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YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF (MSFO)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.43 USD -0.19 (-1.479%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:36 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating is severely compromised because the underlying business strategy has failed to generate value; the asset has lost nearly 15% of its value over the last two years while delivering zero positive annual returns. This is not a temporary setback but a structural decline where the market has correctly priced the inability of the option income strategy to grow capital. While the headline yield of 7.77% appears attractive, it is misleading; the recent dividend history reveals erratic, volatile payouts that fluctuate wildly rather than providing stable income, and the price has been falling faster than these distributions can offset. The short-term outlook remains bearish due to the heavy concentration of speculative put buying, which signals that traders expect further weakness or a collapse in the NAV. Investors chasing this yield are likely facing a value trap where the cost basis continues to erode.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.018585
MSTL0.019214
AutoETS0.020917
AutoARIMA0.023772

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 2.69
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.105
Excess Kurtosis -0.59

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 15.0 and 16.0) compared to negligible call activity. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for put strikes, suggesting a fear of sharp declines or NAV erosion. The call side shows very low volume and open interest, indicating a lack of bullish conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.59% 37.76% 32.36% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-15 0.075 0.594436
2026-10-08 0.062 0.500000
2026-10-01 0.062 0.505297
2026-09-24 0.050 0.413223
2026-09-17 0.060 0.497100
2026-09-10 0.061 0.507488
2026-09-03 0.097 0.779743
2026-08-27 0.143 1.154157
2026-08-20 0.141 1.165289
2026-08-13 0.224 1.789137
2026-08-06 0.192 1.505882
2026-07-30 0.077 0.647059
2026-07-23 0.072 0.694981
2026-07-16 0.059 0.542279
2026-07-09 0.058 0.548204
2026-07-02 0.066 0.614068
2026-06-25 0.056 0.561122
2026-06-18 0.059 0.551402
2026-06-11 0.070 0.635382
2026-06-04 0.101 0.838105
2026-05-28 0.082 0.672683
2026-05-21 0.089 0.734323
2026-05-14 0.142 1.185309
2026-05-07 0.136 1.096774
2026-04-30 0.176 1.439084
2026-04-23 0.111 0.886298
2026-04-16 0.073 0.573539
2026-04-09 0.112 0.968021
2026-04-02 0.067 0.577586
2026-03-26 0.070 0.613497
2026-03-19 0.075 0.617284
2026-03-12 0.078 0.621514
2026-03-05 0.082 0.637636
2026-02-26 0.077 0.605822
2026-02-19 0.074 0.584980
2026-02-12 0.069 0.538222
2026-02-05 0.057 0.453822
2026-01-29 0.064 0.462094
2026-01-22 0.058 0.407018
2026-01-15 0.059 0.405220
2026-01-08 0.053 0.349604
2026-01-02 0.062 0.411413
2025-12-26 0.061 0.392788
2025-12-18 0.067 0.431701
2025-12-11 0.078 0.502254
2025-12-04 0.173 1.111111
2025-11-28 0.079 0.494678
2025-11-20 0.165 1.051625
2025-11-13 0.101 0.607336
2025-11-06 0.099 0.598911
2025-10-30 0.116 0.665138
2025-10-23 0.074 0.427499
2025-10-16 0.272 1.589714
2025-09-18 0.316 1.845794
2025-08-21 0.318 1.842410
2025-07-24 0.414 2.318029
2025-06-26 0.485 2.729319
2025-05-29 0.550 3.193961
2025-05-01 0.526 3.184019
2025-04-03 0.334 2.174479
2025-03-06 0.285 1.750614
2025-02-06 0.362 2.105875
2025-01-08 0.367 2.036626
2024-12-12 0.413 2.151042
2024-11-14 0.510 2.682798
2024-10-17 0.508 2.663870
2024-09-06 0.433 2.278947
2024-08-07 0.405 2.114883
2024-07-05 0.385 1.736581
2024-06-06 0.480 2.250352
2024-05-06 0.573 2.696471
2024-04-04 0.730 3.340961
2024-03-06 0.761 3.523148
2024-02-07 0.684 2.996058
2024-01-05 0.511 2.388967
2023-12-07 0.782 3.593750
2023-11-08 0.377 1.723823
2023-10-06 0.280 1.377953
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 7.41

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 23.478
All Time Low 9.89
Ask 12.39
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 51,700
Average Daily Volume3 Month 93,593
Average Volume 93,593
Average Volume10Days 51,700
Beta3 Year 1.0
Bid 12.37
Bid Size 800
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 12.61
Day Low 12.3566
Display Name MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF
Dividend Yield 7.41
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.35176
Fifty Day Average Change 0.078240395
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.006334352
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.431488
Fifty Two Week High 18.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.67
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.31325966
Fifty Two Week Low 9.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.54
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25682506
Fifty Two Week Range 9.89 - 18.1
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,692,970,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.14659977
Fullday Change Percent -1.1619594
Fullday Price 12.43
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,692,835,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund advisor will employ its investment strategy as it relates to MSFT regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not seek temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1850980161
Nav Price 12.5913
Net Assets 85,826,032.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.03
Open 12.66
Previous Close 12.6166
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.1866
Regular Market Change Percent -1.479
Regular Market Day High 12.61
Regular Market Day Low 12.3566
Regular Market Day Range 12.3566 - 12.61
Regular Market Open 12.66
Regular Market Previous Close 12.6166
Regular Market Price 12.43
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,790
Regular Market Volume 41,622
Short Name YieldMax MSFT Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSFO
Three Year Average Return 0.1673716
Total Assets 85,826,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 31.13213
Trailing Three Month Returns 31.13213
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.333395
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.0966053
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.007832823
Type Disp ETF
Volume 41,622
Yield 0.074099995
Ytd Return 5.67893