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Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | El Dorado, United States | NYSE
503.19 USD -5.89 (-1.157%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 503.19

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT

Murphy USA represents a high-quality specialty retailer with exceptional profitability and accelerating growth, yet it carries a heavy debt burden and is currently correcting sharply after a five-year rally. The 25% price decline in 2025 reflects the market's reassessment of its valuation and leverage, preventing a top-tier long-term rating despite the business strength. Short-term momentum is recovering as the stock rebounds from its yearly lows, supported by a resilient cash flow and a highly sustainable, albeit small, dividend. Options activity suggests a wide trading range with a floor near $400 and a target near $640, indicating speculators expect volatility rather than an immediate breakout. This is a turnaround play on a great business, suitable for patient capital willing to wait for the balance sheet to strengthen.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.072148
AutoARIMA0.072149
MSTL0.073436
AutoTheta0.097840

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 0.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.220
Excess Kurtosis -1.07
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Debt to Equity Ratio 352.932
Revenue per Share 1022.589
Market Cap 9,248,806,912
Trailing P/E 15.58
Forward P/E 16.40
Beta 0.28
Profit Margins 3.23%
Website https://www.murphyusa.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome with a defined downside floor. Significant put open interest clusters at the 400 strike for December and January expirations, suggesting a perceived support level or hedge against a deeper correction. Conversely, call walls are established at 640-670 for January 2027, indicating a bullish target zone. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money puts, reflecting fear of a crash, while near-term call IV remains subdued.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.11% 0.56% 0.47% 0.50%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-24 0.65 0.114457
2026-05-18 0.64 0.113206
2026-02-23 0.63 0.160907
2025-11-10 0.63 0.176066
2025-08-25 0.53 0.142358
2025-05-12 0.50 0.113771
2025-02-24 0.49 0.107099
2024-11-04 0.48 0.099954
2024-08-26 0.45 0.087891
2024-05-17 0.44 0.099238
2024-02-23 0.42 0.101582
2023-11-03 0.41 0.108225
2023-08-25 0.39 0.122008
2023-05-12 0.38 0.133883
2023-02-17 0.37 0.135027
2022-11-07 0.35 0.114304
2022-08-29 0.32 0.106724
2022-05-16 0.31 0.120811
2022-02-17 0.29 0.159736
2021-11-05 0.29 0.167436
2021-08-27 0.25 0.159755
2021-05-14 0.25 0.176903
2021-02-19 0.25 0.200803
2020-11-12 0.25 0.189725
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.6
dividendYield 0.51
exDividendDate 2026-08-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.43
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.004773317
lastDividendValue 0.65
lastDividendDate 2026-08-24
dividendDate 2026-09-03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.366071
Address1 200 Peach Street
All Time High 636.05
All Time Low 36.12
Ask 503.41
Ask Size 40
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 233,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 301,491
Average Volume 301,491
Average Volume10Days 233,550
Beta 0.276
Bid 503.01
Bid Size 40
Board Risk 1
Book Value 42.584
City El Dorado
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 503.19
Current Ratio 0.925
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 509.05
Day Low 501.12
Debt To Equity 352.932
Display Name Murphy USA
Dividend Date 1,788,393,600
Dividend Rate 2.6
Dividend Yield 0.51
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,028,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,028,400
Earnings Growth 0.531
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.436
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 1,231,200,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06448
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.613
Enterprise To Revenue 0.62
Enterprise Value 11,835,806,720
Eps Current Year 34.94429
Eps Forward 30.675
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 32.3
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 574.2246
Fifty Day Average Change -71.03461
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12370526
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 36.607098
Fifty Two Week High 636.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -132.85999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20888293
Fifty Two Week Low 349.83
Fifty Two Week Low Change 153.36002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4383844
Fifty Two Week Range 349.83 - 636.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,376,919,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.46
Float Shares 16,572,088
Forward Eps 30.675
Forward P E 16.403912
Free Cashflow 386,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 5,900
Fullday Change -5.88998
Fullday Change Percent -1.15699
Fullday Price 503.19
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.08061
Gross Profits 1,539,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09842
Held Percent Institutions 0.87724996
Implied Shares Outstanding 18,380,347
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Last Dividend Value 0.65
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Murphy USA Inc., together with subsidiaries, engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company operates retail stores under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands, as well as operates non-fuel convenience stores. It operates retail gasoline stores principally in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest areas of the United States. Murphy USA Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.
Long Name Murphy USA Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,248,806,912
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_240460878
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 617,200,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,357,067,050
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 505.01
Operating Cashflow 985,299,968
Operating Margins 0.049050003
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0743
Peg Ratio 1.39
Phone 870 875 7600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 503.19
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 509.08
Price Eps Current Year 14.399777
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 11.81641
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.48436257
Profit Margins 0.03232
Quick Ratio 0.509
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -5.88998
Regular Market Change Percent -1.15699
Regular Market Day High 509.05
Regular Market Day Low 501.12
Regular Market Day Range 501.12 - 509.05
Regular Market Open 505.01
Regular Market Previous Close 509.08
Regular Market Price 503.19
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 274,831
Return On Assets 0.121149994
Return On Equity 0.86394
Revenue Growth 0.408
Revenue Per Share 1,022.589
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 18,380,347
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0385
Shares Short 708,374
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 847,683
Short Name Murphy USA Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0398
Short Ratio 2.46
Source Interval 15
State AR
Symbol MUSA
Target High Price 710.0
Target Low Price 550.0
Target Mean Price 622.7
Target Median Price 622.0
Total Cash 175,400,000
Total Cash Per Share 9.543
Total Debt 2,762,400,000
Total Revenue 19,094,800,384
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.43
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.004773317
Trailing Eps 32.3
Trailing P E 15.578638
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 488.04926
Two Hundred Day Average Change 15.140747
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.03102299
Type Disp Equity
Volume 274,831
Website https://www.murphyusa.com
Zip 71,730-5836