against further downside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.6433071
Address1 C/- McCullough Robertson
Address2 Level 11, Central Plaza Two 66 Eagle Street
All Time High 24.0
All Time Low 0.424
Ask 0.5917
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 304,500
Average Daily Volume3 Month 342,580
Average Volume 342,580
Average Volume10Days 304,500
Beta 0.93
Bid 0.3352
Bid Size 2
Book Value 0.768
City Brisbane
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.4526
Current Ratio 1.067
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 0.487
Day Low 0.4501
Debt To Equity 62.062
Display Name NOVONIX
Earnings Timestamp End 1,756,123,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,755,687,540
Ebitda -48,316,460
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.391
Enterprise To Revenue 20.567
Enterprise Value 115,525,168
Eps Forward -0.23
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.37
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 61 7 3229 9949
Fifty Day Average 0.60194
Fifty Day Average Change -0.14933997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.24809778
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -64.33071
Fifty Two Week High 3.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.4074
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.8827461
Fifty Two Week Low 0.424
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.028600007
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06745285
Fifty Two Week Range 0.424 - 3.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,643,812,200,000
Float Shares 178,725,701
Forward Eps -0.23
Forward P E -1.967826
Free Cashflow -84,516,512
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 192
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.55486
Gross Profits 3,116,696
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.01929
Implied Shares Outstanding 247,899,186
Industry Electrical Equipment & Parts
Industry Disp Electrical Equipment & Parts
Industry Key electrical-equipment-parts
Ipo Expected Date 2,022-02-01
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NOVONIX Limited, a battery technology and materials company, provides products and mission critical services in North America, Asia, Australia, and Europe. It operates through Battery Materials, Battery Technology, and Graphite Exploration segments. The company develops and manufactures battery anode materials and battery cell testing equipment; performs consulting services; and carries out research and development in battery development. It also manages, maintenance, and develops Mount Dromedary natural graphite deposit located in Northern Queensland, Australia. In addition, the company is involved in investment and management, and real estate borrowing activities, as well as battery technology activities. It serves battery manufacturers, materials companies, automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and consumer electronics manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Graphitecorp Limited and changed its name to NOVONIX Limited in July 2017. NOVONIX Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Long Name NOVONIX Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 112,199,168
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_315063827
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -92,725,184
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 109,361,231
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 0.487
Operating Cashflow -42,199,800
Operating Margins -9.20613
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 61 4 3931 0818
Pre Market Change 0.015300006
Pre Market Change Percent 3.3655972
Pre Market Price 0.4699
Pre Market Time 1,784,030,376
Previous Close 0.472
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.5893229
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 19.974504
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.981
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0194
Regular Market Change Percent -4.1101694
Regular Market Day High 0.487
Regular Market Day Low 0.4501
Regular Market Day Range 0.4501 - 0.487
Regular Market Open 0.487
Regular Market Previous Close 0.472
Regular Market Price 0.4526
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 265,040
Return On Assets -0.12823
Return On Equity -0.61969
Revenue Growth -0.101
Revenue Per Share 0.032
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 247,899,186
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.019199999
Shares Short 4,140,089
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,023,073
Short Name NOVONIX Limited - American Depo
Short Percent Of Float 0.0194
Short Ratio 9.43
Source Interval 15
State QLD
Symbol NVX
Target High Price 3.0
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 3.0
Target Median Price 3.0
Total Cash 79,866,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.38
Total Debt 100,336,816
Total Revenue 5,617,119
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.37
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.0076
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.55499995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.5508138
Type Disp Equity
Volume 265,040
Website https://www.novonixgroup.com
Zip 4,000