Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)Consumer Cyclical | Travel Services | Miami, United States | NYSE
20.99 USD
+0.96
(4.793%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 21.10 +0.11 (0.524%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:16 a.m. EDT
NCLH presents a classic high-beta 'buy the dip' scenario with a starkly bifurcated outlook. The short-term rating of 4 is driven by heavy call volume targeting a rally toward the 24-25 analyst consensus, fueled by catalysts like activist involvement and a new CEO; however, the underlying fundamentals are poor (betting on 2026 profitability, negative free cash flow, and a cash-to-debt ratio of <2%). Long-term investors should avoid or be extremely cautious (rating 2) due to the 700% debt-to-equity ratio, as any guest count shortfall could trigger a balance sheet crisis, making this fundamentally a speculative trade rather than a value investment at these valuations. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.070953 |
| AutoETS | 0.071238 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.071238 |
| AutoTheta | 0.075126 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 80% |
| H-stat | 0.30 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.501 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.80 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 703.028 |
| Revenue per Share | 21.91 |
| Market Cap | 9,561,903,104 |
| Trailing P/E | 22.82 |
| Forward P/E | 8.34 |
| Beta | 2.11 |
| Profit Margins | 4.31% |
| Website | https://www.nclhltd.com |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:16 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows a distinct 'call heavy' bias for near-term expirations (April/May), with significant Open Interest at 20.5, 21.0, and 24.0 strikes, creating a put-call ratio skewed toward upside. Volume spikes are concentrated in call legs (21.0, 20.5), indicating bullish speculation on a break above the 20-dma. While deep ITM options show IV spikes (likely due to funding costs rather than pure sentiment), the concentration of new flow above the current price suggests a positioning play for a rebound to the 24-25 range before the options wall at 24 acts as resistance.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.30778813 |
| Address1 | 7,665 Corporate Center Drive |
| All Time High | 64.27 |
| All Time Low | 7.03 |
| Ask | 21.12 |
| Ask Size | 1,700 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 19,786,090 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 22,707,598 |
| Average Volume | 22,707,598 |
| Average Volume10Days | 19,786,090 |
| Beta | 2.113 |
| Bid | 21.05 |
| Bid Size | 1,300 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 4.854 |
| City | Miami |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,735,603,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 20.99 |
| Current Ratio | 0.209 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 22.22 |
| Day Low | 20.9 |
| Debt To Equity | 703.028 |
| Display Name | Norwegian Cruise Line |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,772,456,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,772,456,400 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.944 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,772,458,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,777,552,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,777,552,200 |
| Ebitda | 2,546,212,096 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.25909 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 9.775 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.532 |
| Enterprise Value | 24,888,150,016 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.1929 |
| Eps Forward | 2.51724 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.92 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 305 436 4140 |
| Fifty Day Average | 21.1046 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.114601135 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.0054301494 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 30.778812 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 27.18 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.1900005 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.227741 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 15.31 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.6799994 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.3709993 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 15.31 - 27.18 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,358,519,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 453,085,695 |
| Forward Eps | 2.51724 |
| Forward P E | 8.338497 |
| Free Cashflow | -1,548,832,768 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 44,500 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.42619 |
| Gross Profits | 4,188,429,056 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00434 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.89029 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 455,545,641 |
| Industry | Travel Services |
| Industry Disp | Travel Services |
| Industry Key | travel-services |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers itineraries to destinations, such as Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, South America, Africa, Canada, Bermuda, the Caribbean, and Alaska; and inter-island itinerary in Hawaii. The company also provides features, amenities, and activities, including various accommodations, dining venues, bars and lounges, spas, casino and retail shopping areas, and entertainment choices; shore excursions at each port of call, and air transportation and hotel packages for stays before or after a voyage. It offers its products and services under the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. The company was founded in 1966 and is based in Miami, Florida. |
| Long Name | Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 9,561,903,104 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_4180463 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 423,246,016 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 9,561,903,004 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 22 |
| Open | 21.4 |
| Operating Cashflow | 2,089,746,048 |
| Operating Margins | 0.08315 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.48 |
| Phone | 305 436 4000 |
| Post Market Change | 0.11000061 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.524062 |
| Post Market Price | 21.1 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,380 |
| Previous Close | 20.03 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 9.5718 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.3242683 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.972965 |
| Profit Margins | 0.043070003 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.092 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.95833 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.959999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.79281 |
| Regular Market Day High | 22.22 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 20.9 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 20.9 - 22.22 |
| Regular Market Open | 21.4 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 20.03 |
| Regular Market Price | 20.99 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,003 |
| Regular Market Volume | 26,185,717 |
| Return On Assets | 0.045890003 |
| Return On Equity | 0.23285 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.064 |
| Revenue Per Share | 21.91 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 455,545,641 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1173 |
| Shares Short | 53,437,369 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 35,261,833 |
| Short Name | Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1531 |
| Short Ratio | 2.24 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | NCLH |
| Target High Price | 38.0 |
| Target Low Price | 18.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 25.15909 |
| Target Median Price | 25.0 |
| Total Cash | 209,892,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.461 |
| Total Debt | 15,536,139,264 |
| Total Revenue | 9,827,592,192 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.92 |
| Trailing P E | 22.815216 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.4982 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 22.28895 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.2989502 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.058277767 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 26,185,717 |
| Website | https://www.nclhltd.com |
| Zip | 33,126 |