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NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR)

Technology | Communication Equipment | San Jose, United States | NasdaqGS
21.09 USD -0.89 (-4.049%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.09

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:21 a.m. EDT

The narrative here is a classic case of regulatory panic meeting a fundamentally broken business model. While the headline-driven surge and the 'strong buy' analyst consensus create a tempting short-term bounce, the underlying reality is starkly different. The company is hemorrhaging cash with negative free cash flow and negative operating margins, trading at a forward P/E that implies a turnaround which the data does not currently support. The price history confirms a brutal decade-long decline, despite a recent recovery year, leaving the stock structurally damaged. The options market is pricing in chaos—a big move up or down—rather than a clear path to the $35 target. For a long-term investor, the lack of dividends, the deteriorating fundamentals, and the reliance on regulatory headlines for survival make this a dangerous hold. The short-term momentum is real but fragile, built on speculation rather than earnings power.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.044585
MSTL0.044677
AutoETS0.044703
AutoARIMA0.044703

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 4.58
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.411
Excess Kurtosis -0.94
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.037
Revenue per Share 24.844
Market Cap 573,205,504
Forward P/E 39.30
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins -3.71%
Website https://www.netgear.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (31 and 32), suggesting bets on a sharp gap up, while put volume concentrates near the money (23 strike), indicating a hedge against immediate downside. The massive IV spike at the 13 strike suggests a specific fear of a crash to that level, creating a 'straddle' environment where traders expect a large move in either direction, likely driven by the regulatory headlines.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.21598512
Address1 3,553 North First Street
All Time High 48.5732
All Time Low 5.093052
Ask 27.48
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 307,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 367,569
Average Volume 367,569
Average Volume10Days 307,900
Beta 1.195
Bid 15.8
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value 16.816
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.09
Current Ratio 2.481
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 22.035
Day Low 21.035
Debt To Equity 10.037
Display Name NETGEAR
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda -13,647,000
Ebitda Margins -0.019650001
Enterprise To Ebitda -25.73
Enterprise To Revenue 0.506
Enterprise Value 351,138,560
Eps Current Year 0.285
Eps Forward 0.53667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.9
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 23.033
Fifty Day Average Change -1.9430008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.084357254
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -21.598513
Fifty Two Week High 36.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.77
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42783505
Fifty Two Week Low 19.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.0900002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11000001
Fifty Two Week Range 19.0 - 36.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,059,658,200,000
Float Shares 24,911,475
Forward Eps 0.53667
Forward P E 39.29789
Free Cashflow -9,178,875
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 784
Fullday Change -0.889999
Fullday Change Percent -4.04913
Fullday Price 21.09
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.4003
Gross Profits 277,975,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03985
Held Percent Institutions 0.98283994
Implied Shares Outstanding 27,179,021
Industry Communication Equipment
Industry Disp Communication Equipment
Industry Key communication-equipment
Ir Website http://investor.netgear.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,546,387,200
Last Split Factor 1,612:1000
Long Business Summary NETGEAR, Inc. provides networking technologies for businesses, homes, and service providers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Enterprise and Consumer. It offers Wi-Fi routers and home Wi-Fi mesh systems, Wi-Fi hotspots, broadband modems, Wi-Fi gateways, Wi-Fi range extenders, powerline adapters, and Wi-Fi network adapters; and provides value-added service offerings, including security and privacy, technical support, and parental controls. The company also provides pro AV Solutions, which includes Ethernet switches and WiFi access points; NETGEAR Engage Controller, a software that provides centralized, profile-based configuration, and unified management; NETGEAR Insight Remote Management; Pro Routers; enterprise-grade cloud managed or standalone access points; general purpose ethernet switches; and NETGEAR Exium Security Solutions, a security software that provides on-premises next-generation firewall and cloud-based secure access service edge. It markets and sells its products through wholesale distributors, traditional and online retailers, direct market resellers, value-added resellers, managed service provider, and broadband service providers, as well as through its direct online store. NETGEAR, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Long Name NETGEAR, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 573,205,504
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_166754
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common -25,754,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 597,394,881
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 21.98
Operating Cashflow 3,613,000
Operating Margins -0.044
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.74
Phone 408 907 8000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 21.09
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 21.98
Price Eps Current Year 74.0
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2541627
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.82545686
Profit Margins -0.03709
Quick Ratio 1.652
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.889999
Regular Market Change Percent -4.04913
Regular Market Day High 22.035
Regular Market Day Low 21.035
Regular Market Day Range 21.035 - 22.035
Regular Market Open 21.98
Regular Market Previous Close 21.98
Regular Market Price 21.09
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 362,822
Return On Assets -0.020079998
Return On Equity -0.05258
Revenue Growth -0.012
Revenue Per Share 24.844
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 27,179,021
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.08180001
Shares Short 2,224,060
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,473,196
Short Name NETGEAR, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0946
Short Ratio 5.7
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol NTGR
Target High Price 36.0
Target Low Price 34.0
Target Mean Price 35.0
Target Median Price 35.0
Total Cash 267,879,008
Total Cash Per Share 9.856
Total Debt 45,812,000
Total Revenue 694,409,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.9
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.5943
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.5042992
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10614001
Type Disp Equity
Volume 362,822
Website https://www.netgear.com
Zip 95,134