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Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE
34.90 USD +1.15 (3.407%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:31 a.m. EDT

Murphy Oil presents a classic value trap scenario where attractive headline numbers mask deteriorating operational reality. The company trades at a low price-to-book ratio, yet its fundamentals are crumbling: earnings have contracted by nearly 27%, and the stock has suffered a brutal 36% drop over the last year. This sharp decline is not a temporary correction; it reflects a structural shift in the business's ability to generate returns, evidenced by the collapse in ROE and the widening gap between trailing and forward P/E multiples. While the 4% dividend yield is enticing, it is not enough to offset the risk of further earnings deterioration in a volatile commodity environment. The options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put positioning indicating that traders expect continued weakness or stagnation rather than a rebound. Until the company demonstrates a sustained recovery in earnings growth and operational efficiency, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the buyer.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.055570
AutoTheta0.058729
AutoETS0.059018
AutoARIMA0.059116
MSTL0.062514

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 3.63
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.287
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 43.954
Revenue per Share 19.251
Market Cap 5,002,899,968
Trailing P/E 59.15
Forward P/E 10.16
Beta 0.51
Profit Margins 3.06%
Website https://www.murphyoilcorp.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:31 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome with a distinct bias toward downside protection. Put open interest significantly outweighs call open interest across all expirations, particularly in the 2027 and 2028 strikes where deep out-of-the-money puts dominate. While there is some call volume at higher strikes (40-55), the overwhelming concentration of capital is in put writing and buying, suggesting a 'bearish hedge' strategy rather than a bullish bet.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.87% 4.52% 3.86% 3.24%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-18 0.350000 0.865480
2026-02-17 0.350000 1.095805
2025-11-17 0.325000 1.102069
2025-08-18 0.325000 1.452190
2025-05-16 0.325000 1.471920
2025-02-18 0.325000 1.152891
2024-11-18 0.300000 0.909642
2024-08-19 0.300000 0.790931
2024-05-17 0.300000 0.696379
2024-02-16 0.300000 0.765501
2023-11-10 0.275000 0.640429
2023-08-11 0.275000 0.623866
2023-05-12 0.275000 0.826322
2023-02-10 0.275000 0.639089
2022-11-10 0.250000 0.519103
2022-08-12 0.250000 0.709622
2022-05-13 0.175000 0.508573
2022-02-11 0.150000 0.435035
2021-11-12 0.125000 0.444050
2021-08-13 0.125000 0.575506
2021-05-14 0.125000 0.616675
2021-02-12 0.125000 0.875350
2020-11-13 0.125000 1.428571
2020-08-14 0.125000 0.825627
2020-05-15 0.125000 1.105217
2020-02-14 0.250000 1.133273
2019-11-15 0.250000 1.027538
2019-08-16 0.250000 1.317870
2019-05-17 0.250000 0.937734
2019-02-15 0.250000 0.855286
2018-11-08 0.250000 0.812744
2018-08-10 0.250000 0.804894
2018-05-11 0.250000 0.833056
2018-02-16 0.250000 0.940203
2017-11-10 0.250000 0.857927
2017-08-10 0.250000 0.973899
2017-05-11 0.250000 0.928333
2017-02-09 0.250000 0.885269
2016-11-09 0.250000 0.893815
2016-08-11 0.250000 0.874738
2016-05-12 0.350000 1.153213
2016-02-11 0.350000 2.191609
2015-11-12 0.350000 1.222067
2015-08-13 0.350000 1.062215
2015-05-13 0.350000 0.781774
2015-02-12 0.350000 0.687758
2014-11-12 0.350000 0.666413
2014-08-14 0.350000 0.584698
2014-05-14 0.313000 0.514633
2014-02-13 0.313000 0.547012
2013-11-13 0.313000 0.508447
2013-08-19 0.270294 0.461380
2013-05-15 0.270294 0.487236
2013-02-14 0.270294 0.518900
2012-11-14 2.429188 5.117336
2012-08-15 0.270294 0.576534
2012-05-14 0.237478 0.585230
2012-02-10 0.237478 0.454845
2011-11-08 0.237478 0.493007
2011-08-11 0.237478 0.536375
2011-05-11 0.237478 0.407407
2011-02-11 0.237478 0.398723
2010-11-09 0.237478 0.411061
2010-08-12 0.237478 0.513155
2010-05-12 0.215889 0.430736
2010-02-11 0.215889 0.485247
2009-11-10 0.215889 0.404989
2009-08-13 0.215889 0.425314
2009-05-13 0.215889 0.465202
2009-02-12 0.215889 0.545255
2008-11-12 0.215889 0.583021
2008-08-14 0.215889 0.326669
2008-05-14 0.162349 0.217366
2008-02-14 0.162349 0.249271
2007-11-07 0.162349 0.256691
2007-08-13 0.162349 0.313961
2007-05-09 0.129534 0.261461
2007-02-09 0.129534 0.293027
2006-11-08 0.129534 0.307126
2006-08-11 0.129534 0.296795
2006-05-10 0.097582 0.218231
2006-02-09 0.097582 0.237245
2005-11-08 0.097582 0.242437
2005-08-12 0.097582 0.202219
2005-05-09 0.097150 0.247334
2005-02-10 0.097150 0.242039
2004-11-09 0.097150 0.286514
2004-08-12 0.097150 0.316455
2004-05-10 0.086356 0.307220
2004-02-11 0.086356 0.328300
2003-11-07 0.086356 0.341940
2003-08-13 0.086356 0.386325
2003-05-12 0.086356 0.438598
2003-02-12 0.086356 0.476646
2002-11-06 0.086356 0.482510
2002-08-14 0.086356 0.481233
2002-05-06 0.080959 0.408766
2002-02-13 0.080959 0.468167
2001-11-07 0.080959 0.486826
2001-08-09 0.080959 0.494465
2001-05-07 0.080959 0.496363
2001-02-09 0.080959 0.576660
2000-11-08 0.080959 0.649354
2000-08-10 0.080959 0.581963
2000-05-08 0.075561 0.588233
2000-02-10 0.075561 0.648897
1999-11-09 0.075561 0.618099
1999-08-12 0.075561 0.699123
1999-05-10 0.075561 0.765024
1999-02-10 0.075561 0.927149
1998-11-10 0.075561 0.862862
1998-08-13 0.075561 0.835817
1998-05-11 0.075561 0.670656
1998-02-11 0.075561 0.710657
1997-11-12 0.075561 0.624301
1997-08-18 0.075561 0.668255
1997-05-12 0.070164 0.695186
1997-02-14 0.070164 0.673574
1997-01-02 1.333981 12.451385
1996-11-13 0.070164 0.680628
1996-08-19 0.070164 0.734462
1996-05-13 0.070164 0.714285
1996-02-14 0.070164 0.776119
1995-11-13 0.070164 0.849672
1995-08-14 0.070164 0.817609
1995-05-09 0.070164 0.734462
1995-02-09 0.070164 0.732394
1994-11-08 0.070164 0.682414
1994-08-09 0.070164 0.732394
1994-05-10 0.070164 0.738636
1994-02-09 0.070164 0.792682
1993-11-08 0.070164 0.753622
1993-08-10 0.070164 0.792682
1993-05-11 0.064767 0.676058
1993-02-09 0.064767 0.802678
1992-11-09 0.064767 0.857145
1992-08-11 0.064767 0.821920
1992-05-11 0.064767 0.813561
1992-02-10 0.064767 0.857145
1991-11-08 0.064767 0.863311
1991-08-12 0.064767 0.842107
1991-05-09 0.064767 0.805371
1991-02-11 0.064767 0.754719
1990-11-08 0.053972 0.602406
1990-08-10 0.053972 0.552482
1990-05-10 0.053972 0.591712
1990-02-12 0.053972 0.581391
1989-11-09 0.053972 0.649346
1989-08-09 0.053972 0.641021
1989-05-09 0.053972 0.714281
1989-02-08 0.053972 0.751875
1988-11-08 0.053972 0.826441
1988-08-09 0.053972 0.763354
1988-05-10 0.053972 0.772196
1988-02-08 0.053972 0.884950
1987-11-09 0.053972 0.999993
1987-08-10 0.053972 0.607899
1987-05-11 0.053972 0.682589
1987-02-09 0.053972 0.813003
1986-11-07 0.053972 0.970867
1986-08-11 0.053972 1.104965
1986-05-09 0.053972 1.020401
1986-02-10 0.053972 1.010094
1985-11-08 0.053972 0.787396
1985-08-12 0.053972 0.865795
1985-05-09 0.053972 0.840330
1985-02-08 0.053972 0.847452
1984-11-08 0.053972 0.881051
1984-08-09 0.053972 0.851058
1984-05-09 0.053972 0.727268
1984-02-08 0.053972 0.760451
1983-11-07 0.053972 0.799995
1983-08-09 0.053972 0.732596
1983-05-10 0.053972 0.873357
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.35
dividendYield 4.0
exDividendDate 2026-05-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.325
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.039259262
lastDividendValue 0.35
lastDividendDate 2026-05-18
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.300578
Address1 9,805 Katy Freeway
Address2 Suite G-200
All Time High 87.62521
All Time Low 3.346287
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,827,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,822,942
Average Volume 1,822,942
Average Volume10Days 1,827,550
Beta 0.506
Bid 33.99
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 4
Book Value 35.57
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 34.9
Current Ratio 0.826
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 35.45
Day Low 34.25
Debt To Equity 43.954
Display Name Murphy Oil
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 1.35
Dividend Yield 4.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Growth -0.261
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.275
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 1,506,980,992
Ebitda Margins 0.5481
Enterprise To Ebitda 4.684
Enterprise To Revenue 2.567
Enterprise Value 7,058,200,064
Eps Current Year 3.564
Eps Forward 3.43606
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.59
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.1872
Fifty Day Average Change -2.287197
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06150496
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 30.0578
Fifty Two Week High 43.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.439999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19473924
Fifty Two Week Low 21.86
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.040001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.59652334
Fifty Two Week Range 21.86 - 43.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.96
Float Shares 134,583,749
Forward Eps 3.43606
Forward P E 10.156982
Free Cashflow 223,376,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 813
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.78358
Gross Profits 2,154,435,072
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05689
Held Percent Institutions 0.93294996
Implied Shares Outstanding 143,349,576
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ir Website http://www.murphyoilcorp.com/ir/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Last Dividend Value 0.35
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,378,166,400
Last Split Factor 1,158:1000
Long Business Summary Murphy Oil Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Murphy Oil Corporation was formerly known as Murphy Corporation and changed its name to Murphy Oil Corporation in 1964. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Murphy Oil Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,002,899,968
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_290060
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 83,608,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,838,048,190
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 34.68
Operating Cashflow 1,268,311,040
Operating Margins 0.18534
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 2.2458
Peg Ratio 0.33
Phone 281 675 9000
Pre Market Change 0.099998474
Pre Market Change Percent 0.28652856
Pre Market Price 35.0
Pre Market Time 1,784,017,746
Previous Close 33.75
Price Eps Current Year 9.792369
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.981164
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8195877
Profit Margins 0.030620001
Quick Ratio 0.746
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.8
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.15
Regular Market Change Percent 3.40741
Regular Market Day High 35.45
Regular Market Day Low 34.25
Regular Market Day Range 34.25 - 35.45
Regular Market Open 34.68
Regular Market Previous Close 33.75
Regular Market Price 34.9
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 2,177,064
Return On Assets 0.01725
Return On Equity 0.022349998
Revenue Growth 0.089
Revenue Per Share 19.251
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 143,349,576
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0653
Shares Short 9,361,261
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 9,124,160
Short Name Murphy Oil Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0923
Short Ratio 4.42
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol MUR
Target High Price 70.0
Target Low Price 35.0
Target Mean Price 43.78571
Target Median Price 42.5
Total Cash 378,752,992
Total Cash Per Share 2.642
Total Debt 2,300,069,120
Total Revenue 2,749,468,928
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.325
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.039259262
Trailing Eps 0.59
Trailing P E 59.152546
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.8374
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.062603
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.031403214
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,177,064
Website https://www.murphyoilcorp.com
Zip 77,024