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NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

Utilities | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Houston, United States | NYSE
111.12 USD -3.29 (-2.876%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 111.50 +0.38 (0.342%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:22 a.m. EDT

NRG sits at a compelling inflection point where aggressive analyst price targets ($188 mean) clash with technical reality. The stock is trading near its 52-week low, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which creates a heavy headwind for immediate momentum. However, the options market is telling a different story, with heavy call positioning at strikes above the current price indicating institutional speculation on a rebound. Fundamentally, the company boasts robust revenue growth and a healthy payout ratio, yet the balance sheet carries a substantial debt burden that warrants caution. The forward P/E of 10x offers a margin of safety compared to the trailing 30x, hinting that the market expects a significant earnings turnaround. For the short term, the bullish options flow suggests a catalyst is priced in, but the technicals remain stubbornly bearish. Long-term, the growth trajectory is strong, but the high leverage limits the ceiling for a top-tier rating.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.055144
AutoETS0.056793
AutoARIMA0.056795
AutoTheta0.109590

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 2.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.510
Excess Kurtosis -0.06
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-02
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-02
Debt to Equity Ratio 483.357
Revenue per Share 164.801
Market Cap 23,358,588,928
Trailing P/E 28.94
Forward P/E 9.92
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins 2.56%
Website https://www.nrg.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed bullish on the upside, with significant open interest and volume concentrated in call strikes ranging from $125 to $200. Deep OTM put positions exist but lack the volume intensity of the call side, suggesting a speculative bet on a recovery toward analyst targets rather than a hedge against immediate downside.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.34% 1.22% 1.85% 2.63%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-03 0.475 0.343035
2026-05-01 0.475 0.309709
2026-02-02 0.475 0.318557
2025-11-03 0.440 0.252178
2025-08-01 0.440 0.262483
2025-05-01 0.440 0.385492
2025-02-03 0.440 0.428516
2024-11-01 0.408 0.470480
2024-08-01 0.408 0.555102
2024-04-30 0.408 0.561442
2024-01-31 0.408 0.769231
2023-10-31 0.378 0.891930
2023-07-31 0.378 0.994999
2023-04-28 0.378 1.106234
2023-01-31 0.378 1.104617
2022-10-31 0.350 0.788288
2022-07-29 0.350 0.927152
2022-04-29 0.350 0.974930
2022-01-31 0.350 0.876534
2021-10-29 0.325 0.814741
2021-07-30 0.325 0.788070
2021-04-30 0.325 0.907314
2021-01-29 0.325 0.784835
2020-10-30 0.300 0.948767
2020-07-31 0.300 0.887311
2020-04-30 0.300 0.894721
2020-01-31 0.300 0.813229
2019-10-31 0.030 0.074776
2019-07-31 0.030 0.087873
2019-04-30 0.030 0.072869
2019-01-31 0.030 0.073332
2018-10-31 0.030 0.082896
2018-07-31 0.030 0.094727
2018-04-30 0.030 0.096774
2018-01-31 0.030 0.115340
2017-10-31 0.030 0.120000
2017-07-28 0.030 0.119190
2017-04-27 0.030 0.178147
2017-01-30 0.030 0.184502
2016-10-28 0.030 0.291262
2016-07-28 0.030 0.212917
2016-04-28 0.030 0.200000
2016-01-28 0.145 1.435644
2015-10-29 0.145 1.124903
2015-07-30 0.145 0.648479
2015-04-29 0.145 0.565082
2015-01-29 0.145 0.593533
2014-10-30 0.140 0.470588
2014-07-30 0.140 0.454250
2014-04-29 0.140 0.426699
2014-01-30 0.120 0.434311
2013-10-30 0.120 0.416089
2013-07-30 0.120 0.444444
2013-04-29 0.120 0.429492
2013-01-30 0.090 0.377200
2012-10-31 0.090 0.417440
2012-07-30 0.090 0.452489
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.9
dividendYield 1.66
exDividendDate 2026-08-03
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.865
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.016301023
lastDividendValue 0.475
lastDividendDate 2026-08-03
dividendDate 2026-08-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.21156365
Address1 1,301 McKinney Street
All Time High 189.96
All Time Low 8.8
Ask 111.14
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,539,380
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,770,743
Average Volume 2,770,743
Average Volume10Days 2,539,380
Beta 1.203
Bid 110.99
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 2
Book Value 19.994
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 111.12
Current Ratio 0.968
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 114.96
Day Low 110.67
Debt To Equity 483.357
Display Name NRG Energy
Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Dividend Rate 1.9
Dividend Yield 1.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,848,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,848,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 3,252,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.09819999
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.545
Enterprise To Revenue 1.428
Enterprise Value 47,313,588,224
Eps Current Year 8.8307
Eps Forward 11.19645
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.84
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,715,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 130.6906
Fifty Day Average Change -19.570595
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.14974754
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -21.156364
Fifty Two Week High 189.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -78.840004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.41503474
Fifty Two Week Low 110.67
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.45000458
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.004066184
Fifty Two Week Range 110.67 - 189.96
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,070,375,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.54
Float Shares 209,247,719
Forward Eps 11.19645
Forward P E 9.924574
Free Cashflow 772,374,976
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 16,702
Fullday Change -3.29
Fullday Change Percent -2.87562
Fullday Price 111.5
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.18795
Gross Profits 6,225,999,872
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04457
Held Percent Institutions 0.95872
Implied Shares Outstanding 210,210,483
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Disp Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Key utilities-independent-power-producers
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=121544&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,715,200
Last Dividend Value 0.475
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,180,656,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through the Texas, East, West/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments. The company offers retail electricity, energy management, demand response and virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, smart home security, and automation services. It also offers system power, distributed and backup generation, energy storage, energy management, renewable and low-carbon products, and carbon management solutions for large business and commercial customers; a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions; and generation portfolio includes fossil fuel and renewable generation assets diversified by fuel type and dispatch level, with ongoing development of new natural gas and renewable projects. In addition, the company trades in power, natural gas, and related products; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. It offers its products and services under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint. It serves residential, commercial, government, industrial, data center, and wholesale customers. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name NRG Energy, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 23,358,588,928
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_413857
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 782,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 24,050,181,360
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 114.7
Operating Cashflow 1,555,000,064
Operating Margins 0.12765999
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.4766
Peg Ratio 0.55
Phone 713 537 3000
Post Market Change 0.37999725
Post Market Change Percent 0.34197018
Post Market Price 111.5
Post Market Time 1,787,961,575
Previous Close 114.41
Price Eps Current Year 12.583374
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.5576677
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.70516497
Profit Margins 0.02563
Quick Ratio 0.371
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5625
Region US
Regular Market Change -3.29
Regular Market Change Percent -2.87562
Regular Market Day High 114.96
Regular Market Day Low 110.67
Regular Market Day Range 110.67 - 114.96
Regular Market Open 114.7
Regular Market Previous Close 114.41
Regular Market Price 111.12
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 2,162,040
Return On Assets 0.04061
Return On Equity 0.23772
Revenue Growth 0.11
Revenue Per Share 164.801
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 210,210,483
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0291
Shares Short 6,112,901
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,657,874
Short Name NRG Energy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.038900003
Short Ratio 2.02
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol NRG
Target High Price 270.0
Target Low Price 104.0
Target Mean Price 188.75
Target Median Price 187.0
Total Cash 162,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.771
Total Debt 23,466,999,808
Total Revenue 33,124,999,168
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.865
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.016301023
Trailing Eps 3.84
Trailing P E 28.937502
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.5536
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 148.2828
Two Hundred Day Average Change -37.162804
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2506211
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,162,040
Website https://www.nrg.com
Zip 77,010