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Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD)

Trading--Inverse Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
10.03 USD -0.16 (-1.619%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.13 +0.11 (1.047%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:04 a.m. EDT

This inverse leveraged ETF is currently a high-conviction short-term play for continued weakness in the underlying technology sector, but it carries severe long-term risks due to compounding decay. The underlying asset has suffered two consecutive years of double-digit declines (-23% and -21%), dragging this inverse fund down nearly 40% over the same period. While the recent price action shows a slight stabilization near the 52-week lows, the massive gap between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages suggests heavy selling pressure remains just below the surface. The options market confirms this bearish sentiment, with traders aggressively buying protection rather than betting on a rebound. The dividend yield of 4% is misleading; it is likely a return of capital or a result of the fund's shrinking NAV rather than sustainable income, making it unsuitable for income investors. For a tactical trade to catch a further drop in the tech sector, the setup is compelling, but holding this position long-term is a losing strategy against the relentless drag of daily rebalancing losses.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.096042
AutoETS0.096044
AutoTheta0.097756
MSTL0.105454

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 1.66
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.25

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for further declines. Call open interest is negligible compared to put open interest across all expirations, with deep out-of-the-money puts showing significant accumulation relative to calls. Implied volatility is elevated on the downside strikes, indicating a market expectation of continued volatility and lower prices.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.25% 3.50% 3.98%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-23 0.178 1.251758
2026-03-24 0.081 0.552373
2025-12-23 0.082 0.718101
2025-09-23 0.107 0.976723
2025-06-24 0.089 0.780018
2025-03-25 0.106 0.732550
2024-12-23 0.150 1.130369
2024-09-24 0.110 0.811808
2024-06-25 0.223 1.728682
2024-03-19 0.129 0.930065
2023-12-21 0.169 1.079183
2023-09-19 0.221 1.238095
2023-06-21 0.190 1.073446
2023-03-21 0.109 0.500459
2022-12-20 0.162 0.646732
2022-12-08 0.015 0.060812
2022-09-20 0.010 0.038456
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 4.03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 28.89
All Time Low 9.94
Ask 11.3
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,199,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,460,206
Average Volume 1,460,206
Average Volume10Days 1,199,650
Beta3 Year -1.15
Bid 9.63
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Inverse Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 10.19
Day Low 9.945
Dividend Yield 4.03
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.37474
Fifty Day Average Change -2.34974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.18988198
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -9.928125
Fifty Two Week High 15.33
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.3050003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3460535
Fifty Two Week Low 9.94
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.08500004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.008551312
Fifty Two Week Range 9.94 - 15.33
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,662,643,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.16499996
Fullday Change Percent -1.6192343
Fullday Price 10.13
Fund Family Direxion Funds
Fund Inception Date 1,662,422,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of the it’s net assets (plus borrowings for investment purposes) in financial instruments, including swap agreements and options, that, in combination, provide 1X daily inverse (opposite) or short exposure to MSFT, consistent with the fund’s investment objective. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1791146309
Nav Price 10.192
Net Assets 6,389,942.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.02
Open 10.17
Phone 866-476-7523
Post Market Change 0.105000496
Post Market Change Percent 1.0473865
Post Market Price 10.13
Post Market Time 1,787,961,591
Previous Close 10.19
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.16499996
Regular Market Change Percent -1.6192343
Regular Market Day High 10.19
Regular Market Day Low 9.945
Regular Market Day Range 9.945 - 10.19
Regular Market Open 10.17
Regular Market Previous Close 10.19
Regular Market Price 10.025
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 2,319,929
Short Name Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol MSFD
Three Year Average Return -0.1442956
Total Assets 6,389,942
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -15.59995
Trailing Three Month Returns -15.59995
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.73975
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.7147503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.21309291
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,319,929
Yield 0.0403
Ytd Return -1.76227