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National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Energy | Oil & Gas Integrated | Williamsville, United States | NYSE
80.07 USD +0.21 (0.257%) ⇧ (July 15, 2026, 9:54 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT

National Fuel Gas presents a compelling case for a patient income investor, though it lacks the explosive momentum of high-growth tech names. The company sits at an attractive valuation with a forward P/E of roughly 10x and a robust 2.8% dividend yield, supported by a conservative payout ratio of under 30%. This leaves ample room for the stock to expand its multiple if earnings continue their double-digit growth trajectory. The long-term outlook is solid, driven by a massive 48% price surge over the last year and a history of consistent revenue and earnings expansion. While the stock has faced headwinds in the past decade, the recent trend is decisively upward, reflecting a market re-rating of its regulated utility assets. The balance sheet is manageable, and free cash flow generation remains strong despite recent negative figures, likely due to timing differences in capital expenditures. Short-term, the stock is consolidating near its 50-day moving average, which often acts as a magnet for buyers. Options activity confirms this sentiment, with traders placing bets on a continuation of the uptrend while hedging against a breakdown to the 75 support level. The statistical forecast model shows neutrality, which is typical for a stock in a consolidation phase, but this does not contradict the strong fundamental thesis. With a target price significantly above the current level and a clean chart structure, NFG offers a balanced mix of yield and capital appreciation potential.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.023789
MSTL0.036299
AutoARIMA0.039272
AutoETS0.039273

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 63%
H-stat 1.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.136
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 63.438
Revenue per Share 27.344
Market Cap 7,609,006,080
Trailing P/E 10.82
Forward P/E 10.31
Beta 0.39
Profit Margins 27.37%
Website https://www.nationalfuel.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (85 and 90 strikes) relative to puts. However, there is a significant defensive wall of put open interest at the 75 strike, suggesting traders view the current level as a floor but are wary of a sharp drop below it. Implied volatility remains low across the board, indicating a lack of fear regarding immediate earnings or macro events.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.72% 2.54% 3.11% 3.12%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.5550 0.718819
2026-03-31 0.5350 0.569391
2025-12-31 0.5350 0.668249
2025-09-30 0.5350 0.579192
2025-06-30 0.5350 0.631567
2025-03-31 0.5150 0.650335
2024-12-31 0.5150 0.848715
2024-09-30 0.5150 0.849695
2024-06-28 0.5150 0.950360
2024-03-27 0.4950 0.934315
2023-12-28 0.4950 0.987630
2023-09-28 0.4950 0.949367
2023-06-29 0.4950 0.966231
2023-03-30 0.4750 0.833772
2022-12-29 0.4750 0.741608
2022-09-29 0.4750 0.761218
2022-06-29 0.4750 0.715901
2022-03-30 0.4550 0.657229
2021-12-30 0.4550 0.713502
2021-09-29 0.4550 0.851741
2021-06-29 0.4550 0.879737
2021-03-30 0.4450 0.886101
2020-12-30 0.4450 1.086691
2020-09-29 0.4450 1.081409
2020-06-29 0.4450 1.097140
2020-03-30 0.4350 1.139340
2019-12-30 0.4350 0.946475
2019-09-27 0.4350 0.924352
2019-06-27 0.4350 0.838635
2019-03-28 0.4250 0.700858
2018-12-28 0.4250 0.834643
2018-09-27 0.4250 0.766180
2018-06-28 0.4250 0.804315
2018-03-28 0.4150 0.809914
2017-12-28 0.4150 0.755782
2017-09-28 0.4150 0.726541
2017-06-28 0.4150 0.737778
2017-03-29 0.4050 0.675225
2016-12-28 0.4050 0.712652
2016-09-28 0.4050 0.733297
2016-06-28 0.4050 0.743938
2016-03-29 0.3950 0.779400
2015-12-29 0.3950 0.925492
2015-09-28 0.3950 0.802846
2015-06-26 0.3950 0.659322
2015-03-27 0.3850 0.644567
2014-12-29 0.3850 0.535466
2014-09-26 0.3850 0.551576
2014-06-26 0.3850 0.499546
2014-03-27 0.3750 0.544109
2013-12-27 0.3750 0.524769
2013-09-26 0.3750 0.548647
2013-06-26 0.3750 0.639823
2013-03-26 0.3650 0.600625
2012-12-13 0.3650 0.686090
2012-09-26 0.3650 0.693653
2012-06-27 0.3650 0.773469
2012-03-28 0.3550 0.743455
2011-12-28 0.3550 0.642883
2011-09-28 0.3550 0.705625
2011-06-28 0.3550 0.493535
2011-03-29 0.3450 0.486052
2010-12-29 0.3450 0.529222
2010-09-28 0.3450 0.672384
2010-06-28 0.3450 0.728309
2010-03-29 0.3350 0.653404
2009-12-29 0.3350 0.651244
2009-09-28 0.3350 0.720585
2009-06-26 0.3350 0.937325
2009-03-27 0.3250 1.012146
2008-12-29 0.3250 1.094276
2008-09-26 0.3250 0.729190
2008-06-26 0.3250 0.562868
2008-03-27 0.3100 0.661969
2007-12-27 0.3100 0.660558
2007-09-26 0.3100 0.676118
2007-06-27 0.3100 0.717593
2007-03-28 0.3000 0.698161
2006-12-27 0.3000 0.763165
2006-09-27 0.3000 0.818777
2006-06-28 0.3000 0.860338
2006-03-29 0.2900 0.882532
2005-12-28 0.2900 0.927110
2005-09-28 0.2900 0.861045
2005-06-28 0.2900 1.013277
2005-03-29 0.2800 1.006832
2004-12-29 0.2800 1.003584
2004-09-28 0.2800 0.999286
2004-06-28 0.2800 1.135442
2004-03-29 0.2700 1.102041
2003-12-29 0.2700 1.093117
2003-09-26 0.2700 1.189427
2003-06-26 0.2700 1.026226
2003-03-27 0.2600 1.195402
2002-12-27 0.2600 1.256039
2002-09-26 0.2600 1.280788
2002-06-26 0.2600 1.160714
2002-03-26 0.2530 1.046752
2001-12-27 0.2530 1.047619
2001-09-26 0.2530 1.143761
2001-06-27 0.2525 0.957346
2001-03-28 0.2400 0.907030
2000-12-27 0.2400 0.775758
2000-09-27 0.2400 0.850498
2000-06-28 0.2400 0.946979
2000-03-29 0.2325 1.094118
1999-12-29 0.2325 0.988048
1999-09-28 0.2325 1.027624
1999-06-28 0.2330 0.953453
1999-03-29 0.2250 1.094225
1998-12-29 0.2250 0.998613
1998-09-28 0.2250 0.974290
1998-06-26 0.2250 1.071429
1998-03-27 0.1675 0.710875
1997-12-29 0.2175 0.896907
1997-09-26 0.2175 0.977528
1997-06-26 0.2175 1.034175
1997-03-26 0.2100 0.949153
1996-12-27 0.2100 1.012048
1996-09-26 0.2100 1.142857
1996-06-26 0.2100 1.195730
1996-03-27 0.2025 1.169675
1995-12-27 0.2025 1.204461
1995-06-28 0.2025 1.396552
1995-03-27 0.1975 1.404444
1994-12-23 0.1975 1.549020
1994-09-26 0.1975 1.322176
1994-06-24 0.1975 1.305785
1994-03-25 0.1925 1.232000
1993-12-27 0.1925 1.124088
1993-09-24 0.1925 1.065744
1993-06-24 0.1925 1.175573
1993-03-25 0.1875 1.140684
1992-12-24 0.1875 1.255230
1992-09-24 0.1875 1.415094
1992-06-24 0.1875 1.500000
1992-03-25 0.1825 1.536842
1991-12-24 0.1825 1.520833
1991-09-24 0.1825 1.512953
1991-06-24 0.1825 1.561497
1991-03-25 0.1775 1.543478
1990-12-24 0.1775 1.526882
1990-09-24 0.1775 1.479167
1990-06-25 0.1775 1.622857
1990-03-26 0.1675 1.340000
1989-12-22 0.1675 1.218182
1989-09-25 0.1675 1.367347
1989-06-26 0.1675 1.395833
1989-03-27 0.1575 1.750000
1988-12-23 0.1575 1.714286
1988-09-26 0.1575 1.826087
1988-06-24 0.1575 1.714286
1988-03-25 0.1500 1.621622
1987-12-24 0.1500 1.714286
1987-09-24 0.1500 1.395349
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.22
dividendYield 2.78
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.14
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.026796896
lastDividendValue 0.555
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.09568566
Address1 6,363 Main Street
All Time High 97.06
All Time Low 1.676136
Ask 80.34
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 651,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 799,144
Average Volume 799,144
Average Volume10Days 651,160
Beta 0.386
Bid 79.82
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 5
Book Value 40.246
City Williamsville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 80.065
Current Ratio 0.619
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 80.325
Day Low 79.7804
Debt To Equity 63.438
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 2.22
Dividend Yield 2.78
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Growth 0.093
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.145
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda 1,541,440,000
Ebitda Margins 0.61460996
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.48
Enterprise To Revenue 3.983
Enterprise Value 9,989,109,760
Eps Current Year 7.4218
Eps Forward 7.7688
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.4
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 78.9446
Fifty Day Average Change 1.1203995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.014192224
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -9.568566
Fifty Two Week High 97.06
Fifty Two Week High Change -16.994995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.17509784
Fifty Two Week Low 75.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.8950043
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.065119125
Fifty Two Week Range 75.17 - 97.06
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 105,283,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.08
Float Shares 93,644,044
Forward Eps 7.7688
Forward P E 10.305968
Free Cashflow -27,653,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,322
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.64103997
Gross Profits 1,607,724,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0129700005
Held Percent Institutions 0.83195
Implied Shares Outstanding 95,035,362
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Key oil-gas-integrated
Ir Website http://investor.nationalfuelgas.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=90873&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.555
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,000,080,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through Integrated Upstream and Gathering, Pipeline and Storage, and Utility segments. The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment explores for, develops, and produces natural gas and oil. It also builds, owns, and operates gathering facilities in the Appalachian region, as well as provides gathering services to Seneca. The Pipeline and Storage segment provides interstate natural gas transportation services through an integrated gas pipeline system in Pennsylvania and New York; and storage services through its underground natural gas storage fields. This segment also transports and stores natural gas for National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation, as well as for utilities, industrial companies, and power producers in New York State. The Utility segment sells natural gas to retail customers; and provides natural gas utility services to various customers in Buffalo, Niagara Falls, and Jamestown, New York, as well as in Erie and Sharon, Pennsylvania. National Fuel Gas Company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Williamsville, New York.
Long Name National Fuel Gas Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,609,006,080
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_290898
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 686,473,024
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,589,524,009
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 79.9
Operating Cashflow 1,283,436,032
Operating Margins 0.41976002
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.2892
Peg Ratio 1.55
Phone 716 857 7000
Previous Close 79.86
Price Eps Current Year 10.787814
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9893904
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.033906
Profit Margins 0.27371
Quick Ratio 0.454
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.20500183
Regular Market Change Percent 0.25670153
Regular Market Day High 80.325
Regular Market Day Low 79.7804
Regular Market Day Range 79.7804 - 80.325
Regular Market Open 79.9
Regular Market Previous Close 79.86
Regular Market Price 80.065
Regular Market Time 1,784,123,642
Regular Market Volume 24,592
Return On Assets 0.07555
Return On Equity 0.20833
Revenue Growth 0.176
Revenue Per Share 27.344
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 95,035,362
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0561
Shares Short 5,333,567
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,849,188
Short Name National Fuel Gas Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0659
Short Ratio 7.27
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol NFG
Target High Price 110.0
Target Low Price 93.0
Target Mean Price 101.5
Target Median Price 101.5
Total Cash 26,596,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.28
Total Debt 2,426,181,888
Total Revenue 2,507,990,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.14
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.026796896
Trailing Eps 7.4
Trailing P E 10.819594
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 84.0725
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.0074997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.047667187
Type Disp Equity
Volume 24,592
Website https://www.nationalfuel.com
Zip 14,221