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NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR)

Technology | Communication Equipment | San Jose, United States | NasdaqGS
22.18 USD -1.09 (-4.684%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 22.18

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:46 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst driving this trade is a classic 'dead cat bounce' fueled by regulatory headlines regarding an FCC ban, which has temporarily revived interest in the company's hardware exposure. However, the underlying business remains fundamentally broken: the company is burning cash, posting negative operating margins, and shrinking revenue. While the stock has rallied nearly 80% over the last two years, the most recent annual data shows a sharp contraction in top-line growth, signaling that the recovery is stalling. The options market reflects this tension, with traders buying deep OTM calls hoping for a continuation while hedging with heavy ATM puts against a potential collapse. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet that cannot support aggressive expansion without capital infusion, this is a speculative play on a regulatory fix, not a turnaround story. The statistical models offer no directional guidance, reinforcing the view that price action is currently driven by noise and sentiment rather than value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.127058
AutoETS0.127227
AutoARIMA0.127229
MSTL0.131140

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 4.52
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.164
Excess Kurtosis -1.07
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.037
Revenue per Share 24.844
Market Cap 602,830,656
Forward P/E 41.33
Beta 1.15
Profit Margins -3.71%
Website https://www.netgear.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (30.00) expiring in late December and March 2027, suggesting bets on a significant gap-up event. Conversely, put volume is concentrated near the money (22.00-23.00) for the October expiration, indicating a fear of a sharp pullback if the recent rally fails to sustain. The implied volatility is elevated on both sides, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent surge is a trend reversal or a dead cat bounce.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.31669748
Address1 3,553 North First Street
All Time High 48.5732
All Time Low 5.093052
Ask 28.32
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 293,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 349,865
Average Volume 349,865
Average Volume10Days 293,800
Beta 1.149
Bid 16.48
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value 16.816
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 22.18
Current Ratio 2.481
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 22.96
Day Low 22.07
Debt To Equity 10.037
Display Name NETGEAR
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda -13,647,000
Ebitda Margins -0.019650001
Enterprise To Ebitda -27.901
Enterprise To Revenue 0.548
Enterprise Value 380,763,680
Eps Current Year 0.285
Eps Forward 0.53667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.94
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.321
Fifty Day Average Change -0.14099884
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0063168695
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -31.669748
Fifty Two Week High 35.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.919998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.36809114
Fifty Two Week Low 19.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.1800003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16736844
Fifty Two Week Range 19.0 - 35.1
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,059,658,200,000
Float Shares 24,995,458
Forward Eps 0.53667
Forward P E 41.328934
Free Cashflow -9,178,875
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 784
Fullday Change -1.0900002
Fullday Change Percent -4.684143
Fullday Price 22.18
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.4003
Gross Profits 277,975,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03975
Held Percent Institutions 0.98092
Implied Shares Outstanding 27,179,021
Industry Communication Equipment
Industry Disp Communication Equipment
Industry Key communication-equipment
Ir Website http://investor.netgear.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,546,387,200
Last Split Factor 1,612:1000
Long Business Summary NETGEAR, Inc. provides networking technologies for businesses, homes, and service providers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Enterprise and Consumer. It offers Wi-Fi routers and home Wi-Fi mesh systems, Wi-Fi hotspots, broadband modems, Wi-Fi gateways, Wi-Fi range extenders, powerline adapters, and Wi-Fi network adapters; and provides value-added service offerings, including security and privacy, technical support, and parental controls. The company also provides pro AV Solutions, which includes Ethernet switches and WiFi access points; NETGEAR Engage Controller, a software that provides centralized, profile-based configuration, and unified management; NETGEAR Insight Remote Management; Pro Routers; enterprise-grade cloud managed or standalone access points; general purpose ethernet switches; and NETGEAR Exium Security Solutions, a security software that provides on-premises next-generation firewall and cloud-based secure access service edge. It markets and sells its products through wholesale distributors, traditional and online retailers, direct market resellers, value-added resellers, managed service provider, and broadband service providers, as well as through its direct online store. NETGEAR, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Long Name NETGEAR, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 602,830,656
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_166754
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common -25,754,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 604,869,112
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 22.88
Operating Cashflow 3,613,000
Operating Margins -0.044
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.74
Phone 408 907 8000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 22.18
Post Market Time 1,792,008,077
Previous Close 23.27
Price Eps Current Year 77.82456
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.3189819
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.86811924
Profit Margins -0.03709
Quick Ratio 1.652
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.09
Regular Market Change Percent -4.68414
Regular Market Day High 22.96
Regular Market Day Low 22.07
Regular Market Day Range 22.07 - 22.96
Regular Market Open 22.88
Regular Market Previous Close 23.27
Regular Market Price 22.18
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 286,254
Return On Assets -0.020079998
Return On Equity -0.05258
Revenue Growth -0.012
Revenue Per Share 24.844
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 27,179,021
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.060399998
Shares Short 1,642,652
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,326,692
Short Name NETGEAR, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0699
Short Ratio 4.84
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol NTGR
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 30.0
Target Mean Price 33.0
Target Median Price 34.0
Total Cash 267,879,008
Total Cash Per Share 9.856
Total Debt 45,812,000
Total Revenue 694,409,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.94
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.044
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8640003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.037493505
Type Disp Equity
Volume 286,254
Website https://www.netgear.com
Zip 95,134