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NextDecade Corporation (NEXT)

Energy | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Houston, United States | NasdaqCM
6.80 USD +0.12 (1.796%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 6.75 -0.05 (-0.048%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 7:36 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:44 a.m. EDT

The investment case for NextDecade is currently broken by a catastrophic balance sheet and a lack of shareholder returns. The company is drowning in debt, with liabilities exceeding $10 billion against a tiny market cap, resulting in a negative book value and negative free cash flow. This financial distress is priced into the stock, which has underperformed significantly over the last nine years despite some recent operational gains. There is no dividend to provide income, and the capital structure is too fragile to support aggressive expansion without diluting existing shareholders. While the long-term LNG project offers a potential turnaround story, the immediate reality is a highly leveraged entity burning cash. On the short end, the options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying insurance (puts) far more aggressively than they are betting on a bounce. Until the debt load is managed or cash flow turns positive, this remains a speculative hold with severe downside risks.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.123593
AutoETS0.129810
AutoARIMA0.129814
AutoTheta0.130302

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 1.79
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.303
Excess Kurtosis -1.13
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Debt to Equity Ratio 378.442
Market Cap 1,810,061,056
Forward P/E 45.33
Beta 1.54
Website https://www.next-decade.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest relative to calls across nearly all expirations. The 'Top OI' strikes for puts are consistently deep in-the-money or at-the-money (e.g., $5.00 and $6.00 strikes), while call open interest is negligible. This asymmetry indicates a market consensus expecting further price weakness rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.08090615
Address1 1,000 Louisiana Street
Address2 Suite 3300
All Time High 20.0
All Time Low 1.115
Ask 8.49
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,467,450
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,603,273
Average Volume 2,603,273
Average Volume10Days 2,467,450
Beta 1.537
Bid 4.9
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value -0.216
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.8
Current Ratio 0.373
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 6.88
Day Low 6.6
Debt To Equity 378.442
Display Name NextDecade
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda -218,380,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -69.876
Enterprise Value 15,259,464,704
Eps Current Year -2.1
Eps Forward 0.15
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.35
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.9639
Fifty Day Average Change -0.1638999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.023535648
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.090615
Fifty Two Week High 9.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.4399996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26406923
Fifty Two Week Low 4.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.0500002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.431579
Fifty Two Week Range 4.75 - 9.24
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,434,461,400,000
Float Shares 129,826,621
Forward Eps 0.15
Forward P E 45.333332
Free Cashflow -4,916,956,672
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 360
Fullday Change 0.071700096
Fullday Change Percent 1.0733547
Fullday Price 6.8
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.45578998
Held Percent Institutions 0.43212003
Implied Shares Outstanding 266,185,433
Industry Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Key oil-gas-equipment-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary NextDecade Corporation, an energy company, engages in the construction and development activities related to the liquefaction of natural gas in the United States. The company constructs and develops natural gas liquefaction and export facilities located in the Rio Grande Valley near Brownsville, Texas; and a carbon capture and storage project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility. It is also involved in the sale of LNG. NextDecade Corporation was founded in 2010 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Long Name NextDecade Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,810,061,056
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_137351668
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -358,593,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,780,780,546
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 6.685
Operating Cashflow -224,691,008
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 7
Phone 713 574 1880
Post Market Change -0.048300266
Post Market Change Percent -0.710298
Post Market Price 6.7517
Post Market Time 1,791,934,573
Previous Close 6.68
Price Eps Current Year -3.2380955
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -31.481482
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.049
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.12
Regular Market Change Percent 1.79641
Regular Market Day High 6.88
Regular Market Day Low 6.6
Regular Market Day Range 6.6 - 6.88
Regular Market Open 6.685
Regular Market Previous Close 6.68
Regular Market Price 6.8
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,600
Regular Market Volume 2,139,010
Return On Assets -0.01232
Return On Equity -0.15762
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 266,185,433
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0856
Shares Short 22,786,665
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 21,595,409
Short Name NextDecade Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.1543
Short Ratio 9.07
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol NEXT
Target High Price 11.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 8.7
Target Median Price 8.5
Total Cash 83,678,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.314
Total Debt 10,659,200,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.35
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.881425
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.08142471
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.011832537
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,139,010
Website https://www.next-decade.com
Zip 77,002