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ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT)

Basic Materials | Steel | Luxembourg, Luxembourg | NYSE
65.92 USD -0.16 (-0.242%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 65.91 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 6:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:20 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is mixed, defined by a defensive posture masking a potential springboard. While the statistical forecast model offers a weak lean upward, it lacks the conviction to drive a rating higher given the overwhelming put volume. However, the fundamental picture is compelling: the company is trading at a deep discount to its forward earnings (9x P/E) and book value, supported by aggressive buybacks and a strategic AWS deal that signals a pivot toward higher-margin services. The recent price action shows resilience, bouncing off key moving averages despite sector headwinds. The dividend yield is modest and not a primary driver here; instead, the value proposition lies in the margin of safety and the operational turnaround. I am leaning bullish on the medium term as the market prices in the worst of the commodity cycle, but the heavy put writing suggests a choppy path ahead.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79 ✓0.049468
AutoTheta0.051423
AutoARIMA0.052988
AutoETS0.052989
MSTL0.053353
MSTL_1050.061997
MSTL_79_1050.070965

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 0.60
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.800
Excess Kurtosis -0.35
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-06
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 23.917
Revenue per Share 40.7295
Market Cap 49,871,069,184
Trailing P/E 17.26
Forward P/E 9.11
Beta 1.74
Profit Margins 4.71%
Previous Name ArcelorMittal
Website https://corporate.arcelormittal.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Put volume and open interest significantly outweigh calls across nearly all expirations, creating a heavy hedge layer against downside moves. However, there is distinct new call flow entering at strikes above the current price (67 and 69), while a massive wall of open interest sits at 70. This suggests traders are buying protection but simultaneously betting on a rebound toward the 70 strike, anticipating a relief rally or a test of resistance.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.23% 1.15% 1.68% 1.45%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-13 0.150000 0.232666
2026-02-20 0.150000 0.230061
2025-11-13 0.275000 0.689223
2025-05-16 0.275000 0.895474
2024-11-12 0.250000 1.027116
2024-05-16 0.250000 0.946970
2023-11-13 0.220000 1.010101
2023-05-22 0.220000 0.823353
2022-05-13 0.380000 1.390922
2021-06-10 0.300000 0.920528
2019-05-16 0.200000 1.186240
2018-05-17 0.100000 0.277393
2015-05-07 0.457317 1.949317
2014-05-12 0.457317 1.256281
2013-05-10 0.457317 1.523229
2012-11-19 0.429878 1.266846
2012-08-20 0.429878 1.195929
2012-05-23 0.429878 1.293875
2012-02-16 0.429878 0.885957
2011-11-18 0.429878 1.070006
2011-08-19 0.429878 0.961145
2011-05-20 0.429878 0.578818
2011-02-17 0.429878 0.499071
2010-11-19 0.407467 0.549225
2010-08-20 0.407467 0.629815
2010-05-21 0.407467 0.614178
2010-02-19 0.407467 0.477399
2009-11-20 0.407467 0.496304
2009-08-21 0.407467 0.514504
2009-05-21 0.407467 0.650744
2009-02-20 0.407467 0.838536
2008-12-02 0.812767 1.748251
2008-09-02 0.812767 0.521485
2008-06-02 0.812767 0.384142
2008-03-03 0.812767 0.477707
2007-11-30 0.704398 0.440260
2007-08-31 0.704398 0.490936
2007-05-31 0.704398 0.541757
2007-02-28 0.704398 0.639009
2006-11-29 0.270922 0.298757
2006-09-05 0.270922 0.359712
2006-06-05 0.270922 0.387596
2006-03-03 0.270922 0.356735
2005-12-06 0.216738 0.353732
2005-09-22 0.216738 0.336135
2005-06-28 0.216738 0.424268
2000-05-30 0.325107 1.714286
1999-05-14 0.325107 1.132076
1998-08-19 0.325107 1.061947
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.6
dividendYield 0.91
exDividendDate 2026-08-07
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.009079903
lastDividendValue 0.15
lastDividendDate 2026-05-13
dividendDate 2026-12-02

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.9509891
Address1 24-26, Boulevard d’Avranches
All Time High 227.07635
All Time Low 1.517166
Ask 65.88
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,919,350
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,943,003
Average Volume 1,943,003
Average Volume10Days 1,919,350
Beta 1.737
Bid 64.08
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 3
Book Value 36.2635
City Luxembourg
Compensation Risk 3
Country Luxembourg
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 65.92
Current Ratio 1.386
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 66.585
Day Low 65.315
Debt To Equity 23.917
Dividend Date 1,796,169,600
Dividend Rate 0.6
Dividend Yield 0.91
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,555,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,555,800
Earnings Growth -0.279
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.286
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 4,392,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.07084
Enterprise To Ebitda 25.42
Enterprise To Revenue 1.801
Enterprise Value 111,672,238,080
Eps Current Year 4.66608
Eps Forward 7.23487
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.82
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,060,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 352 4792 2675
Fifty Day Average 64.0374
Fifty Day Average Change 1.8825989
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.029398428
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 95.098915
Fifty Two Week High 72.5
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.580002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.090758644
Fifty Two Week Low 30.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1849519
Fifty Two Week Range 30.17 - 72.5
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 870,960,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.39
Float Shares 840,478,840
Forward Eps 7.23487
Forward P E 9.111428
Free Cashflow -2,022,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 125,554
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.074200004
Gross Profits 4,600,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.04408
Implied Shares Outstanding 756,539,353
Industry Steel
Industry Disp Steel
Industry Key steel
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Last Dividend Value 0.15
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,495,411,200
Last Split Factor 1:3
Long Business Summary ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and electro-galvanized coils and sheets, tinplate, and color coated coils and sheets; semi-finished long products, such as blooms and billets; finished long products consisting of bars, wire-rods, structural sections, rails, sheet piles, and wire-products; and seamless and welded pipes and tubes. The company also provides mining products, such as iron ore lumps, fines, concentrate, pellets, and sinter feeds; and coking coal. It sells its products to various customers in the automotive, appliance, engineering, construction, energy, and machinery industries through a centralized marketing organization, and distributors. The company operates iron ore mining activities in Brazil, Bosnia, Liberia, Mexico, South Africa, and Ukraine, as well as in India and in Canada. ArcelorMittal S.A. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Long Name ArcelorMittal S.A.
Market us_market
Market Cap 49,871,069,184
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_364040
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 2,921,999,872
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 49,986,975,836
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 66.08
Operating Cashflow 5,152,999,936
Operating Margins 0.048720002
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.1832
Peg Ratio 0.42
Phone 352 47 921
Post Market Change -0.009994507
Post Market Change Percent -0.01516157
Post Market Price 65.91
Post Market Time 1,783,983,359
Prev Name ArcelorMittal
Previous Close 66.08
Price Eps Current Year 14.12749
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8178058
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.80422944
Profit Margins 0.047119997
Quick Ratio 0.386
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.160004
Regular Market Change Percent -0.242136
Regular Market Day High 66.585
Regular Market Day Low 65.315
Regular Market Day Range 65.315 - 66.585
Regular Market Open 66.08
Regular Market Previous Close 66.08
Regular Market Price 65.92
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,413,141
Return On Assets 0.01051
Return On Equity 0.054330003
Revenue Growth 0.045
Revenue Per Share 40.7295
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 756,539,353
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0046
Shares Short 3,483,372
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,763,954
Short Name Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar
Short Percent Of Float 0.0084
Short Ratio 1.88
Source Interval 15
Symbol MT
Target High Price 81.0
Target Low Price 53.7
Target Mean Price 70.05
Target Median Price 71.8
Total Cash 4,359,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 2.864
Total Debt 13,683,000,320
Total Revenue 62,010,998,784
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.009079903
Trailing Eps 3.82
Trailing P E 17.256544
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 52.77605
Two Hundred Day Average Change 13.143948
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.24905136
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,413,141
Website https://corporate.arcelormittal.com
Zip 1,160