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Nova Minerals Limited (NVA)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Caulfield, Australia | NasdaqCM
6.85 USD +0.41 (6.366%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 6.88 +0.03 (0.438%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:41 a.m. EDT

Nova Minerals is a classic 'liquidity trap' suitable only for deep value investors with a multi-year horizon; it lacks short-term catalysts due to negative earnings and balanced technicals. The recent price consolidation around $6.44-$6.85, despite significant gold assay news, signals that the market is waiting for production or cash flow data rather than just exploration talk. With heavy short interest and negative operating metrics, the probability of a near-term parabolic move is low unless volume expands significantly to support the current high-grade news flow. Avoid for traders; potential only for distressed-sector bisectors.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.181165
AutoTheta0.294240
AutoETS0.294334
MSTL0.311848

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 5.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.342
Excess Kurtosis -0.64
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.927
Revenue per Share -0.06
Market Cap 290,183,328
Beta 0.78
Website https://novaminerals.com.au

As of April 19, 2026, 12:41 a.m. EDT: The options market displays extremely low volume and liquidity for Nova Minerals (NVA). Callers show significant Open Interest (OI) at out-of-the-money strikes (e.g., $10.00 through $20.00 by Nov), suggesting a speculative bullish long-term thesis or hedging against downside via covered calls. Conversely, put activity is heavily concentrated in-the-money (ITM) at lower strikes ($5.00, $2.50), indicating that downside protection is the primary sled for speculators. The disparity between OTM call OI and ITM put OI suggests a narrative of 'buy on dips' rather than aggressive bullish momentum, though the lack of activity reinforces the low-beta, low-liquidity nature of the stock.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.5693924
Address1 242 Hawthorn Road
Address2 Suite 5
All Time High 16.28
All Time Low 0.87
Ask 6.88
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 363,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 717,285
Average Volume 717,285
Average Volume10Days 363,760
Beta 0.777
Bid 6.81
Bid Size 1
Book Value 2.771561
City Caulfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.85
Current Ratio 3.628
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 7.16
Day Low 6.61
Debt To Equity 3.927
Display Name Nova Minerals
Earnings Timestamp End 1,741,777,140
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,741,777,140
Ebitda -15,076,300
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -203.766
Enterprise To Revenue -1,855.14
Enterprise Value 3,072,043,520
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.33
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 61 3 9614 0550
Fifty Day Average 6.5764
Fifty Day Average Change 0.2736001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.041603327
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 156.93924
Fifty Two Week High 16.28
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.43
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5792383
Fifty Two Week Low 1.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.0773811
Fifty Two Week Range 1.68 - 16.28
Financial Currency AUD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,721,827,800,000
Float Shares 437,526,824
Free Cashflow -4,955,292
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -1,655,963
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000010000001
Held Percent Institutions 0.10617
Implied Shares Outstanding 42,362,527
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-07-24
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,761,696,000
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary Nova Minerals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Australia and the United States. The company explores for gold, antimony, and critical minerals. It owns 85% interest in the flagship Estelle Gold project comprising 803 mining claims covering an area of 514 square kilometers located in the State of Alaska. The company was formerly known as Quantum Resources Limited and changed its name to Nova Minerals Limited in December 2017. Nova Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Caulfield, Australia.
Long Name Nova Minerals Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 290,183,328
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_881213
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -20,304,360
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 233,428,373
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 6.65
Operating Cashflow -7,597,727
Operating Margins -43,039.7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 61 3 9537 1238
Post Market Change 0.03000021
Post Market Change Percent 0.43795928
Post Market Price 6.88
Post Market Time 1,776,470,274
Previous Close 6.44
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4715314
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months -175.2354
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 3.287
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.41
Regular Market Change Percent 6.36646
Regular Market Day High 7.16
Regular Market Day Low 6.61
Regular Market Day Range 6.61 - 7.16
Regular Market Open 6.65
Regular Market Previous Close 6.44
Regular Market Price 6.85
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 844,538
Return On Assets -0.050619997
Return On Equity -0.15560001
Revenue Per Share -0.06
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 38,005,839
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0688
Shares Short 2,615,398
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,953,391
Short Name Nova Minerals Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0694
Short Ratio 4.37
Source Interval 15
State VIC
Symbol NVA
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 10.0
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 59,176,088
Total Cash Per Share 0.13
Total Debt 6,092,146
Total Revenue -1,655,963
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.33
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.908265
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.9417348
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15939277
Type Disp Equity
Volume 844,538
Website https://novaminerals.com.au
Zip 3,161