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Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Jericho, United States | NasdaqGS
101.90 USD +0.02 (0.020%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★⯪Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:08 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here has fundamentally shifted from a standalone growth story to a takeover arbitrage play. The definitive merger agreement with Smithfield Foods at $102 per share provides a hard price floor that dwarfs the current trading range, creating a compelling near-term bullish case as the market digests the deal terms. While the statistical forecasting model hints at minor downside volatility over the next 45 days, this technical noise is irrelevant against the backdrop of a confirmed acquisition; the probability of the stock closing significantly below the $102 offer price before the deal settles is low. For the long term, the company's fundamentals remain solid with robust revenue growth and healthy margins, though the negative book value and high debt load suggest the standalone business faces structural headwinds that the acquirer likely intends to resolve. The dividend yield is attractive but secondary to the capital gains potential inherent in the buyout scenario.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.012796
AutoETS0.012796
MSTL0.013285
AutoTheta0.017532

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 64%
H-stat 12.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.541
Excess Kurtosis 0.23
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-21
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-21
Revenue per Share 41.326
Market Cap 417,219,872
Trailing P/E 21.10
Beta 0.25
Profit Margins 11.78%
Website https://www.nathansfamous.com

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.50% 4.29% 3.05% 2.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.50 0.495933
2026-02-17 0.50 0.496229
2025-11-24 3.00 3.298878
2025-08-25 0.50 0.465679
2025-06-23 0.50 0.447828
2025-02-18 0.50 0.499900
2024-11-25 0.50 0.591086
2024-08-26 0.50 0.646663
2024-06-24 0.50 0.735078
2024-02-16 0.50 0.735078
2023-11-17 0.50 0.747272
2023-08-18 0.50 0.689275
2023-06-16 0.50 0.627825
2023-02-17 0.50 0.626253
2022-11-18 0.45 0.707547
2022-08-19 0.45 0.684099
2022-06-16 0.45 0.873617
2022-02-17 0.45 0.802998
2021-11-19 0.35 0.558125
2021-08-20 0.35 0.517216
2021-06-18 0.35 0.502874
2021-02-19 0.35 0.582945
2020-11-20 0.35 0.588136
2020-08-21 0.35 0.659134
2020-06-19 0.35 0.574335
2020-02-21 0.35 0.537634
2019-11-22 0.35 0.459318
2019-08-23 0.35 0.530303
2019-06-21 0.35 0.511322
2019-03-08 0.25 0.360698
2018-11-30 0.25 0.340739
2018-09-07 0.25 0.282805
2018-06-15 0.25 0.267094
2017-12-21 5.00 6.455778
2015-03-30 25.00 48.355899
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.0
dividendYield 1.96
exDividendDate 2026-06-22
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019630939
lastDividendValue 0.5
lastDividendDate 2026-06-22
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.08519614
Address1 One Jericho Plaza
Address2 Second Floor - Wing A
All Time High 118.5
All Time Low 2.5
Ask 130.49
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 24,200
Average Daily Volume3 Month 26,743
Average Volume 26,743
Average Volume10Days 24,200
Beta 0.246
Bid 73.16
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value -1.748
City Jericho
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 101.9
Current Ratio 2.446
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 101.95
Day Low 101.88
Display Name Nathan's Famous
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 2.0
Dividend Yield 1.96
Earnings Growth -0.009
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.011
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,968,200
Ebitda 34,400,000
Ebitda Margins 0.2034
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.904
Enterprise To Revenue 2.625
Enterprise Value 443,880,640
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.83
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,086,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 98.9058
Fifty Day Average Change 2.9942017
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.030273266
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -8.519613
Fifty Two Week High 111.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.489998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08519614
Fifty Two Week Low 88.67
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.230003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14920495
Fifty Two Week Range 88.67 - 111.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 730,737,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.37
Float Shares 2,862,831
Free Cashflow 18,985,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 129
Fullday Change 0.030006409
Fullday Change Percent 0.029452698
Fullday Price 101.9
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.29084998
Gross Profits 49,191,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.29952
Held Percent Institutions 0.57205003
Implied Shares Outstanding 4,094,405
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=113414&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,086,400
Last Dividend Value 0.5
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,742,400
Long Business Summary Nathan's Famous, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, operates in the foodservice industry both in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Branded Product Program; Product licensing; and Restaurant operations. The company owns and franchises restaurants under the Nathan's Famous brand name. It also has license agreements for the manufacture, distribution, marketing, and sale of Nathan's Famous branded beef hot dogs, crinkle-cut french fries, and sausages in refrigerated consumer packages, which are resold through retail channels such as supermarkets, grocery stores, mass merchandisers, and club stores. In addition, the company has license agreements to manufacture Nathan's Famous branded hot dog and sausage products in bulk for use in the foodservice industry, supply Nathan's Famous natural casing and skinless hot dogs in bulk for use in the Nathan's Famous restaurant system, as well as manufacture proprietary spices; produce and distribute pickles; and produce and sell french fries and onion rings for retail sale. Further, the company produces and sells miniature bagel dogs, franks-in-a-blanket, mozzarella sticks, corn dog nuggets, other hors d'oeuvres, and bottled mustard through club stores, supermarkets, and other retail food stores. Additionally, it sells Nathan's products directly to foodservice operators or various foodservice distributors, and provides Fish-n-Chips under the Arthur Treacher's brand name. Nathan's Famous, Inc. was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Jericho, New York.
Long Name Nathan's Famous, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 417,219,872
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_61292
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 19,921,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,278,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 386,819,198
Open 101.91
Operating Cashflow 19,403,000
Operating Margins 0.23941
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.4141
Peg Ratio 1.56
Phone 516 338 8500
Previous Close 101.88
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -58.295193
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.4669027
Profit Margins 0.117790006
Quick Ratio 2.328
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0200043
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0196351
Regular Market Day High 101.95
Regular Market Day Low 101.88
Regular Market Day Range 101.88 - 101.95
Regular Market Open 101.91
Regular Market Previous Close 101.88
Regular Market Price 101.9
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,801
Regular Market Volume 30,080
Return On Assets 0.32623002
Revenue Growth 0.15
Revenue Per Share 41.326
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 4,094,405
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.030199999
Shares Short 123,794
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 109,811
Short Name Nathan's Famous, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.051
Short Ratio 3.92
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol NATH
Total Cash 24,686,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.024
Total Debt 51,015,000
Total Revenue 169,127,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019630939
Trailing Eps 4.83
Trailing P E 21.09731
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 99.6947
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.2052994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.022120528
Type Disp Equity
Volume 30,080
Website https://www.nathansfamous.com
Zip 11,753