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Nuvation Bio Inc. (NUVB)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | New York, United States | NYSE
4.72 USD -0.18 (-3.673%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.72

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:58 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Nuvation Bio is currently paralyzed by a severe liquidity crisis rather than a lack of scientific promise. While the company boasts a 'strong buy' analyst rating and a pipeline with brain cancer potential, the market has priced in a catastrophic failure due to the recent upsize of convertible notes. The stock has been decimated over the last five years, dropping nearly two-thirds from its peak, and remains trapped in a death spiral where every financing attempt triggers a sell-off. The options market confirms this despair, with traders buying deep insurance against further declines while ignoring the upside entirely. Fundamentally, the business is burning cash rapidly with negative operating margins and no path to profitability visible in the near term. The massive debt load relative to equity leaves the company vulnerable to any further market hesitation. Despite the biotech sector's tendency to reward late-stage assets, Nuvation Bio lacks the balance sheet strength to weather the inevitable volatility without diluting shareholders further. The recent price action shows a continued grind lower, failing to find a floor despite the 'soaring' headlines, suggesting the market views these news items as insufficient to offset the existential threat posed by the capital structure. Investors should avoid this security until the financing saga concludes and a clear path to solvency emerges.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.055798
AutoARIMA0.055918
MSTL0.056200
AutoTheta0.106168

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 7.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.347
Excess Kurtosis -0.88
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 163.971
Revenue per Share 0.497
Market Cap 1,657,301,632
Forward P/E -314.67
Beta 1.62
Profit Margins -88.19%
Website https://www.nuvationbio.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:58 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (over 4,600 contracts at the $5 strike for November expiration) compared to negligible call volume. This 'put wall' suggests a consensus fear of a significant drop, likely triggered by the recent financing announcements. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated at strikes far above the current price ($7.50-$10.00), indicating limited speculative belief in an immediate recovery despite the bullish analyst narrative.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2997347
Address1 1,500 Broadway
Address2 Suite 1401
All Time High 15.23
All Time Low 0.95
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 6,000
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,440,580
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,554,687
Average Volume 5,554,687
Average Volume10Days 6,440,580
Beta 1.617
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,300
Board Risk 8
Book Value 0.726
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.72
Current Ratio 8.373
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 4.92
Day Low 4.71
Debt To Equity 163.971
Display Name Nuvation Bio
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,017,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,017,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,622,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,622,600
Ebitda -135,480,992
Ebitda Margins -0.79741997
Enterprise To Ebitda -10.427
Enterprise To Revenue 8.314
Enterprise Value 1,412,608,640
Eps Current Year -0.29
Eps Forward -0.015
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.44
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.1492
Fifty Day Average Change -1.4292002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.2324205
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 29.97347
Fifty Two Week High 9.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.03
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.51589745
Fifty Two Week Low 3.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.3599999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.40476188
Fifty Two Week Range 3.36 - 9.75
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,598,448,600,000
Float Shares 263,647,902
Forward Eps -0.015
Forward P E -314.66666
Free Cashflow -112,112,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 305
Fullday Change -0.15579987
Fullday Change Percent -3.179589
Fullday Price 4.72
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.88175005
Gross Profits 149,810,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.17186001
Held Percent Institutions 0.67633003
Implied Shares Outstanding 351,123,233
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Nuvation Bio Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing product candidates for cancer treatment. The company's lead product candidate is IBTROZI (taletrectinib), a ROS1 inhibitor for the treatment of patients with ROS1+ non-small cell lung cancer. It is also developing Safusidenib, an inhibitor of mutant isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 in phase 3 clinical trials for the maintenance treatment of high-risk or high-grade IDH1-mutant astrocytoma with safusidenib against placebo. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Nuvation Bio Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,657,301,632
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_639036735
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -149,827,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,141,851,721
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 4.86
Operating Cashflow -120,522,000
Operating Margins -1.61063
Overall Risk 10
Phone 332 208 6102
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 4.72
Post Market Time 1,791,935,394
Previous Close 4.9
Price Eps Current Year -16.275862
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 6.501377
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 9.754571
Profit Margins -0.88185
Quick Ratio 7.984
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.38462
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -3.67348
Regular Market Day High 4.92
Regular Market Day Low 4.71
Regular Market Day Range 4.71 - 4.92
Regular Market Open 4.86
Regular Market Previous Close 4.9
Regular Market Price 4.72
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,602
Regular Market Volume 7,608,075
Return On Assets -0.12361
Return On Equity -0.47809
Revenue Growth 5.556
Revenue Per Share 0.497
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 350,123,233
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1676
Shares Short 58,862,812
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 54,264,998
Short Name Nuvation Bio Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2761
Short Ratio 12.54
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol NUVB
Target High Price 21.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 13.0
Target Median Price 12.0
Total Cash 660,956,032
Total Cash Per Share 1.882
Total Debt 416,263,008
Total Revenue 169,900,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.44
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.65255
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.93255043
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.16497871
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,608,075
Website https://www.nuvationbio.com
Zip 10,036