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YieldMax MRNA Option Income Strategy ETF (MRNY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
17.93 USD -0.27 (-1.484%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.14 +0.21 (1.171%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:46 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a classic 'value trap' wrapped in a high-yield ETF structure. The long-term rating is severely compromised because the underlying asset has suffered an 82% collapse in just one year, a trajectory that signals a broken business model or a permanent loss of utility for the option income strategy. While the headline yield appears astronomical, it is largely a reflection of the share price implosion rather than sustainable cash flow; the recent dividend history shows erratic, fluctuating payouts that do not provide the stability required for a reliable income vehicle. Short-term, the stock is hovering near its 52-week lows, offering some technical relief, but the statistical forecast offers no directional edge, and the options market is pricing in continued uncertainty rather than a recovery. Investors chasing the yield here are likely buying a shrinking asset class with no clear path to restoration.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.067299
AutoETS0.067301
MSTL0.070102
AutoTheta0.072519

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 7.88
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.006
Excess Kurtosis 0.52

As of July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility rather than a directional breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (20 and 21), suggesting bets on a rebound, while put volume remains significant at lower strikes (11-19), indicating a hedge against further downside. The massive disparity in implied volatility between calls (0.67-0.77) and puts (3.69 ATM) highlights extreme fear regarding immediate downside risk, yet the lack of deep ITM put positioning suggests the market views a catastrophic collapse as less probable than a choppy, range-bound decline.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.15% 86.94%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.427 2.152218
2026-07-02 0.394 1.873514
2026-06-25 0.358 2.089779
2026-06-18 0.219 1.190217
2026-06-11 0.206 1.339402
2026-06-04 0.211 1.313006
2026-05-28 0.236 1.532468
2026-05-21 0.184 1.187863
2026-05-14 0.239 1.459988
2026-05-07 0.155 0.959158
2026-04-30 0.218 1.393862
2026-04-23 0.258 1.430155
2026-04-16 0.263 1.408677
2026-04-09 0.260 1.434879
2026-04-02 0.275 1.534598
2026-03-26 0.272 1.424830
2026-03-19 0.381 2.008434
2026-03-12 0.391 2.003074
2026-03-05 0.383 1.924623
2026-02-26 0.378 1.912955
2026-02-19 0.317 1.620654
2026-02-12 0.347 2.031616
2026-02-05 0.266 1.513083
2026-01-29 0.479 2.411883
2026-01-22 0.374 1.688488
2026-01-15 0.248 1.377013
2026-01-08 0.177 1.096654
2026-01-02 0.160 1.060305
2025-12-26 0.393 2.535484
2025-12-18 0.223 1.410500
2025-12-11 0.230 1.464968
2025-12-04 0.277 1.892076
2025-11-28 0.230 1.523179
2025-11-20 0.250 1.838235
2025-11-13 0.260 1.721854
2025-11-06 0.220 1.456954
2025-10-30 0.320 1.871345
2025-10-23 0.230 1.393939
2025-10-16 0.220 1.301775
2025-10-09 1.150 6.647399
2025-09-11 0.760 4.318182
2025-08-14 0.950 4.922280
2025-07-17 2.000 8.264463
2025-06-20 1.900 8.444444
2025-05-22 1.220 5.104603
2025-04-24 1.260 4.921875
2025-03-27 1.830 5.922330
2025-02-27 2.310 7.241379
2025-01-30 2.730 6.275862
2025-01-03 2.510 4.940945
2024-12-05 2.220 4.165103
2024-11-07 4.010 6.140888
2024-10-10 3.760 5.060565
2024-09-06 4.790 5.079533
2024-08-07 4.660 4.433873
2024-07-05 4.900 3.273213
2024-06-06 8.450 4.442692
2024-05-06 9.470 4.704421
2024-04-04 7.830 4.001022
2024-03-06 11.310 5.767465
2024-02-07 5.940 2.955371
2024-01-05 26.540 11.896010
2023-12-07 4.130 2.124486
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 20.82

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 260.0
All Time Low 10.38
Ask 18.4
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 276,170
Average Daily Volume3 Month 201,021
Average Volume 201,021
Average Volume10Days 276,170
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 17.81
Bid Size 200
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 18.36
Day Low 17.5
Dividend Yield 20.82
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.85322
Fifty Day Average Change 1.0767803
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.063891664
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -32.342003
Fifty Two Week High 27.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.27
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.34080884
Fifty Two Week Low 13.6
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.31838235
Fifty Two Week Range 13.6 - 27.2
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,698,154,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,698,019,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund advisor will employ the fund's investment strategy as the fund relates to MRNA regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax MRNA Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1850980312
Nav Price 19.7621
Net Assets 120,997,024.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.0
Open 17.74
Post Market Change 0.20999908
Post Market Change Percent 1.1712162
Post Market Price 18.14
Post Market Time 1,783,986,413
Previous Close 18.2
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.27
Regular Market Change Percent -1.48352
Regular Market Day High 18.36
Regular Market Day Low 17.5
Regular Market Day Range 17.5 - 18.36
Regular Market Open 17.74
Regular Market Previous Close 18.2
Regular Market Price 17.93
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 155,411
Short Name YieldMax MRNA Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol MRNY
Total Assets 120,997,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 26.09578
Trailing Three Month Returns 26.09578
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.33268
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.59732056
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0344621
Type Disp ETF
Volume 155,411
Yield 0.2082
Ytd Return 93.83