Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX)Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
8.14 USD
-0.46
(-5.349%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 8.08 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:48 a.m. EDT
This instrument is a high-risk leveraged vehicle that has suffered a catastrophic collapse, dropping from a peak of nearly $500 to the current range of $6-$12. The recent price action shows a brutal freefall followed by a brief, fragile stabilization, but the technical structure remains deeply broken with heavy selling pressure. The options market confirms this distress: traders are buying deep protection (puts) just in case the price drops further, while simultaneously placing massive bets on a sudden, explosive recovery via far-out calls. However, the statistical forecasting model offers zero confidence in predicting the next move, rendering any directional guess pure speculation. While the recent price has stabilized slightly, the lack of a confirmed bottom and the sheer magnitude of the prior decline suggest the asset is still in a severe downtrend. For a standard investor, this is a dangerous speculative play; for a trader, it is a volatile environment where capital preservation is difficult. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.523805 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.527390 |
| AutoETS | 0.529732 |
| AutoTheta | 0.573905 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 25% |
| H-stat | 16.20 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.191 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.14 |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than directional moves. In-the-money put volume and open interest dominate near-term expirations, creating a dense 'floor' around current prices. Conversely, deep out-of-the-money calls show massive open interest walls at strikes significantly higher than the current price, suggesting a bet on a sharp, leveraged spike. The implied volatility surface is distorted with massive spikes at deep OTM strikes, indicating a fear of a gap-up event or a hedge against a crash, while the underlying asset remains trapped between these extremes.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | 144.28 | 41.01194 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 2,209.9 |
| All Time Low | 6.72 |
| Ask | 8.23 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 10,695,540 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,290,586 |
| Average Volume | 5,290,586 |
| Average Volume10Days | 10,695,540 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 8.04 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Category | Trading--Leveraged Equity |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 8.41 |
| Day Low | 7.77 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 22.251 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -14.110999 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.6341737 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -98.23081 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 497.55 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -489.40997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.9836398 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 6.72 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.4200006 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.21130961 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 6.72 - 497.55 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,723,728,600,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Fund Family | Defiance ETFs LLC |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,723,593,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,024-08-15 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1879109632 |
| Nav Price | 8.6024 |
| Net Assets | 150,854,896.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 1.31 |
| Open | 8.02 |
| Post Market Change | -0.06000042 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.73710585 |
| Post Market Price | 8.08 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,165 |
| Previous Close | 8.6 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.46 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.34884 |
| Regular Market Day High | 8.41 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 7.77 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 7.77 - 8.41 |
| Regular Market Open | 8.02 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 8.6 |
| Regular Market Price | 8.14 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 6,016,130 |
| Short Name | Defiance Daily Target 2x Long M |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | MSTX |
| Total Assets | 150,854,896 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -61.94435 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -61.94435 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 58.3218 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -50.1818 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.8604296 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 6,016,130 |
| Yield | 0.0 |
| Ytd Return | -80.69208 |