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Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
14.80 USD -1.03 (-6.507%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.99 +0.19 (1.284%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:32 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a classic value trap disguised as a high-yield income vehicle. While the headline yield appears astronomical, the recent price history reveals a brutal reality: the share price has collapsed by nearly 27% in just one year, erasing the value of the distributions paid. The recent news confirms that shareholders are facing uncapped losses despite weekly payments, as the capital destruction far outweighs the cash inflow. Fundamentally, the business model relies on selling options on a volatile asset (Bitcoin), and the recent performance suggests the strategy has failed to generate alpha, leading to a massive drawdown. The options data reinforces a bearish sentiment, with heavy put buying acting as insurance against further decline while speculative call buying targets a distant, unlikely recovery. For a long-term investor, the deteriorating fundamentals and the multi-year decline signal make this a dangerous hold. The short-term outlook remains bleak due to the structural damage to the portfolio, and the dividend is not sustainable given the rapid erosion of the underlying asset value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.404171
AutoARIMA0.515894
MSTL0.883461
AutoETS0.920055

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 11.20
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.365
Excess Kurtosis -0.26

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a severe crash, evidenced by massive open interest walls in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 2.0, 4.0, 6.0, 7.0) across 2027 and 2028 expirations, with implied volatilities spiking to 200-400% above ATM levels. Conversely, call activity shows significant volume spikes at strikes far above current prices (23.0, 41.0, 45.0, 46.0, 47.0), suggesting a 'long gamma' or lottery-ticket strategy where traders bet on a binary recovery event rather than steady appreciation. The skew is heavily weighted toward downside protection, indicating the market views the current price as a potential floor for a collapse.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.79% 91.65%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-27 0.284 1.794062
2026-08-20 0.162 1.185077
2026-08-13 0.181 1.460855
2026-08-06 0.208 1.660016
2026-07-30 0.222 1.748032
2026-07-23 0.223 1.788292
2026-07-16 0.207 1.636364
2026-07-09 0.206 1.618225
2026-07-02 0.155 1.141384
2026-06-25 0.188 1.566667
2026-06-18 0.229 1.458599
2026-06-11 0.212 1.257414
2026-06-04 0.246 1.351648
2026-05-28 0.298 1.396439
2026-05-21 0.314 1.345907
2026-05-14 0.536 2.042683
2026-05-07 0.555 2.144513
2026-04-30 0.489 1.977355
2026-04-23 0.521 1.998466
2026-04-16 0.304 1.293067
2026-04-09 0.305 1.438001
2026-04-02 0.314 1.546036
2026-03-26 0.345 1.538805
2026-03-19 0.438 1.870196
2026-03-12 0.385 1.634820
2026-03-05 0.350 1.451680
2026-02-26 0.302 1.288946
2026-02-19 0.361 1.566840
2026-02-12 0.298 1.337522
2026-02-05 0.308 1.569027
2026-01-29 0.373 1.425296
2026-01-22 0.430 1.461591
2026-01-15 0.414 1.315957
2026-01-08 0.374 1.199487
2026-01-02 0.409 1.360612
2025-12-26 0.511 1.668299
2025-12-18 0.387 1.256086
2025-12-11 0.586 1.652566
2025-12-04 0.695 1.927878
2025-11-28 0.675 1.928571
2025-11-20 0.740 2.096317
2025-11-13 0.810 1.944778
2025-11-06 0.845 1.771488
2025-10-30 0.960 1.873171
2025-10-23 1.060 1.838682
2025-10-16 3.035 5.219260
2025-09-25 5.055 7.664898
2025-08-28 5.450 6.942675
2025-07-31 5.920 6.071795
2025-07-03 6.190 5.926281
2025-06-05 7.355 7.257030
2025-05-08 11.865 10.080714
2025-04-10 6.680 7.312534
2025-03-13 6.890 7.294865
2025-02-13 10.110 8.179612
2025-01-16 11.395 7.880359
2024-12-19 15.410 10.753663
2024-11-21 22.105 13.103142
2024-10-24 20.990 14.971470
2024-09-06 9.270 9.722077
2024-08-07 9.705 8.965358
2024-07-05 11.660 9.483530
2024-06-06 15.150 9.561376
2024-05-06 12.620 8.349322
2024-04-04 20.645 10.800419
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 36.21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 232.5
All Time Low 11.53
Ask 15.0
Ask Size 1,400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,638,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,613,896
Average Volume 1,613,896
Average Volume10Days 2,638,970
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 14.8
Bid Size 1,300
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 15.69
Day Low 14.73
Dividend Yield 36.21
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.1604
Fifty Day Average Change 1.6395998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12458586
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -81.27767
Fifty Two Week High 82.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -67.299995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.819732
Fifty Two Week Low 11.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.2700005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.28360802
Fifty Two Week Range 11.53 - 82.1
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,708,612,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -1.0299997
Fullday Change Percent -6.5066314
Fullday Price 14.99
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,708,473,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed ETF that seeks current income while maintaining the opportunity for exposure to the share price of the common stock of MicroStrategy Incorporated, subject to a limit on potential investment gains. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1850981069
Nav Price 15.869
Net Assets 756,674,430.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.03
Open 15.5
Post Market Change 0.18999958
Post Market Change Percent 1.2837809
Post Market Price 14.99
Post Market Time 1,787,961,584
Previous Close 15.83
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.03
Regular Market Change Percent -6.50663
Regular Market Day High 15.69
Regular Market Day Low 14.73
Regular Market Day Range 14.73 - 15.69
Regular Market Open 15.5
Regular Market Previous Close 15.83
Regular Market Price 14.8
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 3,471,541
Short Name YieldMax MSTR Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSTY
Total Assets 756,674,432
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -38.70904
Trailing Three Month Returns -38.70904
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.3889
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.588901
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.3672212
Type Disp ETF
Volume 3,471,541
Yield 0.3621
Ytd Return -32.7958