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Simplify MBS ETF (MTBA)

Intermediate Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
49.96 USD +0.12 (0.241%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 49.06 -0.90 (-0.900%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ★★★★☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 7:01 p.m. EDT

MTBA presents a compelling yield play where the fundamentals are stronger than the short-term technicals. The ETF offers a robust ~5.5% dividend yield with an incredibly consistent payment history (rarely deviating from $0.25), making it a solid long-term income asset. However, the price action is currently trapped in a tight, bearish-consolidation range just below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the statistical models confirm high volatility with no clear directional bias for the next 45 days. While a near-term breakout is unlikely, the combination of institutional buying (JPMorgan) and a reliable carry makes this an attractive 'hold' for yield hunters waiting for the MBS sector to stabilize.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.005793
AutoETS0.007512
AutoARIMA0.007528
MSTL0.007551

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 37.30
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.174
Excess Kurtosis -0.58

As of April 18, 2026, 7:01 p.m. EDT: Speculators are displaying a hedged, neutral-to-slightly-defensive stance. The most notable signal is the heavy short-term put activity at the 49.0 strike for the April 17 expiration, featuring high open interest (10 contracts) and significant implied volatility (95%), suggesting protective buying against a near-term dip. Longer-term positioning remains light and spread out, with modest call open interest at the 50.0 and 50.73 strikes for June and September expirations, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish momentum bets. The overall flow points to a wait-and-see approach with downside protection rather than directional speculation.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.49% 6.20%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-26 0.240 0.489696
2026-02-24 0.250 0.496767
2026-01-27 0.250 0.500562
2025-12-23 0.280 0.564587
2025-11-21 0.250 0.506800
2025-10-28 0.250 0.507107
2025-09-25 0.250 0.512251
2025-08-26 0.250 0.514793
2025-07-28 0.250 0.523712
2025-06-25 0.250 0.524656
2025-05-27 0.250 0.531768
2025-04-25 0.250 0.529433
2025-03-26 0.250 0.531561
2025-02-25 0.250 0.531983
2025-01-28 0.250 0.539483
2024-12-23 0.248 0.539923
2024-11-25 0.250 0.538728
2024-10-28 0.250 0.543697
2024-09-25 0.250 0.531595
2024-08-27 0.250 0.534640
2024-07-26 0.250 0.544441
2024-06-25 0.250 0.549185
2024-05-24 0.250 0.554974
2024-04-25 0.250 0.565155
2024-03-25 0.250 0.553923
2024-02-26 0.250 0.560280
2024-01-26 0.250 0.556552
2023-12-26 0.246 0.546584
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 5.54

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 51.97
All Time Low 48.9
Ask 50.42
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 163,370
Average Daily Volume3 Month 213,932
Average Volume 213,932
Average Volume10Days 163,370
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 49.0
Bid Size 500
Category Intermediate Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 50.04
Day Low 49.935
Dividend Yield 5.54
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.0452
Fifty Day Average Change -0.08520126
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0017024862
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 0.6243706
Fifty Two Week High 50.88
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.920002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0180818
Fifty Two Week Low 48.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.0599976
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.02167684
Fifty Two Week Range 48.9 - 50.88
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,699,367,400,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Simplify Asset Management
Fund Inception Date 1,699,228,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets in mortgage-backed securities. The advisor defines MBS as any agency or non-agency residential or commercial mortgage-backed security and any futures contract, forward agreement, swap contract, or option linked to the preceding. It is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing primarily in MBS’s issued by the Government National Mortgage Association, Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.
Long Name Simplify MBS ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1855793511
Nav Price 49.9631
Net Assets 1,699,507,840.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 49.95
Phone 614-469-3294
Post Market Change -0.8999977
Post Market Change Percent -1.8014367
Post Market Price 49.06
Post Market Time 1,776,470,161
Previous Close 49.84
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.119999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.240768
Regular Market Day High 50.04
Regular Market Day Low 49.935
Regular Market Day Range 49.935 - 50.04
Regular Market Open 49.95
Regular Market Previous Close 49.84
Regular Market Price 49.96
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 82,050
Short Name Simplify MBS ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol MTBA
Total Assets 1,699,507,840
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -0.52528
Trailing Three Month Returns -0.52528
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 50.28758
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.3275795
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0065141236
Type Disp ETF
Volume 82,050
Yield 0.0554
Ytd Return -0.52528