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Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN)

Consumer Cyclical | Resorts & Casinos | Broomfield, United States | NYSE
141.93 USD -2.68 (-1.853%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 141.93
Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:36 a.m. EDT

The most critical issue here is the structural deterioration of the business. Despite a high headline yield, the payout ratio exceeds 190%, meaning the company is distributing far more than it earns, making the income unreliable. Furthermore, the stock has endured four consecutive years of annual declines, a pattern that signals deepening weakness rather than a temporary dip. While the price is currently trading above its key moving averages, creating a short-term technical bounce, the underlying fundamentals—negative revenue growth and a heavy debt load—do not support a long-term hold. Investors should view the current price strength as a potential trap rather than a buying opportunity, especially given the unsustainable dividend policy.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.068637
AutoETS0.068825
MSTL0.070041
AutoARIMA0.107658

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 9.11
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.564
Excess Kurtosis -0.77
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-24
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-24
Debt to Equity Ratio 355.585
Revenue per Share 78.749
Market Cap 5,057,466,368
Trailing P/E 31.12
Forward P/E 22.45
Beta 0.71
Profit Margins 5.54%
Website https://www.vailresorts.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound with heavy call interest at the 180 strike, suggesting a bullish bias for the near term. However, there is significant downside protection placed at the 100 strike, indicating fear of a sharp drop. Implied volatility is elevated on deep strikes, reflecting uncertainty around earnings and seasonality.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.66% 6.52% 5.31% 4.28%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-25 2.220 1.664917
2026-03-26 2.220 1.705986
2025-12-30 2.220 1.666541
2025-10-09 2.220 1.478817
2025-06-24 2.220 1.407112
2025-03-27 2.220 1.378882
2024-12-26 2.220 1.161331
2024-10-08 2.220 1.303123
2024-06-25 2.220 1.255940
2024-03-27 2.220 1.008266
2023-12-22 2.060 0.926467
2023-10-06 2.060 0.966365
2023-06-26 2.060 0.839548
2023-03-24 2.060 0.938539
2022-12-23 1.910 0.792334
2022-10-04 1.910 0.848738
2022-06-24 1.910 0.822071
2022-03-29 1.910 0.712314
2021-12-27 0.880 0.266247
2021-10-04 0.880 0.256201
2020-03-25 1.760 1.156677
2019-12-24 1.760 0.720691
2019-10-07 1.760 0.781319
2019-06-25 1.760 0.787578
2019-03-26 1.760 0.826213
2018-12-26 1.470 0.701369
2018-10-05 1.470 0.589249
2018-06-26 1.470 0.530935
2018-03-26 1.470 0.647863
2017-12-26 1.053 0.489767
2017-10-06 1.053 0.483804
2017-06-26 1.053 0.503250
2017-03-27 1.053 0.559987
2016-12-23 0.810 0.498523
2016-10-05 0.810 0.518798
2016-06-24 0.810 0.598095
2016-03-24 0.810 0.639861
2015-12-23 0.623 0.482871
2015-10-07 0.623 0.597717
2015-06-23 0.623 0.570043
2015-03-27 0.623 0.624186
2014-12-24 0.415 0.460804
2014-10-03 0.415 0.482054
2014-06-19 0.415 0.544619
2014-03-28 0.415 0.598586
2013-12-23 0.208 0.276927
2013-10-07 0.207 0.308173
2013-06-20 0.207 0.336094
2013-03-21 0.207 0.335223
2012-12-17 0.188 0.352919
2012-10-05 0.188 0.328098
2012-06-21 0.188 0.397043
2012-03-22 0.188 0.420770
2011-12-20 0.150 0.340987
2011-10-07 0.150 0.382360
2011-06-29 0.150 0.326655
Additional Data
dividendRate 8.88
dividendYield 6.14
exDividendDate 2026-06-25
trailingAnnualDividendRate 8.88
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.06140654
lastDividendValue 2.22
lastDividendDate 2026-06-25
dividendDate 2026-07-09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.12248051
Address1 390 Interlocken Crescent
All Time High 376.24
All Time Low 10.19
Ask 143.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 520,960
Average Daily Volume3 Month 725,434
Average Volume 725,434
Average Volume10Days 520,960
Beta 0.711
Bid 141.5
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 3
Book Value 15.484
City Broomfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 141.93
Current Ratio 0.911
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 145.495
Day Low 141.92
Debt To Equity 355.585
Display Name Vail Resorts
Dividend Date 1,783,555,200
Dividend Rate 8.88
Dividend Yield 6.14
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,780,952,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,780,952,400
Earnings Growth -0.158
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.193
Earnings Timestamp 1,780,948,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,790,625,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,790,625,600
Ebitda 744,748,992
Ebitda Margins 0.26303
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.155
Enterprise To Revenue 2.934
Enterprise Value 8,307,948,544
Eps Current Year 4.33189
Eps Forward 6.32209
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.56
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 303 404 6415
Fifty Day Average 146.5272
Fifty Day Average Change -4.5972137
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.031374473
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.248051
Fifty Two Week High 163.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.410004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1310763
Fifty Two Week Low 118.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 23.41999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19762038
Fifty Two Week Range 118.51 - 163.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 855,066,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.23
Float Shares 32,777,499
Forward Eps 6.32209
Forward P E 22.449852
Free Cashflow 134,862,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,800
Fullday Change -2.68001
Fullday Change Percent -1.85327
Fullday Price 141.93
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.43330002
Gross Profits 1,226,855,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0164
Held Percent Institutions 1.3288001
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,633,526
Industry Resorts & Casinos
Industry Disp Resorts & Casinos
Industry Key resorts-casinos
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Last Dividend Value 2.22
Last Fiscal Year End 1,753,920,000
Long Business Summary Vail Resorts, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. Its lodging segment owns and manages various luxury hotels and condominiums under the RockResorts brand; operates other lodging properties and various condominiums; and offers resort ground transportation services. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. Vail Resorts, Inc. was founded in 1962 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.
Long Name Vail Resorts, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,057,466,368
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36122
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common 156,832,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,785,456,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,152,964,194
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 145.51
Operating Cashflow 412,937,984
Operating Margins 0.42097
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 1.9138
Peg Ratio 3.33
Phone 303 404 1800
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 141.93
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 144.61
Price Eps Current Year 32.76399
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 9.166236
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7861912
Profit Margins 0.05539
Quick Ratio 0.697
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.68001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.85327
Regular Market Day High 145.495
Regular Market Day Low 141.92
Regular Market Day Range 141.92 - 145.495
Regular Market Open 145.51
Regular Market Previous Close 144.61
Regular Market Price 141.93
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 482,410
Return On Assets 0.048649997
Return On Equity 0.1685
Revenue Growth -0.07
Revenue Per Share 78.749
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 35,633,526
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.16540001
Shares Short 5,892,661
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,786,994
Short Name Vail Resorts, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2773
Short Ratio 9.47
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol MTN
Target High Price 195.0
Target Low Price 119.0
Target Mean Price 147.23077
Target Median Price 140.0
Total Cash 371,374,016
Total Cash Per Share 10.422
Total Debt 3,257,488,896
Total Revenue 2,831,425,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 8.88
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.06140654
Trailing Eps 4.56
Trailing P E 31.124998
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 138.25494
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.6750488
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.02658168
Type Disp Equity
Volume 482,410
Website https://www.vailresorts.com
Zip 80,021