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NextNav Inc. (NN)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Reston, United States | NasdaqCM
15.44 USD -0.56 (-3.500%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:04 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured between speculative hype and fundamental reality. On the surface, the options market is screaming 'breakout,' with heavy call buying at strikes like $20 and $30 creating a self-fulfilling prophecy for a short-term pop. However, this optimism ignores a business that is actively destroying value. Revenue has contracted by 35%, gross margins are deeply negative at -101%, and the company is burning cash with no path to profitability visible in the forward estimates. The negative book value and lack of dividends confirm that the equity is essentially a warrant on a distressed asset. While the catalyst of potential acquisition or restructuring could drive the stock higher in the near term, the underlying fundamentals are a severe value trap. The short-term rating remains neutral-to-bearish because the technicals are fragile without a fundamental turnaround, while the long-term rating is a hard avoid due to deteriorating economics and negative shareholder returns.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.157977
AutoTheta0.161171
AutoETS0.161195
AutoARIMA0.162385

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 0.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.617
Excess Kurtosis -0.72
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Revenue per Share 0.03
Market Cap 2,106,586,368
Forward P/E -21.15
Beta 1.07
Previous Name Spartacus Acquisition Corporation
Website https://nextnav.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for a rally, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $20-$35) and significant volume spikes in deep OTM calls. Conversely, put activity is concentrated near the money ($14-$16), suggesting a defensive floor rather than a bearish bet on further collapse. The skew is heavily bullish, with implied volatility significantly elevated for upside moves compared to downside protection.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.045145333
Address1 11,911 Freedom Drive
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 24.42
All Time Low 1.59
Ask 19.87
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,719,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,825,239
Average Volume 2,825,239
Average Volume10Days 1,719,110
Beta 1.072
Bid 11.52
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value -0.661
City Reston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.44
Current Ratio 10.485
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 16.05
Day Low 15.34
Display Name NextNav
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,792,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,792,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,788,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda -65,411,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -34.292
Enterprise To Revenue 556.727
Enterprise Value 2,243,054,848
Eps Current Year -0.41
Eps Forward -0.73
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.09
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 19.6005
Fifty Day Average Change -4.1605005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.21226501
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -4.514533
Fifty Two Week High 24.42
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.9800005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3677314
Fifty Two Week Low 10.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.5699997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.42042315
Fifty Two Week Range 10.87 - 24.42
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,604,327,400,000
Float Shares 68,255,947
Forward Eps -0.73
Forward P E -21.150684
Free Cashflow -19,809,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 103
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins -1.01762
Gross Profits -4,100,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.28207
Held Percent Institutions 0.74004
Implied Shares Outstanding 136,436,939
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-10-29
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NextNav Inc. provides positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) solutions in the United States. The company offers Pinnacle, an accurate altitude service for public safety applications, including enhanced 911 for Verizon and national cellular network providers. It also provides TerraPoiNT, a 3D PNT system, provides positioning, navigation, and timing services provided by GPS through a land-based GPS satellite constellation. The company serves Wi-Fi, telecom, public safety, location apps, and critical infrastructure industries. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Long Name NextNav Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,106,586,368
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_108517188
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-14
Net Income To Common -141,295,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,106,586,338
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 15.77
Operating Cashflow -48,607,000
Operating Margins -19.13869
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 800 775 0982
Pre Market Change -0.19999981
Pre Market Change Percent -1.2953355
Pre Market Price 15.24
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,821
Prev Name Spartacus Acquisition Corporation
Previous Close 16.0
Price Eps Current Year -37.658535
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -23.358547
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 522.8559
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 10.235
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.56
Regular Market Change Percent -3.5
Regular Market Day High 16.05
Regular Market Day Low 15.34
Regular Market Day Range 15.34 - 16.05
Regular Market Open 15.77
Regular Market Previous Close 16.0
Regular Market Price 15.44
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 995,877
Return On Assets -0.17296
Revenue Growth -0.353
Revenue Per Share 0.03
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 136,436,939
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1195
Shares Short 16,306,367
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 19,674,245
Short Name NextNav Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1602
Short Ratio 6.05
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol NN
Target High Price 50.0
Target Low Price 29.0
Target Mean Price 39.5
Target Median Price 39.5
Total Cash 142,959,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.049
Total Debt 281,468,992
Total Revenue 4,029,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.09
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.529776
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.089776
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06592806
Type Disp Equity
Volume 995,877
Website https://nextnav.com
Zip 20,190