Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | New York, United States | NYSE
18.54 USD
+0.38
(2.092%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 12:20 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:06 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is defensive; the stock is trading at a discount to book value with a massive dividend yield, yet the technical setup is precarious. The price has recently collapsed from the $21.44 high to the $18.30 low, erasing recent gains. Crucially, the options market is screaming caution: the sheer volume of put open interest suggests a 'floor' is being established well below current prices, implying traders expect further weakness or volatility. While the company reports earnings beats and a dividend hike, the market is pricing in a 'value trap' scenario where the balance sheet risks (high debt-to-equity) outweigh the income appeal. The statistical forecast shows almost zero directional bias, confirming the lack of a clear trend. For now, the risk-reward profile is skewed against the buyer due to the heavy put positioning and recent price deterioration. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.037912 |
| AutoETS | 0.039741 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.039884 |
| AutoTheta | 0.039918 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 79.82 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.52 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-09-29 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-09-29 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 737.543 |
| Revenue per Share | 4.629 |
| Market Cap | 13,973,866,496 |
| Trailing P/E | 4.54 |
| Forward P/E | 5.97 |
| Beta | 1.28 |
| Profit Margins | 90.68% |
| Website | https://www.annaly.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (over 23,500 contracts at the nearest expiration) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some call activity at strikes above the current price, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, creating a significant resistance ceiling around the $21-$22 range.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.97% | 13.76% | 13.74% | 14.02% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 0.750 | 3.970355 |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.750 | 3.354204 |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.700 | 3.309693 |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.700 | 3.130590 |
| 2025-09-30 | 0.700 | 3.463632 |
| 2025-06-30 | 0.700 | 3.719447 |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.700 | 3.446578 |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.650 | 3.551913 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.650 | 3.238665 |
| 2024-06-28 | 0.650 | 3.410283 |
| 2024-03-27 | 0.650 | 3.343621 |
| 2023-12-28 | 0.650 | 3.269618 |
| 2023-09-28 | 0.650 | 3.468517 |
| 2023-06-29 | 0.650 | 3.248376 |
| 2023-03-30 | 0.650 | 3.455609 |
| 2022-12-29 | 0.880 | 4.115996 |
| 2022-09-29 | 0.880 | 5.025700 |
| 2022-06-29 | 0.880 | 3.728813 |
| 2022-03-30 | 0.880 | 3.102962 |
| 2021-12-30 | 0.880 | 2.767296 |
| 2021-09-29 | 0.880 | 2.594340 |
| 2021-06-29 | 0.880 | 2.477477 |
| 2021-03-30 | 0.880 | 2.522936 |
| 2020-12-30 | 0.880 | 2.631579 |
| 2020-09-29 | 0.880 | 3.089888 |
| 2020-06-29 | 0.880 | 3.363914 |
| 2020-03-30 | 1.000 | 4.409171 |
| 2019-12-30 | 1.000 | 2.653928 |
| 2019-09-27 | 1.000 | 2.860412 |
| 2019-06-27 | 1.000 | 2.747253 |
| 2019-03-28 | 1.200 | 2.982107 |
| 2018-12-28 | 1.200 | 3.039514 |
| 2018-09-27 | 0.312 | 0.769990 |
| 2018-09-05 | 0.888 | 2.106262 |
| 2018-06-28 | 1.200 | 2.884615 |
| 2018-03-28 | 1.200 | 2.909796 |
| 2017-12-28 | 1.200 | 2.495840 |
| 2017-09-28 | 1.200 | 2.450980 |
| 2017-06-28 | 1.200 | 2.477292 |
| 2017-03-29 | 1.200 | 2.697842 |
| 2016-12-28 | 1.200 | 3.012048 |
| 2016-09-28 | 1.056 | 2.516683 |
| 2016-07-07 | 0.144 | 0.333025 |
| 2016-06-28 | 1.200 | 2.749771 |
| 2016-03-29 | 1.200 | 2.955665 |
| 2015-12-29 | 1.200 | 3.191489 |
| 2015-09-28 | 1.200 | 3.021148 |
| 2015-06-26 | 1.200 | 3.222341 |
| 2015-03-27 | 1.200 | 2.849003 |
| 2014-12-29 | 1.200 | 2.714932 |
| 2014-09-29 | 1.200 | 2.762431 |
| 2014-06-27 | 1.200 | 2.626970 |
| 2014-03-28 | 1.200 | 2.744739 |
| 2013-12-27 | 1.200 | 3.051882 |
| 2013-09-27 | 1.400 | 3.009458 |
| 2013-06-27 | 1.600 | 3.147128 |
| 2013-03-27 | 1.800 | 2.873563 |
| 2012-12-26 | 1.800 | 3.160112 |
| 2012-09-27 | 2.000 | 2.967359 |
| 2012-06-27 | 2.200 | 3.289474 |
| 2012-03-28 | 2.200 | 3.532434 |
| 2011-12-27 | 2.280 | 3.481979 |
| 2011-09-28 | 2.400 | 3.594967 |
| 2011-06-28 | 2.600 | 3.637381 |
| 2011-03-29 | 2.480 | 3.555046 |
| 2010-12-23 | 2.560 | 3.585434 |
| 2010-09-30 | 2.720 | 3.863636 |
| 2010-06-25 | 2.720 | 3.903559 |
| 2010-03-30 | 2.600 | 3.801170 |
| 2009-12-24 | 3.000 | 4.204036 |
| 2009-09-29 | 2.760 | 3.776683 |
| 2009-06-25 | 2.400 | 4.008016 |
| 2009-03-26 | 2.000 | 3.518649 |
| 2008-12-26 | 2.000 | 3.182686 |
| 2008-09-16 | 2.200 | 3.726287 |
| 2008-06-25 | 2.200 | 3.465659 |
| 2008-03-26 | 1.920 | 2.986932 |
| 2007-12-27 | 1.360 | 1.911186 |
| 2007-09-27 | 1.040 | 1.629073 |
| 2007-06-28 | 0.960 | 1.687764 |
| 2007-03-29 | 0.800 | 1.296176 |
| 2006-12-27 | 0.760 | 1.362984 |
| 2006-09-27 | 0.560 | 1.076923 |
| 2006-06-28 | 0.520 | 1.074380 |
| 2006-03-29 | 0.440 | 0.896495 |
| 2005-12-28 | 0.400 | 0.907441 |
| 2005-09-26 | 0.520 | 1.003861 |
| 2005-06-28 | 1.440 | 2.016807 |
| 2005-03-30 | 1.800 | 2.393617 |
| 2004-12-29 | 2.000 | 2.538071 |
| 2004-09-28 | 2.000 | 2.901915 |
| 2004-06-30 | 1.920 | 2.830189 |
| 2004-03-29 | 2.000 | 2.552323 |
| 2003-12-24 | 1.880 | 2.532328 |
| 2003-10-01 | 1.120 | 1.735896 |
| 2003-06-30 | 2.400 | 3.013561 |
| 2003-03-27 | 2.400 | 3.384095 |
| 2002-12-27 | 2.720 | 3.588390 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.720 | 3.830986 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.720 | 3.746557 |
| 2002-04-03 | 2.520 | 3.853211 |
| 2001-12-27 | 2.400 | 3.612282 |
| 2001-10-03 | 1.800 | 3.249097 |
| 2001-07-02 | 1.600 | 3.100775 |
| 2001-04-03 | 1.200 | 2.727273 |
| 2000-12-27 | 1.000 | 2.739726 |
| 2000-10-05 | 1.000 | 2.857143 |
| 2000-06-29 | 1.200 | 3.356643 |
| 2000-04-03 | 1.400 | 3.943662 |
| 1999-12-29 | 1.400 | 4.087591 |
| 1999-10-07 | 1.400 | 4.028777 |
| 1999-07-07 | 1.400 | 3.333333 |
| 1999-03-30 | 1.320 | 3.428571 |
| 1998-12-29 | 1.220 | 3.842520 |
| 1998-10-01 | 1.080 | 3.375000 |
| 1998-07-01 | 1.280 | 3.567944 |
| 1998-03-27 | 1.280 | 2.909091 |
| 1997-12-29 | 0.880 | 2.133333 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.11457825 |
| Address1 | 1,211 Avenue of the Americas |
| All Time High | 86.0 |
| All Time Low | 14.04 |
| Ask | 18.51 |
| Ask Size | 5,900 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.9 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 15,206,890 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 9,505,132 |
| Average Volume | 9,505,132 |
| Average Volume10Days | 15,206,890 |
| Beta | 1.278 |
| Bid | 18.51 |
| Bid Size | 6,700 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 20.148 |
| City | New York |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 18.54 |
| Current Ratio | 0.558 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 18.71 |
| Day Low | 18.34 |
| Debt To Equity | 737.543 |
| Display Name | Annaly Capital Management |
| Dividend Date | 1,793,318,400 |
| Dividend Yield | 16.52 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,792,612,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,792,612,800 |
| Earnings Growth | 34.26 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 13.408 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,792,526,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,792,526,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,792,526,400 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 43.104 |
| Enterprise Value | 140,285,444,096 |
| Eps Current Year | 3.08385 |
| Eps Forward | 3.10668 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 4.08 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,790,726,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 21.4808 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.9407997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.13690363 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -11.457825 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 24.52 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.9799995 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.24388252 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 17.76 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.7800007 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.043918956 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 17.76 - 24.52 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 876,317,400,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 13.6 |
| Float Shares | 752,342,682 |
| Forward Eps | 3.10668 |
| Forward P E | 5.967786 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 212 |
| Fullday Change | 0.38000107 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.091941 |
| Fullday Price | 18.54 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.97972 |
| Gross Profits | 3,188,553,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00104 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.6247 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 753,714,442 |
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Disp | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Key | reit-mortgage |
| Ir Website | http://investor.annaly.com/corporateprofile.aspx?iid=113558 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,790,726,400 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.75 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,664,150,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:4 |
| Long Business Summary | Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, engages in the residential mortgage finance business. The company invests in agency mortgage-backed securities collateralized by residential mortgages; non-agency residential whole loans and securitized products within the residential and commercial markets; mortgage servicing rights; agency commercial mortgage-backed securities; to-be-announced forward contracts; residential mortgage-backed securities; residential mortgage loans; and agency or private label credit risk transfer securities. It has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT). As a REIT, it is not subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes its taxable income to its shareholders. Annaly Capital Management, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in New York, New York. |
| Long Name | Annaly Capital Management, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 13,973,866,496 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_382914 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 2,786,062,080 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 15,858,151,859 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 11 |
| Open | 18.44 |
| Operating Cashflow | 886,446,976 |
| Operating Margins | 0.91652 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.6985 |
| Peg Ratio | 32.03 |
| Phone | 212 696 0100 |
| Previous Close | 18.16 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 6.011966 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.9201906 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 4.2936296 |
| Profit Margins | 0.90681 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.529 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.92308 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.38000107 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.091941 |
| Regular Market Day High | 18.71 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 18.34 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 18.34 - 18.71 |
| Regular Market Open | 18.44 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 18.16 |
| Regular Market Price | 18.54 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,081,223 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,708,651 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02329 |
| Return On Equity | 0.19567 |
| Revenue Growth | 4.794 |
| Revenue Per Share | 4.629 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 753,714,442 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.032 |
| Shares Short | 24,089,145 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 20,656,777 |
| Short Name | Annaly Capital Management Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.032 |
| Short Ratio | 2.21 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NY |
| Symbol | NLY |
| Target High Price | 25.0 |
| Target Low Price | 21.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 23.36364 |
| Target Median Price | 24.0 |
| Total Cash | 480,364,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.637 |
| Total Debt | 125,222,871,040 |
| Total Revenue | 3,254,557,952 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 2.85 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.15693833 |
| Trailing Eps | 4.08 |
| Trailing P E | 4.544118 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 22.2354 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.6953983 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.16619438 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,708,651 |
| Website | https://www.annaly.com |
| Zip | 10,036 |