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Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | New York, United States | NYSE
23.04 USD -0.02 (-0.087%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 23.11 +0.07 (0.304%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:41 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT

The narrative here is a classic defensive income play on a distressed asset. Fundamentally, Annaly is showing signs of life with a recent dividend hike and positive earnings momentum, supported by a healthy payout ratio that suggests the yield isn't being cannibalized. However, the long-term outlook remains murky due to the sector's cyclical nature and the company's history of multi-year declines; despite recent recovery, the business faces headwinds that prevent a top-tier buy rating. The 12.88% yield is attractive but comes with significant capital risk, evidenced by the heavy put writing seen in the options chain. Speculators are clearly hedging against a drop, viewing the current price as vulnerable to further mortgage sector stress. For investors, this is a high-risk, high-reward situation where the dividend provides a cushion, but the principal is not safe.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.014985
MSTL0.016133
AutoARIMA0.018598
AutoETS0.018645

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 55%
H-stat 1.97
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.752
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 737.543
Revenue per Share 4.629
Market Cap 17,365,581,824
Trailing P/E 5.57
Forward P/E 7.41
Beta 1.24
Profit Margins 90.68%
Website https://www.annaly.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume, particularly for September and October expirations, creating a significant 'wall' at strikes below the current price. This suggests a fear of a sharp downside gap or volatility spike. Conversely, call interest is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a belief that the stock will trade sideways or drift modestly higher rather than making a massive rally. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for downside protection compared to upside bets.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.35% 13.26% 13.57% 13.75%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.750 3.354204
2026-03-31 0.700 3.309693
2025-12-31 0.700 3.130590
2025-09-30 0.700 3.463632
2025-06-30 0.700 3.719447
2025-03-31 0.700 3.446578
2024-12-31 0.650 3.551913
2024-09-30 0.650 3.238665
2024-06-28 0.650 3.410283
2024-03-27 0.650 3.343621
2023-12-28 0.650 3.269618
2023-09-28 0.650 3.468517
2023-06-29 0.650 3.248376
2023-03-30 0.650 3.455609
2022-12-29 0.880 4.115996
2022-09-29 0.880 5.025700
2022-06-29 0.880 3.728813
2022-03-30 0.880 3.102962
2021-12-30 0.880 2.767296
2021-09-29 0.880 2.594340
2021-06-29 0.880 2.477477
2021-03-30 0.880 2.522936
2020-12-30 0.880 2.631579
2020-09-29 0.880 3.089888
2020-06-29 0.880 3.363914
2020-03-30 1.000 4.409171
2019-12-30 1.000 2.653928
2019-09-27 1.000 2.860412
2019-06-27 1.000 2.747253
2019-03-28 1.200 2.982107
2018-12-28 1.200 3.039514
2018-09-27 0.312 0.769990
2018-09-05 0.888 2.106262
2018-06-28 1.200 2.884615
2018-03-28 1.200 2.909796
2017-12-28 1.200 2.495840
2017-09-28 1.200 2.450980
2017-06-28 1.200 2.477292
2017-03-29 1.200 2.697842
2016-12-28 1.200 3.012048
2016-09-28 1.056 2.516683
2016-07-07 0.144 0.333025
2016-06-28 1.200 2.749771
2016-03-29 1.200 2.955665
2015-12-29 1.200 3.191489
2015-09-28 1.200 3.021148
2015-06-26 1.200 3.222341
2015-03-27 1.200 2.849003
2014-12-29 1.200 2.714932
2014-09-29 1.200 2.762431
2014-06-27 1.200 2.626970
2014-03-28 1.200 2.744739
2013-12-27 1.200 3.051882
2013-09-27 1.400 3.009458
2013-06-27 1.600 3.147128
2013-03-27 1.800 2.873563
2012-12-26 1.800 3.160112
2012-09-27 2.000 2.967359
2012-06-27 2.200 3.289474
2012-03-28 2.200 3.532434
2011-12-27 2.280 3.481979
2011-09-28 2.400 3.594967
2011-06-28 2.600 3.637381
2011-03-29 2.480 3.555046
2010-12-23 2.560 3.585434
2010-09-30 2.720 3.863636
2010-06-25 2.720 3.903559
2010-03-30 2.600 3.801170
2009-12-24 3.000 4.204036
2009-09-29 2.760 3.776683
2009-06-25 2.400 4.008016
2009-03-26 2.000 3.518649
2008-12-26 2.000 3.182686
2008-09-16 2.200 3.726287
2008-06-25 2.200 3.465659
2008-03-26 1.920 2.986932
2007-12-27 1.360 1.911186
2007-09-27 1.040 1.629073
2007-06-28 0.960 1.687764
2007-03-29 0.800 1.296176
2006-12-27 0.760 1.362984
2006-09-27 0.560 1.076923
2006-06-28 0.520 1.074380
2006-03-29 0.440 0.896495
2005-12-28 0.400 0.907441
2005-09-26 0.520 1.003861
2005-06-28 1.440 2.016807
2005-03-30 1.800 2.393617
2004-12-29 2.000 2.538071
2004-09-28 2.000 2.901915
2004-06-30 1.920 2.830189
2004-03-29 2.000 2.552323
2003-12-24 1.880 2.532328
2003-10-01 1.120 1.735896
2003-06-30 2.400 3.013561
2003-03-27 2.400 3.384095
2002-12-27 2.720 3.588390
2002-10-01 2.720 3.830986
2002-07-01 2.720 3.746557
2002-04-03 2.520 3.853211
2001-12-27 2.400 3.612282
2001-10-03 1.800 3.249097
2001-07-02 1.600 3.100775
2001-04-03 1.200 2.727273
2000-12-27 1.000 2.739726
2000-10-05 1.000 2.857143
2000-06-29 1.200 3.356643
2000-04-03 1.400 3.943662
1999-12-29 1.400 4.087591
1999-10-07 1.400 4.028777
1999-07-07 1.400 3.333333
1999-03-30 1.320 3.428571
1998-12-29 1.220 3.842520
1998-10-01 1.080 3.375000
1998-07-01 1.280 3.567944
1998-03-27 1.280 2.909091
1997-12-29 0.880 2.133333
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.0
dividendYield 13.01
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.85
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.12359063
lastDividendValue 0.75
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.09548688
Address1 1,211 Avenue of the Americas
All Time High 86.0
All Time Low 14.04
Ask 23.12
Ask Size 11,900
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,112,710
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,435,111
Average Volume 7,435,111
Average Volume10Days 5,112,710
Beta 1.239
Bid 23.03
Bid Size 9,200
Board Risk 1
Book Value 20.148
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 23.04
Current Ratio 0.558
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 23.226
Day Low 23.0
Debt To Equity 737.543
Display Name Annaly Capital Management
Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Dividend Rate 3.0
Dividend Yield 13.01
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,725,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,725,200
Earnings Growth 34.26
Earnings Quarterly Growth 13.408
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 44.234
Enterprise Value 143,963,570,176
Eps Current Year 3.08308
Eps Forward 3.10983
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.14
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.8396
Fifty Day Average Change 0.2004013
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.008774292
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 9.548688
Fifty Two Week High 24.52
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.4799995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06035887
Fifty Two Week Low 20.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.040001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.15200004
Fifty Two Week Range 20.0 - 24.52
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 876,317,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 13.69
Float Shares 752,350,219
Forward Eps 3.10983
Forward P E 7.408766
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 212
Fullday Change -0.0199986
Fullday Change Percent -0.086724
Fullday Price 23.11
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.97972
Gross Profits 3,188,553,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00104
Held Percent Institutions 0.6158
Implied Shares Outstanding 753,714,442
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Ir Website http://investor.annaly.com/corporateprofile.aspx?iid=113558
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.75
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,664,150,400
Last Split Factor 1:4
Long Business Summary Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, engages in the residential mortgage finance business. The company invests in agency mortgage-backed securities collateralized by residential mortgages; non-agency residential whole loans and securitized products within the residential and commercial markets; mortgage servicing rights; agency commercial mortgage-backed securities; to-be-announced forward contracts; residential mortgage-backed securities; residential mortgage loans; and agency or private label credit risk transfer securities. It has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT). As a REIT, it is not subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes its taxable income to its shareholders. Annaly Capital Management, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,365,581,824
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_382914
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,786,062,080
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 17,380,655,032
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 23.13
Operating Cashflow 886,446,976
Operating Margins 0.91652
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.6884
Peg Ratio 32.03
Phone 212 696 0100
Post Market Change 0.069999695
Post Market Change Percent 0.3038181
Post Market Price 23.11
Post Market Time 1,787,960,496
Previous Close 23.06
Price Eps Current Year 7.473047
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1435379
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.335773
Profit Margins 0.90681
Quick Ratio 0.529
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0199986
Regular Market Change Percent -0.086724
Regular Market Day High 23.226
Regular Market Day Low 23.0
Regular Market Day Range 23.0 - 23.226
Regular Market Open 23.13
Regular Market Previous Close 23.06
Regular Market Price 23.04
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 4,962,696
Return On Assets 0.02329
Return On Equity 0.19567
Revenue Growth 4.794
Revenue Per Share 4.629
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 753,714,442
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0
Shares Short 4,490
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 11,722
Short Name Annaly Capital Management Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0
Short Ratio 0.0
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol NLY
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 22.5
Target Mean Price 24.22727
Target Median Price 24.0
Total Cash 480,364,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.637
Total Debt 125,222,871,040
Total Revenue 3,254,557,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.85
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.12359063
Trailing Eps 4.14
Trailing P E 5.565218
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 22.52085
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.5191517
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.023052048
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,962,696
Website https://www.annaly.com
Zip 10,036