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YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF (MSFO)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
10.75 USD +0.17 (1.607%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.73 -0.02 (-0.020%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:51 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:37 a.m. EDT

The 15.57% yield is a deceptive trap for investors seeking income, masking a catastrophic collapse in the underlying asset's value. While the fund distributes cash aggressively, the share price has halved over the last year, dropping from roughly $21.60 to $10.60. This indicates the distribution is eating away at the remaining equity value rather than generating sustainable economic profit. The options market confirms this bearish outlook, with traders buying deep out-of-the-money puts to insure against further declines while avoiding calls entirely. For a long-term holder, the math is grim: even if the price stabilizes, the capital loss is so severe that the high yield takes decades to recoup, and the risk of total NAV erosion remains high given the leveraged nature of option income strategies.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.033332
AutoARIMA0.034967
AutoTheta0.047217
AutoETS0.056820

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 21.52
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.025
Excess Kurtosis 0.57

As of July 11, 2026, 5:37 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 13, 15, 16) compared to negligible call activity. The implied volatility skew is extreme, with put IV significantly higher than call IV, indicating a market consensus that the fund will likely trade lower or remain depressed rather than recover.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.55% 32.47%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.058 0.548204
2026-07-02 0.066 0.614068
2026-06-25 0.056 0.561122
2026-06-18 0.059 0.551402
2026-06-11 0.070 0.635382
2026-06-04 0.101 0.838105
2026-05-28 0.082 0.672683
2026-05-21 0.089 0.734323
2026-05-14 0.142 1.185309
2026-05-07 0.136 1.096774
2026-04-30 0.176 1.439084
2026-04-23 0.111 0.886298
2026-04-16 0.073 0.573539
2026-04-09 0.112 0.968021
2026-04-02 0.067 0.577586
2026-03-26 0.070 0.613497
2026-03-19 0.075 0.617284
2026-03-12 0.078 0.621514
2026-03-05 0.082 0.637636
2026-02-26 0.077 0.605822
2026-02-19 0.074 0.584980
2026-02-12 0.069 0.538222
2026-02-05 0.057 0.453822
2026-01-29 0.064 0.462094
2026-01-22 0.058 0.407018
2026-01-15 0.059 0.405220
2026-01-08 0.053 0.349604
2026-01-02 0.062 0.411413
2025-12-26 0.061 0.392788
2025-12-18 0.067 0.431701
2025-12-11 0.078 0.502254
2025-12-04 0.173 1.111111
2025-11-28 0.079 0.494678
2025-11-20 0.165 1.051625
2025-11-13 0.101 0.607336
2025-11-06 0.099 0.598911
2025-10-30 0.116 0.665138
2025-10-23 0.074 0.427499
2025-10-16 0.272 1.589714
2025-09-18 0.316 1.845794
2025-08-21 0.318 1.842410
2025-07-24 0.414 2.318029
2025-06-26 0.485 2.729319
2025-05-29 0.550 3.193961
2025-05-01 0.526 3.184019
2025-04-03 0.334 2.174479
2025-03-06 0.285 1.750614
2025-02-06 0.362 2.105875
2025-01-08 0.367 2.036626
2024-12-12 0.413 2.151042
2024-11-14 0.510 2.682798
2024-10-17 0.508 2.663870
2024-09-06 0.433 2.278947
2024-08-07 0.405 2.114883
2024-07-05 0.385 1.736581
2024-06-06 0.480 2.250352
2024-05-06 0.573 2.696471
2024-04-04 0.730 3.340961
2024-03-06 0.761 3.523148
2024-02-07 0.684 2.996058
2024-01-05 0.511 2.388967
2023-12-07 0.782 3.593750
2023-11-08 0.377 1.723823
2023-10-06 0.280 1.377953
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 15.57

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 23.478
All Time Low 9.89
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,700
Average Daily Volume10 Day 83,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 98,462
Average Volume 98,462
Average Volume10Days 83,340
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 500
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 10.79
Day Low 10.53
Dividend Yield 15.57
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.56034
Fifty Day Average Change -0.8103399
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.070096545
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -41.189552
Fifty Two Week High 18.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.0
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42666668
Fifty Two Week Low 9.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.85999966
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.086956486
Fifty Two Week Range 9.89 - 18.75
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,692,970,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,692,835,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund advisor will employ its investment strategy as it relates to MSFT regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not seek temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1850980161
Nav Price 10.5917
Net Assets 79,203,944.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.03
Open 10.53
Post Market Change -0.020000458
Post Market Change Percent -0.18605077
Post Market Price 10.73
Post Market Time 1,783,986,677
Previous Close 10.58
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.17
Regular Market Change Percent 1.60681
Regular Market Day High 10.79
Regular Market Day Low 10.53
Regular Market Day Range 10.53 - 10.79
Regular Market Open 10.53
Regular Market Previous Close 10.58
Regular Market Price 10.75
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,791
Regular Market Volume 146,666
Short Name YieldMax MSFT Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSFO
Total Assets 79,203,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.68728
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.68728
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.886355
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.1363554
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2258588
Type Disp ETF
Volume 146,666
Yield 0.1557
Ytd Return -19.41035