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Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA)

Industrials | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Atlanta, United States | NYSE
24.60 USD -0.32 (-1.284%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:26 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is exceptionally strong, driven by a fortress balance sheet, robust free cash flow generation, and a multi-year price trajectory that has more than doubled despite a challenging macro environment. The company demonstrates consistent profitability with healthy margins and a clear path for growth, making it a rare find where fundamentals align perfectly with price appreciation. However, the short-term outlook is muted; the stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, creating a technical headwind that suppresses immediate momentum. While the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative for the next month, this appears to be a temporary dislocation rather than a trend reversal. The options market confirms this tension, with traders betting on a recovery but not yet committing to aggressive upside plays. This creates a compelling setup for a patient buyer: the business quality is elite, but the timing requires waiting for the technicals to resolve.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.076708
AutoETS0.082327
MSTL0.088149
AutoARIMA0.088510

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 1.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.112
Excess Kurtosis -0.35
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.249
Revenue per Share 9.365
Market Cap 3,849,188,352
Trailing P/E 18.64
Forward P/E 15.69
Beta 1.03
Profit Margins 14.17%
Website https://www.muellerwaterproducts.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes significantly above the current price ($30, $35, $40), while put activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls, suggesting a premium is being priced for a potential rally, whereas the lack of deep put positioning indicates limited hedging against a sharp downturn.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.27% 1.05% 1.30% 1.50%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-11 0.070 0.270793
2026-02-10 0.070 0.237691
2025-11-10 0.070 0.292276
2025-08-12 0.067 0.248886
2025-05-12 0.067 0.263780
2025-02-10 0.067 0.249071
2024-11-08 0.067 0.260903
2024-08-09 0.064 0.322094
2024-05-09 0.064 0.334029
2024-02-08 0.064 0.460763
2023-11-08 0.064 0.509149
2023-08-09 0.061 0.436338
2023-05-09 0.061 0.436338
2023-02-09 0.061 0.446233
2022-11-09 0.061 0.558608
2022-08-09 0.058 0.496575
2022-05-09 0.058 0.485762
2022-02-09 0.058 0.438066
2021-11-09 0.058 0.375891
2021-08-09 0.055 0.360419
2021-05-07 0.055 0.369624
2021-02-09 0.055 0.430697
2020-11-09 0.055 0.476190
2020-08-07 0.053 0.469858
2020-05-08 0.053 0.593505
2020-02-07 0.053 0.441299
2019-11-07 0.053 0.474061
2019-08-08 0.053 0.522168
2019-05-09 0.050 0.546448
2019-02-07 0.050 0.495049
2018-11-08 0.050 0.430293
2018-08-09 0.050 0.428816
2018-05-09 0.050 0.431034
2018-02-08 0.050 0.454545
2017-11-09 0.040 0.329489
2017-08-09 0.040 0.331675
2017-05-08 0.040 0.362976
2017-02-08 0.040 0.315706
2016-11-08 0.030 0.271003
2016-08-04 0.030 0.252738
2016-05-06 0.030 0.288462
2016-02-08 0.020 0.245399
2015-11-06 0.020 0.223464
2015-08-06 0.020 0.228833
2015-05-06 0.020 0.210748
2015-02-06 0.018 0.198895
2014-11-06 0.018 0.182741
2014-08-07 0.018 0.210035
2014-05-07 0.018 0.208092
2014-02-06 0.018 0.208092
2013-11-06 0.018 0.208575
2013-08-07 0.018 0.240000
2013-05-08 0.018 0.244898
2013-02-07 0.018 0.300501
2012-11-07 0.018 0.357143
2012-08-08 0.018 0.455696
2012-05-08 0.018 0.486486
2012-02-08 0.018 0.618557
2011-11-08 0.018 0.734694
2011-08-08 0.018 0.882353
2011-05-06 0.018 0.425532
2011-02-08 0.018 0.460358
2010-11-08 0.018 0.534125
2010-08-06 0.018 0.575080
2010-05-06 0.018 0.370370
2010-02-08 0.018 0.363636
2009-11-06 0.018 0.370370
2009-08-06 0.018 0.460358
2009-05-06 0.018 0.382979
2009-02-06 0.018 0.487805
2008-11-06 0.018 0.291262
2008-08-06 0.018 0.179820
2008-05-07 0.018 0.204082
2008-02-07 0.018 0.204545
2007-11-07 0.018 0.196078
2007-08-08 0.018 0.122867
2007-05-08 0.018 0.115385
2007-02-07 0.018 0.117724
2006-11-08 0.018 0.131100
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.28
dividendYield 1.13
exDividendDate 2026-05-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.274
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010995184
lastDividendValue 0.07
lastDividendDate 2026-05-11
dividendDate 2026-05-20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.0063796043
Address1 1,200 Abernathy Road N.E.
Address2 Suite 1200
All Time High 31.0
All Time Low 1.48
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 800
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,388,590
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,319,680
Average Volume 1,319,680
Average Volume10Days 1,388,590
Beta 1.027
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 500
Board Risk 2
Book Value 6.845
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.6
Current Ratio 4.569
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 25.15
Day Low 24.37
Debt To Equity 42.249
Display Name Mueller Water Products
Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Dividend Rate 0.28
Dividend Yield 1.13
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,079,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,079,600
Earnings Growth 0.154
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.152
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,787,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,787,200
Ebitda 339,700,000
Ebitda Margins 0.23208
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.424
Enterprise To Revenue 2.651
Enterprise Value 3,880,588,544
Eps Current Year 1.4765
Eps Forward 1.5675
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.32
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,457,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.8192
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2192001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.047220677
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.63796043
Fifty Two Week High 31.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.3999996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2064516
Fifty Two Week Low 22.74
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8600006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.081794225
Fifty Two Week Range 22.74 - 31.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,148,650,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.48
Float Shares 155,034,674
Forward Eps 1.5675
Forward P E 15.69378
Free Cashflow 99,412,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 3,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.37576
Gross Profits 550,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01133
Held Percent Institutions 1.01283
Implied Shares Outstanding 156,471,079
Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Disp Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Key specialty-industrial-machinery
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,457,600
Last Dividend Value 0.07
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Long Business Summary Mueller Water Products, Inc. manufactures and markets products and services for the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water used by municipalities, and the residential and non-residential construction industries in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Water Flow Solutions and Water Management Solutions. The Water Flow Solutions segment provides valves for water systems, such as iron gate, butterfly, tapping, check, knife, plug, and ball valves, which are used to control distribution and transmission of potable water and non-potable water, as well as in water transmission or distribution, water treatment facilities, or industrial applications. It also offers service brass products. The Water Management Solutions segment offers dry-barrel and wet-barrel fire hydrants for water infrastructure development; fire protection systems, and water infrastructure repair and replacement projects; pipe repair products, such as couplings, grips, and clamps used to repair leaks; residential, fire protection, and commercial water metering products and systems; water leak detection and pipe condition assessment products and services; machines and tools for tapping, drilling, extracting, installing, and stopping-off; gas valve products for use in gas distribution systems; and intelligent water solutions, including pressure control valves, advanced pressure management, network analytics, event management, and date logging. It sells its products under the Canada Valve, Centurion, Ez-Max, Hydro Gate, Hydro-Guard, HYMAX, HYMAX VERSA, Jones, Krausz, Milliken, Mueller Systems, Mueller, Pratt, Pratt Industrial, Repamax, Repaflex, Singer, Echologics, Echoshore, ePulse, Hersey, LeakFinderRT, Sentryx, and U.S. Pipe Valve and Hydrant brands. Mueller Water Products, Inc. was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name Mueller Water Products, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,849,188,352
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10404838
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 207,400,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,849,188,543
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 24.87
Operating Cashflow 199,300,000
Operating Margins 0.2206
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.2076
Peg Ratio 1.04
Phone 770 206 4200
Pre Market Change 0.13999939
Pre Market Change Percent 0.5691032
Pre Market Price 24.74
Pre Market Time 1,784,025,062
Previous Close 24.92
Price Eps Current Year 16.661022
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.5938642
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.629766
Profit Margins 0.1417
Quick Ratio 2.699
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.32
Regular Market Change Percent -1.28411
Regular Market Day High 25.15
Regular Market Day Low 24.37
Regular Market Day Range 24.37 - 25.15
Regular Market Open 24.87
Regular Market Previous Close 24.92
Regular Market Price 24.6
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 888,135
Return On Assets 0.10298
Return On Equity 0.21333
Revenue Growth 0.055
Revenue Per Share 9.365
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 156,471,079
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0315
Shares Short 4,933,303
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,484,589
Short Name MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
Short Percent Of Float 0.045
Short Ratio 3.6
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol MWA
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 25.0
Target Mean Price 31.0
Target Median Price 31.5
Total Cash 421,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.691
Total Debt 452,400,000
Total Revenue 1,463,699,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.274
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010995184
Trailing Eps 1.32
Trailing P E 18.636364
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.0383
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 26.31125
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7112503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.065038726
Type Disp Equity
Volume 888,135
Website https://www.muellerwaterproducts.com
Zip 30,328