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YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF (MSFO)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.56 USD +0.17 (1.372%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.58 +0.01 (0.119%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:04 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating is severely compromised because the underlying business has suffered a brutal multi-year decline. Over the last two years, the price has dropped nearly 14%, with the most recent annual return being a crushing -12.6%. This is not a temporary dip; it is a structural deterioration where the market has repeatedly punished the asset, suggesting the option strategy itself is failing to generate enough income to offset the rapid erosion of principal. While the headline yield looks attractive at 13.76%, this is a classic value trap: the high payout is likely cannibalizing the remaining NAV as the fund struggles to keep up with the falling price of the Microsoft options it holds. The short-term outlook remains bearish due to this relentless downward pressure and the fact that the statistical models predict a slight further decline over the next month. The options data confirms this fear, with traders buying deep protection rather than betting on a recovery. Investors chasing this yield are essentially paying a premium for the privilege of watching their investment vanish faster than the dividends can replace it.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.093030
AutoTheta0.098178
AutoETS0.104111
MSTL0.111681

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.85
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.001
Excess Kurtosis 0.78

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 15.0 and 16.0 for October expiration) compared to negligible call activity. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for put options relative to calls, indicating a market consensus expecting a sharp drop in the underlying asset, which directly impacts the performance of this option-income strategy.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.15% 35.81%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-27 0.143 1.154157
2026-08-20 0.141 1.165289
2026-08-13 0.224 1.789137
2026-08-06 0.192 1.505882
2026-07-30 0.077 0.647059
2026-07-23 0.072 0.694981
2026-07-16 0.059 0.542279
2026-07-09 0.058 0.548204
2026-07-02 0.066 0.614068
2026-06-25 0.056 0.561122
2026-06-18 0.059 0.551402
2026-06-11 0.070 0.635382
2026-06-04 0.101 0.838105
2026-05-28 0.082 0.672683
2026-05-21 0.089 0.734323
2026-05-14 0.142 1.185309
2026-05-07 0.136 1.096774
2026-04-30 0.176 1.439084
2026-04-23 0.111 0.886298
2026-04-16 0.073 0.573539
2026-04-09 0.112 0.968021
2026-04-02 0.067 0.577586
2026-03-26 0.070 0.613497
2026-03-19 0.075 0.617284
2026-03-12 0.078 0.621514
2026-03-05 0.082 0.637636
2026-02-26 0.077 0.605822
2026-02-19 0.074 0.584980
2026-02-12 0.069 0.538222
2026-02-05 0.057 0.453822
2026-01-29 0.064 0.462094
2026-01-22 0.058 0.407018
2026-01-15 0.059 0.405220
2026-01-08 0.053 0.349604
2026-01-02 0.062 0.411413
2025-12-26 0.061 0.392788
2025-12-18 0.067 0.431701
2025-12-11 0.078 0.502254
2025-12-04 0.173 1.111111
2025-11-28 0.079 0.494678
2025-11-20 0.165 1.051625
2025-11-13 0.101 0.607336
2025-11-06 0.099 0.598911
2025-10-30 0.116 0.665138
2025-10-23 0.074 0.427499
2025-10-16 0.272 1.589714
2025-09-18 0.316 1.845794
2025-08-21 0.318 1.842410
2025-07-24 0.414 2.318029
2025-06-26 0.485 2.729319
2025-05-29 0.550 3.193961
2025-05-01 0.526 3.184019
2025-04-03 0.334 2.174479
2025-03-06 0.285 1.750614
2025-02-06 0.362 2.105875
2025-01-08 0.367 2.036626
2024-12-12 0.413 2.151042
2024-11-14 0.510 2.682798
2024-10-17 0.508 2.663870
2024-09-06 0.433 2.278947
2024-08-07 0.405 2.114883
2024-07-05 0.385 1.736581
2024-06-06 0.480 2.250352
2024-05-06 0.573 2.696471
2024-04-04 0.730 3.340961
2024-03-06 0.761 3.523148
2024-02-07 0.684 2.996058
2024-01-05 0.511 2.388967
2023-12-07 0.782 3.593750
2023-11-08 0.377 1.723823
2023-10-06 0.280 1.377953
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 13.76

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 23.478
All Time Low 9.89
Ask 12.65
Ask Size 400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 167,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 105,273
Average Volume 105,273
Average Volume10Days 167,490
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 12.5
Bid Size 600
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 12.63
Day Low 12.4352
Dividend Yield 13.76
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.3932
Fifty Day Average Change 1.1668005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.10241201
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.482677
Fifty Two Week High 18.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.54
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.30607733
Fifty Two Week Low 9.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.67
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.26996967
Fifty Two Week Range 9.89 - 18.1
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,692,970,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 0.17
Fullday Change Percent 1.37207
Fullday Price 12.575
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,692,835,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund advisor will employ its investment strategy as it relates to MSFT regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not seek temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1850980161
Nav Price 12.3593
Net Assets 113,739,688.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.03
Open 12.4
Post Market Change 0.01499939
Post Market Change Percent 0.119421884
Post Market Price 12.575
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 12.39
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.17
Regular Market Change Percent 1.37207
Regular Market Day High 12.63
Regular Market Day Low 12.4352
Regular Market Day Range 12.4352 - 12.63
Regular Market Open 12.4
Regular Market Previous Close 12.39
Regular Market Price 12.56
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 113,216
Short Name YieldMax MSFT Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSFO
Three Year Average Return 0.1587543
Total Assets 113,739,688
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 8.67346
Trailing Three Month Returns 8.67346
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.914515
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.35451412
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.027450828
Type Disp ETF
Volume 113,216
Yield 0.1376
Ytd Return -3.96297