| Indicators | Browse All

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
13.87 USD -2.37 (-14.594%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.80 -0.07 (-0.070%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a leveraged daily product designed for short-term trading, not long-term holding, which fundamentally caps its investment appeal. The price history reveals a catastrophic failure of the compounding mechanism: despite a reported +35% year-over-year gain, the share count has exploded from roughly 1,000 million shares to over 13 billion, indicating massive dilution and severe tracking error where the fund lost nearly 98% of its potential value relative to the underlying index. The recent price action shows a volatile recovery from lows, but the underlying asset (MSTR) remains highly speculative. Options activity confirms this is a volatility play, with traders betting on a binary outcome or further decay rather than a steady trend. With no dividend history and a structure that erodes capital over time, this is a high-risk vehicle suitable only for tactical, short-duration positions, not a core portfolio holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.939533
MSTL1.013149
AutoARIMA1.091587
AutoETS1.094439

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 12.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.284
Excess Kurtosis -0.25

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional outcome. There is massive open interest and volume spikes in deep out-of-the-money calls (strikes $30-$60) and deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes $3-$4), creating a 'strangle' environment. This suggests a bet on a binary event or a continuation of the leveraged ETF's inherent decay mechanics, rather than a standard directional trade. The implied volatility surface shows significant spikes at these extremes compared to the at-the-money levels.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2024-12-31 144.28 41.01194
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 0.0

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 2,209.9
All Time Low 6.72
Ask 8.98
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,596,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,869,211
Average Volume 7,869,211
Average Volume10Days 11,596,890
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 6.46
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 15.9
Day Low 13.61
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.4812
Fifty Day Average Change 4.3887997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.46289495
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -94.5004
Fifty Two Week High 271.5
Fifty Two Week High Change -257.63
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.94891346
Fifty Two Week Low 6.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.15
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.0639881
Fifty Two Week Range 6.72 - 271.5
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,723,728,600,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -2.37
Fullday Change Percent -14.5935955
Fullday Price 13.8
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,723,593,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-08-15
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1879109632
Nav Price 16.2687
Net Assets 131,646,928.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.31
Open 15.465
Post Market Change -0.069999695
Post Market Change Percent -0.50468415
Post Market Price 13.8
Post Market Time 1,787,961,591
Previous Close 16.24
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.37
Regular Market Change Percent -14.5935955
Regular Market Day High 15.9
Regular Market Day Low 13.61
Regular Market Day Range 13.61 - 15.9
Regular Market Open 15.465
Regular Market Previous Close 16.24
Regular Market Price 13.87
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 11,241,092
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2x Long M
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSTX
Total Assets 131,646,928
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -75.02661
Trailing Three Month Returns -75.02661
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 28.82675
Two Hundred Day Average Change -14.95675
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.5188497
Type Disp ETF
Volume 11,241,092
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -79.14497