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Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | São Paulo, Brazil | NYSE
13.67 USD -0.09 (-0.654%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:48 a.m. EDT

The core thesis here is a classic 'deep value turnaround' play on a company with exceptional fundamentals but a battered reputation. Fundamentally, Nu Holdings is a powerhouse: it boasts a 30% return on equity, nearly 44% revenue growth, and a forward P/E of roughly 12x, which is incredibly cheap for a high-growth fintech leader. The market appears to be pricing in a permanent decline or regulatory overhang, ignoring the reality that the business is generating massive cash flows and expanding rapidly. However, the short-term outlook is murky. The stock recently missed earnings expectations, triggering a sell-off that has left it trading near its 52-week lows. While the long-term trajectory over the last three years has been spectacular (+240%), the most recent annual return was slightly negative, and the statistical forecast models are currently leaning bearish due to recent price noise. This creates a tension: the business is objectively excellent, but the immediate price action is struggling to find buyers. The options market reflects this uncertainty. There is significant speculative interest in a sudden, large move higher, with traders buying deep OTM calls hoping for a catalyst to spark a recovery. Yet, the lack of a dividend and the recent volatility suggest that patience is required. I am rating this a 4-star long-term hold because the competitive moat in Latin American digital banking is wide, margins are expanding, and the valuation is deeply attractive relative to growth. However, the short-term rating remains neutral (2.5) because the stock is currently digesting the Q1 miss and waiting for a clearer trend reversal before a high-conviction momentum entry can be made.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_72_96 ✓0.102619
MSTL_720.104366
MSTL_960.131432
AutoARIMA0.140927
AutoETS0.144525
MSTL0.146929
AutoTheta0.163140

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_72_96

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 16.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.077
Excess Kurtosis -1.11
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Revenue per Share 1.568
Market Cap 66,032,721,920
Trailing P/E 21.03
Forward P/E 11.87
Beta 0.95
Profit Margins 41.92%
Website https://nubank.com.br

As of July 11, 2026, 2:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. The heavy concentration of out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes like $15 and $19 suggests a bet on a sharp, perhaps gap-driven, rally to test resistance levels. Conversely, put writers are heavily hedged at the $12-$13 range, creating a dense wall of support that implies a belief in a floor, while the massive volume in deep OTM calls indicates a desire for a 'home run' scenario to offset the recent 20% drawdown.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.009601235
Address1 Rua Capote Valente, 39
Address2 Pinheiros
All Time High 18.98
All Time Low 3.26
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 18,700
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 75,482,590
Average Daily Volume3 Month 56,670,418
Average Volume 56,670,418
Average Volume10Days 75,482,590
Beta 0.949
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 29,900
Book Value 2.589
City São Paulo
Country Brazil
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.67
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.865
Day Low 13.61
Display Name Nu
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,796,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,796,000
Earnings Growth 0.559
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.565
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,788,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,651,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,651,200
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 7.467
Enterprise Value 56,703,852,544
Eps Current Year 0.87188
Eps Forward 1.15145
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.65
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.9982
Fifty Day Average Change 0.67179966
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.05168405
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 0.96012354
Fifty Two Week High 18.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.3099995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27976817
Fifty Two Week Low 11.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.4700003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22053574
Fifty Two Week Range 11.2 - 18.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,639,060,200,000
Float Shares 3,759,001,100
Forward Eps 1.15145
Forward P E 11.871987
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 7,594,012,160
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01763
Held Percent Institutions 0.88762003
Implied Shares Outstanding 4,830,484,570
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card. In addition, it offers savings and investing solutions, including Money Boxes, a solution for goal-based investing; investing solutions, an attractive investment product with customized and conflict-free guidance; and NuCrypto, a solution for buying and selling cryptocurrencies through the Nu app. Further, the company provides borrowing solutions comprising personal unsecured and secured loans; Pix financing that enables credit card and digital account customers to make free and instant peer-to-peer transfers; Boleto financing, which enables credit card and digital account customers to make payments; purchase financing; cash-in financing; and NuPay to make online purchases and pay for services through Nu app. Additionally, it offers protection solutions, such as NuInsurance protection solutions, including life, mobile, auto, home, and financial protection insurance policies; and beyond financial services solutions, including NuTravel, a travel portal; and NuCel, a mobile phone service. Nu Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Long Name Nu Holdings Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 66,032,721,920
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_412550767
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 3,183,745,024
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 66,032,724,071
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 13.75
Operating Cashflow -9,532,499,968
Operating Margins 0.48231
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.8
Pre Market Change -0.009999275
Pre Market Change Percent -0.073040724
Pre Market Price 13.68
Pre Market Time 1,784,029,254
Previous Close 13.76
Price Eps Current Year 15.678763
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.2800307
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.695367
Profit Margins 0.41924
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.63636
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.654071
Regular Market Day High 13.865
Regular Market Day Low 13.61
Regular Market Day Range 13.61 - 13.865
Regular Market Open 13.75
Regular Market Previous Close 13.76
Regular Market Price 13.67
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 133,025,141
Return On Assets 0.0484
Return On Equity 0.30055
Revenue Growth 0.437
Revenue Per Share 1.568
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 3,807,883,872
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0307
Shares Short 148,358,897
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 143,680,038
Short Name Nu Holdings Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0394
Short Ratio 2.44
Source Interval 15
State SP
Symbol NU
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 17.91364
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 15,906,660,352
Total Cash Per Share 3.272
Total Debt 6,147,460,096
Total Revenue 7,594,012,160
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.65
Trailing P E 21.03077
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8045
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.2081
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5381002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10113691
Type Disp Equity
Volume 133,025,141
Website https://nubank.com.br
Zip 05,409-000