YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF (NVDY)Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.43 USD
-0.32
(-2.510%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 12.39 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT
This instrument is a high-risk capital erosion vehicle disguised as a high-yield income stream. The headline 34% yield is a mirage; the fund sells its best days to pay investors, meaning the distribution is largely funded by the principal itself. The price trajectory confirms this destruction: after a brief surge, the asset has lost nearly 39% of its value in the last year, dragging the two-year cumulative return down to -25%. This is not a value trap; it is a structural decline where the business model actively destroys shareholder equity to generate cash flow. The short-term outlook remains bearish due to the relentless downward drift and the heavy put positioning by speculators, who are betting on further weakness. The statistical forecast also leans negative, reinforcing the technical breakdown. Long-term, this security is unsuitable for buy-and-hold strategies; the compounding loss of principal will eventually wipe out any dividend received. Investors seeking exposure to NVIDIA should use standard equity vehicles, not this option-income strategy which guarantees a negative total return experience. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.038128 |
| AutoTheta | 0.057391 |
| AutoETS | 0.076096 |
| MSTL | 0.079724 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 48% |
| H-stat | 2.73 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.601 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.73 |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 5, 10, 26, 28) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some call activity at strikes 20-28 for 2027, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus expectation of significant volatility or a crash rather than a rally.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78% | 55.82% | 63.08% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | 0.097 | 0.780998 |
| 2026-07-02 | 0.098 | 0.808581 |
| 2026-06-25 | 0.101 | 0.825838 |
| 2026-06-18 | 0.122 | 0.932722 |
| 2026-06-11 | 0.119 | 0.923196 |
| 2026-06-04 | 0.131 | 0.956903 |
| 2026-05-28 | 0.125 | 0.921829 |
| 2026-05-21 | 0.135 | 0.966356 |
| 2026-05-14 | 0.151 | 1.013423 |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.128 | 0.920863 |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.207 | 1.537890 |
| 2026-04-23 | 0.140 | 1.013025 |
| 2026-04-16 | 0.116 | 0.839971 |
| 2026-04-09 | 0.111 | 0.839002 |
| 2026-04-02 | 0.115 | 0.883256 |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.120 | 0.938967 |
| 2026-03-19 | 0.133 | 0.997001 |
| 2026-03-12 | 0.120 | 0.878477 |
| 2026-03-05 | 0.116 | 0.847953 |
| 2026-02-26 | 0.115 | 0.830925 |
| 2026-02-19 | 0.094 | 0.670949 |
| 2026-02-12 | 0.106 | 0.757684 |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.094 | 0.715373 |
| 2026-01-29 | 0.108 | 0.736196 |
| 2026-01-22 | 0.085 | 0.593161 |
| 2026-01-15 | 0.095 | 0.656985 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0.105 | 0.730689 |
| 2026-01-02 | 0.144 | 0.984952 |
| 2025-12-26 | 0.116 | 0.783784 |
| 2025-12-18 | 0.117 | 0.839914 |
| 2025-12-11 | 0.149 | 1.027586 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0.165 | 1.123978 |
| 2025-11-28 | 0.163 | 1.133519 |
| 2025-11-20 | 0.150 | 1.021103 |
| 2025-11-13 | 0.144 | 0.948617 |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.319 | 2.078176 |
| 2025-10-30 | 0.182 | 1.084625 |
| 2025-10-23 | 0.121 | 0.775144 |
| 2025-10-16 | 0.109 | 0.699615 |
| 2025-10-09 | 0.795 | 4.826958 |
| 2025-09-11 | 0.643 | 3.974042 |
| 2025-08-14 | 0.840 | 4.920914 |
| 2025-07-17 | 1.029 | 6.077968 |
| 2025-06-20 | 0.672 | 4.242424 |
| 2025-05-22 | 1.628 | 10.817276 |
| 2025-04-24 | 0.673 | 4.762916 |
| 2025-03-27 | 0.787 | 5.003179 |
| 2025-02-27 | 1.612 | 9.206168 |
| 2025-01-30 | 0.829 | 4.282025 |
| 2025-01-03 | 0.898 | 3.805085 |
| 2024-12-05 | 1.185 | 4.776300 |
| 2024-11-07 | 1.023 | 3.933103 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.100 | 4.431910 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.355 | 6.464695 |
| 2024-08-07 | 1.251 | 5.775623 |
| 2024-07-05 | 2.471 | 8.952898 |
| 2024-06-06 | 2.563 | 8.967810 |
| 2024-05-06 | 1.199 | 4.650892 |
| 2024-04-04 | 2.608 | 10.175576 |
| 2024-03-06 | 2.622 | 9.078948 |
| 2024-02-07 | 1.530 | 6.045042 |
| 2024-01-05 | 0.626 | 2.862368 |
| 2023-12-07 | 0.507 | 2.402844 |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.415 | 1.949272 |
| 2023-10-06 | 0.677 | 3.070295 |
| 2023-09-08 | 0.930 | 4.105960 |
| 2023-08-04 | 0.814 | 3.668319 |
| 2023-07-07 | 0.957 | 4.166304 |
| 2023-06-07 | 0.746 | 3.365211 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 31.77 |
| All Time Low | 11.925 |
| Ask | 12.45 |
| Ask Size | 5,300 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,361,410 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,257,773 |
| Average Volume | 3,257,773 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,361,410 |
| Beta3 Year | 1.36 |
| Bid | 12.44 |
| Bid Size | 14,100 |
| Category | Derivative Income |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 12.755 |
| Day Low | 12.42 |
| Dividend Yield | 34.01 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 13.3212 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.89120007 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.06690088 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -26.30058 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.03 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.6000004 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.31059346 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.925 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.5050001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.042348016 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.925 - 18.03 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,683,811,800,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | YieldMax ETFs |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,683,676,800 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to NVDA regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1799912224 |
| Nav Price | 12.4263 |
| Net Assets | 1,372,514,940.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 1.09 |
| Open | 12.67 |
| Post Market Change | -0.03999996 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.32180178 |
| Post Market Price | 12.39 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,155 |
| Previous Close | 12.75 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.32 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.5098 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.755 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 12.42 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 12.42 - 12.755 |
| Regular Market Open | 12.67 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 12.75 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.43 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,135,938 |
| Short Name | YieldMax NVDA Option Income Str |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | NVDY |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.5016511 |
| Total Assets | 1,372,514,944 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 8.40637 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 8.40637 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 14.29395 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.8639498 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.13040131 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 2,135,938 |
| Yield | 0.3401 |
| Ytd Return | 7.13126 |