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Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN)

Consumer Cyclical | Resorts & Casinos | Broomfield, United States | NYSE
151.47 USD +1.33 (0.886%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 150.51 -0.96 (-0.960%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:25 a.m. EDT

Vail Resorts is trading at a premium despite shrinking revenue and a payout ratio exceeding 100%, which is unsustainable. While the price has rallied off the Q3 miss, the balance sheet remains fragile with high debt and a current ratio under 1. The options market reflects this tension, with traders buying calls for a bounce while placing heavy hedges at lower levels. Until the payout ratio becomes sustainable and growth turns positive, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_97_126 ✓0.031638
MSTL_1260.037417
MSTL_970.045443
MSTL0.048522
AutoARIMA0.049770
AutoETS0.049776
AutoTheta0.055605

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_97_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.79
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.002
Excess Kurtosis 1.55
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-24
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-24
Debt to Equity Ratio 355.585
Revenue per Share 78.749
Market Cap 5,397,410,304
Trailing P/E 32.64
Forward P/E 23.96
Beta 0.72
Profit Margins 5.54%
Website https://www.vailresorts.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a near-term rebound with significant call volume at the 155 strike, yet heavy put open interest at lower levels (120-140) indicates a floor is being established. Implied volatility remains elevated, reflecting uncertainty around the post-earnings recovery.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.66% 6.52% 5.31% 4.28%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-25 2.220 1.664917
2026-03-26 2.220 1.705986
2025-12-30 2.220 1.666541
2025-10-09 2.220 1.478817
2025-06-24 2.220 1.407112
2025-03-27 2.220 1.378882
2024-12-26 2.220 1.161331
2024-10-08 2.220 1.303123
2024-06-25 2.220 1.255940
2024-03-27 2.220 1.008266
2023-12-22 2.060 0.926467
2023-10-06 2.060 0.966365
2023-06-26 2.060 0.839548
2023-03-24 2.060 0.938539
2022-12-23 1.910 0.792334
2022-10-04 1.910 0.848738
2022-06-24 1.910 0.822071
2022-03-29 1.910 0.712314
2021-12-27 0.880 0.266247
2021-10-04 0.880 0.256201
2020-03-25 1.760 1.156677
2019-12-24 1.760 0.720691
2019-10-07 1.760 0.781319
2019-06-25 1.760 0.787578
2019-03-26 1.760 0.826213
2018-12-26 1.470 0.701369
2018-10-05 1.470 0.589249
2018-06-26 1.470 0.530935
2018-03-26 1.470 0.647863
2017-12-26 1.053 0.489767
2017-10-06 1.053 0.483804
2017-06-26 1.053 0.503250
2017-03-27 1.053 0.559987
2016-12-23 0.810 0.498523
2016-10-05 0.810 0.518798
2016-06-24 0.810 0.598095
2016-03-24 0.810 0.639861
2015-12-23 0.623 0.482871
2015-10-07 0.623 0.597717
2015-06-23 0.623 0.570043
2015-03-27 0.623 0.624186
2014-12-24 0.415 0.460804
2014-10-03 0.415 0.482054
2014-06-19 0.415 0.544619
2014-03-28 0.415 0.598586
2013-12-23 0.208 0.276927
2013-10-07 0.207 0.308173
2013-06-20 0.207 0.336094
2013-03-21 0.207 0.335223
2012-12-17 0.188 0.352919
2012-10-05 0.188 0.328098
2012-06-21 0.188 0.397043
2012-03-22 0.188 0.420770
2011-12-20 0.150 0.340987
2011-10-07 0.150 0.382360
2011-06-29 0.150 0.326655
Additional Data
dividendRate 8.88
dividendYield 5.91
exDividendDate 2026-06-25
trailingAnnualDividendRate 8.88
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0591448
lastDividendValue 2.22
lastDividendDate 2026-06-25
dividendDate 2026-07-09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.085125804
Address1 390 Interlocken Crescent
All Time High 376.24
All Time Low 10.19
Ask 151.93
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 728,930
Average Daily Volume3 Month 833,945
Average Volume 833,945
Average Volume10Days 728,930
Beta 0.718
Bid 150.84
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 15.484
City Broomfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 151.47
Current Ratio 0.911
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 154.0
Day Low 149.56
Debt To Equity 355.585
Display Name Vail Resorts
Dividend Date 1,783,555,200
Dividend Rate 8.88
Dividend Yield 5.91
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,780,952,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,780,952,400
Earnings Growth -0.158
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.193
Earnings Timestamp 1,780,948,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,780,948,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,780,948,800
Ebitda 744,748,992
Ebitda Margins 0.26303
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.612
Enterprise To Revenue 3.054
Enterprise Value 8,647,891,968
Eps Current Year 4.33189
Eps Forward 6.32209
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.64
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 303 404 6415
Fifty Day Average 132.6126
Fifty Day Average Change 18.857407
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.14219922
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -8.512581
Fifty Two Week High 166.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.690002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.088408776
Fifty Two Week Low 118.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 32.96
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.27811998
Fifty Two Week Range 118.51 - 166.16
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 855,066,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.23
Float Shares 32,994,507
Forward Eps 6.32209
Forward P E 23.958849
Free Cashflow 134,862,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.43330002
Gross Profits 1,226,855,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0164
Held Percent Institutions 1.2650499
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,633,526
Industry Resorts & Casinos
Industry Disp Resorts & Casinos
Industry Key resorts-casinos
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Last Dividend Value 2.22
Last Fiscal Year End 1,753,920,000
Long Business Summary Vail Resorts, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. Its lodging segment owns and manages various luxury hotels and condominiums under the RockResorts brand; operates other lodging properties and various condominiums; and offers resort ground transportation services. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. Vail Resorts, Inc. was founded in 1962 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.
Long Name Vail Resorts, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,397,410,304
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36122
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common 156,832,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,785,456,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,350,017,593
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 151.62
Operating Cashflow 412,937,984
Operating Margins 0.42097
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 1.9138
Peg Ratio 3.33
Phone 303 404 1800
Post Market Change -0.9600067
Post Market Change Percent -0.6337933
Post Market Price 150.51
Post Market Time 1,783,986,306
Previous Close 150.14
Price Eps Current Year 34.966263
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 9.782356
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9062523
Profit Margins 0.05539
Quick Ratio 0.697
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.33
Regular Market Change Percent 0.885841
Regular Market Day High 154.0
Regular Market Day Low 149.56
Regular Market Day Range 149.56 - 154.0
Regular Market Open 151.62
Regular Market Previous Close 150.14
Regular Market Price 151.47
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 564,951
Return On Assets 0.048649997
Return On Equity 0.1685
Revenue Growth -0.07
Revenue Per Share 78.749
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 35,633,526
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1975
Shares Short 7,038,325
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,302,942
Short Name Vail Resorts, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3312
Short Ratio 7.51
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol MTN
Target High Price 195.0
Target Low Price 119.0
Target Mean Price 148.5
Target Median Price 143.5
Total Cash 371,374,016
Total Cash Per Share 10.422
Total Debt 3,257,488,896
Total Revenue 2,831,425,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 8.88
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0591448
Trailing Eps 4.64
Trailing P E 32.644398
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 138.49306
Two Hundred Day Average Change 12.976944
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09370104
Type Disp Equity
Volume 564,951
Website https://www.vailresorts.com
Zip 80,021