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Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)

Communication Services | Entertainment | Los Gatos, United States | NasdaqGS
73.83 USD +0.46 (0.627%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 74.12 +0.29 (0.393%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:03 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains exceptionally strong, driven by a dominant competitive position in streaming and robust free cash flow generation. The business has demonstrated sustained growth, with revenue expanding 16% and earnings surging 86% recently, supported by a fortress-like return on equity of nearly 49%. While the stock has faced headwinds, the multi-year trajectory shows a massive cumulative gain, and the current valuation appears reasonable relative to this growth profile. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by a weak statistical forecast predicting a 3.5% decline over the next 45 days, likely reflecting pre-earnings caution. This creates a tension where the fundamental thesis supports a buy, but the immediate technical setup suggests a potential dip. The options market, however, tells a different story, with heavy speculative positioning for a rally, hinting that smart money expects the fundamentals to eventually drive the price higher.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.106446
AutoETS0.110192
MSTL0.119156
AutoARIMA0.167867

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 31.16
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.141
Excess Kurtosis -1.19
Attribute Value
Sector Communication Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 53.788
Revenue per Share 11.067
Market Cap 310,883,254,272
Trailing P/E 23.82
Forward P/E 19.24
Beta 1.52
Profit Margins 28.52%
Previous Name VIVEK
Website https://www.netflix.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest walls at strikes 90, 100, 110, and 120 for August and September expirations. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes, while put activity remains concentrated near the money or lower, indicating a bullish bias despite the recent price slide. Implied volatility is elevated at near-term strikes, suggesting traders expect a sharp reaction to the upcoming earnings report.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.41859818
Address1 121 Albright Way
All Time High 134.115
All Time Low 0.034643
Ask 77.77
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 46,166,610
Average Daily Volume3 Month 42,494,216
Average Volume 42,494,216
Average Volume10Days 46,166,610
Beta 1.517
Bid 70.19
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 3
Book Value 7.389
City Los Gatos
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 73.83
Current Ratio 1.407
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 75.45
Day Low 73.71
Debt To Equity 53.788
Display Name Netflix
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,232,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,232,000
Earnings Growth 0.864
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.828
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,232,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,232,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,232,000
Ebitda 14,288,497,664
Ebitda Margins 0.30472
Enterprise To Ebitda 22.08
Enterprise To Revenue 6.728
Enterprise Value 315,484,340,224
Eps Current Year 3.5844
Eps Forward 3.838
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.1
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 82.409
Fifty Day Average Change -8.578995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10410265
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -41.859818
Fifty Two Week High 127.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -53.92
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42207435
Fifty Two Week Low 70.86
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.9700012
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.04191365
Fifty Two Week Range 70.86 - 127.75
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,022,160,600,000
Float Shares 4,183,346,839
Forward Eps 3.838
Forward P E 19.236582
Free Cashflow 25,993,676,800
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 16,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.49029
Gross Profits 22,989,572,096
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00567
Held Percent Institutions 0.84925
Implied Shares Outstanding 4,210,798,528
Industry Entertainment
Industry Disp Entertainment
Industry Key entertainment
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,763,337,600
Last Split Factor 10:1
Long Business Summary Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Long Name Netflix, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 310,883,254,272
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_32012
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 13,373,640,704
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 308,946,287,999
Number Of Analyst Opinions 44
Open 73.9
Operating Cashflow 12,650,278,912
Operating Margins 0.32303002
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.44
Phone (408) 540-3700
Post Market Change 0.29000092
Post Market Change Percent 0.39279547
Post Market Price 74.12
Post Market Time 1,783,987,191
Prev Name VIVEK
Previous Close 73.37
Price Eps Current Year 20.59759
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 9.99188
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.6300554
Profit Margins 0.28521
Quick Ratio 1.178
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.68
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.459999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.626958
Regular Market Day High 75.45
Regular Market Day Low 73.71
Regular Market Day Range 73.71 - 75.45
Regular Market Open 73.9
Regular Market Previous Close 73.37
Regular Market Price 73.83
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 34,708,220
Return On Assets 0.15402001
Return On Equity 0.48494998
Revenue Growth 0.162
Revenue Per Share 11.067
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Communication Services
Sector Disp Communication Services
Sector Key communication-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 4,210,798,528
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0247
Shares Short 104,117,446
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 101,569,951
Short Name Netflix, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0249
Short Ratio 2.18
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol NFLX
Target High Price 151.4
Target Low Price 80.0
Target Mean Price 113.14591
Target Median Price 115.0
Total Cash 12,288,449,536
Total Cash Per Share 2.917
Total Debt 16,742,200,320
Total Revenue 46,889,992,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 3.1
Trailing P E 23.81613
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4412
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 94.940315
Two Hundred Day Average Change -21.110313
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.22235352
Type Disp Equity
Volume 34,708,220
Website https://www.netflix.com
Zip 95,032