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MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

Industrials | Industrial Distribution | Melville, United States | NYSE
119.20 USD -2.81 (-2.303%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 119.20

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:39 a.m. EDT

MSC Industrial Direct presents a compelling long-term value proposition marred by near-term technical weakness. The business fundamentals are robust, boasting a 41 percent earnings growth rate and a 16 percent return on equity, which justifies a solid long-term buy rating. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this strength with a positive cumulative return and no recent structural decline. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by the stock trading below its 50-day moving average and heavy put option activity, suggesting investors are locking in gains or hedging against volatility. The dividend yield is attractive but carries a high payout ratio, requiring continued earnings expansion to remain sustainable. Overall, this is a core holding for patient capital, though timing the entry may require waiting for the technicals to align with the underlying earnings momentum.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.034614
AutoETS0.075656
AutoARIMA0.076275
MSTL0.078660

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 19.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.135
Excess Kurtosis -0.89
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 39.13
Revenue per Share 70.052
Market Cap 6,656,878,080
Trailing P/E 28.79
Forward P/E 21.89
Beta 0.83
Profit Margins 5.92%
Website https://www.mscdirect.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily hedging downside risk for the near term, evidenced by significantly higher put volume and open interest compared to calls in the September expiration. While some long-dated call positions exist targeting higher strikes in March 2027, the immediate sentiment leans defensive with elevated implied volatility on protective puts.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.73% 3.64% 3.81% 3.76%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-08 0.87 0.731154
2026-04-08 0.87 0.910232
2026-01-14 0.87 1.027519
2025-11-12 0.87 0.972719
2025-07-09 0.85 0.937155
2025-04-09 0.85 1.130620
2025-01-15 0.85 1.061836
2024-11-13 0.85 0.971651
2024-07-09 0.83 1.094987
2024-04-08 0.83 0.879051
2024-01-08 0.83 0.868019
2023-11-13 0.83 0.850236
2023-07-10 0.79 0.815947
2023-04-10 0.79 0.928865
2023-01-09 0.79 1.001775
2022-11-14 0.79 0.940812
2022-07-11 0.75 1.018607
2022-04-11 0.75 0.879559
2022-01-10 0.75 0.902310
2021-11-15 0.75 0.881316
2021-07-12 0.75 0.829004
2021-04-12 0.75 0.839490
2021-01-11 0.75 0.906125
2020-11-30 3.50 4.200672
2020-11-09 0.75 0.960676
2020-07-13 0.75 1.155802
2020-04-13 0.75 1.314406
2020-01-21 5.75 8.072441
2019-11-08 0.75 0.996016
2019-07-22 0.75 1.066856
2019-04-08 0.63 0.733753
2019-01-07 0.63 0.819886
2018-11-09 0.63 0.723058
2018-07-09 0.58 0.681231
2018-04-16 0.58 0.647972
2018-01-12 0.58 0.612137
2017-11-13 0.48 0.605831
2017-07-14 0.45 0.610915
2017-04-13 0.45 0.504315
2017-01-06 0.45 0.489130
2016-11-10 0.45 0.541777
2016-07-08 0.43 0.590092
2016-04-08 0.43 0.570367
2016-01-08 0.43 0.726474
2015-11-06 0.43 0.675994
2015-07-10 0.40 0.568990
2015-04-10 0.40 0.569476
2015-01-09 0.40 0.534974
2014-11-14 3.40 4.215224
2014-07-03 0.33 0.345441
2014-04-11 0.33 0.379310
2014-04-04 0.33 0.378267
2014-01-10 0.33 0.386417
2013-11-04 0.33 0.423348
2013-07-05 0.30 0.387747
2013-04-12 0.30 0.384221
2012-12-13 0.30 0.422416
2012-11-05 0.30 0.417246
2012-07-06 0.25 0.393577
2012-04-05 0.25 0.306485
2012-01-06 0.25 0.345973
2011-11-02 0.25 0.373301
2011-07-08 0.22 0.316547
2011-04-08 0.22 0.305981
2011-01-07 0.22 0.362617
2010-10-29 1.22 2.142606
2010-07-09 0.22 0.448065
2010-04-14 0.20 0.357590
2010-01-14 0.20 0.427716
2009-10-28 0.20 0.451671
2009-07-10 0.20 0.574218
2009-04-09 0.20 0.546299
2009-01-15 0.20 0.573394
2008-10-28 0.20 0.578202
2008-07-08 0.20 0.434499
2008-04-15 0.18 0.393185
2008-01-17 0.18 0.512383
2007-10-30 0.18 0.376806
2007-07-06 0.18 0.316289
2007-04-10 0.18 0.384369
2007-01-05 0.14 0.335089
2006-10-31 0.14 0.342131
2006-07-06 0.14 0.297619
2006-04-05 0.14 0.264201
2006-01-12 0.14 0.317316
2005-11-01 0.12 0.315209
2005-07-07 0.12 0.360360
2005-03-31 0.12 0.392670
2005-01-19 0.10 0.296560
2004-11-09 0.10 0.284172
2004-07-13 0.08 0.243531
2004-04-08 0.08 0.258481
2004-01-15 0.08 0.294551
2003-11-13 0.05 0.187758
2003-07-29 0.05 0.250501
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.48
dividendYield 2.92
exDividendDate 2026-07-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.48
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.028522251
lastDividendValue 0.87
lastDividendDate 2026-07-08
dividendDate 2026-07-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.33602333
Address1 515 Broadhollow Road
Address2 Suite 1000
All Time High 130.46
All Time Low 7.5
Ask 119.64
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 522,750
Average Daily Volume3 Month 738,623
Average Volume 738,623
Average Volume10Days 522,750
Beta 0.826
Bid 118.64
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 5
Book Value 25.417
City Melville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 119.2
Current Ratio 1.548
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 122.69
Day Low 118.825
Debt To Equity 39.13
Display Name MSC Industrial Direct
Dividend Date 1,784,678,400
Dividend Rate 3.48
Dividend Yield 2.92
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,782,909,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,782,909,000
Earnings Growth 0.411
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.414
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,672,200
Ebitda 444,052,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11361
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.075
Enterprise To Revenue 1.826
Enterprise Value 7,138,208,768
Eps Current Year 4.60354
Eps Forward 5.44579
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.14
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,468,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 121.9716
Fifty Day Average Change -2.7716064
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.022723375
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 33.602333
Fifty Two Week High 130.46
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.26001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08631005
Fifty Two Week Low 78.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 40.399994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.51269025
Fifty Two Week Range 78.8 - 130.46
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 819,037,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.7
Float Shares 41,326,819
Forward Eps 5.44579
Forward P E 21.888468
Free Cashflow 195,171,120
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 7,077
Fullday Change -2.81001
Fullday Change Percent -2.30309
Fullday Price 119.2
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.40823
Gross Profits 1,595,649,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.26757
Held Percent Institutions 0.86823
Implied Shares Outstanding 55,846,298
Industry Industrial Distribution
Industry Disp Industrial Distribution
Industry Key industrial-distribution
Ir Website http://investor.mscdirect.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,468,800
Last Dividend Value 0.87
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,512,000
Last Split Date 896,140,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company's metalworking and MRO products include cutting tools, abrasives, machining fluids, measuring instruments, metalworking products, machinery and accessories, tooling components, fasteners, flat stock products, raw materials, machinery hand and power tools, safety and janitorial supplies, plumbing supplies, materials handling products, power transmission components, and electrical supplies. It also offers stock-keeping units through its catalogs and brochures; e-commerce channels, including its website; inventory management solutions; and customer care centers, customer fulfillment centers, regional inventory centers and warehouses. In addition, the company serves individual machine shops, manufacturing companies, and government agencies. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
Long Name MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,656,878,080
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_108424
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,099,200
Net Income To Common 231,196,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,788,048,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,813,806,818
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 122.56
Operating Cashflow 305,791,008
Operating Margins 0.10195
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.8357
Peg Ratio 2.43
Phone 516 812 2000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 119.2
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 122.01
Price Eps Current Year 25.893116
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.6897745
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7030857
Profit Margins 0.05915
Quick Ratio 0.591
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.81001
Regular Market Change Percent -2.30309
Regular Market Day High 122.69
Regular Market Day Low 118.825
Regular Market Day Range 118.825 - 122.69
Regular Market Open 122.56
Regular Market Previous Close 122.01
Regular Market Price 119.2
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 425,899
Return On Assets 0.086780004
Return On Equity 0.16322
Revenue Growth 0.078
Revenue Per Share 70.052
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 55,846,298
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0344
Shares Short 1,919,805
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,317,003
Short Name MSC Industrial Direct Company,
Short Percent Of Float 0.0424
Short Ratio 2.87
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MSM
Target High Price 155.0
Target Low Price 67.0
Target Mean Price 131.0
Target Median Price 140.0
Total Cash 74,094,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.327
Total Debt 555,424,000
Total Revenue 3,908,716,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.48
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.028522251
Trailing Eps 4.14
Trailing P E 28.79227
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.489
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 101.0684
Two Hundred Day Average Change 18.1316
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.1793993
Type Disp Equity
Volume 425,899
Website https://www.mscdirect.com
Zip 11,747