Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK)Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE American
1.64 USD
-0.07
(-4.094%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 1.62 -0.02 (-0.019%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:36 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Northern Dynasty Minerals is currently paralyzed by a fundamental impasse. Despite a massive 300% surge in share price over the last nine years, the company remains trapped in a regulatory limbo with the Pebble project facing EPA vetoes and legal challenges. This is not a value opportunity; it is a speculative bet on a binary regulatory resolution that could take years. The balance sheet reflects this distress, with negative free cash flow, negative returns on equity, and a precarious current ratio of 0.71, indicating liquidity strain without the cushion of a dividend or strong earnings. While the stock recently crossed above its 200-day moving average, triggering some technical momentum, the underlying business lacks the operational execution to generate value independently of the project's approval. The options market confirms this tension, with traders betting on a wide range rather than a specific outcome. Until the regulatory hurdle is cleared and the company demonstrates a path to profitability without relying solely on the Pebble deposit, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the investor. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.060014 |
| AutoETS | 0.066040 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.067243 |
| AutoTheta | 0.072413 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 29% |
| H-stat | 3.19 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.448 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.92 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 7.796 |
| Market Cap | 918,910,336 |
| Forward P/E | -232.30 |
| Beta | 0.55 |
| Website | https://www.northerndynastyminerals.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile breakout above $2.00, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $2.00 and $2.50 strikes across multiple expirations. However, this bullish sentiment is heavily hedged by significant put buying at lower strikes ($1.00, $1.50) and deep out-of-the-money puts ($7.00) for later dates, suggesting a 'long gamma' strategy where traders bet on a range-bound expansion rather than a definitive directional move. Implied volatility remains elevated, pricing in uncertainty around the regulatory timeline.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.2119816 |
| Address1 | 1,040 West Georgia Street |
| Address2 | 14th Floor |
| All Time High | 21.76 |
| All Time Low | 0.2 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 26,600 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,470,900 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 7,869,383 |
| Average Volume | 7,869,383 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,470,900 |
| Beta | 0.554 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 25,800 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 0.05349944 |
| City | Vancouver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 1.64 |
| Current Ratio | 0.708 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 1.68 |
| Day Low | 1.6 |
| Debt To Equity | 7.796 |
| Display Name | Northern Dynasty Minerals |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,737,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,737,600 |
| Ebitda | -23,633,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -38.461 |
| Enterprise Value | 908,941,056 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.0 |
| Eps Forward | -0.0070598 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.07 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | ASE |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 604 639 9209 |
| Fifty Day Average | 2.0278 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.3878001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.19124179 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -21.19816 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 2.98 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.34 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.44966444 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 0.73 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.90999997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.2465752 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 0.73 - 2.98 |
| Financial Currency | CAD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 993,821,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 550,001,437 |
| Forward Eps | -0.0070598 |
| Forward P E | -232.3012 |
| Free Cashflow | -12,598,500 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE American |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01691 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.22092 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 560,311,162 |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Disp | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Key | other-industrial-metals-mining |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project comprising 1,840 mineral claims that covers an area of approximately 274 square miles located in southwest Alaska, the United States. The company was formerly known as Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. and changed its name to Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. in October 1997. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Vancouver, Canada. |
| Long Name | Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 918,910,336 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_875165 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -42,864,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 947,204,893 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 1.66 |
| Operating Cashflow | -23,425,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.0 |
| Overall Risk | 8 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.06 |
| Phone | 604 684 6365 |
| Post Market Change | -0.018999934 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.1585326 |
| Post Market Price | 1.621 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,127 |
| Previous Close | 1.71 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 30.654526 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.689 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0700001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.09357 |
| Regular Market Day High | 1.68 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 1.6 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 1.6 - 1.68 |
| Regular Market Open | 1.66 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 1.71 |
| Regular Market Price | 1.64 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,914,897 |
| Return On Assets | -0.117410004 |
| Return On Equity | -0.86371005 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 560,311,162 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0312 |
| Shares Short | 17,488,424 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 24,449,555 |
| Short Name | Northern Dynasty Minerals, Ltd. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0354 |
| Short Ratio | 2.15 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | BC |
| Symbol | NAK |
| Target High Price | 2.5142355 |
| Target Low Price | 2.5142355 |
| Target Mean Price | 2.5142355 |
| Target Median Price | 2.5142355 |
| Total Cash | 52,494,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.094 |
| Total Debt | 3,303,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.07 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 1.8643 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.22430003 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.120313264 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,914,897 |
| Website | https://www.northerndynastyminerals.com |
| Zip | V6E 4H1 |