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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)

Financial Services | Asset Management | New York, United States | NYSE
12.31 USD -0.09 (-0.726%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.31

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish as the stock trades well below its moving averages, confirming a downtrend that has persisted for nearly a year. While the 45-day statistical model suggests a slight downward drift, the fundamental reality is far more severe: the company is paying out significantly more in dividends than it earns in profit, a dangerous sign of capital erosion. This unsustainable payout structure, combined with a trailing twelve-month decline of over 7%, suggests the market is correctly pricing in a deteriorating business quality rather than a temporary dip. Investors should view the current price as a warning signal of structural weakness rather than a bargain opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.029813
AutoETS0.037559
AutoARIMA0.037559
MSTL0.037659

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 56%
H-stat 1.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.908
Excess Kurtosis -0.31
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Market Cap 607,954,752
Trailing P/E 13.24
Forward P/E 8.03
Website https://www.churchillam.com/nuveen-churchill-direct-lending-corp

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.06% 12.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.38 3.059581
2026-03-31 0.40 3.144654
2025-12-31 0.45 3.373313
2025-09-30 0.45 3.260870
2025-06-30 0.45 2.779493
2025-03-31 0.45 2.650177
2025-02-12 0.10 0.577034
2024-12-31 0.45 2.681764
2024-11-08 0.10 0.585480
2024-09-30 0.45 2.583238
2024-08-12 0.10 0.607903
2024-06-28 0.45 2.586207
2024-05-10 0.10 0.573394
2024-03-27 0.45 2.620850
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.52
dividendYield 12.26
exDividendDate 2026-09-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.38
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.22334385
Address1 375 Park Avenue
All Time High 18.1
All Time Low 11.97
Ask 12.36
Ask Size 400
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 133,530
Average Daily Volume3 Month 185,239
Average Volume 185,239
Average Volume10Days 133,530
Bid 12.34
Bid Size 300
City New York
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.31
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 12.4799
Day Low 12.29
Display Name Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending
Dividend Rate 1.52
Dividend Yield 12.26
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,746,716,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,746,716,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,754,915,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,754,397,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Eps Current Year 1.57722
Eps Forward 1.53214
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.93
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.4944
Fifty Day Average Change -0.1843996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.01475858
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -22.334385
Fifty Two Week High 16.178
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.867999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.23909007
Fifty Two Week Low 11.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.34000015
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.028404357
Fifty Two Week Range 11.97 - 16.178
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,706,193,000,000
Forward Eps 1.53214
Forward P E 8.034514
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change -0.0899992
Fullday Change Percent -0.7258
Fullday Price 12.31
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0529
Held Percent Institutions 0.32037997
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,387,065
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.38
Long Business Summary Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (the “Company”) is business development company and was formed on March 13, 2018, as a limited liability company under the laws of the State of Delaware and was converted into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019 prior to the commencement of operations. The Company is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company that has elected to be regulated as a business development company (“BDC”) under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the “1940 Act”). The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns primarily through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies, which the Company defines as companies with approximately $10.0 million to $100.0 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”). The Company will focus on privately originated debt to performing U.S. middle market companies, with a portfolio expected to comprise primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (other than last-out positions in unitranche loans) (collectively “Senior Loans”). The Company will also opportunistically invest in junior capital opportunities (second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out positions in unitranche loans and equity-related securities) (collectively “Junior Capital Investments”).
Long Name Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 607,954,752
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_648999242
Non Diluted Market Cap 612,399,606
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 12.32
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 1.766
Phone 212 478 9200
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 12.31
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 12.4
Price Eps Current Year 7.8048725
Price Hint 2
Profit Margins 0.0
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.6
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0899992
Regular Market Change Percent -0.7258
Regular Market Day High 12.4799
Regular Market Day Low 12.29
Regular Market Day Range 12.29 - 12.4799
Regular Market Open 12.32
Regular Market Previous Close 12.4
Regular Market Price 12.31
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 104,582
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 49,387,065
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0113
Shares Short 558,891
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 831,623
Short Percent Of Float 0.013200001
Short Ratio 3.07
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol NCDL
Target High Price 16.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 14.05
Target Median Price 14.0
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.93
Trailing P E 13.23656
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.36145
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.0514498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07869279
Type Disp Equity
Volume 104,582
Website https://www.churchillam.com/nuveen-churchill-direct-lending-corp
Zip 10,152