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NIO Inc. (NIO)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Shanghai, China | NYSE
3.43 USD -0.07 (-2.000%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 3.41 -0.02 (-0.019%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4:41 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:24 a.m. EDT

The investment case for NIO remains fundamentally conflicted. On one hand, the company boasts exceptional top-line growth with revenue up nearly 70%, and the balance sheet holds a respectable cash buffer against debt. The recent delivery numbers for flagship models suggest product-market fit is improving in key markets. However, the bottom line remains deeply distressed, with negative operating margins and a trailing P/E that is mathematically undefined due to losses. The market has punished this stock hard over the last few years, dragging the price down significantly despite the revenue surge. Short-term, the stock is range-bound and lacks a clear catalyst to break out of its downtrend, though the options chain shows aggressive speculation on both sides. Long-term, while the business model is theoretically sound for an EV maker, the execution risks in Europe and the persistent profitability issues prevent a 'buy and hold' conviction. The stock is currently priced as a turnaround story waiting to happen, but the path to profitability is steep. Until operating margins turn positive and the stock can demonstrate sustained price appreciation over multiple quarters, it remains a hold for existing investors and a speculative buy for new entrants willing to tolerate high volatility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.172613
AutoARIMA0.174023
MSTL0.174224
AutoTheta0.176204

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 40.87
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.092
Excess Kurtosis -1.59
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 203.22
Revenue per Share 46.845
Market Cap 8,594,438,144
Forward P/E 26.96
Beta 0.92
Profit Margins -4.17%
Website https://www.nio.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($7.00 and $15.00 for longer-dated contracts), suggesting a speculative bet on a massive rally or a 'lottery ticket' scenario. However, Put Open Interest is even more concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes ($2.00), indicating a fear of a crash to lower levels. The imbalance in volume versus open interest at the $3.50 strike suggests active trading around the current price, but the heavy OI at distant strikes implies the market is pricing in a binary event—either a surge to double the current price or a drop to half—rather than a steady grind higher.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.4814815
Address1 Building 20
Address2 No. 56 AnTuo Road Jiading District
All Time High 66.99
All Time Low 1.19
Ask 3.38
Ask Size 115,900
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 33,132,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 31,885,046
Average Volume 31,885,046
Average Volume10Days 33,132,340
Beta 0.924
Bid 3.37
Bid Size 60,900
Book Value 0.24324274
City Shanghai
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.43
Current Ratio 1.019
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 3.545
Day Low 3.365
Debt To Equity 203.22
Display Name NIO
Dividend Date 1,462,147,200
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,788,264,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,788,264,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,788,265,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,795,523,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,795,523,400
Ebitda 3,411,818,496
Ebitda Margins 0.0299
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.422
Enterprise To Revenue 0.043
Enterprise Value 4,850,413,568
Eps Current Year -0.24434
Eps Forward 0.12724523
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.25
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.933
Fifty Day Average Change -0.503
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.1278922
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -48.148148
Fifty Two Week High 7.54
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.1099997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5450928
Fifty Two Week Low 3.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.07000017
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.020833384
Fifty Two Week Range 3.36 - 7.54
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,536,759,000,000
Float Shares 1,898,996,284
Forward Eps 0.12724523
Forward P E 26.955824
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 35,032
Fullday Change -0.08920002
Fullday Change Percent -2.548572
Fullday Price 3.4108
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.1736
Gross Profits 19,809,972,224
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0014200001
Held Percent Institutions 0.12041
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,505,667,022
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery-swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for power valet service. In addition, it provides repair, maintenance, car beauty, and inspection services through its service centers and authorized third-party service centers; vehicle transportation and delivery, pre-delivery inspections, guidance on vehicle features, assistance with vehicle registration, and insurance processing services; insurance, maintenance, repairs, accident rescue, car washing, chauffeur services, and valet parking services; and remote monitoring and real-time diagnostics services, as well as technical, warranty, and auto financing arrangements. Further, the company is involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; design and technology development activities; manufacture of electric powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after-sales management activities. Additionally, it operates in app NIO Auto Mall where users can select from various accessories and value added services; and online auction platform. The company was formerly known as NextEV Inc. and changed its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017. NIO Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Long Name NIO Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,594,438,144
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_311626862
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -4,755,909,120
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,232,647,383
Number Of Analyst Opinions 23
Open 3.54
Operating Margins -0.0108
Post Market Change -0.019200087
Post Market Change Percent -0.5597693
Post Market Price 3.4108
Post Market Time 1,792,183,267
Previous Close 3.5
Price Eps Current Year -14.037816
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 14.101141
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.07531474
Profit Margins -0.04168
Quick Ratio 0.676
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.86957
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699999
Regular Market Change Percent -2.0
Regular Market Day High 3.545
Regular Market Day Low 3.365
Regular Market Day Range 3.365 - 3.545
Regular Market Open 3.54
Regular Market Previous Close 3.5
Regular Market Price 3.43
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,803
Regular Market Volume 25,852,591
Return On Assets -0.02017
Return On Equity -0.45318002
Revenue Growth 0.691
Revenue Per Share 46.845
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 2,357,167,022
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0523
Shares Short 131,126,415
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 129,986,921
Short Name NIO Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0687
Short Ratio 3.27
Source Interval 15
Symbol NIO
Target High Price 10.132374
Target Low Price 3.9181225
Target Mean Price 6.26486
Target Median Price 6.0320687
Total Cash 43,088,306,176
Total Cash Per Share 17.258
Total Debt 28,995,940,352
Total Revenue 114,113,634,304
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.25
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.98415
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5541499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.31181845
Type Disp Equity
Volume 25,852,591
Website https://www.nio.com
Zip 201,804