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National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI)

Real Estate | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | Murfreesboro, United States | NYSE
72.03 USD -0.53 (-0.730%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 72.03

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:43 a.m. EDT

National Health Investors presents a classic value trap scenario where attractive metrics mask deteriorating operational reality. While the dividend yield of 5.1% appears generous, the payout ratio of 106% confirms that the company is burning capital to maintain this income, making the yield unsustainable without further earnings contraction. Fundamentally, the business is struggling with negative earnings growth (-43%) and flat revenue, while the balance sheet carries significant debt relative to equity. The price history tells a cautionary tale: despite a massive 54% rebound in 2024, the asset has failed to sustain momentum, resulting in a net decline over the full nine-year window. This suggests the market views the 2024 recovery as a temporary relief rally rather than a structural turnaround. The recent price action shows volatility but lacks a clear upward trend, trading below key moving averages. Options activity reinforces a bearish bias among retail and speculative traders, with heavy hedging at lower strikes. While the statistical forecast model is too noisy to provide a directional signal, the confluence of a broken payout ratio, shrinking earnings, and a multi-year price trajectory that ends lower than it started warrants a neutral-to-negative stance. Investors seeking income here are likely to face cuts, while growth investors will find no engine to drive value creation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.055163
AutoARIMA0.055164
MSTL0.055462
AutoTheta0.081422

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 19.46
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.266
Excess Kurtosis -1.00
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 97.569
Revenue per Share 9.086
Market Cap 3,537,424,384
Trailing P/E 20.94
Forward P/E 22.19
Beta 0.56
Profit Margins 38.27%
Website https://www.nhireit.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:43 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (50 and 70), suggesting a fear of a deep decline or a 'crash' scenario. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money (75-90 range), indicating a preference for modest upside participation rather than aggressive leverage. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term puts relative to calls, reflecting asymmetric risk pricing.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.21% 4.71% 5.24% 5.76%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.920 1.206399
2026-03-31 0.920 1.137769
2025-12-31 0.920 1.204661
2025-09-30 0.920 1.157233
2025-06-30 0.900 1.283514
2025-03-31 0.900 1.218522
2024-12-31 0.900 1.298701
2024-09-27 0.900 1.084468
2024-06-28 0.900 1.328805
2024-03-27 0.900 1.455840
2023-12-28 0.900 1.587302
2023-09-28 0.900 1.762632
2023-06-29 0.900 1.718213
2023-03-30 0.900 1.771654
2022-12-29 0.900 1.727116
2022-09-29 0.900 1.627192
2022-06-29 0.900 1.472995
2022-03-30 0.900 1.513623
2021-12-30 0.900 1.571229
2021-09-29 0.900 1.666975
2021-06-29 0.900 1.351757
2021-03-30 1.103 1.513654
2020-12-30 1.103 1.591401
2020-09-29 1.103 1.820432
2020-06-29 1.103 1.827672
2020-03-30 1.103 2.109793
2019-12-30 1.050 1.291354
2019-09-27 1.050 1.263386
2019-06-27 1.050 1.354314
2019-03-28 1.050 1.324587
2018-12-28 1.000 1.326436
2018-09-27 1.000 1.348982
2018-06-28 1.000 1.340303
2018-03-28 1.000 1.476015
2017-12-28 0.950 1.255783
2017-09-28 0.950 1.224385
2017-06-28 0.950 1.197378
2017-03-29 0.950 1.315425
2016-12-28 0.900 1.247574
2016-09-28 0.900 1.119403
2016-06-28 0.900 1.220339
2016-03-29 0.900 1.344688
2015-12-29 0.850 1.373404
2015-09-28 0.850 1.471861
2015-06-26 0.850 1.354150
2015-03-27 0.850 1.205674
2014-12-29 0.770 1.092199
2014-09-26 0.770 1.324162
2014-06-26 0.770 1.229639
2014-03-27 0.770 1.296951
2013-12-27 0.735 1.305043
2013-09-26 0.735 1.274272
2013-06-26 0.735 1.270527
2013-03-26 0.695 1.064318
2013-01-08 0.220 0.370995
2012-12-27 0.670 1.195361
2012-09-26 0.670 1.296942
2012-06-27 0.650 1.296887
2012-03-28 0.650 1.338275
2011-12-28 0.870 1.972342
2011-09-28 0.615 1.470940
2011-06-28 0.615 1.388575
2011-03-29 0.615 1.311860
2010-12-29 0.605 1.328794
2010-09-28 0.605 1.358940
2010-06-28 0.575 1.459391
2010-03-29 0.575 1.516750
2009-12-29 0.650 1.774986
2009-09-28 0.550 1.695438
2009-06-26 0.550 2.037792
2009-03-27 0.550 2.133437
2008-12-29 0.690 2.642666
2008-09-26 0.550 1.641791
2008-06-26 0.550 1.905752
2008-03-27 0.630 1.935484
2007-12-27 1.350 4.745167
2007-09-26 0.500 1.590331
2007-06-27 0.500 1.545595
2007-03-28 0.500 1.637733
2006-12-26 0.930 2.837096
2006-09-27 0.480 1.683029
2006-06-28 0.480 1.886051
2006-03-29 0.480 1.849711
2005-12-28 0.450 1.715593
2005-09-28 0.450 1.683502
2005-06-28 0.450 1.593484
2005-03-29 0.450 1.779359
2004-12-29 0.575 1.945196
2004-09-28 0.425 1.512455
2004-06-28 0.425 1.574074
2004-03-29 0.425 1.422356
2003-12-26 0.500 2.016129
2003-09-26 0.400 1.937046
2003-06-26 0.400 2.234637
2003-03-27 0.400 2.551020
2002-12-27 0.350 2.194357
2002-09-26 0.350 2.308707
2002-06-25 0.350 2.184769
2002-03-26 0.350 2.372881
2001-12-26 0.450 2.920182
2000-06-27 0.640 5.818182
2000-03-28 0.640 5.475936
1999-12-28 0.740 4.933333
1999-09-27 0.740 4.198582
1999-06-25 0.740 3.200000
1999-03-26 0.740 3.200000
1998-12-28 0.740 2.859903
1998-09-25 0.740 2.436214
1998-06-25 0.740 2.250951
1998-03-26 0.740 1.838509
1997-12-26 0.740 1.791225
1997-09-25 0.740 1.891374
1997-06-25 0.740 1.903537
1997-03-25 0.740 1.960265
1996-12-26 0.740 2.013605
1996-09-25 0.700 2.097378
1996-06-26 0.700 2.105263
1996-03-27 0.700 2.129278
1995-12-27 0.700 2.105263
1995-09-27 0.670 2.252101
1995-06-28 0.270 1.009346
1995-05-16 0.350 1.272727
1995-03-27 0.620 2.431373
1994-12-23 0.620 2.373206
1994-09-26 0.620 2.185022
1994-06-24 0.570 2.054054
1994-03-25 0.570 2.017699
1993-12-27 0.570 2.063348
1993-09-24 0.540 2.000000
1993-06-24 0.535 1.927928
1993-03-25 0.530 1.944954
1992-12-24 0.525 2.333333
1992-10-26 0.520 2.166667
1992-06-24 0.500 2.139037
1992-03-25 0.500 2.185792
1991-12-24 0.420 1.931034
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.76
dividendYield 5.18
exDividendDate 2026-09-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.68
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.05071665
lastDividendValue 0.92
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-11-06

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.06829649
Address1 222 Robert Rose Drive
All Time High 91.38
All Time Low 4.875
Ask 72.57
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 282,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 573,692
Average Volume 573,692
Average Volume10Days 282,900
Beta 0.559
Bid 70.29
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 2
Book Value 31.994
City Murfreesboro
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 72.03
Current Ratio 1.817
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 73.01
Day Low 71.84
Debt To Equity 97.569
Display Name National Health Investors
Dividend Date 1,793,923,200
Dividend Rate 3.76
Dividend Yield 5.18
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,451,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,451,400
Earnings Growth -0.43
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.421
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 289,673,984
Ebitda Margins 0.66472
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.12
Enterprise To Revenue 11.38
Enterprise Value 4,959,304,704
Eps Current Year 14.55137
Eps Forward 3.24664
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.44
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 75.5456
Fifty Day Average Change -3.515602
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.04653616
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -6.829649
Fifty Two Week High 91.38
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.349998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21175312
Fifty Two Week Low 67.94
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.0899963
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06020012
Fifty Two Week Range 67.94 - 91.38
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 687,015,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 5.8
Float Shares 47,937,677
Forward Eps 3.24664
Forward P E 22.186014
Free Cashflow 171,983,248
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 32
Fullday Change -0.529999
Fullday Change Percent -0.730428
Fullday Price 72.03
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.73925
Gross Profits 322,152,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.023929998
Held Percent Institutions 0.79477996
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,110,434
Industry REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Industry Disp REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Industry Key reit-healthcare-facilities
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.92
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary National Health Investors, Inc. is a self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company owns, leases, operates and finances the development of high-quality real estate properties in the United States, focusing on senior housing communities and medical facilities. The Company operates through two reportable segments, Real Estate Investments and SHOP. The Company's real estate property investments include independent living facilities, assisted living facilities, entrance fee communities, senior living campuses, skilled nursing facilities and hospitals. National Health Investors, Inc. was established on October 15th, 1991, and was incorporated in 1991 in Maryland and is based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.
Long Name National Health Investors, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,537,424,384
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_320908
Most Recent Quarter 1,617,148,800
Net Income To Common 166,524,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,563,453,091
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 72.46
Operating Cashflow 248,680,992
Operating Margins 0.61341
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 1.0636001
Peg Ratio 4.76
Phone 615 890 9100
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 72.03
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 72.56
Price Eps Current Year 4.9500494
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.2513597
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.117398
Profit Margins 0.38275
Quick Ratio 1.195
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.529999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.730428
Regular Market Day High 73.01
Regular Market Day Low 71.84
Regular Market Day Range 71.84 - 73.01
Regular Market Open 72.46
Regular Market Previous Close 72.56
Regular Market Price 72.03
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 206,733
Return On Assets 0.04385
Return On Equity 0.10717
Revenue Growth -0.026
Revenue Per Share 9.086
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 49,110,434
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0442
Shares Short 2,172,704
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,094,689
Short Name National Health Investors, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.045300003
Short Ratio 5.56
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol NHI
Target High Price 90.0
Target Low Price 73.0
Target Mean Price 82.125
Target Median Price 80.5
Total Cash 113,375,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.309
Total Debt 1,524,724,992
Total Revenue 435,783,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.68
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.05071665
Trailing Eps 3.44
Trailing P E 20.938953
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 78.64675
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.6167526
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.08413256
Type Disp Equity
Volume 206,733
Website https://www.nhireit.com
Zip 37,129-6346