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Defiance Leveraged Long + Income MSTR ETF (MST)

Trading--Miscellaneous | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
7.72 USD -0.34 (-4.273%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.57 -0.15 (-0.146%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:40 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:39 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a high-risk leveraged vehicle masquerading as an income generator, currently trapped in a severe downtrend. The price has collapsed from a peak of $611.80 to roughly $8.00, representing a catastrophic loss of over 98% of its value. While the recent weekly distributions create an illusion of a 1600%+ yield, this is a mathematical artifact of the tiny share price, not sustainable cash flow; the payout ratio is effectively infinite and unsustainable. The underlying business quality is irrelevant here because the structure is designed for leverage, which has been fully realized against the holder. The options chain confirms this danger: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money puts to catch a crash, while the statistical forecast model shows zero reliability due to the extreme noise of such a leveraged, distressed asset. Avoid this security entirely; it is a value trap where the 'yield' is just the final payment before total erasure.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.446092
AutoETS0.532057
MSTL0.543096
AutoTheta0.559718

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 19.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.153
Excess Kurtosis -0.92

As of July 11, 2026, 3:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional move. In the near term (July/August), there is heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 4.0 and 6.0), suggesting a fear of a sharp drop to historic lows. Conversely, calls show significant interest in strikes far above the current price (13.0, 15.0, 45.0), indicating a speculative bet on a massive leveraged rally. This 'long gamma' setup implies the market expects a violent swing in either direction, with implied volatility pricing in a 100%+ move potential.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.94% 80.18%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-08 0.075 0.944584
2026-07-01 0.066 0.822635
2026-06-24 0.107 1.231159
2026-06-17 0.132 0.981413
2026-06-10 0.148 1.097923
2026-06-03 0.157 0.949214
2026-05-27 0.219 0.888330
2026-05-20 0.241 0.846803
2026-05-13 0.321 0.977169
2026-05-06 0.296 0.813768
2026-04-29 0.275 0.987539
2026-04-22 0.229 0.646893
2026-04-15 0.178 0.721466
2026-04-08 0.190 0.910180
2026-04-01 0.194 0.976297
2026-03-25 0.335 1.352989
2026-03-11 0.448 1.777778
2026-03-04 0.525 1.842752
2026-02-25 0.392 1.530055
2026-02-18 0.504 2.211982
2026-02-11 0.490 2.102102
2026-02-04 0.483 1.835106
2026-01-28 0.581 1.431035
2026-01-21 0.686 1.580645
2026-01-14 0.658 1.256684
2026-01-07 0.798 1.781250
2025-12-31 0.791 1.931624
2025-12-24 0.651 1.452898
2025-12-17 0.644 1.393939
2025-12-10 1.540 2.564103
2025-12-03 4.116 6.547884
2025-11-26 1.064 1.767442
2025-11-19 1.596 2.336066
2025-11-12 1.932 1.864865
2025-11-05 3.220 2.332657
2025-10-29 2.940 1.782683
2025-10-22 3.080 1.785714
2025-10-15 3.388 1.741007
2025-10-08 4.760 1.951780
2025-10-01 4.144 1.593111
2025-09-24 4.648 1.808279
2025-09-17 4.116 1.475904
2025-09-10 4.116 1.493902
2025-09-03 4.396 1.548323
2025-08-27 5.180 1.680291
2025-08-20 5.180 1.635721
2025-08-13 6.104 1.484003
2025-08-06 5.264 1.292985
2025-07-30 5.964 1.331250
2025-07-23 6.160 1.249290
2025-07-16 9.828 1.637891
2025-07-09 7.616 1.442206
2025-07-02 8.008 1.556886
2025-06-25 5.824 1.154914
2025-06-18 7.616 1.619048
2025-06-11 8.008 1.550976
2025-06-04 7.448 1.472868
2025-05-28 7.420 1.548802
2025-05-21 9.380 1.589938
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 1653.24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 678.44
All Time Low 6.53
Ask 9.53
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 128,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 96,273
Average Volume 96,273
Average Volume10Days 128,470
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 5.61
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Miscellaneous
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 7.91
Day Low 7.445
Dividend Yield 1,653.24
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 20.61172
Fifty Day Average Change -12.896119
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.62566924
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -98.65364
Fifty Two Week High 611.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -604.0844
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.98738873
Fifty Two Week Low 6.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.1855998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.18156199
Fifty Two Week Range 6.53 - 611.8
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,746,192,600,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,746,057,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-05-02
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund (“ETF”) that seeks to achieve its investment objective by entering into derivatives transactions (i.e., swap agreements and options contracts) to gain long exposure to MicroStrategy Incorporated (“MSTR,” or the “Underlying Security”). The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Leveraged Long + Income MSTR ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1916111687
Nav Price 7.9649
Net Assets 11,671,443.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.31
Open 7.65
Post Market Change -0.14559984
Post Market Change Percent -1.8870839
Post Market Price 7.57
Post Market Time 1,783,986,006
Previous Close 8.06
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.3444004
Regular Market Change Percent -4.2729573
Regular Market Day High 7.91
Regular Market Day Low 7.445
Regular Market Day Range 7.445 - 7.91
Regular Market Open 7.65
Regular Market Previous Close 8.06
Regular Market Price 7.7156
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 85,862
Short Name Defiance Leveraged Long + Incom
Source Interval 15
Symbol MST
Total Assets 11,671,443
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -60.4506
Trailing Three Month Returns -60.4506
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 63.025574
Two Hundred Day Average Change -55.309975
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.87757987
Type Disp ETF
Volume 85,862
Yield 16.5324
Ytd Return -76.16862