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GraniteShares 2x Long MRVL Daily ETF (MVLL)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
29.27 USD -5.28 (-15.282%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 28.35 -0.92 (-0.922%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT

This leveraged ETF is currently trapped in a severe short-term downtrend, having lost nearly half its value since the July 10th close of $34.55. While the underlying Marvell Technology rally has been spectacular, the mechanics of daily leverage have punished this instrument significantly during the recent consolidation and pullback. The recent price action shows a brutal drop from $62.89 to $33.29, erasing previous gains. Crucially, the options market is screaming caution; there is a massive wall of put open interest at the $15 strike and heavy volume in puts at $20, while call buyers are hesitant, leaving the stock exposed to further downside if the underlying momentum falters. The statistical forecasting model offers virtually no guidance due to extremely low reliability, forcing a reliance on the visible trend which is bearish. For a long-term hold, the lack of any dividend history and the inherent decay risks of leveraged products during choppy markets make it unsuitable for capital preservation, despite the potential for explosive upside if the semiconductor sector resumes a parabolic run.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.946139
AutoARIMA1.171223
AutoETS1.214076
MSTL1.222327

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 5.70
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.617
Excess Kurtosis -0.59

As of July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 15, 20, 110) and significant volume spikes in put writing. Conversely, call positioning is sparse relative to put volume, with notable open interest walls at strikes 50, 60, and 66.67 suggesting a 'pin' at current levels rather than aggressive bullish bets. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep out-of-the-money puts compared to calls, indicating a market pricing in a high probability of further volatility or decline.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 77.666664
All Time Low 3.22
Ask 36.88
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,993,460
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,161,175
Average Volume 6,161,175
Average Volume10Days 3,993,460
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 23.35
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 32.55
Day Low 28.5769
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 40.0405
Fifty Day Average Change -10.7705
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.26899016
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 417.7323
Fifty Two Week High 77.666664
Fifty Two Week High Change -48.396664
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.623133
Fifty Two Week Low 4.321
Fifty Two Week Low Change 24.949001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 5.7738953
Fifty Two Week Range 4.321 - 77.666664
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,741,357,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Graniteshares
Fund Inception Date 1,741,219,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-03-07
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to replicate 2 times (200%) the daily percentage change the underlying stock by entering into financial instruments such as swaps and options underlying stock as well as directly purchasing the underlying stock. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name GraniteShares 2x Long MRVL Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1931399871
Nav Price 36.93
Net Assets 1,033,642,180.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.5
Open 32.2551
Post Market Change -0.9218998
Post Market Change Percent -3.1496406
Post Market Price 28.3481
Post Market Time 1,783,987,199
Previous Close 34.55
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -5.28
Regular Market Change Percent -15.2822
Regular Market Day High 32.55
Regular Market Day Low 28.5769
Regular Market Day Range 28.5769 - 32.55
Regular Market Open 32.2551
Regular Market Previous Close 34.55
Regular Market Price 29.27
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 2,880,671
Short Name GraniteShares 2x Long MRVL Dail
Source Interval 15
Symbol MVLL
Total Assets 1,033,642,176
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 565.3534
Trailing Three Month Returns 565.3534
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.382286
Two Hundred Day Average Change 12.887714
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.78668594
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,880,671
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 701.2093