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Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE
35.63 USD -0.32 (-0.890%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.63
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:59 a.m. EDT

Murphy Oil presents a classic value trap scenario where the math looks attractive but the trend is hostile. The stock trades at a reasonable forward P/E of 12.6x, yet it is currently in a multi-year downtrend, having lost nearly 17% of its value over the last nine years. Crucially, the last two years have been negative, signaling that the market has already priced in significant operational headwinds or commodity weakness. While the dividend yield of 3.66% is compelling, the payout ratio of 67% leaves little room for error if oil prices stagnate again; this is a yield that could vanish quickly if earnings slip. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying protection far more aggressively than they are betting on rallies. Despite the analyst upgrades citing cash flow boosts, the price action tells a different story: investors are not willing to bid up the stock until the multi-year decline is reversed. For now, the risk of capital loss outweighs the income benefit.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.084336
AutoTheta0.093437
AutoETS0.105559
MSTL0.105638

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 0.78
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.359
Excess Kurtosis -0.98
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 41.896
Revenue per Share 20.931
Market Cap 5,108,669,440
Trailing P/E 17.82
Forward P/E 12.02
Beta 0.50
Profit Margins 9.83%
Website https://www.murphyoilcorp.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, particularly in the 2027 and 2028 expirations where put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest at lower strikes. This suggests a fear of further downside or a 'crash' scenario rather than a bullish breakout. However, there is notable call volume at distant strikes (e.g., $55 in Jan 2027), indicating some speculative hope for a recovery to previous highs, though the overall sentiment leans bearish.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.01% 4.07% 3.98% 3.33%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.350000 1.005169
2026-05-18 0.350000 0.865480
2026-02-17 0.350000 1.095805
2025-11-17 0.325000 1.102069
2025-08-18 0.325000 1.452190
2025-05-16 0.325000 1.471920
2025-02-18 0.325000 1.152891
2024-11-18 0.300000 0.909642
2024-08-19 0.300000 0.790931
2024-05-17 0.300000 0.696379
2024-02-16 0.300000 0.765501
2023-11-10 0.275000 0.640429
2023-08-11 0.275000 0.623866
2023-05-12 0.275000 0.826322
2023-02-10 0.275000 0.639089
2022-11-10 0.250000 0.519103
2022-08-12 0.250000 0.709622
2022-05-13 0.175000 0.508573
2022-02-11 0.150000 0.435035
2021-11-12 0.125000 0.444050
2021-08-13 0.125000 0.575506
2021-05-14 0.125000 0.616675
2021-02-12 0.125000 0.875350
2020-11-13 0.125000 1.428571
2020-08-14 0.125000 0.825627
2020-05-15 0.125000 1.105217
2020-02-14 0.250000 1.133273
2019-11-15 0.250000 1.027538
2019-08-16 0.250000 1.317870
2019-05-17 0.250000 0.937734
2019-02-15 0.250000 0.855286
2018-11-08 0.250000 0.812744
2018-08-10 0.250000 0.804894
2018-05-11 0.250000 0.833056
2018-02-16 0.250000 0.940203
2017-11-10 0.250000 0.857927
2017-08-10 0.250000 0.973899
2017-05-11 0.250000 0.928333
2017-02-09 0.250000 0.885269
2016-11-09 0.250000 0.893815
2016-08-11 0.250000 0.874738
2016-05-12 0.350000 1.153213
2016-02-11 0.350000 2.191609
2015-11-12 0.350000 1.222067
2015-08-13 0.350000 1.062215
2015-05-13 0.350000 0.781774
2015-02-12 0.350000 0.687758
2014-11-12 0.350000 0.666413
2014-08-14 0.350000 0.584698
2014-05-14 0.313000 0.514633
2014-02-13 0.313000 0.547012
2013-11-13 0.313000 0.508447
2013-08-19 0.270294 0.461380
2013-05-15 0.270294 0.487236
2013-02-14 0.270294 0.518900
2012-11-14 2.429188 5.117336
2012-08-15 0.270294 0.576534
2012-05-14 0.237478 0.585230
2012-02-10 0.237478 0.454845
2011-11-08 0.237478 0.493007
2011-08-11 0.237478 0.536375
2011-05-11 0.237478 0.407407
2011-02-11 0.237478 0.398723
2010-11-09 0.237478 0.411061
2010-08-12 0.237478 0.513155
2010-05-12 0.215889 0.430736
2010-02-11 0.215889 0.485247
2009-11-10 0.215889 0.404989
2009-08-13 0.215889 0.425314
2009-05-13 0.215889 0.465202
2009-02-12 0.215889 0.545255
2008-11-12 0.215889 0.583021
2008-08-14 0.215889 0.326669
2008-05-14 0.162349 0.217366
2008-02-14 0.162349 0.249271
2007-11-07 0.162349 0.256691
2007-08-13 0.162349 0.313961
2007-05-09 0.129534 0.261461
2007-02-09 0.129534 0.293027
2006-11-08 0.129534 0.307126
2006-08-11 0.129534 0.296795
2006-05-10 0.097582 0.218231
2006-02-09 0.097582 0.237245
2005-11-08 0.097582 0.242437
2005-08-12 0.097582 0.202219
2005-05-09 0.097150 0.247334
2005-02-10 0.097150 0.242039
2004-11-09 0.097150 0.286514
2004-08-12 0.097150 0.316455
2004-05-10 0.086356 0.307220
2004-02-11 0.086356 0.328300
2003-11-07 0.086356 0.341940
2003-08-13 0.086356 0.386325
2003-05-12 0.086356 0.438598
2003-02-12 0.086356 0.476646
2002-11-06 0.086356 0.482510
2002-08-14 0.086356 0.481233
2002-05-06 0.080959 0.408766
2002-02-13 0.080959 0.468167
2001-11-07 0.080959 0.486826
2001-08-09 0.080959 0.494465
2001-05-07 0.080959 0.496363
2001-02-09 0.080959 0.576660
2000-11-08 0.080959 0.649354
2000-08-10 0.080959 0.581963
2000-05-08 0.075561 0.588233
2000-02-10 0.075561 0.648897
1999-11-09 0.075561 0.618099
1999-08-12 0.075561 0.699123
1999-05-10 0.075561 0.765024
1999-02-10 0.075561 0.927149
1998-11-10 0.075561 0.862862
1998-08-13 0.075561 0.835817
1998-05-11 0.075561 0.670656
1998-02-11 0.075561 0.710657
1997-11-12 0.075561 0.624301
1997-08-18 0.075561 0.668255
1997-05-12 0.070164 0.695186
1997-02-14 0.070164 0.673574
1997-01-02 1.333981 12.451385
1996-11-13 0.070164 0.680628
1996-08-19 0.070164 0.734462
1996-05-13 0.070164 0.714285
1996-02-14 0.070164 0.776119
1995-11-13 0.070164 0.849672
1995-08-14 0.070164 0.817609
1995-05-09 0.070164 0.734462
1995-02-09 0.070164 0.732394
1994-11-08 0.070164 0.682414
1994-08-09 0.070164 0.732394
1994-05-10 0.070164 0.738636
1994-02-09 0.070164 0.792682
1993-11-08 0.070164 0.753622
1993-08-10 0.070164 0.792682
1993-05-11 0.064767 0.676058
1993-02-09 0.064767 0.802678
1992-11-09 0.064767 0.857145
1992-08-11 0.064767 0.821920
1992-05-11 0.064767 0.813561
1992-02-10 0.064767 0.857145
1991-11-08 0.064767 0.863311
1991-08-12 0.064767 0.842107
1991-05-09 0.064767 0.805371
1991-02-11 0.064767 0.754719
1990-11-08 0.053972 0.602406
1990-08-10 0.053972 0.552482
1990-05-10 0.053972 0.591712
1990-02-12 0.053972 0.581391
1989-11-09 0.053972 0.649346
1989-08-09 0.053972 0.641021
1989-05-09 0.053972 0.714281
1989-02-08 0.053972 0.751875
1988-11-08 0.053972 0.826441
1988-08-09 0.053972 0.763354
1988-05-10 0.053972 0.772196
1988-02-08 0.053972 0.884950
1987-11-09 0.053972 0.999993
1987-08-10 0.053972 0.607899
1987-05-11 0.053972 0.682589
1987-02-09 0.053972 0.813003
1986-11-07 0.053972 0.970867
1986-08-11 0.053972 1.104965
1986-05-09 0.053972 1.020401
1986-02-10 0.053972 1.010094
1985-11-08 0.053972 0.787396
1985-08-12 0.053972 0.865795
1985-05-09 0.053972 0.840330
1985-02-08 0.053972 0.847452
1984-11-08 0.053972 0.881051
1984-08-09 0.053972 0.851058
1984-05-09 0.053972 0.727268
1984-02-08 0.053972 0.760451
1983-11-07 0.053972 0.799995
1983-08-09 0.053972 0.732596
1983-05-10 0.053972 0.873357
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.4
dividendYield 3.89
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.35
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.037552156
lastDividendValue 0.35
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-09-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.38856697
Address1 9,805 Katy Freeway
Address2 Suite G-200
All Time High 87.62521
All Time Low 3.346287
Ask 35.62
Ask Size 800
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,702,140
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,819,938
Average Volume 1,819,938
Average Volume10Days 1,702,140
Beta 0.502
Bid 35.68
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 4
Book Value 36.685
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.63
Current Ratio 0.854
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 36.125
Day Low 35.205
Debt To Equity 41.896
Display Name Murphy Oil
Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Dividend Rate 1.4
Dividend Yield 3.89
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,021,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,021,200
Earnings Growth 9.166
Earnings Quarterly Growth 9.421
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 1,773,885,952
Ebitda Margins 0.59273
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.965
Enterprise To Revenue 2.35
Enterprise Value 7,032,702,464
Eps Current Year 2.89218
Eps Forward 2.96344
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.0
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 35.5926
Fifty Day Average Change 0.037399292
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0010507603
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 38.856697
Fifty Two Week High 43.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.709999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.17789568
Fifty Two Week Low 24.49
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.140001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4548796
Fifty Two Week Range 24.49 - 43.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.01
Float Shares 135,581,192
Forward Eps 2.96344
Forward P E 12.02319
Free Cashflow 344,718,368
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 813
Fullday Change -0.32
Fullday Change Percent -0.890124
Fullday Price 35.63
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.82672995
Gross Profits 2,474,170,112
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05688
Held Percent Institutions 0.92310995
Implied Shares Outstanding 143,381,125
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ir Website http://www.murphyoilcorp.com/ir/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.35
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,378,166,400
Last Split Factor 1,158:1000
Long Business Summary Murphy Oil Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Murphy Oil Corporation was formerly known as Murphy Corporation and changed its name to Murphy Oil Corporation in 1964. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Murphy Oil Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,108,669,440
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_290060
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 295,241,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,154,551,443
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 36.17
Operating Cashflow 1,566,169,984
Operating Margins 0.3793
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.66830003
Peg Ratio 0.33
Phone 281 675 9000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 35.63
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 35.95
Price Eps Current Year 12.3194275
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.97124165
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7070231
Profit Margins 0.09826
Quick Ratio 0.771
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.86667
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.32
Regular Market Change Percent -0.890124
Regular Market Day High 36.125
Regular Market Day Low 35.205
Regular Market Day Range 35.205 - 36.125
Regular Market Open 36.17
Regular Market Previous Close 35.95
Regular Market Price 35.63
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,122,726
Return On Assets 0.03332
Return On Equity 0.06461
Revenue Growth 0.356
Revenue Per Share 20.931
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 143,381,125
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0758
Shares Short 10,862,198
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,731,077
Short Name Murphy Oil Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.1071
Short Ratio 6.44
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol MUR
Target High Price 52.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 39.92857
Target Median Price 40.0
Total Cash 483,875,008
Total Cash Per Share 3.375
Total Debt 2,263,731,968
Total Revenue 2,992,736,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.35
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.037552156
Trailing Eps 2.0
Trailing P E 17.815
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 35.1825
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.44750214
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.012719453
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,122,726
Website https://www.murphyoilcorp.com
Zip 77,024