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Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)

Healthcare | Drug Manufacturers - General | Bagsvaerd, Denmark | NYSE
38.83 USD -0.39 (-0.994%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 38.72 -0.11 (-0.111%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★★☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:03 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating is solid because the business fundamentals remain robust with a fortress-like return on equity near 60% and a massive cash generation engine, even though the stock has recently corrected significantly. The price has fallen roughly 50% from its peak, creating a compelling value case where the market is pricing in severe execution risks that may not materialize. The short-term outlook is cautious; despite the deep discount, the recent price action shows weakness, trading well below moving averages, and the statistical forecast offers no directional edge. This creates a tension where the long-term thesis is strong, but the timing for a rebound remains unclear, leading to a neutral-to-slightly-bearish short-term stance. The dividend yield is attractive and sustainable given the low payout ratio, providing a floor for investors willing to wait out the volatility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.104274
AutoETS0.108232
AutoARIMA0.108233
AutoTheta0.122998

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 82.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.080
Excess Kurtosis -1.64
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 63.327
Revenue per Share 74.186
Market Cap 171,361,075,200
Trailing P/E 9.49
Forward P/E 11.39
Beta 0.38
Profit Margins 35.35%
Website https://www.novonordisk.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $50 and $60 strikes for both calls and puts, suggesting a binary event or a major trend reversal is expected. However, the immediate term shows heavy put volume near the money ($35-$38 range) for the October expiration, indicating a fear of a near-term bottom or further correction before the longer-term bullish bets pay off.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.29% 4.90% 2.89% 2.29%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.579000 1.290107
2026-03-30 1.275000 3.612921
2025-08-18 0.584000 1.086512
2025-03-31 1.099000 1.582661
2024-08-16 0.513000 0.380310
2024-03-22 0.930000 0.722274
2023-08-18 0.442000 0.482717
2023-03-24 0.594500 0.778396
2022-08-12 0.292000 0.543256
2022-03-25 0.518000 0.972679
2021-08-16 0.278500 0.539415
2021-03-26 0.474500 1.400118
2020-08-14 0.259000 0.787593
2020-03-27 0.393500 1.387273
2019-08-16 0.224500 0.869144
2019-03-22 0.394500 1.555599
2018-08-17 0.233500 0.983987
2018-03-23 0.335000 1.381728
2017-08-17 0.237000 1.045434
2017-03-23 0.331500 2.000000
2016-08-11 0.223500 0.962118
2016-03-18 0.482000 1.765244
2015-03-19 0.380000 1.576763
2014-03-21 0.415000 1.890661
2013-03-21 0.318400 1.975186
2012-03-22 0.249700 1.762796
2011-03-24 0.181800 1.475410
2010-03-25 0.140700 1.796705
2009-03-19 0.103400 2.241006
2008-03-13 0.088400 1.286941
2007-03-08 0.060900 1.448448
2006-03-09 0.048300 1.650436
2005-03-10 0.042000 1.478093
2004-03-17 0.037250 1.619213
2003-03-26 0.026150 1.569628
2002-03-13 0.018450 0.964958
2001-03-21 0.015900 0.798995
2000-11-17 0.009400 0.517906
2000-03-24 0.011700 0.832740
1999-03-25 0.008200 0.821026
1998-03-27 0.008040 0.504075
1997-04-25 0.005620 0.553695
1996-05-01 0.004300 0.656489
1996-04-24 0.003600 0.551724
1995-04-24 0.004200 0.831683
1994-04-26 0.002800 0.523364
1994-04-22 0.002800 0.533333
1993-04-22 0.002700 0.600000
1992-04-28 0.003000 0.738462
1991-04-19 0.002545 0.790680
1990-04-23 0.003120 1.398319
1989-04-21 0.002315 1.089412
1988-04-21 0.002610 1.856000
1987-04-20 0.002070 1.118919
1986-04-21 0.001720 1.023048
1985-04-19 0.001295 0.972770
1984-04-13 0.001440 0.593814
1983-04-13 0.001370 0.528193
1982-04-23 0.000300 0.142433
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.8
dividendYield 4.58
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 11.7
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.29831716
lastDividendValue 0.579
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-08-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2786463
Address1 Novo Alle 1
All Time High 148.15
All Time Low 0.08625
Ask 38.89
Ask Size 1,100
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,988,030
Average Daily Volume3 Month 12,815,423
Average Volume 12,815,423
Average Volume10Days 11,988,030
Beta 0.384
Bid 38.79
Bid Size 1,300
Book Value 7.45972
City Bagsvaerd
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country Denmark
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 38.83
Current Ratio 0.873
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 39.4
Day Low 38.67
Debt To Equity 63.327
Display Name Novo Nordisk
Dividend Date 1,787,616,000
Dividend Rate 1.8
Dividend Yield 4.58
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,927,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,927,600
Earnings Growth -0.206
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.208
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 173,677,002,752
Ebitda Margins 0.5272
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.538
Enterprise To Revenue 0.811
Enterprise Value 267,086,528,512
Eps Current Year 22.38512
Eps Forward 3.409232
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.09
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 42.8508
Fifty Day Average Change -4.0207977
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0938325
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.86463
Fifty Two Week High 64.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -25.330002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39479426
Fifty Two Week Low 35.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.710003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1056379
Fifty Two Week Range 35.12 - 64.16
Financial Currency DKK
First Trade Date Milliseconds 357,485,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.5
Float Shares 3,173,014,289
Forward Eps 3.4276135
Forward P E 11.389663
Free Cashflow 37,673,250,816
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 66,700
Fullday Change -0.5014
Fullday Change Percent -1.2784293
Fullday Price 38.7186
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.81987
Gross Profits 270,091,993,088
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000030000001
Held Percent Institutions 0.09887999
Implied Shares Outstanding 4,413,110,124
Industry Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Disp Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Key drug-manufacturers-general
Ir Website http://www.novonordisk.com/investors/default.asp
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.579
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,695,168,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products. It operates through two segments, Obesity and Diabetes Care, and Rare Disease. The Obesity and Diabetes care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The company also provides NovoPen 6 and NovoPen Echo Plus, smart insulin pens; Dose Check, an insulin dose guidance application; growth hormone pens and injection needles; and Wegovy pill an oral glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist therapy for weight management. The company has a collaboration with Anthropic accelerate the development of new medicines and advance AI-driven software development. It operates in Europe, Canada, the United States, Japan, Korea, Oceania, Southeast Asia, Mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. It has a strategic collaboration with Orbis Medicines to discover and develop oral macrocycle therapeutics for cardiometabolic diseases. The company was formerly known as Novo Industri A/S and changed its name to Novo Nordisk A/S in April 1989. The company was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.
Long Name Novo Nordisk A/S
Market us_market
Market Cap 171,361,075,200
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_323452
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 116,442,996,736
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 170,595,042,854
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 39.33
Operating Cashflow 131,881,000,960
Operating Margins 0.42540002
Payout Ratio 0.431
Peg Ratio 4.39
Phone 45 44 44 88 88
Post Market Change -0.111400604
Post Market Change Percent -0.28689313
Post Market Price 38.7186
Post Market Time 1,792,194,794
Previous Close 39.22
Price Eps Current Year 1.7346345
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.2052894
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.5201729
Profit Margins 0.35347
Quick Ratio 0.642
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.71429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.389999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.994389
Regular Market Day High 39.4
Regular Market Day Low 38.67
Regular Market Day Range 38.67 - 39.4
Regular Market Open 39.33
Regular Market Previous Close 39.22
Regular Market Price 38.83
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 9,457,786
Return On Assets 0.18729
Return On Equity 0.59815
Revenue Growth 0.021
Revenue Per Share 74.186
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 3,338,238,124
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0072000003
Shares Short 31,622,458
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 31,648,914
Short Name Novo Nordisk A/S
Short Percent Of Float 0.01
Short Ratio 2.34
Source Interval 15
Symbol NVO
Target High Price 62.040115
Target Low Price 39.908577
Target Mean Price 45.809277
Target Median Price 43.472095
Total Cash 44,982,001,664
Total Cash Per Share 10.158
Total Debt 140,126,994,432
Total Revenue 329,430,990,848
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 11.7
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.29831716
Trailing Eps 4.25
Trailing P E 9.493888
Trailing Peg Ratio 4.3209
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 45.12875
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.298748
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13957284
Type Disp Equity
Volume 9,457,786
Website https://www.novonordisk.com
Zip 2,880