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Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC)

Industrials | Security & Protection Services | Amityville, United States | NasdaqGS
35.74 USD -0.33 (-0.915%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.74

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:42 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Napco Security hinges on a stark divergence between its deteriorating price trajectory and its resilient underlying business metrics. While the stock has suffered a brutal 42% drop over the last fiscal year, bringing the price down from a $53 peak, the fundamentals tell a different story: revenue is growing at 7.6%, earnings are up 21%, and the company maintains a fortress-like balance sheet with a 4.9x current ratio and minimal debt. This disconnect creates a compelling medium-term opportunity, yet the short-term outlook remains murky due to the recent CEO transition and insider selling, which has dampened immediate momentum. The options market agrees with a cautious but optimistic stance, with heavy call interest at the $40 level suggesting a potential rebound is being priced in, while the lack of panic selling in puts implies the worst may be over. For investors, the thesis is to buy the business quality at a discount, ignoring the recent price noise, but patience is required given the leadership changes and the time needed for the market to fully re-rate the stock based on its improved operational performance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_115 ✓0.107444
MSTL0.137613
AutoETS0.138129
AutoARIMA0.138129
AutoTheta0.146232

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 3.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.077
Excess Kurtosis -1.41
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Debt to Equity Ratio 12.493
Revenue per Share 5.528
Market Cap 1,276,895,104
Trailing P/E 34.70
Forward P/E 22.06
Beta 1.43
Profit Margins 18.70%
Website https://www.napcosecurity.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:42 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a distinct bullish skew in call positioning relative to put volume. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated at the $40 strike across multiple expirations, acting as a significant resistance barrier and suggesting speculators view $40 as a likely near-term floor or target. Conversely, put activity is sparse until the December expiration, where some defensive positioning appears at lower strikes ($30-$35), but the overall lack of aggressive put buying suggests the market is not pricing in an immediate crash. Implied volatility remains relatively low, indicating complacency regarding near-term downside risks.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.40% 1.43% 1.36%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-12 0.150 0.403009
2026-03-12 0.150 0.355872
2025-12-12 0.140 0.332621
2025-09-12 0.140 0.333890
2025-06-12 0.140 0.495400
2025-03-12 0.125 0.500601
2024-12-12 0.125 0.328601
2024-09-12 0.125 0.332624
2024-06-03 0.100 0.202470
2024-02-29 0.100 0.222074
2023-11-30 0.080 0.261438
2023-08-31 0.080 0.322841
2023-05-19 0.063 0.178067
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.6
dividendYield 1.66
exDividendDate 2026-06-12
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.57
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.015802605
lastDividendValue 0.15
lastDividendDate 2026-06-12
dividendDate 2026-07-03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.17952907
Address1 333 Bayview Avenue
All Time High 58.09
All Time Low 0.102881
Ask 46.14
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 406,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 431,155
Average Volume 431,155
Average Volume10Days 406,120
Beta 1.432
Bid 25.56
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 4.976
City Amityville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.74
Current Ratio 4.946
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 36.3
Day Low 35.65
Debt To Equity 12.493
Display Name Napco Security
Dividend Date 1,783,036,800
Dividend Rate 0.6
Dividend Yield 1.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,906,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,906,800
Earnings Growth 0.214
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.206
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,897,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,897,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,897,800
Ebitda 58,178,000
Ebitda Margins 0.29497
Enterprise To Ebitda 21.552
Enterprise To Revenue 6.357
Enterprise Value 1,253,824,000
Eps Current Year 1.49
Eps Forward 1.62
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.03
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 631 789 9292
Fifty Day Average 37.9142
Fifty Day Average Change -2.1741982
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05734522
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 17.952908
Fifty Two Week High 48.12
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.379997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25727344
Fifty Two Week Low 29.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.470001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22104548
Fifty Two Week Range 29.27 - 48.12
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 378,484,200,000
Float Shares 34,375,057
Forward Eps 1.62
Forward P E 22.06173
Free Cashflow 48,234,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,061
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.573
Gross Profits 113,014,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.049250003
Held Percent Institutions 1.00815
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,727,337
Industry Security & Protection Services
Industry Disp Security & Protection Services
Industry Key security-protection-services
Ir Website http://www.irflow.com/nssc/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Last Dividend Value 0.15
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,641,340,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. The company's access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; intrusion and fire alarm systems, consists of various detectors, a control panel, a digital keypad and signaling equipment; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. Its alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. The company also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and various peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. It markets and sells its products to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
Long Name Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,276,895,104
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_289814
Most Recent Quarter 1,617,148,800
Net Income To Common 36,892,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,288,327,772
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 35.93
Operating Cashflow 58,115,000
Operating Margins 0.17812
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.5534
Phone 631 842 9400
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 35.74
Post Market Time 1,783,981,120
Previous Close 36.07
Price Eps Current Year 23.986578
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.1824765
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.474109
Profit Margins 0.18705
Quick Ratio 4.009
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.329998
Regular Market Change Percent -0.914882
Regular Market Day High 36.3
Regular Market Day Low 35.65
Regular Market Day Range 35.65 - 36.3
Regular Market Open 35.93
Regular Market Previous Close 36.07
Regular Market Price 35.74
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 277,768
Return On Assets 0.16935
Return On Equity 0.21744
Revenue Growth 0.076
Revenue Per Share 5.528
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 35,727,337
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0929
Shares Short 3,318,836
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,688,998
Short Name NAPCO Security Technologies, In
Short Percent Of Float 0.097200006
Short Ratio 6.36
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol NSSC
Target High Price 53.0
Target Low Price 48.0
Target Mean Price 50.33333
Target Median Price 50.0
Total Cash 34,071,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.954
Total Debt 11,000,000
Total Revenue 197,231,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.57
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.015802605
Trailing Eps 1.03
Trailing P E 34.69903
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 41.18145
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.441448
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13213348
Type Disp Equity
Volume 277,768
Website https://www.napcosecurity.com
Zip 11,701