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Roundhill MSTR WeeklyPay ETF (MSTW)

Trading--Miscellaneous | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
4.31 USD -0.42 (-8.879%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.43 +0.12 (2.784%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:06 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating remains neutral because the security is a newly listed instrument with zero price history, making it impossible to assess a multi-year trajectory or business quality evolution. While the current dividend yield appears astronomical at 421%, this is an artifact of the share price collapsing from $39 to $3 while the distribution schedule remained fixed; this is not a sustainable yield but a reflection of severe capital erosion. The short-term outlook is bearish-leaning (2 stars) as the price has failed to recover from its August highs and is trading well below the 200-day average, despite some recent technical bounce. The options market confirms this tension, with heavy put open interest at the $3 level acting as a floor, while call speculation targets a $5 recovery that seems unlikely given the lack of fundamental support.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.154846
MSTL0.532591
AutoETS0.541588
AutoTheta0.572079

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 6.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.413
Excess Kurtosis -0.77

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a sharp mean reversion to the downside. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (5.0 and 7.0), suggesting bets on a rally to $5-$7, while put open interest is concentrated at lower strikes (3.0 and 5.0), indicating a hedge against a drop to $3 or below. The massive disparity in implied volatility between the 3.0 strike (1.42) and the 5.0 call (0.98) highlights deep uncertainty and a belief that the current price is unstable.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.77% 80.77%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-24 0.032 0.773881
2026-08-17 0.063 1.968750
2026-08-10 0.052 1.575758
2026-08-03 0.046 1.428571
2026-07-27 0.055 1.608187
2026-07-20 0.047 1.358381
2026-07-13 0.090 2.752294
2026-07-06 0.019 0.507343
2026-06-29 0.052 1.520468
2026-06-22 0.086 1.986143
2026-06-15 0.029 0.527273
2026-06-08 0.100 1.869159
2026-06-01 0.064 0.963855
2026-05-26 0.095 1.296044
2026-05-18 0.154 1.971831
2026-05-11 0.137 1.415289
2026-05-04 0.134 1.469298
2026-04-27 0.162 1.930870
2026-04-20 0.109 1.258661
2026-04-13 0.073 1.119632
2026-04-06 0.072 1.141046
2026-03-30 0.093 1.539735
2026-03-23 0.128 1.782730
2026-03-16 0.126 1.592920
2026-03-09 0.106 1.411451
2026-03-02 0.106 1.407702
2026-02-23 0.119 1.765579
2026-02-17 0.091 1.265647
2026-02-09 0.089 1.119497
2026-02-02 0.103 1.260710
2026-01-26 0.199 2.032686
2026-01-20 0.139 1.391391
2026-01-12 0.136 1.325536
2026-01-05 0.161 1.514581
2025-12-29 0.163 1.612265
2025-12-22 0.211 1.925182
2025-12-15 0.242 2.202002
2025-12-08 0.249 1.909509
2025-12-01 0.162 1.313869
2025-11-24 0.147 1.124713
2025-11-17 0.232 1.569689
2025-11-10 0.277 1.439709
2025-11-03 0.375 1.692238
2025-10-27 0.359 1.396344
2025-10-20 0.389 1.484733
2025-10-14 0.837 3.082873
2025-10-06 0.438 1.258982
2025-09-29 0.794 2.526249
2025-09-22 0.848 2.529833
2025-09-15 0.511 1.529025
2025-09-08 0.356 1.043682
2025-09-02 0.458 1.273283
2025-08-25 0.407 1.106580
2025-08-18 1.394 3.486743
2025-08-11 0.786 1.700195
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 421.7

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 51.13
All Time Low 2.995
Ask 4.42
Ask Size 8,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 856,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 552,169
Average Volume 552,169
Average Volume10Days 856,830
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 4.32
Bid Size 1,900
Category Trading--Miscellaneous
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 4.6699
Day Low 4.28
Dividend Yield 421.7
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.5434
Fifty Day Average Change 0.7665999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.21634585
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -86.85015
Fifty Two Week High 37.01
Fifty Two Week High Change -32.699997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.8835449
Fifty Two Week Low 2.995
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.315
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.43906516
Fifty Two Week Range 2.995 - 37.01
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,753,363,800,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fullday Change -0.42
Fullday Change Percent -8.87949
Fullday Price 4.43
Fund Family Roundhill Investments
Fund Inception Date 1,753,228,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in listed call options (including FLEX Options), total return swap agreements that utilize MSTR as the reference asset, and in shares of MSTR. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Roundhill MSTR WeeklyPay ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1951436505
Nav Price 4.1481
Net Assets 35,859,816.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.0
Open 4.6
Post Market Change 0.119999886
Post Market Change Percent 2.7842202
Post Market Price 4.43
Post Market Time 1,787,961,499
Previous Close 4.73
Price Hint 4
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.42
Regular Market Change Percent -8.87949
Regular Market Day High 4.6699
Regular Market Day Low 4.28
Regular Market Day Range 4.28 - 4.6699
Regular Market Open 4.6
Regular Market Previous Close 4.73
Regular Market Price 4.31
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,382,982
Short Name Roundhill MSTR WeeklyPay ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSTW
Total Assets 35,859,816
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -52.25873
Trailing Three Month Returns -52.25873
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.6735
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.3635
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.43832672
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,382,982
Yield 4.217
Ytd Return -49.1285