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NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ)

NYSE
11.07 USD -0.18 (-1.600%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:59 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst is a sharp technical rebound; the stock has recovered from a low of roughly 8.00 to trade near 11.25 over the last two weeks, reclaiming the 50-day moving average. However, this rally is occurring against a backdrop of severe structural weakness. The price has collapsed nearly 40% from its 52-week high of 20.39, and the company has zero price history beyond the current fiscal year, rendering any long-term growth assessment impossible based on historical trajectories. While the forward P/E of 9.26x appears attractive, it masks the reality that the business is currently in a deep correction phase with no proven multi-year revenue growth track record. The options market is aggressively betting on a continuation of this bounce, but without a confirmed earnings recovery or a return to higher valuation multiples, the trend remains fragile. The lack of dividends further limits the floor for investors. This is a speculative recovery play rather than a fundamental buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.184591
AutoARIMA0.208076
MSTL0.211066
AutoETS0.211901

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 2.69
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.035
Excess Kurtosis -0.87
Attribute Value
Market Cap 3,267,159,296
Forward P/E 9.11

As of July 11, 2026, 6:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes of 17.5 and 20.0 for the July expiration, while put activity remains negligible. This asymmetry suggests a bullish bias despite the low implied volatility environment.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 20.39
All Time Low 7.93
Ask 11.4
Ask Size 600
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,593,510
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,498,626
Average Volume 1,498,626
Average Volume10Days 1,593,510
Bid 11.07
Bid Size 500
Book Value 3.104
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.07
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 11.84
Day Low 11.001
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Eps Current Year 0.98188
Eps Forward 1.21466
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.2
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.1852
Fifty Day Average Change 1.8848
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.20519967
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -40.82062
Fifty Two Week High 20.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.32
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4570868
Fifty Two Week Low 7.93
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.1399999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.39596468
Fifty Two Week Range 7.93 - 20.39
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,753,277,400,000
Forward P E 9.113661
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Implied Shares Outstanding 295,136,342
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,267,159,296
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1951047590
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,267,159,305
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 11.52
Pre Market Change 0.010000229
Pre Market Change Percent 0.09033631
Pre Market Price 11.08
Pre Market Time 1,784,026,908
Previous Close 11.25
Price Eps Current Year 11.27429
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.5663657
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.64286
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -1.6
Regular Market Day High 11.84
Regular Market Day Low 11.001
Regular Market Day Range 11.001 - 11.84
Regular Market Open 11.52
Regular Market Previous Close 11.25
Regular Market Price 11.07
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 2,330,970
Shares Outstanding 295,136,342
Short Name NIQ Global Intelligence plc
Source Interval 15
Symbol NIQ
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 10.5
Target Mean Price 14.46154
Target Median Price 14.0
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.6381
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5681
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12407719
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,330,970