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Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)

Industrials | Railroads | Atlanta, United States | NYSE
327.59 USD +0.12 (0.037%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4:01 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the stark divergence between the stock's recent price rally and its deteriorating earnings reality. While the share price has surged nearly 8% over the last two weeks and sits near its 52-week high, the company is reporting a 27% contraction in quarterly earnings and negligible revenue growth. This suggests the current valuation is being driven by speculative optimism regarding the Union Pacific merger response rather than operational improvement. For the short term, the momentum remains intact, supported by options positioning that sees 330 as a key resistance level, but the earnings miss risk is real. Long-term, the high debt load and negative earnings trajectory prevent a confident buy recommendation despite the historical price appreciation. The dividend yield is modest and barely keeps pace with inflation, offering little cushion against the earnings headwinds. Investors should view this as a speculative trade on the merger catalyst rather than a fundamental turnaround.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79 ✓0.024685
MSTL_79_1260.031650
MSTL_1260.031775
AutoTheta0.040358
AutoARIMA0.041298
AutoETS0.041299
MSTL0.041663

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 54%
H-stat 1.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.752
Excess Kurtosis -0.45
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 111.586
Revenue per Share 54.252
Market Cap 73,574,744,064
Trailing P/E 27.64
Forward P/E 23.77
Beta 1.26
Profit Margins 21.91%
Website https://www.norfolksouthern.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome near current levels with a slight bullish tilt. Heavy put open interest at 310-320 strikes suggests a defensive floor ahead of earnings, while call interest clusters at 330-340, targeting upside from the upcoming report or merger resolution. Implied volatility remains elevated for the near term, indicating anticipation of a binary event.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.43% 1.84% 2.16% 2.09%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-08 1.350000 0.432678
2026-02-06 1.350000 0.440485
2025-11-07 1.350000 0.474934
2025-08-01 1.350000 0.491177
2025-05-02 1.350000 0.601712
2025-02-07 1.350000 0.541951
2024-11-01 1.350000 0.539806
2024-08-02 1.350000 0.554620
2024-05-02 1.350000 0.577417
2024-02-01 1.350000 0.528935
2023-11-02 1.350000 0.703638
2023-08-03 1.350000 0.593981
2023-05-04 1.350000 0.661992
2023-02-02 1.350000 0.529744
2022-11-03 1.240000 0.545751
2022-08-05 1.240000 0.493985
2022-05-05 1.240000 0.482734
2022-02-03 1.240000 0.449569
2021-11-04 1.090000 0.383061
2021-08-06 1.090000 0.425765
2021-05-06 0.990000 0.344984
2021-02-04 0.990000 0.403144
2020-11-05 0.940000 0.416316
2020-08-06 0.940000 0.480155
2020-05-07 0.940000 0.554311
2020-02-06 0.940000 0.441979
2019-10-31 0.940000 0.516484
2019-08-02 0.940000 0.516427
2019-05-02 0.860000 0.427584
2019-02-01 0.860000 0.507285
2018-11-01 0.800000 0.475229
2018-08-03 0.800000 0.466146
2018-05-03 0.720000 0.510856
2018-02-01 0.720000 0.484946
2017-11-02 0.610000 0.461597
2017-08-03 0.610000 0.537777
2017-05-03 0.610000 0.520433
2017-02-01 0.610000 0.508630
2016-11-02 0.590000 0.641374
2016-08-04 0.590000 0.673439
2016-05-04 0.590000 0.663891
2016-02-03 0.590000 0.876411
2015-11-04 0.590000 0.734288
2015-08-05 0.590000 0.714459
2015-05-06 0.590000 0.589352
2015-04-29 0.590000 0.571816
2015-02-04 0.590000 0.554772
2014-11-05 0.570000 0.519173
2014-07-30 0.570000 0.549928
2014-04-30 0.540000 0.571247
2014-02-05 0.540000 0.588492
2013-10-30 0.520000 0.601017
2013-07-31 0.520000 0.710771
2013-05-01 0.500000 0.664894
2013-01-30 0.500000 0.725795
2012-10-31 0.500000 0.814996
2012-08-09 0.500000 0.678518
2012-05-02 0.470000 0.637547
2012-02-01 0.470000 0.646670
2011-11-02 0.430000 0.589687
2011-08-03 0.430000 0.598386
2011-05-04 0.400000 0.553174
2011-02-02 0.400000 0.656814
2010-11-03 0.360000 0.579430
2010-08-04 0.360000 0.624892
2010-05-05 0.340000 0.582791
2010-02-03 0.340000 0.701754
2009-11-04 0.340000 0.681909
2009-08-05 0.340000 0.782689
2009-04-29 0.340000 0.957477
2009-02-04 0.340000 0.880145
2008-11-05 0.320000 0.560715
2008-07-30 0.320000 0.434546
2008-04-30 0.290000 0.486741
2008-01-30 0.290000 0.556729
2007-10-31 0.260000 0.503388
2007-08-01 0.260000 0.483182
2007-05-02 0.220000 0.420329
2007-01-31 0.220000 0.443102
2006-11-01 0.180000 0.342466
2006-08-02 0.180000 0.421447
2006-05-03 0.160000 0.286225
2006-02-01 0.160000 0.322906
2005-11-02 0.130000 0.314846
2005-08-03 0.130000 0.348712
2005-05-04 0.110000 0.342786
2005-02-02 0.110000 0.315006
2004-11-03 0.100000 0.292483
2004-08-04 0.100000 0.369004
2004-05-05 0.080000 0.333890
2004-02-04 0.080000 0.367816
2003-11-05 0.080000 0.388350
2003-07-30 0.080000 0.423729
2003-04-30 0.070000 0.330033
2003-02-05 0.070000 0.360268
2002-10-30 0.070000 0.337025
2002-07-31 0.070000 0.345679
2002-05-01 0.060000 0.280374
2002-01-30 0.060000 0.269058
2001-10-31 0.060000 0.358209
2001-08-01 0.060000 0.301508
2001-05-02 0.060000 0.313152
2001-01-31 0.060000 0.367422
2000-11-01 0.200000 1.409692
2000-08-02 0.200000 1.049180
2000-05-03 0.200000 1.185185
2000-02-02 0.200000 1.226054
1999-11-03 0.200000 0.844327
1999-08-04 0.200000 0.686695
1999-05-05 0.200000 0.563380
1999-02-03 0.200000 0.742459
1998-11-04 0.200000 0.621359
1998-08-05 0.200000 0.709534
1998-04-29 0.200000 0.607211
1998-02-04 0.200000 0.602637
1997-11-05 0.200000 0.629921
1997-07-30 0.200000 0.539932
1997-04-30 0.200000 0.667594
1997-02-05 0.200000 0.679887
1996-10-30 0.186667 0.630987
1996-07-31 0.186667 0.692428
1996-05-01 0.186667 0.675718
1996-01-31 0.186667 0.709985
1995-11-01 0.173333 0.694490
1995-08-02 0.173333 0.719722
1995-05-01 0.173333 0.787877
1995-01-30 0.173333 0.835340
1994-10-31 0.160000 0.761905
1994-08-01 0.160000 0.761905
1994-05-02 0.160000 0.755905
1994-01-31 0.160000 0.651952
1993-11-01 0.160000 0.716418
1993-08-02 0.160000 0.744186
1993-05-03 0.150000 0.736196
1993-02-01 0.150000 0.708661
1992-11-02 0.150000 0.733198
1992-08-03 0.150000 0.765957
1992-05-04 0.150000 0.708661
1992-02-03 0.150000 0.794702
1991-10-28 0.133333 0.668057
1991-07-29 0.133333 0.816325
1991-04-29 0.133333 0.869563
1991-01-28 0.133333 0.909089
1990-10-29 0.133333 1.122804
1990-07-30 0.133333 0.911679
1990-04-30 0.120000 0.956811
1990-01-29 0.120000 0.989691
1989-10-30 0.120000 0.986301
1989-07-31 0.120000 0.966443
1989-05-01 0.110000 0.960000
1989-01-30 0.110000 0.992481
1988-10-31 0.110000 1.081967
1988-08-01 0.110000 1.173333
1988-05-02 0.100000 1.100917
1988-02-01 0.100000 1.085973
1987-11-02 0.100000 1.243523
1987-08-03 0.100000 0.863309
1987-05-04 0.100000 1.021277
1987-02-02 0.100000 0.971660
1986-11-03 0.094444 1.028739
1986-07-28 0.094444 1.065826
1986-04-28 0.094444 0.937927
1986-02-03 0.094444 1.024092
1985-10-28 0.094444 1.225220
1985-07-29 0.094444 1.243139
1985-04-29 0.094444 1.328119
1985-01-28 0.094444 1.310206
1984-10-29 0.088889 1.415931
1984-07-30 0.088889 1.632655
1984-04-30 0.088889 1.428573
1984-01-30 0.088889 1.303464
1983-10-31 0.077778 1.147544
1983-08-01 0.077778 1.238942
1983-05-02 0.077778 1.278543
1983-01-31 0.077778 1.336519
1982-10-29 0.077778 1.247220
1982-08-02 0.077778 1.534251
Additional Data
dividendRate 5.4
dividendYield 1.65
exDividendDate 2026-05-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.01649006
lastDividendValue 1.35
lastDividendDate 2026-05-08
dividendDate 2026-05-20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2456541
Address1 650 West Peachtree Street NW
All Time High 328.58
All Time Low 4.472222
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 120
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 893,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,145,067
Average Volume 1,145,067
Average Volume10Days 893,090
Beta 1.263
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 160
Board Risk 1
Book Value 70.367
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 327.59
Current Ratio 0.907
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 329.05
Day Low 325.98
Debt To Equity 111.586
Display Name Norfolk Southern
Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Dividend Rate 5.4
Dividend Yield 1.65
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Earnings Growth -0.266
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.271
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,809,800
Ebitda 5,586,999,808
Ebitda Margins 0.45851
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.085
Enterprise To Revenue 7.375
Enterprise Value 89,868,746,752
Eps Current Year 12.35211
Eps Forward 13.78324
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.85
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,198,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 313.0852
Fifty Day Average Change 14.504791
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.046328574
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 24.56541
Fifty Two Week High 329.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.4599915
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.00443699
Fifty Two Week Low 257.49
Fifty Two Week Low Change 70.100006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.27224362
Fifty Two Week Range 257.49 - 329.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 391,872,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.04
Float Shares 224,254,864
Forward Eps 13.78324
Forward P E 23.767271
Free Cashflow 1,298,749,952
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 19,300
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.45851
Gross Profits 5,586,999,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00045000002
Held Percent Institutions 0.78069997
Implied Shares Outstanding 224,594,001
Industry Railroads
Industry Disp Railroads
Industry Key railroads
Ir Website http://www.nscorp.com/nscportal/nscorp/Investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,198,400
Last Dividend Value 1.35
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 876,441,600
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, beverages, and canned goods; chemicals, including sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products comprising crude oil, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, sand, and natural gas liquids; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and operates an intermodal network. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name Norfolk Southern Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 73,574,744,064
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_292268
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 2,667,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 73,547,797,507
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 327.6
Operating Cashflow 3,755,000,064
Operating Margins 0.32255
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.45490003
Peg Ratio 4.78
Phone 855 667 3655
Pre Market Change -0.5799866
Pre Market Change Percent -0.17704648
Pre Market Price 327.01
Pre Market Time 1,784,019,069
Previous Close 327.47
Price Eps Current Year 26.520975
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.6554494
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.038141
Profit Margins 0.21912001
Quick Ratio 0.739
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.57143
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.119995
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0366431
Regular Market Day High 329.05
Regular Market Day Low 325.98
Regular Market Day Range 325.98 - 329.05
Regular Market Open 327.6
Regular Market Previous Close 327.47
Regular Market Price 327.59
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,871
Regular Market Volume 618,013
Return On Assets 0.05888
Return On Equity 0.17615
Revenue Growth 0.002
Revenue Per Share 54.252
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 224,594,001
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.038
Shares Short 8,529,961
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 8,160,523
Short Name Norfolk Southern Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.038
Short Ratio 7.59
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol NSC
Target High Price 378.0
Target Low Price 297.0
Target Mean Price 338.1111
Target Median Price 337.0
Total Cash 1,340,999,936
Total Cash Per Share 5.971
Total Debt 17,635,000,320
Total Revenue 12,184,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.01649006
Trailing Eps 11.85
Trailing P E 27.644724
Trailing Peg Ratio 4.7775
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 298.9558
Two Hundred Day Average Change 28.634186
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09578066
Type Disp Equity
Volume 618,013
Website https://www.norfolksouthern.com
Zip 30,308-1925