| Indicators | Browse All

YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF (NVDY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.43 USD -0.32 (-2.510%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.39 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a high-risk capital erosion vehicle disguised as a high-yield income stream. The headline 34% yield is a mirage; the fund sells its best days to pay investors, meaning the distribution is largely funded by the principal itself. The price trajectory confirms this destruction: after a brief surge, the asset has lost nearly 39% of its value in the last year, dragging the two-year cumulative return down to -25%. This is not a value trap; it is a structural decline where the business model actively destroys shareholder equity to generate cash flow. The short-term outlook remains bearish due to the relentless downward drift and the heavy put positioning by speculators, who are betting on further weakness. The statistical forecast also leans negative, reinforcing the technical breakdown. Long-term, this security is unsuitable for buy-and-hold strategies; the compounding loss of principal will eventually wipe out any dividend received. Investors seeking exposure to NVIDIA should use standard equity vehicles, not this option-income strategy which guarantees a negative total return experience.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.038128
AutoTheta0.057391
AutoETS0.076096
MSTL0.079724

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 2.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.601
Excess Kurtosis -0.73

As of July 11, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 5, 10, 26, 28) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some call activity at strikes 20-28 for 2027, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus expectation of significant volatility or a crash rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.78% 55.82% 63.08%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.097 0.780998
2026-07-02 0.098 0.808581
2026-06-25 0.101 0.825838
2026-06-18 0.122 0.932722
2026-06-11 0.119 0.923196
2026-06-04 0.131 0.956903
2026-05-28 0.125 0.921829
2026-05-21 0.135 0.966356
2026-05-14 0.151 1.013423
2026-05-07 0.128 0.920863
2026-04-30 0.207 1.537890
2026-04-23 0.140 1.013025
2026-04-16 0.116 0.839971
2026-04-09 0.111 0.839002
2026-04-02 0.115 0.883256
2026-03-26 0.120 0.938967
2026-03-19 0.133 0.997001
2026-03-12 0.120 0.878477
2026-03-05 0.116 0.847953
2026-02-26 0.115 0.830925
2026-02-19 0.094 0.670949
2026-02-12 0.106 0.757684
2026-02-05 0.094 0.715373
2026-01-29 0.108 0.736196
2026-01-22 0.085 0.593161
2026-01-15 0.095 0.656985
2026-01-08 0.105 0.730689
2026-01-02 0.144 0.984952
2025-12-26 0.116 0.783784
2025-12-18 0.117 0.839914
2025-12-11 0.149 1.027586
2025-12-04 0.165 1.123978
2025-11-28 0.163 1.133519
2025-11-20 0.150 1.021103
2025-11-13 0.144 0.948617
2025-11-06 0.319 2.078176
2025-10-30 0.182 1.084625
2025-10-23 0.121 0.775144
2025-10-16 0.109 0.699615
2025-10-09 0.795 4.826958
2025-09-11 0.643 3.974042
2025-08-14 0.840 4.920914
2025-07-17 1.029 6.077968
2025-06-20 0.672 4.242424
2025-05-22 1.628 10.817276
2025-04-24 0.673 4.762916
2025-03-27 0.787 5.003179
2025-02-27 1.612 9.206168
2025-01-30 0.829 4.282025
2025-01-03 0.898 3.805085
2024-12-05 1.185 4.776300
2024-11-07 1.023 3.933103
2024-10-10 1.100 4.431910
2024-09-06 1.355 6.464695
2024-08-07 1.251 5.775623
2024-07-05 2.471 8.952898
2024-06-06 2.563 8.967810
2024-05-06 1.199 4.650892
2024-04-04 2.608 10.175576
2024-03-06 2.622 9.078948
2024-02-07 1.530 6.045042
2024-01-05 0.626 2.862368
2023-12-07 0.507 2.402844
2023-11-08 0.415 1.949272
2023-10-06 0.677 3.070295
2023-09-08 0.930 4.105960
2023-08-04 0.814 3.668319
2023-07-07 0.957 4.166304
2023-06-07 0.746 3.365211
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 34.01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 31.77
All Time Low 11.925
Ask 12.45
Ask Size 5,300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,361,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,257,773
Average Volume 3,257,773
Average Volume10Days 2,361,410
Beta3 Year 1.36
Bid 12.44
Bid Size 14,100
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 12.755
Day Low 12.42
Dividend Yield 34.01
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.3212
Fifty Day Average Change -0.89120007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06690088
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.30058
Fifty Two Week High 18.03
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.6000004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.31059346
Fifty Two Week Low 11.925
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.5050001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.042348016
Fifty Two Week Range 11.925 - 18.03
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,683,811,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,683,676,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to NVDA regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1799912224
Nav Price 12.4263
Net Assets 1,372,514,940.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.09
Open 12.67
Post Market Change -0.03999996
Post Market Change Percent -0.32180178
Post Market Price 12.39
Post Market Time 1,783,987,155
Previous Close 12.75
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.32
Regular Market Change Percent -2.5098
Regular Market Day High 12.755
Regular Market Day Low 12.42
Regular Market Day Range 12.42 - 12.755
Regular Market Open 12.67
Regular Market Previous Close 12.75
Regular Market Price 12.43
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 2,135,938
Short Name YieldMax NVDA Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol NVDY
Three Year Average Return 0.5016511
Total Assets 1,372,514,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 8.40637
Trailing Three Month Returns 8.40637
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.29395
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.8639498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13040131
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,135,938
Yield 0.3401
Ytd Return 7.13126