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NNN REIT, Inc. (NNN)

Real Estate | REIT - Retail | Orlando, United States | NYSE
45.67 USD +0.34 (0.750%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 45.67

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark contradiction between a generous headline yield and deteriorating economic reality. While the 5.38% dividend yield looks attractive on the surface, the payout ratio of 118% reveals that the company is burning cash to fund these distributions, eroding the very capital base required to sustain them. This is confirmed by the negative free cash flow and the recent cut in quarterly payouts, which signals management is already prioritizing survival over growth. Fundamentally, the business is struggling. Despite reporting full occupancy, the stock has delivered a cumulative loss of nearly 17% over the last nine years, and revenue growth has stalled at just 7.7%. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing equity and a current ratio well below 1.0, leaving little room for error in a rising interest rate environment. Technically, the stock is hovering near its 200-day moving average but remains trapped below its 50-day line, indicating a lack of immediate momentum. Options activity reflects this anxiety, with traders placing heavy bets on a drop to the $40 floor while hoping for a bounce to $50. Given the unsustainable dividend, the multi-year price decline, and the weak balance sheet, this is a hold or avoid situation for investors seeking capital preservation, despite the tempting yield.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.029458
AutoETS0.044262
AutoARIMA0.044264
MSTL0.045616

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 66%
H-stat 0.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.339
Excess Kurtosis -0.97
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 112.118
Revenue per Share 5.051
Market Cap 8,765,506,560
Trailing P/E 22.28
Forward P/E 21.71
Beta 0.78
Profit Margins 40.35%
Previous Name National Retail Properties, Inc.
Website https://www.nnnreit.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts at the $40 strike, suggesting a fear of a deeper decline toward that level. Conversely, there is significant call open interest at the $50 strike, indicating a speculative bet on a rebound to the 52-week high. The volume-to-open-interest ratio shows active buying of both sides, but the put positioning is more concentrated, reflecting a 'floor' mentality rather than aggressive upside conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.30% 5.60% 5.65% 5.35%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-31 0.620 1.304714
2026-04-30 0.600 1.370176
2026-01-30 0.600 1.439885
2025-10-31 0.600 1.482946
2025-07-31 0.600 1.454193
2025-04-30 0.580 1.410849
2025-01-31 0.580 1.472455
2024-10-31 0.580 1.335175
2024-07-31 0.580 1.292047
2024-04-29 0.565 1.390256
2024-01-30 0.565 1.392655
2023-10-30 0.565 1.596045
2023-07-28 0.565 1.319477
2023-04-27 0.550 1.282649
2023-01-30 0.550 1.172958
2022-10-28 0.550 1.313590
2022-07-28 0.550 1.168472
2022-04-28 0.530 1.157205
2022-01-28 0.530 1.221198
2021-10-28 0.530 1.148429
2021-07-29 0.530 1.090535
2021-04-29 0.520 1.116119
2021-01-28 0.520 1.296112
2020-10-29 0.520 1.596561
2020-07-30 0.520 1.469342
2020-04-29 0.515 1.585103
2020-01-30 0.515 0.911504
2019-10-30 0.515 0.882908
2019-07-30 0.515 0.979646
2019-04-29 0.500 0.962835
2019-01-30 0.500 0.959141
2018-10-30 0.500 1.050420
2018-07-30 0.500 1.129944
2018-04-27 0.475 1.236014
2018-01-30 0.475 1.222337
2017-10-30 0.475 1.182180
2017-07-27 0.475 1.165930
2017-04-26 0.455 1.053241
2017-01-27 0.455 1.053241
2016-10-27 0.455 1.015852
2016-07-27 0.455 0.885042
2016-04-27 0.435 0.983273
2016-01-27 0.435 1.036949
2015-10-28 0.435 1.128405
2015-07-29 0.435 1.179821
2015-04-28 0.420 1.051314
2015-01-28 0.420 0.969977
2014-10-29 0.420 1.128122
2014-07-29 0.420 1.151631
2014-04-28 0.405 1.175276
2014-01-29 0.405 1.245771
2013-10-29 0.405 1.164462
2013-07-29 0.405 1.127192
2013-04-26 0.395 1.008167
2013-01-29 0.395 1.236307
2012-10-31 0.395 1.246843
2012-07-27 0.395 1.352277
2012-04-26 0.385 1.407164
2012-01-27 0.385 1.416483
2011-10-27 0.385 1.411808
2011-07-27 0.385 1.533865
2011-04-27 0.380 1.457055
2011-01-27 0.380 1.524268
2010-10-27 0.380 1.405325
2010-07-28 0.380 1.627409
2010-04-28 0.375 1.589657
2010-01-27 0.375 1.830161
2009-10-28 0.375 1.928020
2009-07-29 0.375 1.951093
2009-04-28 0.375 2.148997
2009-01-28 0.375 2.310536
2008-10-29 0.375 2.320545
2008-07-29 0.375 1.791687
2008-04-28 0.375 1.597104
2008-01-29 0.355 1.582702
2007-10-29 0.355 1.438412
2007-07-27 0.355 1.709196
2007-04-26 0.355 1.450756
2007-01-29 0.335 1.426139
2006-10-27 0.335 1.508330
2006-07-27 0.335 1.637341
2006-04-26 0.325 1.547619
2006-01-27 0.325 1.441242
2005-10-27 0.325 1.757707
2005-07-27 0.325 1.565511
2005-04-27 0.325 1.710526
2005-01-27 0.325 1.752966
2004-10-27 0.325 1.667522
2004-07-28 0.325 1.912890
2004-04-28 0.320 1.897983
2004-01-28 0.320 1.787710
2003-10-29 0.320 1.842257
2003-07-29 0.320 1.802817
2003-04-28 0.320 1.963190
2003-01-29 0.320 2.153432
2002-10-29 0.320 2.039516
2002-07-29 0.320 1.987578
2002-04-26 0.315 2.147239
2002-01-29 0.315 2.382753
2001-10-29 0.315 2.410100
2001-07-27 0.315 2.347243
2001-04-26 0.315 2.571429
2001-01-29 0.315 2.680851
2000-10-27 0.315 3.092025
2000-07-27 0.310 2.934911
2000-04-26 0.310 2.850575
2000-01-27 0.310 3.024390
1999-10-27 0.310 2.802260
1999-07-28 0.310 2.710383
1999-04-28 0.310 2.361905
1999-01-27 0.310 2.296296
1998-10-28 0.310 2.110638
1998-07-29 0.310 1.976096
1998-04-28 0.310 1.893130
1998-01-28 0.300 1.714286
1997-10-29 0.300 1.860465
1997-07-29 0.300 1.967213
1997-04-28 0.300 2.033898
1997-01-29 0.300 1.920000
1996-10-29 0.300 2.201835
1996-07-29 0.300 2.201835
1996-04-26 0.290 2.209524
1996-01-10 0.290 2.252427
1995-10-13 0.290 2.230769
1995-07-27 0.290 2.297030
1995-04-24 0.290 2.391753
1995-01-25 0.290 2.416667
1994-10-25 0.290 2.442105
1994-07-25 0.290 2.148148
1994-04-25 0.280 2.018018
1994-01-25 0.280 2.055046
1993-10-04 0.280 2.018018
1993-07-26 0.280 2.093458
1993-04-26 0.270 2.000000
1993-01-25 0.270 2.204082
1992-10-26 0.270 2.273684
1992-07-27 0.270 2.634146
1992-04-24 0.270 2.634146
1992-01-27 0.270 2.769231
1991-10-25 0.270 2.958904
1991-07-25 0.260 2.736842
1991-04-19 0.260 2.888889
1991-01-25 0.260 3.250000
1990-10-25 0.260 3.354839
1990-04-23 0.250 3.225806
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.48
dividendYield 5.47
exDividendDate 2026-07-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.05294507
lastDividendValue 0.62
lastDividendDate 2026-07-31
dividendDate 2026-08-14

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.07595539
Address1 450 South Orange Avenue
Address2 Suite 900
All Time High 59.26
All Time Low 7.0
Ask 45.97
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,208,210
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,582,119
Average Volume 1,582,119
Average Volume10Days 1,208,210
Beta 0.783
Bid 45.39
Bid Size 700
Board Risk 1
Book Value 23.241
City Orlando
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 45.67
Current Ratio 0.179
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 45.74
Day Low 45.2832
Debt To Equity 112.118
Display Name NNN REIT
Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Dividend Rate 2.48
Dividend Yield 5.47
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,940,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,940,200
Earnings Growth -0.037
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.026
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,709,000
Ebitda 860,658,624
Ebitda Margins 0.90287
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.991
Enterprise To Revenue 14.438
Enterprise Value 13,762,556,928
Eps Current Year 2.06991
Eps Forward 2.10366
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.05
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 407 650 1044
Fifty Day Average 47.036
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3660011
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.029041609
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 7.595539
Fifty Two Week High 50.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.330002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.086600035
Fifty Two Week Low 38.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.7699966
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17403589
Fifty Two Week Range 38.9 - 50.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 466,176,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 5.19
Float Shares 179,636,275
Forward Eps 2.10366
Forward P E 21.70978
Free Cashflow -1,371,816,320
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 85
Fullday Change 0.339996
Fullday Change Percent 0.750047
Fullday Price 45.67
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.96094
Gross Profits 916,014,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.008590001
Held Percent Institutions 1.02193
Implied Shares Outstanding 191,931,400
Industry REIT - Retail
Industry Disp REIT - Retail
Industry Key reit-retail
Ir Website http://www.snl.com/irweblinkx/corporateprofile.aspx?iid=103064
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Last Dividend Value 0.62
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NNN REIT, Inc. is a REIT that invests in high-quality properties subjected generally to long-term, net leases with minimal ongoing capital expenditures. As of June 30, 2026, the Company owned 3,774 properties across 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, encompassing approximately 40.4 million square feet of gross leasable area, with a weighted average remaining lease term of 10.1 years. NNN REIT, Inc. was incorporated in August 1984 in Maryland and is based in Orlando, Florida.
Long Name NNN REIT, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,765,506,560
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_275573
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common 383,943,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,700,250,362
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 45.56
Operating Cashflow 673,008,000
Operating Margins 0.61697
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 1.1823001
Peg Ratio 4.79
Phone 407 265 7348
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 45.67
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Prev Name National Retail Properties, Inc.
Previous Close 45.33
Price Eps Current Year 22.06376
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9650618
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 9.19542
Profit Margins 0.40353
Quick Ratio 0.115
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.94118
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.339996
Regular Market Change Percent 0.750047
Regular Market Day High 45.74
Regular Market Day Low 45.2832
Regular Market Day Range 45.2832 - 45.74
Regular Market Open 45.56
Regular Market Previous Close 45.33
Regular Market Price 45.67
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 907,806
Return On Assets 0.03914
Return On Equity 0.08719
Revenue Growth 0.077
Revenue Per Share 5.051
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 191,931,400
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0319
Shares Short 6,130,443
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,231,687
Short Name NNN REIT, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0432
Short Ratio 4.25
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol NNN
Target High Price 50.5
Target Low Price 45.0
Target Mean Price 47.8
Target Median Price 48.0
Total Cash 4,223,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.022
Total Debt 5,001,272,832
Total Revenue 953,246,976
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.05294507
Trailing Eps 2.05
Trailing P E 22.278048
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 43.93525
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.7347488
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.039484214
Type Disp Equity
Volume 907,806
Website https://www.nnnreit.com
Zip 32,801-9803