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YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF (NVDY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
14.02 USD +0.21 (1.521%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.00 -0.02 (-0.021%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 6:45 p.m. EDT

NVDY is a classic 'dividend trap' masquerading as income; the 72% yield is mathematically impossible to sustain without rapid capital erosion, as evidenced by the share price trending below its 200-day average. While the recent 2.27% forecast suggests a brief bounce due to oversold conditions, the long-term trajectory is a slow bleed, making this a short-term momentum play at best and a long-term capital destroyer. The options market correctly identifies this dichotomy: heavy hedging now, but a massive bullish bet on the underlying Nvidia stock for 2027, which implies the ETF structure is being used to harvest volatility from a stock that is expected to run higher, not the ETF itself.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.024099
AutoETS0.032484
AutoARIMA0.040592
MSTL0.041529

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.88
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.481
Excess Kurtosis 0.03

As of April 18, 2026, 6:45 p.m. EDT: Short-dated expirations (April/May) show mixed positioning with significant put OI at $12.00 and $13.00 strikes, suggesting speculators are hedging against immediate downside or betting on mean reversion from recent highs. The $16.00 call wall in May indicates some upside skepticism. However, the 2027 calls display massive OI concentration at $20.00 with a 45% IV spike, signaling a high-conviction long-term bullish bet on NVIDIA growth, likely structured as covered call selling rather than pure speculation. The put side also shows massive OI at $13.00 for 2027, indicating a strong floor is being priced in for the long term. Overall, the options market is pricing in significant volatility with a bias toward capital preservation (hedges) in the near term and aggressive growth plays in the long term.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.84% 87.11%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-16 0.116 0.839971
2026-04-09 0.111 0.846027
2026-04-02 0.115 0.898171
2026-03-26 0.120 0.963298
2026-03-19 0.133 1.032085
2026-03-12 0.120 0.918365
2026-03-05 0.116 0.894174
2026-02-26 0.115 0.883667
2026-02-19 0.094 0.719242
2026-02-12 0.106 0.817671
2026-02-05 0.094 0.777783
2026-01-29 0.108 0.806082
2026-01-22 0.085 0.654269
2026-01-15 0.095 0.728992
2026-01-08 0.105 0.816197
2026-01-02 0.144 1.108108
2025-12-26 0.116 0.890564
2025-12-18 0.117 0.961875
2025-12-11 0.149 1.186839
2025-12-04 0.165 1.311372
2025-11-28 0.163 1.337641
2025-11-20 0.150 1.218456
2025-11-13 0.144 1.143241
2025-11-06 0.319 2.527689
2025-10-30 0.182 1.345730
2025-10-23 0.121 0.972027
2025-10-16 0.109 0.884185
2025-10-09 0.795 6.143536
2025-09-11 0.643 5.305968
2025-08-14 0.840 6.831343
2025-07-17 1.029 8.854018
2025-06-20 0.672 6.557943
2025-05-22 1.628 17.425941
2025-04-24 0.673 8.511544
2025-03-27 0.787 9.379572
2025-02-27 1.612 18.105665
2025-01-30 0.829 9.135974
2025-01-03 0.898 8.471108
2024-12-05 1.185 11.048415
2024-11-07 1.023 9.532230
2024-10-10 1.100 11.170078
2024-09-06 1.355 17.024399
2024-08-07 1.251 16.155376
2024-07-05 2.471 26.407277
2024-06-06 2.563 28.786505
2024-05-06 1.199 16.263568
2024-04-04 2.608 37.275618
2024-03-06 2.622 36.520202
2024-02-07 1.530 26.549611
2024-01-05 0.626 13.345743
2023-12-07 0.507 11.530117
2023-11-08 0.415 9.583145
2023-10-06 0.677 15.389661
2023-09-08 0.930 21.218460
2023-08-04 0.814 19.726050
2023-07-07 0.957 23.230003
2023-06-07 0.746 19.553912
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 72.59

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 31.77
All Time Low 12.34
Ask 14.0
Ask Size 45,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,808,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,674,972
Average Volume 5,674,972
Average Volume10Days 4,808,730
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 14.01
Bid Size 60,800
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 14.02
Day Low 13.89
Dividend Yield 72.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.5866
Fifty Day Average Change 0.43340015
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.031899087
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 3.0124903
Fifty Two Week High 18.03
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.01
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2224071
Fifty Two Week Low 12.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.6800003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.13614264
Fifty Two Week Range 12.34 - 18.03
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,683,811,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,683,676,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to NVDA regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1799912224
Nav Price 14.0058
Net Assets 1,328,247,170.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.09
Open 13.9
Post Market Change -0.02080059
Post Market Change Percent -0.1483637
Post Market Price 13.9992
Post Market Time 1,776,470,377
Previous Close 13.81
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.21
Regular Market Change Percent 1.52064
Regular Market Day High 14.02
Regular Market Day Low 13.89
Regular Market Day Range 13.89 - 14.02
Regular Market Open 13.9
Regular Market Previous Close 13.81
Regular Market Price 14.02
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 4,590,547
Short Name YieldMax NVDA Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol NVDY
Total Assets 1,328,247,168
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -1.17623
Trailing Three Month Returns -1.17623
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.29455
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.2745495
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.083333574
Type Disp ETF
Volume 4,590,547
Yield 0.72589993
Ytd Return -1.17623