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MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

Industrials | Industrial Distribution | Melville, United States | NYSE
129.28 USD -1.42 (-1.086%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 1:47 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:23 a.m. EDT

MSC Industrial Direct is showing strong technical momentum, rallying nearly 7% over the past two weeks and trading well above its 50-day moving average. The underlying business remains healthy with robust free cash flow and double-digit earnings growth, though the 83% payout ratio leaves little room for error if growth slows. While the dividend is reliable, the high payout limits the safety margin. Options traders are positioning for a range-bound outcome with a slight upside skew, hedging against a drop while betting on a move toward the 140 strike. For investors, this is a solid mid-cap industrial play, but the valuation and payout intensity suggest caution on the upside.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.025494
AutoARIMA0.029312
MSTL0.029485
AutoETS0.029578

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 60%
H-stat 1.91
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.136
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-11-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 39.13
Revenue per Share 70.052
Market Cap 7,219,809,280
Trailing P/E 31.23
Forward P/E 23.40
Beta 0.81
Profit Margins 5.92%
Website https://www.mscdirect.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are hedging downside risk with heavy put open interest at lower strikes (105-120), indicated by elevated implied volatility on puts versus calls. However, call open interest clusters at higher strikes (140-150), suggesting a bullish bias for upside potential beyond current levels. The imbalance in implied volatility suggests fear of a pullback despite the recent price strength.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.73% 3.64% 3.81% 3.76%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-08 0.87 0.731154
2026-04-08 0.87 0.910232
2026-01-14 0.87 1.027519
2025-11-12 0.87 0.972719
2025-07-09 0.85 0.937155
2025-04-09 0.85 1.130620
2025-01-15 0.85 1.061836
2024-11-13 0.85 0.971651
2024-07-09 0.83 1.094987
2024-04-08 0.83 0.879051
2024-01-08 0.83 0.868019
2023-11-13 0.83 0.850236
2023-07-10 0.79 0.815947
2023-04-10 0.79 0.928865
2023-01-09 0.79 1.001775
2022-11-14 0.79 0.940812
2022-07-11 0.75 1.018607
2022-04-11 0.75 0.879559
2022-01-10 0.75 0.902310
2021-11-15 0.75 0.881316
2021-07-12 0.75 0.829004
2021-04-12 0.75 0.839490
2021-01-11 0.75 0.906125
2020-11-30 3.50 4.200672
2020-11-09 0.75 0.960676
2020-07-13 0.75 1.155802
2020-04-13 0.75 1.314406
2020-01-21 5.75 8.072441
2019-11-08 0.75 0.996016
2019-07-22 0.75 1.066856
2019-04-08 0.63 0.733753
2019-01-07 0.63 0.819886
2018-11-09 0.63 0.723058
2018-07-09 0.58 0.681231
2018-04-16 0.58 0.647972
2018-01-12 0.58 0.612137
2017-11-13 0.48 0.605831
2017-07-14 0.45 0.610915
2017-04-13 0.45 0.504315
2017-01-06 0.45 0.489130
2016-11-10 0.45 0.541777
2016-07-08 0.43 0.590092
2016-04-08 0.43 0.570367
2016-01-08 0.43 0.726474
2015-11-06 0.43 0.675994
2015-07-10 0.40 0.568990
2015-04-10 0.40 0.569476
2015-01-09 0.40 0.534974
2014-11-14 3.40 4.215224
2014-07-03 0.33 0.345441
2014-04-11 0.33 0.379310
2014-04-04 0.33 0.378267
2014-01-10 0.33 0.386417
2013-11-04 0.33 0.423348
2013-07-05 0.30 0.387747
2013-04-12 0.30 0.384221
2012-12-13 0.30 0.422416
2012-11-05 0.30 0.417246
2012-07-06 0.25 0.393577
2012-04-05 0.25 0.306485
2012-01-06 0.25 0.345973
2011-11-02 0.25 0.373301
2011-07-08 0.22 0.316547
2011-04-08 0.22 0.305981
2011-01-07 0.22 0.362617
2010-10-29 1.22 2.142606
2010-07-09 0.22 0.448065
2010-04-14 0.20 0.357590
2010-01-14 0.20 0.427716
2009-10-28 0.20 0.451671
2009-07-10 0.20 0.574218
2009-04-09 0.20 0.546299
2009-01-15 0.20 0.573394
2008-10-28 0.20 0.578202
2008-07-08 0.20 0.434499
2008-04-15 0.18 0.393185
2008-01-17 0.18 0.512383
2007-10-30 0.18 0.376806
2007-07-06 0.18 0.316289
2007-04-10 0.18 0.384369
2007-01-05 0.14 0.335089
2006-10-31 0.14 0.342131
2006-07-06 0.14 0.297619
2006-04-05 0.14 0.264201
2006-01-12 0.14 0.317316
2005-11-01 0.12 0.315209
2005-07-07 0.12 0.360360
2005-03-31 0.12 0.392670
2005-01-19 0.10 0.296560
2004-11-09 0.10 0.284172
2004-07-13 0.08 0.243531
2004-04-08 0.08 0.258481
2004-01-15 0.08 0.294551
2003-11-13 0.05 0.187758
2003-07-29 0.05 0.250501
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.56
dividendYield 2.72
exDividendDate 2026-11-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.48
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.026625862
lastDividendValue 0.87
lastDividendDate 2026-07-08
dividendDate 2026-07-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5215367
Address1 515 Broadhollow Road
Address2 Suite 1000
All Time High 133.65
All Time Low 7.5
Ask 129.18
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 805,500
Average Daily Volume3 Month 681,000
Average Volume 681,000
Average Volume10Days 805,500
Beta 0.808
Bid 128.72
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 5
Book Value 25.417
City Melville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 129.28
Current Ratio 1.548
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 131.4628
Day Low 128.34
Debt To Equity 39.13
Display Name MSC Industrial Direct
Dividend Date 1,784,678,400
Dividend Rate 3.56
Dividend Yield 2.72
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Earnings Growth 0.411
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.414
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,672,200
Ebitda 444,052,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11361
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.521
Enterprise To Revenue 1.991
Enterprise Value 7,780,441,088
Eps Current Year 4.61267
Eps Forward 5.52509
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.14
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,794,268,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 122.9638
Fifty Day Average Change 6.3162003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.05136634
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 52.15367
Fifty Two Week High 133.65
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.369995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.03269731
Fifty Two Week Low 78.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 50.479996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6406091
Fifty Two Week Range 78.8 - 133.65
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 819,037,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.61
Float Shares 41,347,482
Forward Eps 5.52509
Forward P E 23.398712
Free Cashflow 195,171,120
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 7,077
Fullday Change -1.4199982
Fullday Change Percent -1.0864562
Fullday Price 129.28
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.40823
Gross Profits 1,595,649,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.26759002
Held Percent Institutions 0.8578
Implied Shares Outstanding 55,846,298
Industry Industrial Distribution
Industry Disp Industrial Distribution
Industry Key industrial-distribution
Ir Website http://investor.mscdirect.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,468,800
Last Dividend Value 0.87
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,512,000
Last Split Date 896,140,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company's metalworking and MRO products include cutting tools, abrasives, machining fluids, measuring instruments, metalworking products, machinery and accessories, tooling components, fasteners, flat stock products, raw materials, machinery hand and power tools, safety and janitorial supplies, plumbing supplies, materials handling products, power transmission components, and electrical supplies. It also offers stock-keeping units through its catalogs and brochures; e-commerce channels, including its website; inventory management solutions; and customer care centers, customer fulfillment centers, regional inventory centers and warehouses. In addition, the company serves individual machine shops, manufacturing companies, and government agencies. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
Long Name MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,219,809,280
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_108424
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,099,200
Net Income To Common 231,196,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,788,048,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,778,065,188
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 130.69
Operating Cashflow 305,791,008
Operating Margins 0.10195
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.8357
Peg Ratio 2.7
Phone 516 812 2000
Previous Close 130.7
Price Eps Current Year 28.027151
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.0863595
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8471051
Profit Margins 0.05915
Quick Ratio 0.591
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.54545
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.4199982
Regular Market Change Percent -1.0864562
Regular Market Day High 131.4628
Regular Market Day Low 128.34
Regular Market Day Range 128.34 - 131.4628
Regular Market Open 130.69
Regular Market Previous Close 130.7
Regular Market Price 129.28
Regular Market Time 1,792,172,870
Regular Market Volume 366,731
Return On Assets 0.086780004
Return On Equity 0.16322
Revenue Growth 0.078
Revenue Per Share 70.052
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 55,846,298
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.043899998
Shares Short 2,452,461
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,306,194
Short Name MSC Industrial Direct Company,
Short Percent Of Float 0.0542
Short Ratio 3.47
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MSM
Target High Price 155.0
Target Low Price 67.0
Target Mean Price 134.25
Target Median Price 142.5
Total Cash 74,094,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.327
Total Debt 555,424,000
Total Revenue 3,908,716,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.48
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.026625862
Trailing Eps 4.14
Trailing P E 31.227055
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.4759
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 107.29415
Two Hundred Day Average Change 21.985847
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.20491189
Type Disp Equity
Volume 366,731
Website https://www.mscdirect.com
Zip 11,747