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Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN)

Industrials | Trucking | Mondovi, United States | NasdaqGS
17.41 USD +0.26 (1.516%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:36 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Marten Transport is currently broken by a severe disconnect between its valuation and its operational reality. While the balance sheet appears technically clean with low debt, the company is generating negative free cash flow and reporting a massive 68% decline in earnings growth. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 95, a figure that makes no sense given the lack of profitability and the -8.8% revenue contraction. This is a classic value trap where the market has correctly priced out the business quality. The trailing run of down years confirms this deterioration, with the stock losing nearly 20% of its value in the most recent fiscal year. The dividend, while seemingly stable, is paid on shrinking earnings with a payout ratio exceeding 130%, meaning the company is distributing more cash than it generates from operations, likely burning through reserves. With no institutional ownership pressure evident in the options chain and analysts offering lukewarm guidance, there is no catalyst to reverse this multi-year decline. The stock remains a hold or sell until the turnaround story is proven by positive cash flows and revenue growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.143876
AutoETS0.146808
AutoARIMA0.148907
MSTL_1150.151172
AutoTheta0.152753

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 14.46
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.055
Excess Kurtosis -1.32
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-15
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-15
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.057
Revenue per Share 10.597
Market Cap 1,420,466,816
Trailing P/E 96.72
Forward P/E 27.20
Beta 0.95
Profit Margins 1.68%
Website https://www.marten.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:36 a.m. EDT: Options activity shows a distinct lack of speculative positioning. Call volume and open interest are negligible across all expirations, with the vast majority of contracts being out-of-the-money where no meaningful capital is deployed. Put activity is similarly sparse, with virtually no protective buying or bearish bets placed against the current price. The implied volatility surface is flat and low, indicating that market participants view this stock as having minimal expected movement and are largely ignoring it for directional trades.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.35% 1.89% 1.58% 2.07%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-16 0.060000 0.345224
2026-03-17 0.060000 0.513259
2025-12-15 0.060000 0.510638
2025-09-16 0.060000 0.517241
2025-06-13 0.060000 0.461538
2025-03-14 0.060000 0.440205
2024-12-13 0.060000 0.351494
2024-09-16 0.060000 0.347826
2024-06-14 0.060000 0.346021
2024-03-14 0.060000 0.322407
2023-12-14 0.060000 0.301963
2023-09-14 0.060000 0.292113
2023-06-15 0.060000 0.272851
2023-03-16 0.060000 0.287494
2022-12-12 0.060000 0.289855
2022-09-15 0.060000 0.301356
2022-06-15 0.060000 0.339367
2022-03-16 0.060000 0.302572
2021-12-10 0.040000 0.241546
2021-09-17 0.540000 3.566711
2021-06-15 0.040000 0.235018
2021-03-16 0.040000 0.239952
2020-12-11 0.540000 3.056027
2020-09-15 0.040000 0.226116
2020-06-15 0.026667 0.162208
2020-03-16 0.026667 0.235297
2019-12-12 0.020000 0.141643
2019-08-23 0.453333 3.728067
2019-06-13 0.020000 0.161551
2019-03-14 0.020000 0.165837
2018-12-17 0.016667 0.150878
2018-09-13 0.016667 0.113124
2018-06-14 0.016667 0.108227
2018-03-16 0.016667 0.105265
2017-12-21 0.016667 0.122853
2017-09-14 0.016667 0.135872
2017-06-14 0.010000 0.091575
2017-03-22 0.010000 0.105263
2016-12-12 0.010000 0.098232
2016-09-09 0.010000 0.116932
2016-06-10 0.010000 0.125945
2016-03-11 0.010000 0.138966
2015-12-11 0.010000 0.153186
2015-09-14 0.010000 0.134264
2015-06-12 0.010000 0.108272
2015-03-13 0.010000 0.109075
2014-12-12 0.010000 0.121065
2014-09-12 0.010000 0.128535
2014-06-12 0.010000 0.106792
2014-03-19 0.010000 0.122249
2013-12-13 0.010000 0.133404
2013-08-23 0.010000 0.139431
2013-05-15 0.006667 0.107118
2013-03-13 0.006667 0.117819
2012-12-07 0.206667 4.315152
2012-08-22 0.006667 0.137824
2012-05-10 0.006667 0.123585
2012-03-07 0.005333 0.098759
2011-12-07 0.005333 0.105423
2011-08-24 0.005333 0.109104
2011-05-12 0.005333 0.090125
2011-02-24 0.005333 0.093583
2010-11-24 0.005333 0.091695
2010-08-26 0.005333 0.101106
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.24
dividendYield 1.4
exDividendDate 2026-06-16
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.24
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.013994169
lastDividendValue 0.06
lastDividendDate 2026-06-16
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.27225518
Address1 129 Marten Street
All Time High 23.43
All Time Low 0.171193
Ask 22.05
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 747,570
Average Daily Volume3 Month 904,060
Average Volume 904,060
Average Volume10Days 747,570
Beta 0.951
Bid 12.48
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 9.367
City Mondovi
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.41
Current Ratio 2.075
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 17.58
Day Low 17.18
Debt To Equity 0.057
Display Name Marten Transport
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 0.24
Dividend Yield 1.4
Earnings Growth -0.661
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.681
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,836,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Ebitda 116,061,000
Ebitda Margins 0.13432999
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.641
Enterprise To Revenue 1.564
Enterprise Value 1,351,114,880
Eps Current Year 0.275
Eps Forward 0.64
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.18
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,568,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.7116
Fifty Day Average Change 0.6984005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04179136
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 27.225517
Fifty Two Week High 18.48
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.0699997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.057900418
Fifty Two Week Low 9.35
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.059999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.862032
Fifty Two Week Range 9.35 - 18.48
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 528,039,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.37
Float Shares 57,587,243
Forward Eps 0.64
Forward P E 27.203125
Free Cashflow -41,072,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,502
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.23555
Gross Profits 203,520,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.2932
Held Percent Institutions 0.70957
Implied Shares Outstanding 81,589,135
Industry Trucking
Industry Disp Trucking
Industry Key trucking
Ir Website http://www.marten.com/index.php?/investor_relations/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,568,000
Last Dividend Value 0.06
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,597,363,200
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Marten Transport, Ltd. operates as a temperature-sensitive truckload carrier for shippers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It operates through Truckload, Dedicated, and Brokerage segments. The Truckload segment transports food and other consumer packaged goods that require a temperature-controlled or insulated environment, as well as dry freight; and regional short-haul and medium-to-long-haul full-load transportation services. The Dedicated segment offers customized transportation solutions for individual customers' requirements using temperature-controlled trailers, dry vans, and other specialized equipment. The Brokerage segment develops contractual relationships with and arranges for third-party carriers to transport freight for customers in temperature-controlled trailers and dry vans. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 2,654 tractors that included 2,577 company-owned tractors and 77 tractors supplied by independent contractors. Marten Transport, Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Mondovi, Wisconsin.
Long Name Marten Transport, Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,420,466,816
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_286586
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 14,491,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,399,253,665
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 17.23
Operating Cashflow 90,322,000
Operating Margins 0.00085
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 1.3333
Peg Ratio 1.83
Phone 715 926 4216
Previous Close 17.15
Price Eps Current Year 63.30909
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8586528
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6440094
Profit Margins 0.01677
Quick Ratio 1.821
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.26
Regular Market Change Percent 1.51604
Regular Market Day High 17.58
Regular Market Day Low 17.18
Regular Market Day Range 17.18 - 17.58
Regular Market Open 17.23
Regular Market Previous Close 17.15
Regular Market Price 17.41
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 507,289
Return On Assets 0.00442
Return On Equity 0.018919999
Revenue Growth -0.088
Revenue Per Share 10.597
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 81,589,135
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0399
Shares Short 3,253,266
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,432,052
Short Name Marten Transport, Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.089700006
Short Ratio 3.42
Source Interval 15
State WI
Symbol MRTN
Target High Price 19.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 18.5
Target Median Price 18.5
Total Cash 69,786,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.855
Total Debt 434,000
Total Revenue 864,025,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.24
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.013994169
Trailing Eps 0.18
Trailing P E 96.72221
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.16675
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.24325
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.3222701
Type Disp Equity
Volume 507,289
Website https://www.marten.com
Zip 54,755