Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU)Financial Services | Banks - Regional | São Paulo, Brazil | NYSE
13.67 USD
-0.09
(-0.654%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:48 a.m. EDT
The core thesis here is a classic 'deep value turnaround' play on a company with exceptional fundamentals but a battered reputation. Fundamentally, Nu Holdings is a powerhouse: it boasts a 30% return on equity, nearly 44% revenue growth, and a forward P/E of roughly 12x, which is incredibly cheap for a high-growth fintech leader. The market appears to be pricing in a permanent decline or regulatory overhang, ignoring the reality that the business is generating massive cash flows and expanding rapidly. However, the short-term outlook is murky. The stock recently missed earnings expectations, triggering a sell-off that has left it trading near its 52-week lows. While the long-term trajectory over the last three years has been spectacular (+240%), the most recent annual return was slightly negative, and the statistical forecast models are currently leaning bearish due to recent price noise. This creates a tension: the business is objectively excellent, but the immediate price action is struggling to find buyers. The options market reflects this uncertainty. There is significant speculative interest in a sudden, large move higher, with traders buying deep OTM calls hoping for a catalyst to spark a recovery. Yet, the lack of a dividend and the recent volatility suggest that patience is required. I am rating this a 4-star long-term hold because the competitive moat in Latin American digital banking is wide, margins are expanding, and the valuation is deeply attractive relative to growth. However, the short-term rating remains neutral (2.5) because the stock is currently digesting the Q1 miss and waiting for a clearer trend reversal before a high-conviction momentum entry can be made. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_72_96 ✓ | 0.102619 |
| MSTL_72 | 0.104366 |
| MSTL_96 | 0.131432 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.140927 |
| AutoETS | 0.144525 |
| MSTL | 0.146929 |
| AutoTheta | 0.163140 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_72_96
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 36% |
| H-stat | 16.96 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.077 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.11 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Revenue per Share | 1.568 |
| Market Cap | 66,032,721,920 |
| Trailing P/E | 21.03 |
| Forward P/E | 11.87 |
| Beta | 0.95 |
| Profit Margins | 41.92% |
| Website | https://nubank.com.br |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. The heavy concentration of out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes like $15 and $19 suggests a bet on a sharp, perhaps gap-driven, rally to test resistance levels. Conversely, put writers are heavily hedged at the $12-$13 range, creating a dense wall of support that implies a belief in a floor, while the massive volume in deep OTM calls indicates a desire for a 'home run' scenario to offset the recent 20% drawdown.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.05279267 |
| Address1 | Rua Capote Valente, 39 |
| Address2 | Pinheiros |
| All Time High | 18.98 |
| All Time Low | 3.26 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 18,700 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.6 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 67,654,960 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 55,171,785 |
| Average Volume | 55,171,785 |
| Average Volume10Days | 67,654,960 |
| Beta | 0.949 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 29,900 |
| Book Value | 2.589 |
| City | São Paulo |
| Country | Brazil |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 13.67 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 13.865 |
| Day Low | 13.61 |
| Display Name | Nu |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,796,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,796,000 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.559 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.565 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,788,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,651,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,651,200 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 7.467 |
| Enterprise Value | 56,703,852,544 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.87188 |
| Eps Forward | 1.15145 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.65 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 13.0056 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.6644001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.051085696 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 5.279267 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.98 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.3099995 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.27976817 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.2 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.4700003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22053574 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.2 - 18.98 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,639,060,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 3,759,001,100 |
| Forward Eps | 1.15145 |
| Forward P E | 11.871987 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0 |
| Gross Profits | 7,594,012,160 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01763 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.88745004 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 4,830,484,570 |
| Industry | Banks - Regional |
| Industry Disp | Banks - Regional |
| Industry Key | banks-regional |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card. In addition, it offers savings and investing solutions, including Money Boxes, a solution for goal-based investing; investing solutions, an attractive investment product with customized and conflict-free guidance; and NuCrypto, a solution for buying and selling cryptocurrencies through the Nu app. Further, the company provides borrowing solutions comprising personal unsecured and secured loans; Pix financing that enables credit card and digital account customers to make free and instant peer-to-peer transfers; Boleto financing, which enables credit card and digital account customers to make payments; purchase financing; cash-in financing; and NuPay to make online purchases and pay for services through Nu app. Additionally, it offers protection solutions, such as NuInsurance protection solutions, including life, mobile, auto, home, and financial protection insurance policies; and beyond financial services solutions, including NuTravel, a travel portal; and NuCel, a mobile phone service. Nu Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. |
| Long Name | Nu Holdings Ltd. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 66,032,721,920 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_412550767 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 3,183,745,024 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 66,032,724,071 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 22 |
| Open | 13.75 |
| Operating Cashflow | -9,532,499,968 |
| Operating Margins | 0.48231 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.8 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.0 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Pre Market Price | 13.69 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,026,805 |
| Previous Close | 13.76 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.678763 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.2800307 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 8.695367 |
| Profit Margins | 0.41924 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.63636 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0900002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.654071 |
| Regular Market Day High | 13.865 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 13.61 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 13.61 - 13.865 |
| Regular Market Open | 13.75 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.76 |
| Regular Market Price | 13.67 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 133,025,141 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0484 |
| Return On Equity | 0.30055 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.437 |
| Revenue Per Share | 1.568 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Shares Outstanding | 3,807,883,872 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0307 |
| Shares Short | 148,358,897 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 143,680,038 |
| Short Name | Nu Holdings Ltd. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0394 |
| Short Ratio | 2.44 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | SP |
| Symbol | NU |
| Target High Price | 22.0 |
| Target Low Price | 10.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 17.91364 |
| Target Median Price | 18.0 |
| Total Cash | 15,906,660,352 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.272 |
| Total Debt | 6,147,460,096 |
| Total Revenue | 7,594,012,160 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.65 |
| Trailing P E | 21.03077 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.8045 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 15.2205 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.5504999 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.10186918 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 133,025,141 |
| Website | https://nubank.com.br |
| Zip | 05,409-000 |