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Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.57 USD -0.26 (-2.027%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.55 -0.02 (-0.020%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is bleak because the underlying business has suffered a structural collapse, dropping nearly 15% in a single year while the asset class it tracks (Bitcoin) faces severe headwinds. This is not a value opportunity; it is a distressed asset where the market has correctly priced the failure of the option income strategy to generate sustainable alpha. The short-term view remains bearish due to persistent downward momentum and the high likelihood of continued capital erosion as the fund struggles to maintain its complex option structures. While the headline yield appears astronomical, it is a deceptive metric reflecting the rapid destruction of share price rather than genuine cash flow generation. Investors holding these positions are essentially paying a premium for the privilege of watching their principal shrink, with no clear path to recovery given the deteriorating fundamentals.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.239025
AutoETS0.279566
MSTL0.284518
AutoTheta0.285439

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 34.67
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.179
Excess Kurtosis -1.01

As of July 11, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 1.0, 2.0, 4.0) and significant volume in lower strikes relative to calls. Call activity is concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a hedging strategy rather than a bullish bet on a recovery. Implied volatility is elevated for deep puts, indicating a market pricing in a high probability of further price compression.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.62% 86.45%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.206 1.618225
2026-07-02 0.155 1.141384
2026-06-25 0.188 1.566667
2026-06-18 0.229 1.458599
2026-06-11 0.212 1.257414
2026-06-04 0.246 1.351648
2026-05-28 0.298 1.396439
2026-05-21 0.314 1.345907
2026-05-14 0.536 2.042683
2026-05-07 0.555 2.144513
2026-04-30 0.489 1.977355
2026-04-23 0.521 1.998466
2026-04-16 0.304 1.293067
2026-04-09 0.305 1.438001
2026-04-02 0.314 1.546036
2026-03-26 0.345 1.538805
2026-03-19 0.438 1.870196
2026-03-12 0.385 1.634820
2026-03-05 0.350 1.451680
2026-02-26 0.302 1.288946
2026-02-19 0.361 1.566840
2026-02-12 0.298 1.337522
2026-02-05 0.308 1.569027
2026-01-29 0.373 1.425296
2026-01-22 0.430 1.461591
2026-01-15 0.414 1.315957
2026-01-08 0.374 1.199487
2026-01-02 0.409 1.360612
2025-12-26 0.511 1.668299
2025-12-18 0.387 1.256086
2025-12-11 0.586 1.652566
2025-12-04 0.695 1.927878
2025-11-28 0.675 1.928571
2025-11-20 0.740 2.096317
2025-11-13 0.810 1.944778
2025-11-06 0.845 1.771488
2025-10-30 0.960 1.873171
2025-10-23 1.060 1.838682
2025-10-16 3.035 5.219260
2025-09-25 5.055 7.664898
2025-08-28 5.450 6.942675
2025-07-31 5.920 6.071795
2025-07-03 6.190 5.926281
2025-06-05 7.355 7.257030
2025-05-08 11.865 10.080714
2025-04-10 6.680 7.312534
2025-03-13 6.890 7.294865
2025-02-13 10.110 8.179612
2025-01-16 11.395 7.880359
2024-12-19 15.410 10.753663
2024-11-21 22.105 13.103142
2024-10-24 20.990 14.971470
2024-09-06 9.270 9.722077
2024-08-07 9.705 8.965358
2024-07-05 11.660 9.483530
2024-06-06 15.150 9.561376
2024-05-06 12.620 8.349322
2024-04-04 20.645 10.800419
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 28.38

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 232.5
All Time Low 11.53
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,477,140
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,772,355
Average Volume 1,772,355
Average Volume10Days 1,477,140
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 1,700
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 12.7326
Day Low 12.335
Dividend Yield 28.38
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 19.5408
Fifty Day Average Change -6.9708004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.35673055
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -88.64099
Fifty Two Week High 114.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -102.23
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.89050525
Fifty Two Week Low 11.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.09019948
Fifty Two Week Range 11.53 - 114.8
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,708,612,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,708,473,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed ETF that seeks current income while maintaining the opportunity for exposure to the share price of the common stock of MicroStrategy Incorporated, subject to a limit on potential investment gains. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1850981069
Nav Price 12.8493
Net Assets 709,911,740.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.03
Open 12.48
Post Market Change -0.019999504
Post Market Change Percent -0.15910505
Post Market Price 12.55
Post Market Time 1,783,986,819
Previous Close 12.83
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.26
Regular Market Change Percent -2.0265
Regular Market Day High 12.7326
Regular Market Day Low 12.335
Regular Market Day Range 12.335 - 12.7326
Regular Market Open 12.48
Regular Market Previous Close 12.83
Regular Market Price 12.57
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 890,232
Short Name YieldMax MSTR Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSTY
Total Assets 709,911,744
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -29.4132
Trailing Three Month Returns -29.4132
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 32.0069
Two Hundred Day Average Change -19.436901
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.6072722
Type Disp ETF
Volume 890,232
Yield 0.2838
Ytd Return -38.62159