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Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Minnetonka, United States | NYSE
24.55 USD -1.25 (-4.845%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.00 +0.45 (1.833%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★★★☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:19 a.m. EDT

NOG presents a polarized view: a high-yield defensive play with a precarious fundamental underpinning. The 7.33% dividend is attractive but funds a highly leveraged company (Debt-to-Equity > 112%) with recent revenue contraction (-17.1%). While the forward P/E is low, it likely reflects depressed earnings expectations. The short-term chart shows uncoupling from the 200-day SMA, losing 10.8% in the last month, supported by profit-taking. For income investors, the yield is compelling but risks capital preservation if oil prices soften further. Not a momentum play; strictly a value trap check or income play with high failure risk.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.127001
AutoETS0.127004
MSTL0.128894
AutoTheta0.139858

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 4.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.451
Excess Kurtosis -0.63
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 112.653
Revenue per Share 20.097
Market Cap 2,596,834,048
Trailing P/E 62.95
Forward P/E 6.06
Beta 0.96
Profit Margins 1.97%
Website https://www.noginc.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:19 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows heavy Implied Volatility (IV) spikes on deep Out-of-the-Money (OTM) protect calls and puts, indicating speculative bets on unfavorable supply-demand dynamics in oil prices. There is limited money flow into OTM calls relative to the IV, while significant volume appears in bulks (blk) or new flow on specific OTM strikes, suggesting a dispersion of speculative views. The lack of consistent OTM call volume below AI estimates, combined with high IV on far-dated strikes, signals that market participants are hedging against downside risk (high IV on Puts/Protection) while retaining some bullish distribution. Overall, sentiment leans defensive with speculative outliers pricing in binary moves.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.50% 7.07% 5.69%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-30 0.450 1.504514
2025-12-30 0.450 2.111270
2025-09-29 0.450 1.814195
2025-06-27 0.450 1.635469
2025-03-28 0.450 1.596439
2024-12-30 0.420 1.246294
2024-09-27 0.420 1.311544
2024-06-27 0.400 1.179980
2024-03-27 0.400 1.151736
2023-12-27 0.400 1.179739
2023-09-27 0.380 1.064657
2023-06-28 0.370 1.278679
2023-03-29 0.340 1.332696
2022-12-28 0.300 1.182463
2022-09-28 0.250 1.082181
2022-06-28 0.190 0.804459
2022-03-29 0.140 0.614318
2021-12-29 0.080 0.472903
2021-09-29 0.045 0.258053
2021-06-29 0.030 0.186627
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.8
dividendYield 7.33
exDividendDate 2026-03-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.8
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.069767445
lastDividendValue 0.45
lastDividendDate 2026-03-30
dividendDate 2026-04-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.06323087
Address1 4,350 Baker Road
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 339.8
All Time Low 3.35
Ask 25.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,218,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,560,862
Average Volume 2,560,862
Average Volume10Days 2,218,760
Beta 0.958
Bid 24.5
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 1
Book Value 21.966
City Minnetonka
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.55
Current Ratio 1.087
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 24.77
Day Low 23.6001
Debt To Equity 112.653
Display Name Northern Oil and Gas
Dividend Date 1,777,507,200
Dividend Rate 1.8
Dividend Yield 7.33
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,467,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,467,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,406,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,406,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,406,400
Ebitda 1,796,542,976
Ebitda Margins 0.91486
Enterprise To Ebitda 2.649
Enterprise To Revenue 2.423
Enterprise Value 4,758,310,400
Eps Current Year 3.52295
Eps Forward 4.05111
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.39
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,774,828,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 27.5364
Fifty Day Average Change -2.9864006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.108452834
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.323087
Fifty Two Week High 32.62
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.07
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.24739423
Fifty Two Week Low 20.18
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.369999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21655099
Fifty Two Week Range 20.18 - 32.62
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,176,471,000,000
Float Shares 94,008,015
Forward Eps 4.05111
Forward P E 6.0600677
Free Cashflow 5,992,250
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 64
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.75878996
Gross Profits 1,490,059,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.030079998
Held Percent Institutions 1.0508599
Implied Shares Outstanding 105,777,359
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,774,828,800
Last Dividend Value 0.45
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,600,646,400
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
Long Name Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,596,834,048
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30822601
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 38,761,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,596,834,163
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 24.37
Operating Cashflow 1,505,287,936
Operating Margins 0.56074
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 4.6154003
Peg Ratio 0.65
Phone 952 476 9800
Post Market Change 0.45000076
Post Market Change Percent 1.8329971
Post Market Price 25.0
Post Market Time 1,776,470,148
Previous Close 25.8
Price Eps Current Year 6.9685917
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1176363
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.322402
Profit Margins 0.01974
Quick Ratio 0.709
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.18182
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.25
Regular Market Change Percent -4.84496
Regular Market Day High 24.77
Regular Market Day Low 23.6001
Regular Market Day Range 23.6001 - 24.77
Regular Market Open 24.37
Regular Market Previous Close 25.8
Regular Market Price 24.55
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 2,451,101
Return On Assets 0.11231
Return On Equity 0.01743
Revenue Growth -0.171
Revenue Per Share 20.097
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 105,777,359
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1671
Shares Short 17,460,884
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 17,826,806
Short Name Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2678
Short Ratio 5.1
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol NOG
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 35.4
Target Median Price 35.5
Total Cash 14,299,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.148
Total Debt 2,395,393,024
Total Revenue 1,963,725,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.8
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.069767445
Trailing Eps 0.39
Trailing P E 62.94872
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.0425
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.4925003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.019666579
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,451,101
Website https://www.noginc.com
Zip 55,343