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Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN)

Consumer Cyclical | Resorts & Casinos | Broomfield, United States | NYSE
152.87 USD -0.09 (-0.059%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 10:57 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:43 a.m. EDT

The most critical issue is the disconnect between the attractive six percent yield and the company's deteriorating financial health. A payout ratio exceeding two hundred percent signals that the dividend is not supported by earnings, creating a classic yield trap. Fundamentally, the business is under pressure with negative operating margins and a trailing run of four consecutive years of price declines, which confirms structural deterioration rather than a temporary setback. While technical indicators show a recent price recovery and the stock trades above its long-term moving averages, offering a short-term bounce, the long-term outlook remains severely compromised by the balance sheet strain and lack of margin expansion. Investors should view the high yield as compensation for significant risk rather than a reliable income stream.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.081480
AutoARIMA0.082923
MSTL0.083228
AutoTheta0.120815

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 6.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.285
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 612.185
Revenue per Share 79.428
Market Cap 5,447,567,360
Trailing P/E 37.84
Forward P/E 23.08
Beta 0.77
Profit Margins 5.20%
Website https://www.vailresorts.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:43 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated around 42-45%, indicating market uncertainty. Put buyers are establishing significant positions at 125 to 130 strikes, suggesting a defensive floor. Call buyers are positioned at 150 to 200 strikes, anticipating a potential rebound despite the underlying weakness.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.52% 6.56% 5.49% 4.53%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-08 2.220 1.519611
2026-06-25 2.220 1.664917
2026-03-26 2.220 1.705986
2025-12-30 2.220 1.666541
2025-10-09 2.220 1.478817
2025-06-24 2.220 1.407112
2025-03-27 2.220 1.378882
2024-12-26 2.220 1.161331
2024-10-08 2.220 1.303123
2024-06-25 2.220 1.255940
2024-03-27 2.220 1.008266
2023-12-22 2.060 0.926467
2023-10-06 2.060 0.966365
2023-06-26 2.060 0.839548
2023-03-24 2.060 0.938539
2022-12-23 1.910 0.792334
2022-10-04 1.910 0.848738
2022-06-24 1.910 0.822071
2022-03-29 1.910 0.712314
2021-12-27 0.880 0.266247
2021-10-04 0.880 0.256201
2020-03-25 1.760 1.156677
2019-12-24 1.760 0.720691
2019-10-07 1.760 0.781319
2019-06-25 1.760 0.787578
2019-03-26 1.760 0.826213
2018-12-26 1.470 0.701369
2018-10-05 1.470 0.589249
2018-06-26 1.470 0.530935
2018-03-26 1.470 0.647863
2017-12-26 1.053 0.489767
2017-10-06 1.053 0.483804
2017-06-26 1.053 0.503250
2017-03-27 1.053 0.559987
2016-12-23 0.810 0.498523
2016-10-05 0.810 0.518798
2016-06-24 0.810 0.598095
2016-03-24 0.810 0.639861
2015-12-23 0.623 0.482871
2015-10-07 0.623 0.597717
2015-06-23 0.623 0.570043
2015-03-27 0.623 0.624186
2014-12-24 0.415 0.460804
2014-10-03 0.415 0.482054
2014-06-19 0.415 0.544619
2014-03-28 0.415 0.598586
2013-12-23 0.208 0.276927
2013-10-07 0.207 0.308173
2013-06-20 0.207 0.336094
2013-03-21 0.207 0.335223
2012-12-17 0.188 0.352919
2012-10-05 0.188 0.328098
2012-06-21 0.188 0.397043
2012-03-22 0.188 0.420770
2011-12-20 0.150 0.340987
2011-10-07 0.150 0.382360
2011-06-29 0.150 0.326655
Additional Data
dividendRate 8.88
dividendYield 5.81
exDividendDate 2026-10-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 8.88
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.05805439
lastDividendValue 2.22
lastDividendDate 2026-10-08
dividendDate 2026-10-27

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.022596598
Address1 390 Interlocken Crescent
All Time High 376.24
All Time Low 10.19
Ask 152.96
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 798,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 766,351
Average Volume 766,351
Average Volume10Days 798,310
Beta 0.768
Bid 152.51
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 6.75
City Broomfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 152.87
Current Ratio 0.799
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 154.635
Day Low 152.705
Debt To Equity 612.185
Display Name Vail Resorts
Dividend Date 1,793,059,200
Dividend Rate 8.88
Dividend Yield 5.81
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,790,629,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,790,629,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,790,625,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,796,846,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,796,846,400
Ebitda 739,049,984
Ebitda Margins 0.26038998
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.058
Enterprise To Revenue 3.14
Enterprise Value 8,911,491,072
Eps Current Year 5.69649
Eps Forward 6.62384
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.04
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,417,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 303 404 6415
Fifty Day Average 142.8018
Fifty Day Average Change 10.068192
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07050465
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 2.2596598
Fifty Two Week High 163.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -10.470001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06409943
Fifty Two Week Low 118.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 34.359993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.28993326
Fifty Two Week Range 118.51 - 163.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 855,066,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.15
Float Shares 31,830,517
Forward Eps 6.62384
Forward P E 23.078758
Free Cashflow 190,187,632
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,500
Fullday Change -0.0900116
Fullday Change Percent -0.058846492
Fullday Price 152.87
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.4373
Gross Profits 1,241,155,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01717
Held Percent Institutions 1.34959
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,635,298
Industry Resorts & Casinos
Industry Disp Resorts & Casinos
Industry Key resorts-casinos
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,791,417,600
Last Dividend Value 2.22
Last Fiscal Year End 1,785,456,000
Long Business Summary Vail Resorts, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. The lodging segment owns and manages various luxury hotels and condominiums under the RockResorts brand; operates other lodging properties and various condominiums; and offers resort ground transportation services. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. Vail Resorts, Inc. was founded in 1962 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.
Long Name Vail Resorts, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,447,567,360
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36122
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,456,000
Net Income To Common 147,535,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,816,992,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,990,475,316
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 154.29
Operating Cashflow 479,625,984
Operating Margins -0.73705
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 2.1553
Peg Ratio 3.33
Phone 303 404 1800
Previous Close 152.96
Price Eps Current Year 26.835823
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 22.647408
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9193714
Profit Margins 0.05198
Quick Ratio 0.569
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.53333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900116
Regular Market Change Percent -0.058846492
Regular Market Day High 154.635
Regular Market Day Low 152.705
Regular Market Day Range 152.705 - 154.635
Regular Market Open 154.29
Regular Market Previous Close 152.96
Regular Market Price 152.87
Regular Market Time 1,792,162,652
Regular Market Volume 87,124
Return On Assets 0.047930002
Return On Equity 0.26042
Revenue Growth 0.025
Revenue Per Share 79.428
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 35,635,298
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1917
Shares Short 6,829,837
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,754,554
Short Name Vail Resorts, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3214
Short Ratio 6.65
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol MTN
Target High Price 192.0
Target Low Price 117.0
Target Mean Price 148.35715
Target Median Price 141.0
Total Cash 268,460,992
Total Cash Per Share 7.534
Total Debt 3,412,305,920
Total Revenue 2,838,203,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 8.88
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.05805439
Trailing Eps 4.04
Trailing P E 37.839108
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 137.4398
Two Hundred Day Average Change 15.430191
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.11226872
Type Disp Equity
Volume 87,124
Website https://www.vailresorts.com
Zip 80,021