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YieldMax NFLX Option Income Strategy ETF (NFLY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
7.94 USD +0.13 (1.606%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 3:58 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.94

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains bleak due to a persistent structural decline. Over the last two years, the price has dropped nearly 12%, with the most recent annual period showing another decline. While the business might have been sound, the market has consistently reassessed it lower, resulting in a multi-year downtrend that suggests deteriorating fundamentals or a value trap. The short-term picture is equally grim; the stock is trading well below its 200-day average, indicating heavy selling pressure, and the statistical forecast leans negative. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying deep puts rather than betting on a rebound. Regarding the yield, while the headline number is astronomical at 39%, it is misleading. The recent dividend history shows a sharp contraction from peaks over $1.00 per share in early 2025 to roughly $0.05-$0.07 recently. This drastic cut signals that the high yield was unsustainable and likely involved NAV erosion or aggressive capital recycling to maintain payouts during a falling price. Investors chasing this yield are likely facing significant capital losses that will never be recovered.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.095275
MSTL0.147460
AutoARIMA0.150098
AutoETS0.150098

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 8.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.404
Excess Kurtosis -0.87

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection. Put open interest is massive relative to calls, with deep out-of-the-money puts (strike 17.0) holding the highest volume and open interest among all strikes. This indicates a strong bearish sentiment and a fear of significant further declines, despite the underlying asset being an option income strategy itself.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.79% 40.08%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-27 0.062 0.793549
2026-08-20 0.060 0.764818
2026-08-13 0.053 0.681234
2026-08-06 0.067 0.883905
2026-07-30 0.045 0.599201
2026-07-23 0.050 0.686813
2026-07-16 0.039 0.496815
2026-07-09 0.048 0.600000
2026-07-02 0.051 0.616687
2026-06-25 0.052 0.664962
2026-06-18 0.054 0.633803
2026-06-11 0.055 0.617492
2026-06-04 0.056 0.622222
2026-05-28 0.060 0.634249
2026-05-21 0.063 0.648148
2026-05-14 0.074 0.774059
2026-05-07 0.075 0.774793
2026-04-30 0.069 0.672515
2026-04-23 0.085 0.830890
2026-04-16 0.098 0.842648
2026-04-09 0.085 0.756901
2026-04-02 0.086 0.778281
2026-03-26 0.143 1.333831
2026-03-19 0.248 2.317757
2026-03-12 0.177 1.581769
2026-03-05 0.172 1.458492
2026-02-26 0.068 0.650096
2026-02-19 0.063 0.640244
2026-02-12 0.061 0.626283
2026-02-05 0.059 0.572260
2026-01-29 0.085 0.801131
2026-01-22 0.061 0.569561
2026-01-15 0.065 0.578807
2026-01-08 0.072 0.625543
2026-01-02 0.073 0.626609
2025-12-26 0.083 0.690516
2025-12-18 0.050 0.416667
2025-12-11 0.068 0.566195
2025-12-04 0.179 1.363290
2025-11-28 0.095 0.683453
2025-11-20 0.089 0.651061
2025-11-13 0.087 0.585859
2025-11-06 0.128 0.882759
2025-10-30 0.120 0.827586
2025-10-23 0.106 0.712845
2025-10-16 0.388 2.472913
2025-09-18 0.404 2.470948
2025-08-21 0.467 2.789725
2025-07-24 0.435 2.573965
2025-06-26 0.430 2.271527
2025-05-29 0.683 3.781838
2025-05-01 0.923 5.150670
2025-04-03 0.602 3.760150
2025-03-06 0.401 2.467692
2025-02-06 1.071 5.820652
2025-01-08 0.583 3.354431
2024-12-12 0.865 4.581568
2024-11-14 0.784 4.288840
2024-10-17 0.793 4.910217
2024-09-06 0.510 3.195489
2024-08-07 0.574 3.677130
2024-07-05 0.377 2.144482
2024-06-06 0.630 3.745541
2024-05-06 0.967 5.797362
2024-04-04 0.805 4.363143
2024-03-06 0.730 4.078212
2024-02-07 1.257 6.971714
2024-01-05 0.796 4.682353
2023-12-07 0.799 4.639954
2023-11-08 0.439 2.452514
2023-10-06 0.509 3.106879
2023-09-08 0.419 2.169523
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 39.17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 20.36
All Time Low 7.0
Ask 8.0
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 53,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 69,971
Average Volume 69,971
Average Volume10Days 53,800
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 7.92
Bid Size 200
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 7.9841
Day Low 7.8337
Dividend Yield 39.17
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.7775
Fifty Day Average Change 0.16089964
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.020687835
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -52.946056
Fifty Two Week High 17.49
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.5515995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5461178
Fifty Two Week Low 7.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.9383998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.13405712
Fifty Two Week Range 7.0 - 17.49
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,691,501,400,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 0.1255
Fullday Change Percent 1.60631
Fullday Price 7.9384
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,691,366,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to NFLX regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax NFLX Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1799909206
Nav Price 7.8053
Net Assets 37,794,228.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.01
Open 7.83
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 7.9384
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 7.8129
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.1255
Regular Market Change Percent 1.60631
Regular Market Day High 7.9841
Regular Market Day Low 7.8337
Regular Market Day Range 7.8337 - 7.9841
Regular Market Open 7.83
Regular Market Previous Close 7.8129
Regular Market Price 7.9384
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,093
Regular Market Volume 67,951
Short Name YieldMax NFLX Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol NFLY
Three Year Average Return 0.1604643
Total Assets 37,794,228
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -21.33939
Trailing Three Month Returns -21.33939
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.245945
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.3075452
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.22521546
Type Disp ETF
Volume 67,951
Yield 0.39169997
Ytd Return -20.94653