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National HealthCare Corporation (NHC)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Murfreesboro, United States | NYSE American
207.87 USD -2.51 (-1.193%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 209.88 +2.01 (0.967%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:31 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:32 a.m. EDT

National HealthCare is currently riding a powerful momentum wave, having surged nearly 100% in the prior year and recently hitting all-time highs. The recent price action shows strong resilience, trading well above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which supports a high-conviction short-term bullish stance. However, the long-term picture is mixed; while the business has delivered exceptional growth over the last decade, the most recent annual return was negative, suggesting the market is pausing to reassess the sustainability of such rapid expansion. The valuation is steep, with a forward P/E of nearly 490x, which implies that future growth must remain robust to justify the current price. The options market confirms this sentiment, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money calls rather than selling protection, betting on continued appreciation. While the fundamentals are strong and the balance sheet is healthy, the lack of analyst recommendations and the high valuation multiple suggest this is a high-risk, high-reward momentum play rather than a stable buy-and-hold opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.083927
AutoARIMA0.085403
AutoETS0.085404
MSTL0.087339

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 3.27
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.300
Excess Kurtosis -0.40
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.585
Revenue per Share 98.458
Market Cap 3,246,854,656
Trailing P/E 26.75
Forward P/E 483.42
Beta 0.64
Profit Margins 8.10%
Website https://www.nhccare.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a continuation of the recent rally, evidenced by significant open interest in deep out-of-the-money calls (strikes 165 and 175) expiring in August and November. This heavy call positioning suggests a bullish bias expecting further upside. Conversely, put activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes (85 strike) with minimal volume, indicating a lack of hedging demand or fear of a sharp reversal. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep OTM calls relative to puts, reinforcing a speculative long-bias.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.32% 1.71% 2.25% 2.73%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.670 0.316995
2026-03-31 0.640 0.400751
2025-12-31 0.640 0.466847
2025-09-30 0.640 0.526706
2025-06-30 0.640 0.598075
2025-03-28 0.610 0.660102
2024-12-30 0.610 0.567864
2024-09-30 0.610 0.485012
2024-06-28 0.610 0.562731
2024-03-27 0.590 0.632301
2023-12-28 0.590 0.624207
2023-09-28 0.590 0.908391
2023-06-29 0.590 0.963737
2023-03-30 0.570 0.992340
2022-12-29 0.570 0.934886
2022-09-29 0.570 0.863375
2022-06-29 0.570 0.815334
2022-03-30 0.550 0.776836
2021-12-30 0.550 0.810373
2021-09-29 0.520 0.728393
2021-06-29 0.520 0.743494
2021-03-30 0.520 0.668037
2020-12-30 0.520 0.779143
2020-09-29 0.520 0.841424
2020-06-29 0.520 0.820189
2020-03-30 0.520 0.697799
2019-12-30 0.520 0.608187
2019-09-27 0.520 0.636319
2019-06-27 0.520 0.646766
2019-03-28 0.500 0.652571
2018-12-28 0.500 0.641026
2018-09-27 0.500 0.674218
2018-06-28 0.500 0.716230
2018-03-28 0.480 0.799867
2017-12-28 0.480 0.776950
2017-09-28 0.480 0.762874
2017-06-28 0.480 0.676437
2017-03-29 0.450 0.634786
2016-12-28 0.450 0.582449
2016-09-28 0.450 0.692414
2016-06-28 0.450 0.713493
2016-03-29 0.400 0.647354
2015-12-29 0.400 0.633613
2015-09-28 0.400 0.662471
2015-06-26 0.400 0.609013
2015-03-27 0.340 0.531333
2014-12-29 0.340 0.530918
2014-09-26 0.340 0.596701
2014-06-26 0.340 0.612833
2014-03-27 0.320 0.585223
2013-12-27 0.320 0.592812
2013-09-26 0.320 0.672834
2013-06-26 0.320 0.684053
2013-03-26 0.300 0.644884
2012-12-27 0.300 0.644745
2012-12-13 1.000 2.162630
2012-09-27 0.300 0.620219
2012-06-27 0.300 0.676437
2012-03-28 0.300 0.656599
2011-12-28 0.300 0.739645
2011-09-28 0.300 0.931388
2011-06-28 0.300 0.609880
2011-03-29 0.280 0.604099
2010-12-29 0.280 0.605405
2010-09-28 0.280 0.771350
2010-06-28 0.280 0.789845
2010-03-29 0.260 0.741797
2009-12-29 0.260 0.697051
2009-09-28 0.260 0.695931
2009-06-26 0.260 0.680985
2009-03-27 0.240 0.611465
2008-12-29 0.240 0.519705
2008-09-26 0.240 0.485044
2008-06-26 0.240 0.508690
2008-03-27 0.210 0.422280
2007-12-27 0.210 0.400381
2007-09-26 0.210 0.396975
2007-06-27 0.210 0.405093
2007-03-28 0.180 0.352941
2006-12-27 0.180 0.323450
2006-09-27 0.180 0.326679
2006-06-28 0.180 0.439024
2006-03-29 0.150 0.372856
2005-12-28 0.150 0.408163
2005-09-28 0.150 0.428694
2005-06-28 0.150 0.413793
2005-03-29 0.125 0.369713
2004-12-29 0.125 0.356837
2004-09-28 0.125 0.459053
2004-06-28 0.125 0.469925
2004-04-28 0.125 0.426476
1998-01-05 17.000 42.633229
1997-11-26 0.600 1.059603
1997-09-26 0.600 1.066667
1997-06-26 0.600 1.337047
1997-03-26 0.600 1.318681
1996-12-27 0.600 1.379310
1996-09-26 0.520 1.400673
1996-06-26 0.520 1.382060
1996-03-27 0.520 1.350649
1995-12-27 0.520 1.324841
1995-09-27 0.520 1.733333
1995-06-28 0.520 1.857143
1995-03-27 0.420 1.750000
1994-12-23 0.420 1.623188
1994-09-26 0.312 1.129412
1994-06-24 0.312 1.075862
1994-03-25 0.312 1.139726
1993-12-27 0.240 0.927536
1993-11-24 1.100 4.378109
1993-09-24 0.240 1.170732
1993-06-24 0.200 1.185185
1993-03-25 0.200 1.126761
1992-12-24 0.160 0.992248
1992-09-24 0.160 1.333333
1992-06-24 0.110 0.936170
1992-03-25 0.110 0.800000
1992-02-07 0.350 2.745098
1991-12-24 0.420 3.952941
1991-10-17 20.625 229.166667
1991-09-19 0.480 1.777778
1991-06-24 0.350 1.450777
1991-03-22 0.350 1.931034
1990-12-24 0.300 2.307692
1990-09-24 0.300 2.142857
1990-06-25 0.300 2.033898
1990-03-26 0.300 1.935484
1990-02-09 0.250 1.694915
1987-01-02 0.688 4.077037
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.59
dividendYield 1.23
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.56
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.012168457
lastDividendValue 0.67
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0391586
Address1 100 East Vine Street
All Time High 220.86
All Time Low 2.25
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 156,450
Average Daily Volume3 Month 131,411
Average Volume 131,411
Average Volume10Days 156,450
Beta 0.641
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 69.9
City Murfreesboro
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 207.87
Current Ratio 1.856
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 213.535
Day Low 207.27
Debt To Equity 3.585
Display Name National HealthCare
Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Dividend Rate 2.59
Dividend Yield 1.23
Earnings Growth 0.097
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.113
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,243,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 175,394,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11494
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.295
Enterprise To Revenue 1.988
Enterprise Value 3,033,481,728
Eps Forward 0.43
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.77
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 193.9366
Fifty Day Average Change 13.933395
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07184511
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 103.915855
Fifty Two Week High 220.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.9900055
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.058815565
Fifty Two Week Low 93.54
Fifty Two Week Low Change 114.329994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.2222577
Fifty Two Week Range 93.54 - 220.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 536,596,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.75
Float Shares 12,651,128
Forward Eps 0.43
Forward P E 483.41858
Free Cashflow 118,574,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Full Time Employees 15,278
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.39181998
Gross Profits 597,881,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.18929
Held Percent Institutions 0.67482
Implied Shares Outstanding 15,619,641
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.67
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary National HealthCare Corporation engages in the operation of services to skilled nursing facilities, assisted and independent living facilities, homecare and hospice agencies, and health hospitals. It operates through two segments: Inpatient and Homecare and Hospice Services. The company's skilled nursing facilities offer licensed therapy services, nutrition services, social services, activities, and housekeeping and laundry services, as well as medical services prescribed by physicians; and rehabilitative services, such as physical, speech, respiratory, and occupational therapy for patients recovering from strokes, heart attacks, orthopedic conditions, neurological illnesses, or other illnesses, injuries, or disabilities. It provides medical specialty units comprise memory care units and sub-acute nursing units that provide specialized care and programs for persons with Alzheimer's or related disorders; and assisted living facilities offer personal care services and assistance with general activities of daily living, such as dressing, bathing, meal preparation, and medication management. Its independent living facilities offers specially designed residential units for the active and ambulatory elderly and provide various ancillary services for residents, including restaurants, activity rooms and social areas; and behavioral health services to both adults and geriatric patients with psychiatric, emotional, and addictive disorders. In addition, the company homecare agencies assist those who wish to stay at home or in assisted living residences but still require some degree of medical care or assistance with daily activities; hospice agencies that provides hospice and palliative care; and operates pharmacies, as well as managed care insurance solutions. Further, the company offers management, accounting, and financial services; and leases its properties to third party operators. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.
Long Name National HealthCare Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,246,854,656
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_31869
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 123,667,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,286,060,073
Open 210.75
Operating Cashflow 208,356,000
Operating Margins 0.08447
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.32529998
Peg Ratio 0.82
Phone 615 890 2020
Post Market Change 2.0100098
Post Market Change Percent 0.96695524
Post Market Price 209.88
Post Market Time 1,783,985,516
Previous Close 210.38
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9738195
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1278222
Profit Margins 0.08104999
Quick Ratio 1.579
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.51001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.19308
Regular Market Day High 213.535
Regular Market Day Low 207.27
Regular Market Day Range 207.27 - 213.535
Regular Market Open 210.75
Regular Market Previous Close 210.38
Regular Market Price 207.87
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 115,965
Return On Assets 0.05282
Return On Equity 0.12014
Revenue Growth 0.022
Revenue Per Share 98.458
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 15,619,641
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0506
Shares Short 790,113
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 594,600
Short Name National HealthCare Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0624
Short Ratio 4.62
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol NHC
Total Cash 258,352,000
Total Cash Per Share 16.54
Total Debt 39,314,000
Total Revenue 1,525,905,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.56
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.012168457
Trailing Eps 7.77
Trailing P E 26.752895
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 156.2779
Two Hundred Day Average Change 51.592102
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.33013052
Type Disp Equity
Volume 115,965
Website https://www.nhccare.com
Zip 37,130