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NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

Utilities | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Houston, United States | NYSE
139.48 USD -0.94 (-0.669%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:17 a.m. EDT

The most critical tension here is between the spectacular nine-year price rally and the deteriorating business fundamentals. While the stock has nearly decupled over the last decade, the company is currently reporting an 85 percent collapse in earnings growth and carries a dangerously high debt load relative to equity. The dividend yield appears attractive at 1.35 percent, but paying out nearly double the reported earnings is unsustainable and signals a potential payout cut in the future. On the short end, options traders are aggressively buying calls at higher strikes, betting on a rebound ahead of earnings, which provides a temporary tailwind. However, the balance sheet is fragile, and the earnings miss suggests the growth story is stalling. Investors should view the current price as a mix of past success and speculative hope, rather than a confirmed turnaround.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_97 ✓0.139991
AutoETS0.194689
MSTL0.203185
AutoTheta0.216975
AutoARIMA0.230914

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_97

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 1.91
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.875
Excess Kurtosis -0.28
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 479.237
Revenue per Share 164.177
Market Cap 29,428,391,936
Trailing P/E 153.27
Forward P/E 12.06
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins 0.74%
Website https://www.nrg.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside with significant call volume at strikes well above the current price, particularly at the 170, 190, and 200 levels, indicating a bullish bet on a recovery or breakout. Put activity is concentrated near the money, suggesting a floor at current levels rather than a deep crash expectation. Implied volatility remains relatively low at the money, reflecting complacency despite the aggressive call positioning.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.31% 1.14% 2.07% 2.72%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-01 0.475 0.309709
2026-02-02 0.475 0.318557
2025-11-03 0.440 0.252178
2025-08-01 0.440 0.262483
2025-05-01 0.440 0.385492
2025-02-03 0.440 0.428516
2024-11-01 0.408 0.470480
2024-08-01 0.408 0.555102
2024-04-30 0.408 0.561442
2024-01-31 0.408 0.769231
2023-10-31 0.378 0.891930
2023-07-31 0.378 0.994999
2023-04-28 0.378 1.106234
2023-01-31 0.378 1.104617
2022-10-31 0.350 0.788288
2022-07-29 0.350 0.927152
2022-04-29 0.350 0.974930
2022-01-31 0.350 0.876534
2021-10-29 0.325 0.814741
2021-07-30 0.325 0.788070
2021-04-30 0.325 0.907314
2021-01-29 0.325 0.784835
2020-10-30 0.300 0.948767
2020-07-31 0.300 0.887311
2020-04-30 0.300 0.894721
2020-01-31 0.300 0.813229
2019-10-31 0.030 0.074776
2019-07-31 0.030 0.087873
2019-04-30 0.030 0.072869
2019-01-31 0.030 0.073332
2018-10-31 0.030 0.082896
2018-07-31 0.030 0.094727
2018-04-30 0.030 0.096774
2018-01-31 0.030 0.115340
2017-10-31 0.030 0.120000
2017-07-28 0.030 0.119190
2017-04-27 0.030 0.178147
2017-01-30 0.030 0.184502
2016-10-28 0.030 0.291262
2016-07-28 0.030 0.212917
2016-04-28 0.030 0.200000
2016-01-28 0.145 1.435644
2015-10-29 0.145 1.124903
2015-07-30 0.145 0.648479
2015-04-29 0.145 0.565082
2015-01-29 0.145 0.593533
2014-10-30 0.140 0.470588
2014-07-30 0.140 0.454250
2014-04-29 0.140 0.426699
2014-01-30 0.120 0.434311
2013-10-30 0.120 0.416089
2013-07-30 0.120 0.444444
2013-04-29 0.120 0.429492
2013-01-30 0.090 0.377200
2012-10-31 0.090 0.417440
2012-07-30 0.090 0.452489
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.9
dividendYield 1.36
exDividendDate 2026-05-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.83
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.013032332
lastDividendValue 0.475
lastDividendDate 2026-05-01
dividendDate 2026-05-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.050381243
Address1 1,301 McKinney Street
All Time High 189.96
All Time Low 8.8
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,229,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,748,581
Average Volume 2,748,581
Average Volume10Days 2,229,340
Beta 1.201
Bid 135.52
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 2
Book Value 19.853
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 139.48
Current Ratio 0.838
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 140.34
Day Low 137.57
Debt To Equity 479.237
Display Name NRG Energy
Dividend Date 1,778,803,200
Dividend Rate 1.9
Dividend Yield 1.36
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Earnings Growth -0.856
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.833
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,846,600
Ebitda 2,257,999,872
Ebitda Margins 0.06973
Enterprise To Ebitda 23.587
Enterprise To Revenue 1.645
Enterprise Value 53,258,391,552
Eps Current Year 9.2559
Eps Forward 11.56971
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.91
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 137.3828
Fifty Day Average Change 2.0971985
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.015265364
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -5.038124
Fifty Two Week High 189.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -50.48001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26574022
Fifty Two Week Low 120.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.369995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1612688
Fifty Two Week Range 120.11 - 189.96
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,070,375,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.6
Float Shares 210,100,327
Forward Eps 11.56971
Forward P E 12.055617
Free Cashflow 431,624,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 16,702
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.16445999
Gross Profits 5,326,000,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.044109996
Held Percent Institutions 0.95319
Implied Shares Outstanding 210,986,470
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Disp Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Key utilities-independent-power-producers
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=121544&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Last Dividend Value 0.475
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,180,656,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through the Texas, East, West/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments. The company offers retail electricity, energy management, demand response and virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, smart home security, and automation services. It also offers system power, distributed and backup generation, energy storage, energy management, renewable and low-carbon products, and carbon management solutions for large business and commercial customers; a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions; and generation portfolio includes fossil fuel and renewable generation assets diversified by fuel type and dispatch level, with ongoing development of new natural gas and renewable projects. In addition, the company trades in power, natural gas, and related products; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. It offers its products and services under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint. It serves residential, commercial, government, industrial, data center, and wholesale customers. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name NRG Energy, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 29,428,391,936
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_413857
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 172,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 29,428,392,835
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 139.1
Operating Cashflow 889,000,000
Operating Margins 0.03637
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 1.9725
Peg Ratio 0.65
Phone 713 537 3000
Pre Market Change -3.4700012
Pre Market Change Percent -2.487991
Pre Market Price 136.0
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,907
Previous Close 140.42
Price Eps Current Year 15.069306
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.025638
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9087325
Profit Margins 0.00738
Quick Ratio 0.334
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.58824
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.940002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.669422
Regular Market Day High 140.34
Regular Market Day Low 137.57
Regular Market Day Range 137.57 - 140.34
Regular Market Open 139.1
Regular Market Previous Close 140.42
Regular Market Price 139.48
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,209,240
Return On Assets 0.022449998
Return On Equity 0.062480003
Revenue Growth 0.195
Revenue Per Share 164.177
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 210,986,470
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.038399998
Shares Short 8,098,908
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,028,476
Short Name NRG Energy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0513
Short Ratio 2.94
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol NRG
Target High Price 267.0
Target Low Price 99.0
Target Mean Price 197.82353
Target Median Price 200.0
Total Cash 178,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.844
Total Debt 23,357,999,104
Total Revenue 32,384,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.83
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.013032332
Trailing Eps 0.91
Trailing P E 153.27472
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.6446
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 155.26675
Two Hundred Day Average Change -15.786758
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10167507
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,209,240
Website https://www.nrg.com
Zip 77,010