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TrueShares Structured Outcome (November) ETF (NOVZ)

Defined Outcome | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
47.25 USD

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:41 a.m. EDT

The November ETF offers a compelling long-term case driven by a robust four-year price trajectory that is up nearly 35%, reflecting consistent market validation of its structured outcome strategy. The underlying business logic holds up well, evidenced by three out of four years of positive year-over-year growth and a healthy trailing P/E of roughly 27x, suggesting the premium is justified by performance rather than speculation. However, the short-term outlook remains neutral; despite being slightly above its 50-day moving average, the asset is trading near its 52-week highs, leaving little immediate room for explosive momentum gains without a significant catalyst. On the income side, the dividend yield of 3.34% is attractive but shows signs of acceleration, having nearly doubled over the last two years, which warrants monitoring to ensure payouts remain sustainable relative to the fund's net asset value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.027258
MSTL0.027910
AutoETS0.030934
AutoARIMA0.031189

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 63%
H-stat 1.54
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.713
Excess Kurtosis -0.14
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 26.88

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.55% 3.55% 2.91%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-24 1.572 3.550055
2024-12-27 1.180 2.900974
2023-12-27 0.789 2.269459
2022-12-29 0.074 0.245594
2021-12-29 0.173 0.516541
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 3.34

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 47.73
All Time Low 25.01
Ask 47.43
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,886
Average Volume 4,886
Average Volume10Days 8,190
Beta3 Year 0.77
Bid 47.33
Bid Size 100
Category Defined Outcome
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 47.2511
Day Low 47.2511
Dividend Yield 3.34
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.7578236
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 46.82784
Fifty Day Average Change 0.42325974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.009038635
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.916149
Fifty Two Week High 47.73
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.4789009
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.010033541
Fifty Two Week Low 41.567
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.6840973
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.13674542
Fifty Two Week Range 41.567 - 47.73
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,604,327,400,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1049491
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family TrueShares
Fund Inception Date 1,604,016,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively-managed ETF that seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing substantially all of its assets in options on the S&P 500 Price Index. It will purchase call options and sell put options on the S&P 500 Price Index or an ETF that seeks to track the performance of the S&P 500 Price Index on each Initial Investment Day with an expiration on the next Roll Date.
Long Name TrueShares Structured Outcome (November) ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_666767494
Nav Price 47.2328
Net Assets 37,610,580.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.79
Open 47.17
Previous Close 47.2511
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 47.2511
Regular Market Day Low 47.2511
Regular Market Day Range 47.2511 - 47.2511
Regular Market Open 47.17
Regular Market Previous Close 47.2511
Regular Market Price 47.2511
Regular Market Time 1,784,123,166
Regular Market Volume 8
Short Name TrueShares Structured Outcome (
Source Interval 15
Symbol NOVZ
Three Year Average Return 0.1476475
Total Assets 37,610,580
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 26.880455
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 10.79683
Trailing Three Month Returns 10.79683
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 44.98914
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.261959
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.050277893
Type Disp ETF
Volume 8
Yield 0.0334
Ytd Return 7.07352