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NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR)

Technology | Communication Equipment | San Jose, United States | NasdaqGS
22.86 USD -0.12 (-0.522%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT

The investment case for NETGEAR is fundamentally broken despite the recent price surge. The company is hemorrhaging cash with negative free cash flow and operating margins, while revenue is shrinking. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt that exceeds equity, which makes the stock highly sensitive to interest rate hikes or credit tightening. While the recent 10%+ jump and analyst targets suggest a potential turnaround story or a merger catalyst, the underlying business metrics—negative returns on assets and equity, and declining sales—do not support a long-term hold. The options market reflects this uncertainty by betting on a volatile swing rather than a steady climb. Until the company demonstrates a path to profitability and stabilizes its revenue stream, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle unsuitable for core portfolios.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79_115 ✓0.042543
MSTL_790.044031
MSTL0.049192
AutoETS0.050577
AutoTheta0.050745
AutoARIMA0.053822
MSTL_1150.075285

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 0.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.670
Excess Kurtosis -0.25
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.207
Revenue per Share 24.501
Market Cap 613,560,192
Forward P/E 37.68
Beta 1.19
Profit Margins -3.58%
Website https://www.netgear.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional trend. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (31 and 32) in September, suggesting a speculative bet on a sharp rally, while put volume concentrates deep in-the-money (15 and 17), indicating a hedge against a severe crash. The implied volatility gap between these extremes and the at-the-money anchors suggests the market is pricing in a binary event or a wide trading range, with neither side currently dominating the flow decisively.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.23400003
Address1 3,553 North First Street
All Time High 48.5732
All Time Low 5.093052
Ask 28.99
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 320,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 416,549
Average Volume 416,549
Average Volume10Days 320,130
Beta 1.191
Bid 16.26
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value 17.231
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 22.86
Current Ratio 2.584
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 23.05
Day Low 22.425
Debt To Equity 10.207
Display Name NETGEAR
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,496,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,496,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,492,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda -16,365,000
Ebitda Margins -0.0235
Enterprise To Ebitda -22.312
Enterprise To Revenue 0.524
Enterprise Value 365,141,184
Eps Current Year 0.2
Eps Forward 0.60667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.89
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.542
Fifty Day Average Change -1.6819992
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06853554
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -23.400003
Fifty Two Week High 36.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.0
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.37981552
Fifty Two Week Low 19.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.8600006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20315793
Fifty Two Week Range 19.0 - 36.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,059,658,200,000
Float Shares 23,897,713
Forward Eps 0.60667
Forward P E 37.68111
Free Cashflow -4,812,125
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 786
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.3937
Gross Profits 274,167,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04106
Held Percent Institutions 1.02546
Implied Shares Outstanding 26,839,903
Industry Communication Equipment
Industry Disp Communication Equipment
Industry Key communication-equipment
Ir Website http://investor.netgear.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,546,387,200
Last Split Factor 1,612:1000
Long Business Summary NETGEAR, Inc. provides networking technologies for businesses, homes, and service providers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Enterprise and Consumer. It offers Wi-Fi routers and home Wi-Fi mesh systems, Wi-Fi hotspots, broadband modems, Wi-Fi gateways, Wi-Fi range extenders, powerline adapters, and Wi-Fi network adapters; and provides value-added service offerings, including security and privacy, technical support, and parental controls. The company also provides pro AV Solutions, which includes Ethernet switches and WiFi access points; NETGEAR Engage Controller, a software that provides centralized, profile-based configuration, and unified management; NETGEAR Insight Remote Management; Pro Routers; enterprise-grade cloud managed or standalone access points; general purpose ethernet switches; and NETGEAR Exium Security Solutions, a security software that provides on-premises next-generation firewall and cloud-based secure access service edge. It markets and sells its products through wholesale distributors, traditional and online retailers, direct market resellers, value-added resellers, managed service provider, and broadband service providers, as well as through its direct online store. NETGEAR, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Long Name NETGEAR, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 613,560,192
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_166754
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,742,400
Net Income To Common -24,929,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 616,780,970
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 22.83
Operating Cashflow 11,994,000
Operating Margins -0.05173
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.74
Phone 408 907 8000
Previous Close 22.98
Price Eps Current Year 114.3
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.3266786
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8810709
Profit Margins -0.0358
Quick Ratio 1.769
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.119999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.522189
Regular Market Day High 23.05
Regular Market Day Low 22.425
Regular Market Day Range 22.425 - 23.05
Regular Market Open 22.83
Regular Market Previous Close 22.98
Regular Market Price 22.86
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 252,842
Return On Assets -0.02034
Return On Equity -0.049590003
Revenue Growth -0.02
Revenue Per Share 24.501
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 26,839,903
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0926
Shares Short 2,484,350
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,346,515
Short Name NETGEAR, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.107200004
Short Ratio 6.16
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol NTGR
Target High Price 36.0
Target Low Price 34.0
Target Mean Price 35.0
Target Median Price 35.0
Total Cash 296,508,992
Total Cash Per Share 11.047
Total Debt 48,090,000
Total Revenue 696,380,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.89
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.18095
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.3209496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09217085
Type Disp Equity
Volume 252,842
Website https://www.netgear.com
Zip 95,134