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YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF (NVDY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.18 USD -0.36 (-2.871%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.18

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:01 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline; the asset has lost nearly 30% of its value over the last two years, with the most recent annual period showing a catastrophic -36.5% drop. This trajectory confirms that the market views the underlying business model as deteriorating, rendering any 'value' narrative moot. While the headline yield appears astronomical, it is a trap: investors are receiving their own principal back as distributions, effectively eroding the capital base rather than generating sustainable income. The short-term outlook remains bearish, with technicals lagging behind moving averages and options flow screaming for downside protection. This is a speculative vehicle for aggressive income traders willing to accept total capital loss, not a viable long-term holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.023523
MSTL0.024056
AutoTheta0.029446
AutoARIMA0.045264

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 0.33
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.205
Excess Kurtosis -0.14

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 17, 28, 31, 35) compared to negligible call volume. Implied volatility for puts is significantly elevated relative to calls, indicating a market consensus that the asset will likely trade lower or experience sharp drops rather than rallies.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.60% 46.01% 62.80% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-08 0.076 0.602219
2026-10-01 0.076 0.596546
2026-09-24 0.100 0.796813
2026-09-17 0.089 0.718901
2026-09-10 0.101 0.817814
2026-09-03 0.096 0.743034
2026-08-27 0.093 0.718147
2026-08-20 0.120 0.953137
2026-08-13 0.099 0.759202
2026-08-06 0.097 0.758998
2026-07-30 0.119 1.011045
2026-07-23 0.094 0.747812
2026-07-16 0.096 0.763723
2026-07-09 0.097 0.780998
2026-07-02 0.098 0.808581
2026-06-25 0.101 0.825838
2026-06-18 0.122 0.932722
2026-06-11 0.119 0.923196
2026-06-04 0.131 0.956903
2026-05-28 0.125 0.921829
2026-05-21 0.135 0.966356
2026-05-14 0.151 1.013423
2026-05-07 0.128 0.920863
2026-04-30 0.207 1.537890
2026-04-23 0.140 1.013025
2026-04-16 0.116 0.839971
2026-04-09 0.111 0.839002
2026-04-02 0.115 0.883256
2026-03-26 0.120 0.938967
2026-03-19 0.133 0.997001
2026-03-12 0.120 0.878477
2026-03-05 0.116 0.847953
2026-02-26 0.115 0.830925
2026-02-19 0.094 0.670949
2026-02-12 0.106 0.757684
2026-02-05 0.094 0.715373
2026-01-29 0.108 0.736196
2026-01-22 0.085 0.593161
2026-01-15 0.095 0.656985
2026-01-08 0.105 0.730689
2026-01-02 0.144 0.984952
2025-12-26 0.116 0.783784
2025-12-18 0.117 0.839914
2025-12-11 0.149 1.027586
2025-12-04 0.165 1.123978
2025-11-28 0.163 1.133519
2025-11-20 0.150 1.021103
2025-11-13 0.144 0.948617
2025-11-06 0.319 2.078176
2025-10-30 0.182 1.084625
2025-10-23 0.121 0.775144
2025-10-16 0.109 0.699615
2025-10-09 0.795 4.826958
2025-09-11 0.643 3.974042
2025-08-14 0.840 4.920914
2025-07-17 1.029 6.077968
2025-06-20 0.672 4.242424
2025-05-22 1.628 10.817276
2025-04-24 0.673 4.762916
2025-03-27 0.787 5.003179
2025-02-27 1.612 9.206168
2025-01-30 0.829 4.282025
2025-01-03 0.898 3.805085
2024-12-05 1.185 4.776300
2024-11-07 1.023 3.933103
2024-10-10 1.100 4.431910
2024-09-06 1.355 6.464695
2024-08-07 1.251 5.775623
2024-07-05 2.471 8.952898
2024-06-06 2.563 8.967810
2024-05-06 1.199 4.650892
2024-04-04 2.608 10.175576
2024-03-06 2.622 9.078948
2024-02-07 1.530 6.045042
2024-01-05 0.626 2.862368
2023-12-07 0.507 2.402844
2023-11-08 0.415 1.949272
2023-10-06 0.677 3.070295
2023-09-08 0.930 4.105960
2023-08-04 0.814 3.668319
2023-07-07 0.957 4.166304
2023-06-07 0.746 3.365211
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 29.02

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 31.77
All Time Low 11.571
Ask 12.15
Ask Size 12,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,745,790
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,941,542
Average Volume 1,941,542
Average Volume10Days 1,745,790
Beta3 Year 1.37
Bid 12.14
Bid Size 6,700
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 12.4189
Day Low 12.08
Display Name NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF
Dividend Yield 29.02
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.67
Fifty Day Average Change -0.48999977
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.038674016
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -19.201029
Fifty Two Week High 17.57
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.3899994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3067729
Fifty Two Week Low 11.571
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6090002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.052631598
Fifty Two Week Range 11.571 - 17.57
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,683,811,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 0.15999985
Fullday Change Percent 1.2872071
Fullday Price 12.18
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,683,676,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to NVDA regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1799912224
Nav Price 12.4345
Net Assets 1,420,027,140.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.09
Open 12.41
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 12.18
Post Market Time 1,792,008,221
Previous Close 12.54
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.35999966
Regular Market Change Percent -2.8708105
Regular Market Day High 12.4189
Regular Market Day Low 12.08
Regular Market Day Range 12.08 - 12.4189
Regular Market Open 12.41
Regular Market Previous Close 12.54
Regular Market Price 12.18
Regular Market Time 1,792,007,999
Regular Market Volume 2,114,051
Short Name YieldMax NVDA Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol NVDY
Three Year Average Return 0.5082044
Total Assets 1,420,027,136
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 13.40527
Trailing Three Month Returns 13.40527
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.3257
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.1456995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.08597668
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,114,051
Yield 0.2902
Ytd Return 21.4925