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Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | El Dorado, United States | NYSE
523.21 USD -2.26 (-0.430%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 523.21

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:06 a.m. EDT

Murphy USA presents a compelling long-term opportunity where the business fundamentals are firing on all cylinders while the stock price has taken a breather. The company is delivering explosive growth with revenue up 40% and earnings surging 53%, backed by an exceptional 86% return on equity. While the balance sheet carries higher leverage than a typical fortress balance sheet, the robust cash generation supports the dividend and operations comfortably. The recent 2025 price decline was a sharp correction, but the underlying trajectory remains overwhelmingly positive with nine years of massive gains. Short-term traders should remain cautious as the stock trades below its 50-day moving average and options flow shows a slight put bias, suggesting the market is waiting for confirmation that the fuel cycle has stabilized. However, for investors willing to hold through the volatility, the valuation is attractive relative to the growth profile, and the analyst consensus sees significant upside potential.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.130432
AutoARIMA0.130433
MSTL0.139161
AutoTheta0.165882

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 4.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.118
Excess Kurtosis -1.06
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Debt to Equity Ratio 352.932
Revenue per Share 1022.589
Market Cap 9,616,782,336
Trailing P/E 15.97
Forward P/E 17.04
Beta 0.29
Profit Margins 3.23%
Website https://www.murphyusa.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are displaying a cautious stance with put volume and open interest exceeding calls in the December and January expirations, creating a defensive hedge at strikes like 400 and 480. Despite this downside protection, there remains a significant call open interest wall at 720 and new flow at 700, indicating institutional bullishness on a recovery to previous highs. Implied volatility is elevated around 40-45%, reflecting uncertainty about the immediate path forward.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.11% 0.56% 0.47% 0.50%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-24 0.65 0.114457
2026-05-18 0.64 0.113206
2026-02-23 0.63 0.160907
2025-11-10 0.63 0.176066
2025-08-25 0.53 0.142358
2025-05-12 0.50 0.113771
2025-02-24 0.49 0.107099
2024-11-04 0.48 0.099954
2024-08-26 0.45 0.087891
2024-05-17 0.44 0.099238
2024-02-23 0.42 0.101582
2023-11-03 0.41 0.108225
2023-08-25 0.39 0.122008
2023-05-12 0.38 0.133883
2023-02-17 0.37 0.135027
2022-11-07 0.35 0.114304
2022-08-29 0.32 0.106724
2022-05-16 0.31 0.120811
2022-02-17 0.29 0.159736
2021-11-05 0.29 0.167436
2021-08-27 0.25 0.159755
2021-05-14 0.25 0.176903
2021-02-19 0.25 0.200803
2020-11-12 0.25 0.189725
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.6
dividendYield 0.49
exDividendDate 2026-08-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.43
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.004624432
lastDividendValue 0.65
lastDividendDate 2026-08-24
dividendDate 2026-09-03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.39105225
Address1 200 Peach Street
All Time High 636.05
All Time Low 36.12
Ask 573.0
Ask Size 40
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 179,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 263,415
Average Volume 263,415
Average Volume10Days 179,950
Beta 0.289
Bid 475.0
Bid Size 40
Board Risk 1
Book Value 42.584
City El Dorado
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 523.21
Current Ratio 0.925
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 537.34
Day Low 519.11
Debt To Equity 352.932
Display Name Murphy USA
Dividend Date 1,788,393,600
Dividend Rate 2.6
Dividend Yield 0.49
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Growth 0.531
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.436
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 1,231,200,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06448
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.912
Enterprise To Revenue 0.639
Enterprise Value 12,203,781,120
Eps Current Year 34.98
Eps Forward 30.7025
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 32.76
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 532.9536
Fifty Day Average Change -9.743591
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.01828225
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 39.105225
Fifty Two Week High 636.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -112.839966
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.17740738
Fifty Two Week Low 349.83
Fifty Two Week Low Change 173.38004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.49561226
Fifty Two Week Range 349.83 - 636.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,376,919,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.44
Float Shares 16,572,272
Forward Eps 30.7025
Forward P E 17.041285
Free Cashflow 386,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 5,900
Fullday Change -2.2599487
Fullday Change Percent -0.43008143
Fullday Price 523.21
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.08061
Gross Profits 1,539,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09842
Held Percent Institutions 0.87757003
Implied Shares Outstanding 18,380,347
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Last Dividend Value 0.65
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Murphy USA Inc., together with subsidiaries, engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company operates retail stores under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands, as well as operates non-fuel convenience stores. It operates retail gasoline stores principally in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest areas of the United States. Murphy USA Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.
Long Name Murphy USA Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,616,782,336
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_240460878
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 617,200,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,304,866,865
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 527.52
Operating Cashflow 985,299,968
Operating Margins 0.049050003
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.074200004
Peg Ratio 1.39
Phone 870 875 7600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 523.21
Post Market Time 1,791,934,204
Previous Close 525.47
Price Eps Current Year 14.957405
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 12.28654
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.50363356
Profit Margins 0.03232
Quick Ratio 0.509
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.25995
Regular Market Change Percent -0.430081
Regular Market Day High 537.34
Regular Market Day Low 519.11
Regular Market Day Range 519.11 - 537.34
Regular Market Open 527.52
Regular Market Previous Close 525.47
Regular Market Price 523.21
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 152,671
Return On Assets 0.121149994
Return On Equity 0.86394
Revenue Growth 0.408
Revenue Per Share 1,022.589
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 18,380,347
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0484
Shares Short 890,368
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 791,626
Short Name Murphy USA Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.05
Short Ratio 3.25
Source Interval 15
State AR
Symbol MUSA
Target High Price 680.0
Target Low Price 550.0
Target Mean Price 617.8
Target Median Price 622.0
Total Cash 175,400,000
Total Cash Per Share 9.543
Total Debt 2,762,400,000
Total Revenue 19,094,800,384
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.43
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.004624432
Trailing Eps 32.76
Trailing P E 15.971003
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 508.44006
Two Hundred Day Average Change 14.7699585
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.029049557
Type Disp Equity
Volume 152,671
Website https://www.murphyusa.com
Zip 71,730-5836