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NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE)

Healthcare | Medical Devices | Mountain View, United States | NasdaqGM
14.41 USD +0.28 (1.982%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.41

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT

NeuroPace presents a classic value trap where a 'strong buy' analyst recommendation clashes violently with deteriorating business reality. The company is burning significant cash, posting negative operating margins, and trading at a premium to book value despite having no earnings and a negative forward P/E. While revenue growth remains positive, the multi-year price trajectory tells a different story: the stock has lost more than half its value over the last four years, reflecting the market's skepticism regarding the company's ability to sustain operations without capital infusion. The recent news of FDA requests for more evidence and the denial of label expansion attempts further erode confidence in the product pipeline. With a beta of nearly 2.0, the stock is highly volatile and currently trading below its 50-day moving average, confirming a lack of short-term momentum. The options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put buying at the bottom of the range and almost no speculative call volume. This is not a turnaround candidate ready for immediate entry; it is a high-risk speculative bet requiring proof of commercial viability that has yet to materialize.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.094561
AutoARIMA0.094562
MSTL0.099472
AutoTheta0.109772

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 11.83
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.392
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 588.496
Revenue per Share 3.185
Market Cap 494,612,768
Forward P/E -64.86
Beta 1.94
Profit Margins -17.86%
Website https://www.neuropace.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest is concentrated deep out-of-the-money at the $5 strike, suggesting a fear of a collapse to near-zero levels. Call activity is sparse and skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($20), indicating limited conviction in a near-term rally despite the high implied volatility.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.54595184
Address1 455 North Bernardo Avenue
All Time High 27.38
All Time Low 1.22
Ask 17.12
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 149,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 190,780
Average Volume 190,780
Average Volume10Days 149,950
Beta 1.937
Bid 10.16
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 0.347
City Mountain View
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.41
Current Ratio 4.944
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 14.55
Day Low 13.9
Debt To Equity 588.496
Display Name NeuroPace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,480,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,480,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda -11,877,000
Ebitda Margins -0.11101
Enterprise To Ebitda -43.18
Enterprise To Revenue 4.793
Enterprise Value 512,844,800
Eps Current Year -0.4454
Eps Forward -0.22218
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.48
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.2316
Fifty Day Average Change -0.82159996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05394049
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 54.595184
Fifty Two Week High 19.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.1900005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26479593
Fifty Two Week Low 8.883
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.5269995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6221996
Fifty Two Week Range 8.883 - 19.6
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,619,098,200,000
Float Shares 25,641,262
Forward Eps -0.22218
Forward P E -64.85732
Free Cashflow -2,629,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 220
Fullday Change 0.28
Fullday Change Percent 1.9816
Fullday Price 14.41
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.77382004
Gross Profits 82,793,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04009
Held Percent Institutions 0.93894994
Implied Shares Outstanding 34,324,274
Industry Medical Devices
Industry Disp Medical Devices
Industry Key medical-devices
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-22
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NeuroPace, Inc. operates as a medical device company in the United States. The company develops RNS system, a brain-responsive neuromodulation system that delivers personalized, real-time treatment at the seizure source for treating drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Its RNS System includes RNS neurostimulator, cortical strip and depth leads, and Patient Remote Monitor, as well as other implantable and non-implantable accessories. In addition, the company provides physician tablet which is used for prescribing and managing clinicians for programming implanted devices and managing patient care; and patient data management system, a secure online database that collects data that have been recorded by the RNS System; and nSight Platform, which provide clinicians with personalized patient reports, as well as programming suggestions. It sells its products to hospital facilities for initial RNS System implant procedures and for replacement procedures. NeuroPace, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Long Name NeuroPace, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 494,612,768
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_125322
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -16,173,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 485,345,234
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 14.09
Operating Cashflow -11,241,000
Operating Margins -0.22531
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 237 2700
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 14.41
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 14.13
Price Eps Current Year -32.35294
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 41.527378
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.622852
Profit Margins -0.17864999
Quick Ratio 3.822
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.11111
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.28
Regular Market Change Percent 1.9816
Regular Market Day High 14.55
Regular Market Day Low 13.9
Regular Market Day Range 13.9 - 14.55
Regular Market Open 14.09
Regular Market Previous Close 14.13
Regular Market Price 14.41
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 129,419
Return On Assets -0.0747
Return On Equity -1.03273
Revenue Growth 0.171
Revenue Per Share 3.185
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 34,324,274
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.024600001
Shares Short 845,369
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 874,337
Short Name Neuropace, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.028299998
Short Ratio 3.76
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol NPCE
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 20.22222
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 51,699,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.506
Total Debt 69,931,000
Total Revenue 106,993,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.48
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.4306
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.0206003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06614132
Type Disp Equity
Volume 129,419
Website https://www.neuropace.com
Zip 94,043