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Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA)

Industrials | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Atlanta, United States | NYSE
21.65 USD -0.03 (-0.138%) ⇩ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:36 a.m. EDT

Mueller Water presents a classic 'value trap' candidate that is currently being re-rated by the market. Fundamentally, the business is robust with a fortress balance sheet, healthy free cash flow, and a 21.7% return on equity, yet the stock has underperformed its peers significantly over the last two years, trading well below its 200-day average. This disconnect creates a compelling long-term setup for patient capital, as the company generates ample cash to support a modest dividend while trading at a reasonable multiple. However, the short-term outlook remains murky; the stock is stuck in a downtrend channel, and options flow reveals a heavy defensive posture from speculators who are more concerned with protecting capital than chasing gains. Until the price action breaks decisively above the 200-day moving average to confirm a trend reversal, the risk-reward profile favors waiting for a better entry point rather than initiating a full position.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.042880
MSTL0.044893
AutoARIMA0.045003
AutoETS0.045551

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 9.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.190
Excess Kurtosis 0.13
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 40.423
Revenue per Share 9.468
Market Cap 3,380,120,832
Trailing P/E 15.35
Forward P/E 13.70
Beta 1.00
Profit Margins 15.02%
Website https://www.muellerwaterproducts.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome with a distinct lack of aggressive upside bets. While there is notable open interest in deep out-of-the-money calls (strikes 30 and 40) suggesting a speculative tailwind, the overwhelming majority of volume and open interest sits in the money or at-the-money strikes, particularly in February 2027. Crucially, put open interest significantly outweighs call open interest for longer-dated expirations, indicating a defensive bias where traders are hedging against downside rather than betting on a breakout. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent rally can sustain itself.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.27% 1.07% 1.24% 1.48%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-10 0.070 0.268405
2026-05-11 0.070 0.270793
2026-02-10 0.070 0.237691
2025-11-10 0.070 0.292276
2025-08-12 0.067 0.248886
2025-05-12 0.067 0.263780
2025-02-10 0.067 0.249071
2024-11-08 0.067 0.260903
2024-08-09 0.064 0.322094
2024-05-09 0.064 0.334029
2024-02-08 0.064 0.460763
2023-11-08 0.064 0.509149
2023-08-09 0.061 0.436338
2023-05-09 0.061 0.436338
2023-02-09 0.061 0.446233
2022-11-09 0.061 0.558608
2022-08-09 0.058 0.496575
2022-05-09 0.058 0.485762
2022-02-09 0.058 0.438066
2021-11-09 0.058 0.375891
2021-08-09 0.055 0.360419
2021-05-07 0.055 0.369624
2021-02-09 0.055 0.430697
2020-11-09 0.055 0.476190
2020-08-07 0.053 0.469858
2020-05-08 0.053 0.593505
2020-02-07 0.053 0.441299
2019-11-07 0.053 0.474061
2019-08-08 0.053 0.522168
2019-05-09 0.050 0.546448
2019-02-07 0.050 0.495049
2018-11-08 0.050 0.430293
2018-08-09 0.050 0.428816
2018-05-09 0.050 0.431034
2018-02-08 0.050 0.454545
2017-11-09 0.040 0.329489
2017-08-09 0.040 0.331675
2017-05-08 0.040 0.362976
2017-02-08 0.040 0.315706
2016-11-08 0.030 0.271003
2016-08-04 0.030 0.252738
2016-05-06 0.030 0.288462
2016-02-08 0.020 0.245399
2015-11-06 0.020 0.223464
2015-08-06 0.020 0.228833
2015-05-06 0.020 0.210748
2015-02-06 0.018 0.198895
2014-11-06 0.018 0.182741
2014-08-07 0.018 0.210035
2014-05-07 0.018 0.208092
2014-02-06 0.018 0.208092
2013-11-06 0.018 0.208575
2013-08-07 0.018 0.240000
2013-05-08 0.018 0.244898
2013-02-07 0.018 0.300501
2012-11-07 0.018 0.357143
2012-08-08 0.018 0.455696
2012-05-08 0.018 0.486486
2012-02-08 0.018 0.618557
2011-11-08 0.018 0.734694
2011-08-08 0.018 0.882353
2011-05-06 0.018 0.425532
2011-02-08 0.018 0.460358
2010-11-08 0.018 0.534125
2010-08-06 0.018 0.575080
2010-05-06 0.018 0.370370
2010-02-08 0.018 0.363636
2009-11-06 0.018 0.370370
2009-08-06 0.018 0.460358
2009-05-06 0.018 0.382979
2009-02-06 0.018 0.487805
2008-11-06 0.018 0.291262
2008-08-06 0.018 0.179820
2008-05-07 0.018 0.204082
2008-02-07 0.018 0.204545
2007-11-07 0.018 0.196078
2007-08-08 0.018 0.122867
2007-05-08 0.018 0.115385
2007-02-07 0.018 0.117724
2006-11-08 0.018 0.131100
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.29
exDividendDate 2026-08-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.277
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.012776753
lastDividendValue 0.07
lastDividendDate 2026-08-10
dividendDate 2026-08-20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.14257425
Address1 1,200 Abernathy Road N.E.
Address2 Suite 1200
All Time High 31.0
All Time Low 1.48
Ask 21.79
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,448,790
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,249,351
Average Volume 1,249,351
Average Volume10Days 1,448,790
Beta 1.002
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 500
Board Risk 1
Book Value 7.177
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.65
Current Ratio 4.636
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 21.92
Day Low 21.51
Debt To Equity 40.423
Display Name Mueller Water Products
Dividend Date 1,787,184,000
Dividend Yield 1.29
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,028,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,028,400
Earnings Growth 0.303
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.282
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 360,700,000
Ebitda Margins 0.24383
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.253
Enterprise To Revenue 2.256
Enterprise Value 3,337,720,832
Eps Current Year 1.565
Eps Forward 1.58017
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.41
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 23.4368
Fifty Day Average Change -1.7868004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.076239094
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -14.257425
Fifty Two Week High 31.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.35
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3016129
Fifty Two Week Low 20.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.035885166
Fifty Two Week Range 20.9 - 31.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,148,650,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.36
Float Shares 154,820,468
Forward Eps 1.58017
Forward P E 13.7010565
Free Cashflow 130,712,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 3,500
Fullday Change -0.030000687
Fullday Change Percent -0.13837954
Fullday Price 21.65
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.38072
Gross Profits 563,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01095
Held Percent Institutions 1.02912
Implied Shares Outstanding 156,125,679
Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Disp Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Key specialty-industrial-machinery
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Last Dividend Value 0.07
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Long Business Summary Mueller Water Products, Inc. manufactures and markets products and services for the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water used by municipalities, and the residential and non-residential construction industries in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Water Flow Solutions and Water Management Solutions. The Water Flow Solutions segment provides valves for water systems, such as iron gate, butterfly, tapping, check, knife, plug, and ball valves, which are used to control distribution and transmission of potable water and non-potable water, as well as in water transmission or distribution, water treatment facilities, or industrial applications. It also offers service brass products. The Water Management Solutions segment offers dry-barrel and wet-barrel fire hydrants for water infrastructure development; fire protection systems, and water infrastructure repair and replacement projects; pipe repair products, such as couplings, grips, and clamps used to repair leaks; residential, fire protection, and commercial water metering products and systems; water leak detection and pipe condition assessment products and services; machines and tools for tapping, drilling, extracting, installing, and stopping-off; gas valve products for use in gas distribution systems; and intelligent water solutions, including pressure control valves, advanced pressure management, network analytics, event management, and date logging. It sells its products under the Canada Valve, Centurion, Ez-Max, Hydro Gate, Hydro-Guard, HYMAX, HYMAX VERSA, Jones, Krausz, Milliken, Mueller Systems, Mueller, Pratt, Pratt Industrial, Repamax, Repaflex, Singer, Echologics, Echoshore, ePulse, Hersey, LeakFinderRT, Sentryx, and U.S. Pipe Valve and Hydrant brands. Mueller Water Products, Inc. was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name Mueller Water Products, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,380,120,832
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10404838
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 222,200,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,391,049,747
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 21.81
Operating Cashflow 237,700,000
Operating Margins 0.23945
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.19510001
Peg Ratio 0.91
Phone 770 206 4200
Previous Close 21.68
Price Eps Current Year 13.833865
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.0165806
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.2849462
Profit Margins 0.15021
Quick Ratio 2.865
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0300007
Regular Market Change Percent -0.13838
Regular Market Day High 21.92
Regular Market Day Low 21.51
Regular Market Day Range 21.51 - 21.92
Regular Market Open 21.81
Regular Market Previous Close 21.68
Regular Market Price 21.65
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,402
Regular Market Volume 918,243
Return On Assets 0.10621
Return On Equity 0.21684
Revenue Growth 0.041
Revenue Per Share 9.468
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 156,125,679
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.038900003
Shares Short 6,079,787
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,704,903
Short Name MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
Short Percent Of Float 0.0556
Short Ratio 4.28
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol MWA
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 28.33333
Target Median Price 27.5
Total Cash 495,300,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.172
Total Debt 452,900,000
Total Revenue 1,479,299,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.277
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.012776753
Trailing Eps 1.41
Trailing P E 15.35461
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.9165
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 26.00295
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.352951
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1674022
Type Disp Equity
Volume 918,243
Website https://www.muellerwaterproducts.com
Zip 30,328