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Natera, Inc. (NTRA)

Healthcare | Diagnostics & Research | Austin, United States | NasdaqGS
394.75 USD -0.90 (-0.229%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 394.75

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT

Natera presents a classic high-growth, unprofitable dilemma. While revenue is surging at 37.7% and the balance sheet remains fortress-like with ample cash, the company is burning cash operationally, reflected in negative earnings and operating margins. The massive long-term price appreciation validates the business model, but the current valuation and active insider selling create headwinds. Options markets are hedging a potential pullback, suggesting a lack of immediate consensus for a breakout. Until profitability turns, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.175181
MSTL0.265005
AutoETS0.267912
AutoARIMA0.268765

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 4.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.991
Excess Kurtosis -0.09
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 13.093
Revenue per Share 19.322
Market Cap 56,900,915,200
Forward P/E -1998.73
Beta 1.50
Profit Margins -7.11%
Website https://www.natera.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are layering significant downside protection via out-of-the-money puts, particularly for the November 2026 expiration where open interest is nearly five times that of comparable calls. Call open interest clusters at resistance levels above the current price ($440, $500, $540), suggesting upside targets. Implied volatility remains elevated across expirations, indicating uncertainty surrounding the upcoming earnings catalyst.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.1915088
Address1 13,011 McCallen Pass
Address2 Building A Suite 100
All Time High 437.408
All Time Low 6.52
Ask 429.22
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,872,280
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,450,307
Average Volume 1,450,307
Average Volume10Days 1,872,280
Beta 1.499
Bid 368.64
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 12.683
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 394.75
Current Ratio 2.999
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 405.11
Day Low 391.28
Debt To Equity 13.093
Display Name Natera
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda -224,420,992
Ebitda Margins -0.0829
Enterprise To Ebitda -249.744
Enterprise To Revenue 20.704
Enterprise Value 56,047,898,624
Eps Current Year -1.47426
Eps Forward -0.1975
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.35
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 350.5284
Fifty Day Average Change 44.22159
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12615693
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 119.15088
Fifty Two Week High 437.408
Fifty Two Week High Change -42.65799
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09752449
Fifty Two Week Low 178.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change 216.74
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.2175721
Fifty Two Week Range 178.01 - 437.408
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,435,757,400,000
Float Shares 140,125,431
Forward Eps -0.1975
Forward P E -1,998.7341
Free Cashflow 104,029,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 6,135
Fullday Change -0.9049988
Fullday Change Percent -0.22873433
Fullday Price 394.75
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.65230006
Gross Profits 1,765,831,040
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02735
Held Percent Institutions 0.96803004
Implied Shares Outstanding 144,144,170
Industry Diagnostics & Research
Industry Disp Diagnostics & Research
Industry Key diagnostics-research
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, engages in the development and commercialization of molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Signatera, a personalized ctDNA blood test for MRD assessment, early recurrence monitoring, and evaluation of treatment response in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Latitude, a blood-based MRD test for colorectal cancer; Altera, a tissue based comprehensive genomic profiling test; and Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test. The company also provides Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test; Horizon, a carrier screening test; Fetal Focus, a single-gene NIPT, or sgNIPT, that screens for 21 single-gene inherited conditions; and Vistara, a single-gene NIPT, which screens for 25 single-gene conditions. In addition, it offers Anora, which tests and analyzes miscarriage tissue from women who have experienced one or more pregnancy losses; Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test; Prospera, a test to assess active rejection in patients who have undergone solid organ transplantation; Renasight, a kidney gene panel test; and Constellation software, a cloud-based distribution model. Further, the company provides NateraCore, a platform to support the patient and provider experience; phlebotomy services; and EMR integration services. The company serves independent laboratories, national and regional reference laboratories, medical centers and physician practices for its screening tests, research laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies through its direct sales force and laboratory distribution partners, as well as Constellation licensees under its cloud-based distribution model. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays for clinical and commercial use. The company has a collaboration with Diakonos Oncology Corp. to assess molecular response in patients with refractory melanoma. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, LLC and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in January 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Long Name Natera, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 56,900,915,200
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_27603970
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -192,346,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 56,330,100,194
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 394.4
Operating Cashflow 228,239,008
Operating Margins -0.102910005
Overall Risk 6
Phone 650 980 9190
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 394.75
Post Market Time 1,792,008,281
Previous Close 395.655
Price Eps Current Year -267.76144
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 31.12434
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 21.019325
Profit Margins -0.07105
Quick Ratio 2.736
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.3913
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.904999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.228734
Regular Market Day High 405.11
Regular Market Day Low 391.28
Regular Market Day Range 391.28 - 405.11
Regular Market Open 394.4
Regular Market Previous Close 395.655
Regular Market Price 394.75
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 1,047,485
Return On Assets -0.08076
Return On Equity -0.1254
Revenue Growth 0.377
Revenue Per Share 19.322
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 144,144,170
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.044099998
Shares Short 6,355,450
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,514,178
Short Name Natera, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0454
Short Ratio 4.14
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol NTRA
Target High Price 490.0
Target Low Price 280.0
Target Mean Price 403.88635
Target Median Price 410.0
Total Cash 1,091,501,952
Total Cash Per Share 7.572
Total Debt 238,488,000
Total Revenue 2,707,076,096
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.35
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 255.00533
Two Hundred Day Average Change 139.74467
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.5480069
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,047,485
Website https://www.natera.com
Zip 78,753